• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic variation

Search Result 172, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Stochastic Analysis in Steam Turbine Blade Steel Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 증기 터빈블레이드재의 확률론적 해석)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Jung, Hwa-Young;Kang, Myung-Su;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.26 no.11
    • /
    • pp.2421-2428
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this study, the failure probability of the degraded LP turbine blade steel was performed using the Monte Carlo simulation to apply variation of applied stress and strength. For this purpose, applied stress under the service condition of steady state was obtained by theoretical stress analysis and the maximum Von-Mises stress was 219MPa. The fatigue strength under rotating-bending load was evaluated by the staircase method. Furthermore, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probabilistic distributions of tensile and fatigue strength were determined by the proposed analysis. The failure probability with various loading conditions was derived from the strength-stress interference model and the characteristic factor of safety was also estimated.

A Statistical Analysis of Fatigue Crack Growth under Constant-Amplitude Loads (일정진폭하중하의 피로균열전파의 통계적 특성)

  • Jeong, Hyeon-Cheol;Lim, Young-Kyu;Kim, Seon-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2002.05a
    • /
    • pp.104-109
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this paper, a statistical analysis of fatigue crack growth behavior under constant amplitude loads has been carried out. Fatigue crack growth tests were conducted on sixteen pre-cracked compact tension (CT) specimens of the pressure vessel (SPV50) steel in controlled identical load and environmental conditions. The assessment of the statistical distribution of fatigue crack growth experimental data obtained from SPV50 steel was studied and also the correlation of the parameter C and m in the Paris-Erdogan law was discussed. The probability distribution function of fatigue crack growth life seems to follow the 3-parameter Weibull. The fatigue crack growth rate seems to follow the 3-parameter Weibull and the log-normal distribution. The coefficient of variation (COV) of fatigue crack growth life was observed to decrease as the crack grows. A strong negative linear correlation exists between the coefficient C and the exponent m in Paris model. Fatigue crack growth rate data shows a normal distribution for both m and logC.

  • PDF

Development of an Efficient Method to Consider Weld Distortion in Tolerance Analysis (용접변형을 고려한 효율적 공차해석 기법 개발)

  • Yim Hyunjune;Lee Dongyul;Lee Jaeyeol;Kwon Ki Eak;Shin Jong-Gye
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.29 no.10 s.241
    • /
    • pp.1377-1383
    • /
    • 2005
  • A general and efficient methodology has been developed to analyze dimensional variations of an assembly, taking into account of weld distortion. Weld distortion is generally probabilistic because of the random nature of welding parameters such as the welding speed, maximum welding temperature, ambient temperature, etc. The methodology is illustrated through a very simple example of two perpendicular plates fillet-welded to each other. Two steps comprise the methodology: establishment of a weld-distortion database, and tolerance analysis using the database. To establish the database, thermo-elasto-plastic finite element analyses are conducted to compute the weld distortion for all combinations of discrete values of major welding parameters. In the second step of tolerance analysis, the weld distortion retrieved from the database is used in addition to the dimensional tolerances of the parts. As a result of such an analysis, sensitivities of the assembly's dimensional variations to the part tolerances and weld distortion are obtained, which can be help improve the dimensional quality of the assembly.

Probabilistic Structural Safety Assessment Considering the Initial Shape and Non-linearity of Steel Cable-Stayed Bridges (강사장교의 초기형상과 비선형성을 고려한 확률론적 구조안전성 평가)

  • Bang, Myung-Seok;Han, Sung-Ho;Lee, Woo-Sang;Lee, Chin-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.91-99
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this study, the advanced numerical algorithm is developed which can performed the static and dynamic stochastic finite element analysis by considering the effect of uncertainties included in the member stiffness of steel cable-stayed bridges and seismic load. After conducting the linear and nonlinear initial shape analysis, the advanced numerical algorithm is the assessment tool which can performed structural the response analysis considering the static linearity and non-linearity of before or after induced intial tensile force, and examined the reliability assessment more efficiently. The verification of the developed numerical algorithm is evaluated by analyzing the regression analysis and coefficient of correlation using the direct monte carlo simulation. Also, the dynamic response characteristic and coefficient of variation of the steel cable-stayed bridge is calculated by considering the uncertainty of random variables using the developed numerical algorithm. In addition, the quantitative structural safety of the steel cable-stayed bridges is evaluated by conducting the reliability assessment based upon the dynamic stochastic finite element analysis result.

Probabilistic seismic and fire assessment of an existing reinforced concrete building and retrofit design

  • Miano, Andrea;de Silva, Donatella;Compagnone, Alberto;Chiumiento, Giovanni
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.74 no.4
    • /
    • pp.481-494
    • /
    • 2020
  • In this paper, a probability-based procedure to evaluate the performance of existing RC structures exposed to seismic and fire actions is presented. The procedure is demonstrated with reference to an existing old school building, located in Italy. The vulnerability assessment of the building highlights deficiencies under both static and seismic loads. Retrofit operations are designed to achieve the seismic safety. The idea of the work consists in assessing the performance of the existing and retrofitted building in terms of both the seismic and fire resistance. The seismic retrofit and fire resistance upgrading follow different paths, depending on the specific configuration of the building. A good seismic retrofit does not entail an improving of the fire resistance and vice versa. The goal of the current work is to study the variation of response due to the uncertainties considered in records/fire curves selection and to carry out the assessment of the studied RC structure by obtaining fragility curves under the effect of different records/temperature. The results show the fragility curves before and after retrofit operations and both in terms of seismic performance and fire resistance performance, measuring the percent improving for the different limit states.

