• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.53 no.9
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• pp.2888-2898
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• 2021

Vital area identification (VAI) is an essential procedure for the design of physical protection systems (PPSs) for nuclear power plants (NPPs). The purpose of PPS design is to protect vital areas. VAI has been improved continuously to overcome the shortcomings of previous VAI generations. In first-generation VAI, a sabotage fault tree was developed directly without reusing probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) results or information. In second-generation VAI, VAI model was constructed from all PSA event trees and fault trees. While in third-generation VAI, it was developed from the simplified PSA event trees and fault trees. While VAIs have been performed for NPPs in full-power operations, VAI for NPPs in low-power and shutdown (LPSD) operations has not been studied and performed, even though NPPs in LPSD operations are very vulnerable to sabotage due to the very crowded nature of NPP maintenance. This study is the first to research and apply VAI to LPSD operation of NPP. Here, the third-generation VAI method for full-power operation of NPP was adapted to the VAI of LPSD operation. In this study, LPSD VAI for a few plant operational states (POSs) was performed. Furthermore, the operation strategy of vital areas for both full-power and LPSD operations was discussed. The LPSD VAI method discussed in this paper can be easily applied to all POSs. The method and insights in this study can be important for future LPSD VAI that reflects various LPSD operational states. Regulatory bodies and electric utilities can take advantage of this LPSD VAI method.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.56 no.7
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• pp.1205-1210
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• 2007

Several mechanisms are introduced for the procurement of capacity adequacy. In the competitive electricity market, however, it is a GENCO that makes generation investment decision. A GENCO will invest a new generator when it can get more profit than cost. There requires a model to evaluate profit with respect to a new generation investment. In the view of long-term investment, evaluation of a profit of a generator in the electricity market is quite different from that of short-term operation. In this paper, a new profit-evaluation model is proposed for the long-term generation investment. It can treat the probabilistic characteristics of generators, ie, forced-outage-rates, which affect profit of generators.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.30-38
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• 1996

A two dimensional analysis program for groundwater flow in fractured network was developed to analyze the influence of discontinuity characteristics on groundwater flow. This program involves the generation of discontinuities and also connectivity analysis. The discontinuities were generated by the probabilistic density function(P.D.F.) reflecting the characteristics of discontinuities. And the fracture network model was completed through the connectivity analysis. This program also involves the analysis of groundwater flow through the discontinuity network. The result of numerical experiment shows that the equivalent hydraulic conductivity increased and became closer to isotropic as the density and trace length increased. And hydraulic head decreased along the fracture zone because of much water-flow. The grouting increased the groundwater head around cavern. An analysis of groundwater flow through discontinuity network was performed around underground oil storage cavern which is now under construction. The probabilistic density functions(P.D.F) were obtained from the investigation of the discontinuity trace map. When the anisotropic hydraulic conductivity is used, the flow rate into the cavern was below the acceptable value to maintain the hydraulic containment. But when the isotropic hydraulic conductivity is used, the flow rate was above the acceptable value.

• Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.75-83
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• 2008

Joye et al. introduced a new prime generation algorithm (JPV algorithm hereafter), by removing the trial division from the previous combined prime generation algorithm (combined algorithm hereafter) and claimed that JPV algorithm is $30{\sim}40%$ faster than the combined algorithm. However, they only compared the number of Fermat-test calls, instead of comparing the total running times of two algorithms. The reason why the total running times could not be compared is that there was no probabilistic analysis on the running time of the JPV algorithm even though there was a probabilistic analysis for the combined algorithm. In this paper, we present a probabilistic analysis on the running time of the JPV algorithm. With this analytic model, we compare the running times of the JPV algorithm and the combined algorithm. Our model predicts that JPV algorithm is slower than the combined algorithm when a 512-bit prime is generated on a Pentium 4 system. Although our prediction is contrary to the previous prediction from comparing Fermat-test calls, our prediction corresponds to the experimental results more exactly. In addition, we propose a method to improve the JPV algorithm. With this method, the JPV algorithm can be comparable to the combined algorithm with the same space requirement.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2015.07a
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• pp.347-348
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• 2015

