• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability Evaluation

검색결과 1,253건 처리시간 0.168초

On Evaluation of Stacking Fault in CERP Composite Plates of Using Ultrasonic Images (초음파 이미지를 이용한 CFRP 복합적층판의 적층결함 평가)

  • 임광희;나승우;심재기;양인영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
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    • 한국복합재료학회 2003년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.121-124
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    • 2003
  • This paper shows shear wave behavior of CFRP(carton fiber reinforced plastics) composite laminates as a polar grid form to evaluate vibration pattern of ultrasonic transducers, which gives measured modelling fundamental contents of nondestructive evaluation. This modelling decomposes the transmission of a linearly polarized wave into orthogonal components through each ply of a laminate. It is found that a high probability shows between the model and measurement system in characterizing lay up of CFRP composite laminates. Also evaluating quantitatively the defects in CFRP laminates who found to be possible of normalized frequency obtained from 2D-FFT technique based on C-scan method. Thus, the technique is proven to be one of the useful means to evaluate any internal defect in CFRP composite laminates.

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Geological Safety Evaluation and Monitoring of Nuclear Facility Sites in South Korea

  • Lee, Hyunwoo;Woo, Hyeon Dong;Chun, Hyun Ju;Im, Chang-Bock
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.609-613
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    • 2014
  • The Korean Peninsula, located at the southeastern tip of the Eurasian Plate, is known to be tectonically stable, and no critical evidence has yet been found that would override the safety design of nuclear facilities in South Korea. Because a nuclear power plant, like other major social overhead capital facilities, could cause great damage to both the environment and society through an unexpected tectonic event, even one of extremely low probability, like the Fukushima accident, a defense-in-depth safety approach is required in geological and geotechnical site safety evaluation for nuclear projects. This paper introduces the regulatory procedures that are in place to confirm nuclear site safety and site monitoring (e.g., earthquakes and groundwater) systems applied to nuclear facilities in order to reduce inherent uncertainties within the site safety review of geological and seismological issues related with a NPP project.

A New Form of Nondestructive Strength-Estimating Statistical Models Accounting for Uncertainty of Model and Aging Effect of Concrete

  • Hong, Kee-Jeung;Kim, Jee-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.230-234
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    • 2009
  • As concrete ages, the surrounding environment is expected to have growing influences on the concrete. As all the impacts of the environment cannot be considered in the strength-estimating model of a nondestructive concrete test, the increase in concrete age leads to growing uncertainty in the strength-estimating model. Therefore, the variation of the model error increases. It is necessary to include those impacts in the probability model of concrete strength attained from the nondestructive tests so as to build a more accurate reliability model for structural performance evaluation. This paper reviews and categorizes the existing strength-estimating statistical models of nondestructive concrete test, and suggests a new form of the strength-estimating statistical models to properly reflect the model uncertainty due to aging of the concrete. This new form of the statistical models will lay foundation for more accurate structural performance evaluation.

Performance evaluation of the single-dwell and double-dwell detection schemes in the IS-95 reverse link (IS-95역방향 링크에서 단일 적분 및 이중 적분 검색 방식의 성능 분석)

  • 강법주;박형래;손정영;강창언
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.383-393
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    • 1996
  • This paper considers the evaluation of the ecquistion performance for an accesschannel preamble based on a random access procedure of direct sequence code division multiple access(DS/CDMA) reverse link. The parallel acquistion technique that employs the single-well detection scheme and the multiple-dwell(double-dwell) detection scheme is mentioned. The acquisition performance for two detection schemes is compared in therms of the acquisition probability and the acquisition time. The parallel acquisition is done by a bank of N parallel I/Q noncoherent correlators. Expressions on the detection, false alarm, and miss probabilities of the single-dwell and multiple-dwell(double-well) detection schemes are derived for multiple H$_{1}$ cells and multipath Rayleight fading channel. comparing the single-dwell detection scheme with the multiple-dwell(double-dwell) detection scheme in the case of employing the parallel acquisition technique in the reverse link,the numerical results show that the single-dwell detection scheme deomonstrates a better performance.

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Performance Evaluation of Warm Standby Redundant Systems

  • Lee, Chong-Hyung;Shin, Sang-Wook;Lim, Jae-Hak
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we consider the warm standby redundant system(WSRS) which is consisted of an active unit, a standby unit and a switchover device. In addition, the switchover processing is controlled by a control module. The effect of failure of the control module is taken into account to develop our reliability model for the redundant structure. For the performance evaluation of a redundant system with the function of switchover processing which is assumed to cause the increase of the failure rate of the system, some reliability indices, such as availability, average availability, reliability and steady state availability, are considered.

