• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic Density

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Probabilistic Structure Safety Assessment Method on the Explosion of Power Facilities (발전시설물 폭발에 대한 확률적 구조물 안전성평가 방안)

  • Kim, Jung Hoon;Kim, Young Gu;Kang, Seung Kyu
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.317-317
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    • 2014
  • The structure performance of a sealed power facilities and the explosion simulation contains significant amounts of scatter, and variability has been characterized in material properties of the structure, a sealed space density, combustible gas volume, gas concentrativeness, ignition site, and gas volume. In order to deal with such uncertainties, structural reliability analysis calculates the failure probability and the reliability index relevant to selected limit states providing quantitative measures of these uncertainties. In this study, structure safety assessment method on the explosion of a sealed power facilities was proposed by using the response surface method (RSM).

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Sensor Model Design of Range Sensor Based Probabilistic Localization for the Autonomous Mobile Robot (자율 주행 로봇의 확률론적 자기 위치 추정기법을 위해 거리 센서를 이용한 센서 모델 설계)

  • Kim, Kyung-Rock;Chung, Woo-Jin;Kim, Mun-Sang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11c
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    • pp.27-29
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a sensor model design based on Monte Carlo Localization method. First, we define the measurement error of each sample using a map matching method by 2-D laser scanners and a pre-constructed grid-map of the environment. Second, samples are assigned probabilities due to matching errors from the gaussian probability density function considered of the sample's convergence. Simulation using real environment data shows good localization results by the designed sensor model.

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Linearization of Nonlinear Random Vibration Beam by Equivalent Energy Method (비선형 불규칙 진동 보의 등가에너지법에 의한 선형화)

  • Lee, Sin-Young;Cai, G.Q.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2008
  • Nonlinear dynamic system under random excitation was analyzed by using stochastic method. A linearization method was used in order to linearize non-linear structural characteristics but the parametric excitation was used as it was given. An equivalent energy method which equalizes the expectation value of energy of the original nonlinear system and that of quasi-linearized system was proposed. Ito's differential rule was applied to obtain steady state moments. Quasi-linearization coefficients can be obtained the iterative calculation of linearization scheme and steady state moments. Monte Carlo simulation was used to verify the results of the proposed method. Nonlinear vibration of a slender beam was analyzed in this research. The analysis results were compared with Monte Carlo simulation result and showed good agreement. As the spectral density of the given excitation increased, the analysis results showed the better agreement with Monte Carlo simulation.

Reliability Evaluation of Ceramic Structures Under Thermal Shocks (열충격이 작용하는 세라믹구조의 신뢰성 평가)

  • 김종태;심확섭;장건익;이치우;이환우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.954-958
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    • 1996
  • An analysis method for the reliability of ceramic structures subjected to thermal shocks is presented, Flaws with the size of given probability distribution function are assumed to be distributed at random with a certain density per unit volume in the structures. Criterions for crack instability are derived for brittle solids under general thermal stresses. A probabilistic failure model is presented to study the probability of crack instability for blittle solids containing cracks with uncertain crack size. The reliabilities of brittle structures are evaluated based on the weakest-link hypothesis, which states that a structure fails when the cracks in any differential volume become unstable. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the application of the proposed method.

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A Study on the Reliability Analysis for a Linear Type Pneumatic Actuator with Cross Roller Guide (리니어 타입 크로스 롤러 가이드 공압 액추에이터의 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Shin Bong-Cheol;Cho Myeong-Woo;Kang Sung-Min;Lee Soo-Jin;Choi Jin-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.23 no.5 s.182
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    • pp.184-189
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    • 2006
  • This research presents the performance analysis of the linear type pneumatic actuators that are used in semi-conductor assembly line to transfer some product with high accuracy. To increase positioning and repetitive accuracies, a cross roller guide is implemented inside the pneumatic actuator. The finite element method is used to verify the force against working moments, and reliability analysis is performed to classify the breakdown cases. Also, reliability, failure rate, probability density function, and $B_{10}$ to life are estimated under the boundary of thrust or air leakage conditions. In this study, the failure probabilistic function of the pneumatic actuators is analyzed using Weibull distribution.