Sector Based Scanning and Adaptive Active Tracking of Multiple Objects

  • Cho, Shung-Han;Nam, Yun-Young;Hong, Sang-Jin;Cho, We-Duke
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.5 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1166-1191
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper presents an adaptive active tracking system with sector based scanning for a single PTZ camera. Dividing sectors on an image reduces the search space to shorten selection time so that the system can cover many targets. Upon the selection of a target, the system estimates the target trajectory to predict the zooming location with a finite amount of time for camera movement. Advanced estimation techniques using probabilistic reason suffer from the unknown object dynamics and the inaccurate estimation compromises the zooming level to prevent tracking failure. The proposed system uses the simple piecewise estimation with a few frames to cope with fast moving objects and/or slow camera movements. The target is tracked in multiple steps and the zooming time for each step is determined by maximizing the zooming level within the expected variation of object velocity and detection. The number of zooming steps is adaptively determined according to target speed. In addition, the iterative estimation of a zooming location with camera movement time compensates for the target prediction error due to the difference between speeds of a target and a camera. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated by simulations and real time experiments.

A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Power System Considering Wind Turbine Generators (풍력발전기를 고려한 전력계통의 확률론적인 신뢰도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Wu, Liang;Choi, Jae-Seok;Moon, Seung-Il
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.57 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1491-1499
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper presents a study on reliability evaluation of a power system considering wind turbine generators (WTG) with multi-state. Renewable energy resources such as wind, wave, solar, micro hydro, tidal and biomass etc. are becoming importance stage by stage because of considering effect of the environment. Wind energy is one of the most successful sources of renewable energy for the production of electrical energy. But, reliability evaluation of generating system with wind energy resources is a complex process. While the wind turbine generators can not modelled as two-state model as like as conventional generators, they should be modelled as multi-state model due to wind speed random variation. The methodology for obtaining reliability evaluation index of wind turbine generators is different from it of the conventional generators. A method for making outage capacity probability table of WTG for reliability is proposed in this paper. The detail process is presented using case study of simple system.

Verification on the Fracture Size Estimation Using Forward Modeling Approach (순산 모델링 기법을 이용한 단열크기 추정방법 고찰)

  • 김경수;김천수;배대석;정지곤
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-12
    • /
    • 1998
  • The fracture size among geometric parameters of the fracture system is treated as one of the most important factors in the geotechnical and hydrogeological analysis. However, several uncertainties in data acquisition and analysis pmcess about the fracture size are not clear yet. This study presents the current status on the estimation of the fracture size and verifies the estimating method using forward modeling approach. The factors considered are the variation of fracture intersection probabilities with different assumptions on the orientation of sampling planes and fracture size by using a simulated tleee dimensional fracture network model. If it is possible to analyze precisely the fracture intersection probabilities and the characteristics of probabilistic distnbution fiom cavern walls, outcrops or boreholes,the actual fracture size developed in rock rnass can be estimated confidently.

  • PDF

Seismic Fragility Functions of a SDOF Nonlinear System with an Energy Dissipation Device (에너지 소산형 감쇠기가 설치된 단자유도 비선형 시스템의 지진취약도 함수)

  • Park, Ji-Hun;Yun, Soo-Yong
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-13
    • /
    • 2012
  • Seismic fragility functions are derived for probabilistic evaluation of seismic control performance of energy dissipation devices installed in reinforced concrete structures. Displacement-dependent dampers are added to the nonlinear single-degree-of-freedom systems with different natural periods and hysteretic characteristics of which stiffness and strength has uncertainty. Nonlinear time history analysis is conducted for those SDOF systems and the result is processed statistically to obtain seismic fragility functions in the form of log normal distribution. Variation of seismic fragility functions for different parameters of SDOF systems and dampers are investigated and the seismic control performance is assessed probabilistically.

Regularized Multichannel Blind Deconvolution Using Alternating Minimization

  • James, Soniya;Maik, Vivek;Karibassappa, K.;Paik, Joonki
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
    • /
    • v.4 no.6
    • /
    • pp.413-421
    • /
    • 2015
  • Regularized Blind Deconvolution is a problem applicable in degraded images in order to bring the original image out of blur. Multichannel blind Deconvolution considered as an optimization problem. Each step in the optimization is considered as variable splitting problem using an algorithm called Alternating Minimization Algorithm. Each Step in the Variable splitting undergoes Augmented Lagrangian method (ALM) / Bregman Iterative method. Regularization is used where an ill posed problem converted into a well posed problem. Two well known regularizers are Tikhonov class and Total Variation (TV) / L2 model. TV can be isotropic and anisotropic, where isotropic for L2 norm and anisotropic for L1 norm. Based on many probabilistic model and Fourier Transforms Image deblurring can be solved. Here in this paper to improve the performance, we have used an adaptive regularization filtering and isotropic TV model Lp norm. Image deblurring is applicable in the areas such as medical image sensing, astrophotography, traffic signal monitoring, remote sensors, case investigation and even images that are taken using a digital camera / mobile cameras.