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Model Classification and Evaluation of Measurement Uncertainty (측정 불확도 모형 분류 및 평가)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to propose model classification and evaluation of measurement uncertainty. In order to obtain type A and B uncertainty, variety of measurement mathematical models are illustrated by example. The four steps to evaluate expanded uncertainty are indicated as following; First, to get type A standard uncertainty, measurement mathematical models of single, double, multiple, design of experiment and serial autocorrelation are shown. Second, to solve type B standard uncertainty measurement mathematical models of empirical probability distributions and multivariate are presented. Third, type A and B combined uncertainty, considering sensitivity coefficient, linearity and correlation are discussed. Lastly, expanded uncertainty, considering degree of freedom for type A, B uncertainty and coverage factor are presented with uncertainty budget. SPC control chart to control expanded uncertainty is shown.

Safety Evaluation of Elevated Guideway during Abnormal Operation on LRT of Driverless Automatic Driving System (무인자동운전 경전철시스템 고가교량의 비상운전 중 안전성평가)

  • Son Eun-Jin;Kim Min-Soo;Lim Young-Su;Lim Jong-Pil
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2006
  • Trains in LRT(Light Railway Transit) system usually have shorter car length than metro's because of their smaller passensers demand. Therefore it is very likely that the load condition of LRT system in abnormal operation, in case of which trains are in close proximity by system broke or train rescue works, could be worse rather than in normal operation, in spite of rare probability of abnormal operation. In this study, the target reliability indexes of several abnormal operations are estimated in accordance with the occurrence probabilities of each abnormal operation case and the reliability index of normal operation presented by the specification. From the indexes, load factors for the abnormal operation cases are estimated and the safety evaluation is performed for Yong-in LRT project.

Evaluation of network protocols for automotive data communication (차량용 데이터 통신을 위한 네트워크 프로토콜의 평가)

  • Yun, Jung-A;Nam, Sang-Woon;Kim, Kee-Woong;Lee, Suk
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • 제3권6호
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    • pp.632-638
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    • 1997
  • The growing number of electronic components used in automobiles has given rise to problems concerning the increasing number, size and weight of the wiring harnesses. As an approach to resolve these problems, multiplexed wiring systems using automotive communication protocol such as Controller Area Network(CAN), Advanced PALMNET and J1850 have been developed by many automobile companies. In order to compare these protocols quantitatively, this paper presents the performance evaluation of CAN and Advanced PALMNET via discrete event simulation. Through numerous simulation experiments, several important quantitative performance factors such as the probability of a transmission failure, average system delay(data latency), and throughput have been evaluated.

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EVALUATION OF DIAGNOSTIC TESTS WITH MULTIPLE DIAGNOSTIC CATEGORIES

  • Birkett N.J.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(역학)
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    • pp.154-157
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    • 1994
  • The evaluation of diagnostic tests attempts to obtain one or more statistical parameters which can indicate the intrinsic diagnostic utility of a test. Sensitivity. specificity and predictive value are not appropriate for this use. The likelihood ratio has been proposed as a useful measure when using a test to diagnose one of two disease states (e.g. disease present or absent). In this paper, we generalize the likelihood ratio concept to a situation in which the goal is to diagnose one of several non-overlapping disease states. A formula is derived to determine the post-test probability of a specific disease state. The post-test odds are shown to be related to the pre-test odds of a disease and to the usual likelihood ratios derived from considering the diagnosis between the target diagnosis and each alternate in turn. Hence, likelihood ratios derived from comparing pairs of diseases can be used to determine test utility in a multiple disease diagnostic situation.

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Analyzing of the Time varying failure rate of components of power distribution system using Weibull distribution (와이블 분포를 이용한 배전설비기기의 시변 고장률 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul;Mon, Jong-Fil;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.272-274
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    • 2003
  • Distribution system reliability evaluation estimates by approach methods such as Makove modelling or Monte Carlo simulation, equation of state and failure rate that is on one basic data used to these assessment technique is described as probability of average value. because average failure rate equipment device is aged as time goes by but there is shortcoming that such used failure rate does not evaluate thing which is correct in reliability change hereafter. In this paper, failure rate displayed that apply aging to basis equipment device by passing time using Weibull distribution one of life evaluation method and for express aging of component from utility's failure database.

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