Probabilistic Directional Routing Protocol in Multi-Hop Maritime Communication Networks (다중-홉 선박 통신망에서 확률 기반의 지향성 라우팅 프로토콜)

  • Lee, Junman;Cho, Kumin;Yun, Changho;Kang, Chung G.
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.857-859
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    • 2015
  • In this letter, we consider a directional routing protocol that reduces the duplicated packets for AODV-based flooding in the course of establishing the end-to-end route in the multi-hop maritime ad-hoc networks. We propose an adaptive means of reducing the routing overhead subject to the node density and the target probability of successful routing that is analyzed by the stochastic geometry.

Failure Analysis of Composite Wing Under Random Gust (랜덤 돌풍을 받는 복합재 날개의 파손 해석)

  • Kim, Tae-Uk;Lee, Sang-Wook;Hwang, In-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.508-512
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    • 2004
  • An aerospace vehicle in flight can be exposed to random gust which may cause critical structural failure. In this paper, the failure analysis is conducted for composite wing subjected to random gust. For this, the profile of random gust is idealized as a stationary Gaussian random process and the power spectral density (PSD) of wing bending moment induced by gust is obtained. The PSD function is converted to probabilistic distributions and the failure probability during total flight time is calculated by Monte Carlo simulation.

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A Study on Fault Diagnostic Model for Behaviour Appearance of Components (부품의 가동형태에 따른 고장진단 모델 연구)

  • 박주식;하정호;강경식
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2002
  • This study deals with the application of knowledge-based engineering and a methodology for the assessment & measurement of reliability, availability, maintainability, and safety of industrial systems using fault-tree representation. A fuzzy methodology for fault-tree evaluation seems to be an alternative solution to overcome the drawbacks of the conventional approach. To improve the quality of results, the membership functions must be approximated based on heuristic considerations. Conventionally, it is not always easy to obtain a system reliability for components with different individual failure probability density functions(p.d.f.), We utilize fuzzy set theory to solve the adequacy of the conventional probability in accounting and processing of built-in uncertainties in the probabilistic data. The purpose of this study is to propose the framework of knowledge-based engineering through integrating the various sources of knowledge involved in a FTA.

A Study on the Aging Characteristics and Life Diagnosis of Insulating Materials for Power Cable (전력케이블용 절연재료의 열화특성 및 수명진단에 관한 연구)

  • 박홍태;김경석;남창우;이규철
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 1999
  • Aging characteristics of the crosslinked polyethylene have been measured after applying electrical, thermal and combined stresses. ICP and FT-IR measurements confirmed diffusion of low molecular weight components such as antioxidant and presence of carbonyl group. Carbonyl group of aged crosslinked polyethylene under combined stress was detected by FT-IR. As deterioration of the crosslinked polyethylene progresses, crystallinity degree and density decrease. Also, dielectric properties have been measured by tan $\delta$ and $\varepsilon$$_{r}$ measurements. The three-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be the best suited among other probabilistic distribution representing the dielectric breakdown strength of aged crosslinked polyethylene. The scale parameter and location parameter decreases as the applied stress increases. The shape parameter increases as the stress increases.s.

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Probabilistic dynamic analysis of truss structures

  • Chen, J.J.;Che, J.W.;Sun, H.A.;Ma, H.B.;Cui, M.T.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2002
  • The problem of dynamic analysis of truss structures based on probability is studied in this paper. Considering the randomness of both physical parameters (elastic module and mass density) of structural materials and geometric dimension of bars respectively or simultaneously, the stiffness and mass matrixes of the elements and structure have been built. The structure dynamic characteristic based on probability is analyzed, and the expressions of numeral characteristics of inherence frequency random variable are derived from the Rayleigh's quotient. The method of structural dynamic analysis based on probability is developed. Finally, two examples are given.