• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prior distribution

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The Effect of Media Richness, Social Presence, and Life Satisfaction on Continuance Usage Intention or Withdrawal Intention of SNS Users via Relative Deprivation (매체 풍요도, 사회적 존재감 및 생활 만족도가 상대적 박탈감을 통해 SNS 이용자의 이용 지속 의도 또는 이탈 의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Un-Kon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.165-178
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - This study aims to empirically verify the impact of media richness, social presence, and prior life satisfaction on various continual usage or withdrawal behaviors of SNS users via both a positive path of satisfaction and a negative path of relative deprivation. By identifying these causal paths, we observe dynamic interactions of SNS user psychology in a balanced view, and provide some implications about design principles for SNS providers. Research design, data, and methodology - We developed 16 hypothesis based on media richness theory, social presence theory, social comparison theory, the literature about relative deprivation, and the literature about the various reactions of IS users. The rich SNS media, social presence recognition among peer SNS users, and prior life satisfaction could generate positive experience, attitude, and virtuous behavioral intentions among SNS users. At the same time, rich media, low social presence, and low prior life satisfaction could generate relative deprivation and could increase withdrawal behavioral intentions such as refusal to provide information, misrepresentation of information, and removal of uploaded information in SNS. Scenario surveys were conducted to collect data from potential SNS users. Data from 357 surveys were collected and analyzed through a PLS algorithm to test the hypotheses. Results - Media richness, social presence, and prior life satisfaction could significantly increase perceived enjoyment, satisfaction, and behavioral intention of continual usage and knowledge sharing. They also could significantly decrease refusal and misrepresentation intention. Relative deprivation is significantly decreased only by prior life satisfaction. Relative deprivation could not significantly decrease satisfaction, but it could significantly increase misrepresentation and removal intention, which could be regarded as information distortion intention. Conclusions - SNS providers should focus on developing rich media and social presence support because these two variables could impact the positive experiences of SNS users. Moreover, the positive experiences could heavily influence SNS user behavior. Some management is needed to prevent relative deprivation and its consequences of misrepresentation and removal intention. SNS providers should prevent SNS users from excessive image misrepresentation and removal as this information distortion could be the source of relative deprivation.

Reference priors for nonregular Pareto distribution

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.819-826
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the reference priors for the scale and shape parameters in the nonregular Pareto distribution. We derive the reference priors as noninformative priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general priors including reference priors in the order of inferential importance. Through the simulation study, we compare the reference priors with respect to coverage probabilities of parameter of interest in a frequentist sense.

A study of Bayesian inference on auto insurance credibility application (자동차보험 신뢰도 적용에 대한 베이지안 추론 방식 연구)

  • Kim, Myung Joon;Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.689-699
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    • 2013
  • This paper studies the partial credibility application method by assuming the empirical prior or noninformative prior informations in auto insurnace business where intensive rating segmentation is expanded because of premium competition. Expanding of rating factor segmetation brings the increase of pricing cells, as a result, the number of cells for partial credibility application will increase correspondingly. This study is trying to suggest more accurate estimation method by considering the Bayesian framework. By using empirically well-known or noninformative information, inducing the proper posterior distribution and applying the Bayes estimate which is minimizing the error loss into the credibility method, we will show the advantage of Bayesian inference by comparison with current approaches. The comparison is implemented with square root rule which is a widely accepted method in insurance business. The convergence level towarding to the true risk will be compared among various approaches. This study introduces the alternative way of redcuing the error to the auto insurance business fields in need of various methods because of more segmentations.

Distribution of Consumer Support for Underdog Brands: A Systematic Review of the Underdog Effect

  • HAN, Bangwool
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The underdog effect refers to a positive attitude towards the underdog who lacks resources and opportunities but has passion and determination. Extensive research has been investigated how the underdog effect affects distributing consumer preference and purchase intention. The purpose of this study is to identify the theoretical basis on which the underdog effect is grounded by analysing the prior research in the underdog literature. Research design, data and methodology: This study organizes the literature on the underdog effect by analyzing a total of 33 journals published in the past 16 years. Constructs and variables were extracted from the selected articles through the content analysis on a systematic literature review. Results: This literature review reveals that identity theories served as an overarching theoretical lens when examining the underdog effect. Additionally, the underdog effect was rooted in theories of justice and equity to explain the relationship between underdog brand positioning and consumer preference. Conclusions: This paper paves the way for future research based on prior research and trend analysis of underdog brand positioning. This article also provides an insightful interpretation and synthesis of the theoretical underpinnings of the impact of underdog effects on consumers' overall brand evaluations.