The pumped generators have excellent load following characteristics. It can also be committed quickly for synchronous reserve when it is in the generating mode because it can readily increase its generating power and, consequently, increases the overall system reliability. The probabilistic production simulation model is used in this paper. The practicality and effectiveness of the multi-proposed approach are demonstrated by simulation studies for a real size power system model in Korea in 2015.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.66 no.12
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• pp.1712-1720
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• 2017

In South Korea, minimum reserve rate, which is to satisfy reliability standard, has been determined by simulation result using WASP. But, it is still controversial whether the level of minimum reserve rate is adequate. Thus, in this study, various analyses of minimum reserve rate are being conducted. WASP uses the probabilistic simulation technique to evaluate whether reliability standard is satisfied. In this process, forced outage rate and maintenance periods of each generator play important roles. Especially, the long-term plan can be varied depending on how maintenance periods deal with. In order to model maintenance periods in the probabilistic simulation technique, WASP uses derating method. However, broad analyses have to be conducted because there are various ways including derating method to model maintenance periods which result in different results. Therefore, in this paper, 3 different maintenance outage rate modeling methods are applied to arbitrarily modeled system based on the basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand of South Korea. Results show impact of each modeling method on minimum reserve rate.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.73-79
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• 1987

This paper describes a new algorithm to evaluate the production cost for a generation system including energy-limited hydroelectric plants. The algorithm is based upon the analytical production costing model developed under the assumption of Gaussian probabilistic distribution of random load fluctuations and plant outages. Hydro operation and pumped storage operation have been dealt with in the previous papers using the concept of peak-shaving operation. In this paper, the hydro problem is solved by using a new version of the gradient projection method that treats the upper / lower bounds of variables saparately and uses a specified initial active constraint set. Accuracy and validity of the algorithm are demonstrated by comparing the result with that of the peak-shaving model.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.81-91
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• 1978

Decision models are an attempt to reduce uncertainty in the decision making process. The models describe the relationships of variables and given proper input data generate solutions to managerial problems. These solutions may not be answers to the problems for one of two reasons. First, the data input into the model may not be consistant with the underlying assumptions of the model being used. Frequently parameters are assumed to be deterministic when in fact they are probabilistic in nature. The second failure is that often the decision maker recognizes that the data available are not appropriate for the model being used and begins to collect the required data. By the time these data has been compiled the solution is no longer an answer to the problem. This relates to the timeliness of decision making. The authors point out throught the use of an illustrative problem that stocastic models are well developed and that they do not suffer from any lack of mathematical exactiness. The primary problem is that generally accepted procedures for data generation are historical in nature and not relevant for probabilistic decision models. The authors advocate that management information system designers and accountants must become more familiar with these decision models and the input data required for their effective implementation. This will provide these professionals with the background necessary to generate data in a form that makes it relevant and timely for the decision making process.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.8-15
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• 2010

A new technique using a search method which is based on fuzzy multi-criteria function is proposed for GMS(generator maintenance scheduling) in order to consider multi-objective function. Not only minimization of probabilistic production cost but also maximization of system reliability level are considered for fuzzy multi-criteria function. To obtain an optimal solution for generator maintenance scheduling under fuzzy environment, fuzzy multi-criteria relaxation method(fuzzy search method) is used. The practicality and effectiveness of the proposed approach are demonstrated by simulation studies for a real size power system model in Korea in 2010.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.62 no.4
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• pp.457-466
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• 2013

Wind energy is rapidly becoming significant generating technologies in electricity markets. As probabilistic nature of wind energy creates many uncertainties in the short-term scheduling, additional actions for reliable market operation should be taken. This paper presents a novel approach to evaluate ramping capability requirement for changes in imbalance energy between day-ahead market and real-time market due to uncertainty of wind generation as well as system load. Dynamic ramp rate model has been applied for realistic solution in unit commitment problem, which is implemented in day-ahead market. Probabilistic optimal power flow has been used to verify ramping capability determined by the proposed method is reasonable in economic and reliable aspects. This approach was tested on six-bus system and IEEE 118-bus system with a wind farm. The results show that the proposed approach provides ramping capability information to meet both forecasted variability and desired confidence level of anticipated uncertainty.