• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability/Statistics

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History of Probability and Statistics (확률과 통계의 역사)

  • Lee Kyung Hwa
    • Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.53-65
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    • 1997
  • There are many mistakes when we estimate probability of an event, for example, we often omit some likelihoods (of an event), sometimes give too large or too small possibility for a particular case, cannot relate current cases with which were concerned before, apply at another cases as soon as discuss about it insufficiently, etc. If we go into a history of probability and statistics, we shall ascertain that many scientists and mathmaticians made essentially same mistakes with us. In the paper, we will consider the theorization of probability and statistics as a process of modification of mistakes which were made during one's estimating possibility of an event. On that point of view, we shall look at historical background of probability and statistics.

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The Textbook Analysis on Probability: The Case of Korea, Malaysia and U.S. Textbooks

  • Han, Sun-Young;Rosli, Roslinda;Capraro, Robert M.;Capraro, Mary M.
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 2011
  • "Statistical literacy" is important to be an effective citizen ([Gal, I. (2005). Towards "probability literacy" for all citizens: Building blocks and instructional dilemmas. In: G. A. Jones (Ed.), Exploring probability in school: Challenges for teaching and learning (pp. 39-63). New York: Springer]). Probability and statistics has been connected with real context and can be used to stimulate students' creative abilities. This study aims at identifying the extent that textbooks in three countries include experimental probability concepts and non-routine, open-ended, application and contextual problems. How well textbooks reflect real application situations is important in the sense that students can employ probability concepts when solving real world problems. Results showed that three textbook series did not mention experimental probability. Furthermore, all of text-books had more routine, close-ended, knowing, and non-contextual problems.

Statistics and Probability Distribution of Total Coliforms in Wastewater (하수에서의 대장균수 확률분포 특성 분석)

  • Jun, Sang Min;Song, Inhong;Jeong, Han Seok;Kang, Moon Seong;Park, Seung Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2013
  • Probability distribution of microbes in wastewater is a crucial factor to be determined for microbial risk assessment associated with its reuse. The objective of this study was to investigate probability distribution of an indicator microorganism in wastewater. Daily total coliform counts measured from nationwide wastewater treatment plants in 2010 by the Ministry of Environment were used for statistical analysis. Basic statistics and probability distributions were estimated in the three different spatial scales using the MS Excel software and FARD2006 model. Overall, wastewater from manure and livestock treatment plants demonstrated greater median coliform counts than from sewage and village treatment plants. Generalized logistic (GLO) and 2-parameter Weibull (WBU2) appeared to be the two probability distributions that fitted best for total coliform numbers in wastewater. The study results of microbial statistics and probability distributions would provide useful data for quantitative assessment of microbial risk from agricultural wastewater reuse.

STOCHASTIC INEQUALITIES IN TWO REPAIRABLE UNITS

  • PARK, TAE-KEUN;PARK, YOUNG-SUNG
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.145-158
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we investigated a replacement model with two types of repairs. Repairs are classified into minimal and perfect repair. An operating unit is completely replaced whenever it reaches age ${\tau}({\tau}>0)$(planned replacement). If it fails at age $t<{\tau}$, it is either restored by a entire unit with probability p(t)(perfect repair), or it undergoes minimal repair with probability $\bar{p}(t)=1-p(t)$. After a planned replacement, the procedure is repeated.

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On the Probability Inequalities under Linearly Negatively Quadrant Dependent Condition

  • Baek, Jong Il;Choi, In Bong;Lee, Seung Woo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2003
  • Let X$_1$, X$_2$, … be real valued random variables under linearly negatively quadrant dependent (LNQD). In this paper, we discuss the probability inequality of ennett(1962) and Hoeffding(1963) under some suitable random variables. These results are to extend Theorem A and B to LNQD random variables. Furthermore, let ζdenote the pth quantile of the marginal distribution function of the $X_i$'s which is estimated by a smooth estima te $ζ_{pn}$, on the basis of X$_1$, X$_2$, …$X_n$. We establish a convergence of $ζ_{pn}$, under Hoeffding-type probability inequality of LNQD.

A Study on Electronic Text Development for Probability and Statistical Education ('확률과 통계'교육을 위한 전자교재 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Sook-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2002
  • With advancement of computer and network, world wide web(WWW) as medium of information communication is generalized in many fields. In educational aspect, applications of WWW as alternative media for class teaching or printed matter are increasing. In this article, we demonstrate a web based electronic text on the 'probability and statistics' which is one of six fields of mathematics in 7th curriculum. This text places importance on comprehension of concepts and fundamentals of probability and statistics as applied sciences and not on simple calculations of probability and statistics.

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A New Formula to Predict the Exact Detection Probability of a Generalized Order Statistics CFAR Detector for a Correlated Rayleigh Target

  • Kim, Chang-Joo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1994
  • In this paper we present a new formula which can predict the exact detection probability of a generalized order statistics (GOS) constant false alarm rate (DFAR) detector for a partially correlated Rayleigh target model (0 < $ \rho$< 1) in a closed form, where $\rho$ is the correlation coefficient between returned pulses. By simply substituting a set of specific coefficient into the derived formula, one can obtain the detection probability of any kind of CFAR detector. Detectors may include the order statistics CFAR detector, the censored mean level detector, and the trimmed mean CFAR detector, but are not necessarily restricted to them. The numerical result for the first order Markov correlation model as applied to some of the detectors shows that as $\rho$ increases from zero to one, higher signal-to-noise ratio is required to achieve the same detection probability.

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Education Improvement Plan Related to Data Analysis & Processing in the ICT Field for the Era of Hyperconnectivity & Superintelligence

  • LEE, Seung-Woo;LEE, Sangwon
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2021
  • Since the 4th Industrial Revolution is implemented based on superintelligence, new insights must be provided through convergence studies with other fields to find optimal solutions to create new ideas. In this paper, we intende to present improvement measures for probability and statistical education, which is an athlete's subject on data analysis and processing in the ICT(Information & Communication Technologies) field in the era of superintelligence of the 4th industrial revolution. This paper aims to strengthen competitiveness through early development and commercialization of new technologies by presenting probabilities and statistical curriculums that require linkage in the ICT field. Second, it is necessary to present an educational system diagram linking probabilities and statistics in the ICT field to prepare a mid- to long-term response strategy for ICT education in response to innovative changes. Third, through a survey, we intend to present an effective educational operation plan linking probability and statistics to ICT major subjects by analyzing the perception of probability, statistical importance, and utilization of majors in this field.

Critical Views of Qualification Studies and Pre-Exams for 2009 Korea School Math Teacher Appointment-Proportion of Issued Problems of Probability and Statistics

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.845-849
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    • 2008
  • 2009 year new execution of appointments for secondary school teachers was announced at 2004 year by Ministry of Education. The new school teacher appointment has been developed and studied in various aspects of appropriate qualification for good school teacher. In the results of the studies by Korea School Mathematics Education Association and pre-exams by Korea Institute for Curriculum and Evaluation, the Probability and Statistics chapters are less revaluated as 7.5-10%, but we argue those more than 15% as along with our recent Korean school texts reviews(Lee, et al., 2005).

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Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Test of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Bayesian procedure for the multiple test of fraction nonconforming, p, is proposed. It is the procedure for checking whether the process is out of control, in control, or under the permissible level for p. The procedure is as follows: first, setting up three types of models, $M_1:p=p_0,\;M_2:pp_0$, second, computing the posterior probability of each model. and then choosing the model with the largest posterior probability as a model most fitted for the observed sample among three competitive models. Finally, the simulation study is performed to examine the proposed method.