Noise Removal using a Convergence of the posteriori probability of the Bayesian techniques vocabulary recognition model to solve the problems of the prior probability based on HMM (HMM을 기반으로 한 사전 확률의 문제점을 해결하기 위해 베이시안 기법 어휘 인식 모델에의 사후 확률을 융합한 잡음 제거)

  • Oh, Sang-Yeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2015
  • In vocabulary recognition using an HMM model which models the prior distribution for the observation of a discrete probability distribution indicates the advantages of low computational complexity, but relatively low recognition rate. The Bayesian techniques to improve vocabulary recognition model, it is proposed using a convergence of two methods to improve recognition noise-canceling recognition. In this paper, using a convergence of the prior probability method and techniques of Bayesian posterior probability based on HMM remove noise and improves the recognition rate. The result of applying the proposed method, the recognition rate of 97.9% in vocabulary recognition, respectively.

Feasibility Test for Hydraulic Conductivity Characterization of Small Basin-Scale Aquifers Based on Geostatistical Evolution Strategy Using Naturally Imposed Hydraulic Stress (자연 수리자극을 이용한 소유역 규모 대수층 수리전도도 특성화: 지구통계 진화전략 역산해석 기법의 적용 가능성 시험)

  • Park, Eungyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the applicability of the geostatistical evolution strategy as an inverse analysis method of estimating hydraulic properties of small-scale basin was tested. The geostatistical evolution strategy is a type of data assimilation method that can effectively estimate aquifer hydraulic conductivity by combining a global optimization model of the evolution strategy and a local optimization model of the ensemble Kalman filtering. In the applicability test, the geometry, hydraulic boundary conditions, and the distribution of groundwater monitoring wells of Hanlim-Eup were employed. On the other hand, a synthetic hydraulic conductivity distribution was generated and used as the reference property for ease of estimation quality assessment. In the estimations, two different cases were tested where, in Case I, both groundwater levels and hydraulic conductivity measurements were assumed to be available, and only the groundwater levels were available, in Case II. In both cases, the reference and estimated hydraulic conductivity fields were found to show reasonable similarity, even though the prior information for estimation was not accurate. The ability to estimate hydraulic conductivity without accurate prior information suggests that this method can be used effectively to estimate mathematical properties in real-world cases, many of which little prior information is available for the aquifer conditions.

Application of Conjugate Distribution using Deductive and Inductive Reasoning in Quality and Reliability Tools (품질 및 신뢰성 기법에서 연역 및 귀납 추론에 의한 Conjugate 분포의 적용)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2010
  • The paper proposes the guidelines of application and interpretation for quality and reliability methodologies using deductive or inductive reasoning. The research also reviews Bayesian quality and reliability tools by deductive prior function and inductive posterior function.

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Bayesian Prediction Inferences for the Burr Model Under the Random Censoring (랜덤중단(中斷)된 Burr모형(模型)에서 베이지안 예측추론(豫測推論))

  • Sohn, Joong-K.;Ko, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.4
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 1993
  • Using a noninformative prior and a gamma prior, the Bayesian predictive density and the prediction intervals for a future observation or the p-th order statistic of n' future observations from the Burr distribution have been obtained. In additions, we examine the sensitivities of the results to the choice of model.

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Bayesian Test for Equality of Coefficients of Variation in the Normal Distributions

  • Lee, Hee-Choon;Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2003
  • When X and Y have independent normal distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedure for the equality of two coefficients of variation. Under the reference prior of the coefficient of variation, we propose a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of two coefficients of variation using fractional Bayes factor. A real data example is provided.

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Comparison of Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood and Bayes Estimators of the Survival Function Based on Current Status Data

  • Kim, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Yong-Dai;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we develop a nonparametric Bayesian methodology of estimating an unknown distribution function F at the given survival time with current status data under the assumption of Dirichlet process prior on F. We compare our algorithm with the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator through application to simulated data and real data.