• 제목/요약/키워드: Price risk

검색결과 538건 처리시간 0.026초

한국주식시장에 파급되는 국제유가의 위험에 관한 연구 (A Study on Oil Price Risk Affecting the Korean Stock Market)

  • 서지용
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.75-106
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 유가요인이 업종별 주식수익률 결정요인으로 작용하는 지 여부와 유가요인과의 공분산 리스크가 업종별로 차이가 나는 원인에 관해서 분석하였다. 첫째, 업종별로 주식의 기대수익률이 유가요인에 대한 리스크프리미엄의 함수로 결정되는 지 여부를 분석하기 위한 검증모형으로 시장 포트폴리오, 국제유가요인으로 구성된 Two-factor APT를 사용하였다. 또한, 베타리스크에 영향을 주는 유가변동률 분산의 주식 수익률로의 전이현상도 함께 살펴보았다. 유가변동성의 비대칭성을 감안하여 GJR을 해당분석의 검증모형으로 사용하였다. 분석결과 전기 전자업종에서 유가요인은 독립적인 가격결정요인임이 입증되었고, 동업종에서만 유가변동성의 주식수익률로의 전이효과가 통계적으로 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 유가요인과의 공분산 리스크가 업종별로 차이가 나는 원인을 분석하기 위해 두가지 분석과정이 고려되었다. 첫 번째로 규모 및 유동성을 나타내는 대리변수를 통제변수로 고려하여 업종별로 유가요인에 대한 베타리스크 존재여부를 확인하였다. 두 번째로 유동성 및 규모의 차이와 유가요인에 대한 베타와의 관계를 체계적으로 규명하고자 시계열로 구성된 횡단면 자료간의 관련성을 효율적으로 분석할 수 있는 Panel-data model을 이용하였다. 분석결과 시가총액 비중이 큰 전기 전자업종에서만 유가요인이 독립적 가격결정요인임이 확인되었고, 여타 업종에서 유가요인에 대한 베타리스크는 규모에 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 패널분석결과 전체 포트폴리오에서 차지하는 업종별 시가총액의 비중이 클수록 유가요인에 대한 베타는 증가하는 것으로 나타나 첫 번째 분석과정의 결과를 지지하였다. 결론적으로 국내주식시장에서 전기 전자업의 기대수익률은 시장포트폴리오와 국제유가요인에 대한 리스크프리미엄의 함수로 결정되고 있으며, 유가요인에 대한 베타리스크 수준이 업종별로 차이가 나는 원인은 규모의 차이에 기인하는 것으로 분석된다.

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의복관여가 인터넷 위험지각과 점포선택기준에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Clothing Involvement on the Perceived Risk in Internet Shopping and Store Selection Criteria)

  • 황진숙
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제40권12호
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    • pp.49-61
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of clothing involvement on the perceived risk in internet shopping and store selection criteria. The subjects used for the study were 210 male and 338 female college students. The clothing involvement consisted of pleasure, symbolism, and selection difficulty factors. The perceived risk consisted of size/defect risk, social psychological risk, privacy risk, delivery risk, and price risk. The store selection criteria had security/service, entertainment/variety, price/convenience factors. The results showed that consumers were segmented by four groups based on clothing involvement factors: clothing pleasure group, symbolism group, confidence group, and low clothing involvement group. The four segmented groups differed in regard to the perceived risk, store selection criteria, and demographics. For example, clothing pleasure group perceived the size/defect risk and social psychological risk higher than did the other groups. Also, the clothing pleasure group considered entertainment/variety more important and had younger female consumers.

The Risk-Return Relationship in Crude Oil Markets during COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Time-Varying Coefficient GARCH-in-Mean Model

  • HONGSAKULVASU, Napon;LIAMMUKDA, Asama
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권10호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we propose the new time-varying coefficient GARCH-in-Mean model. The benefit of our model is to allow the risk-return parameter in the mean equation to vary over time. At the end of 2019 to the beginning of 2020, the world witnessed two shocking events: COVID-19 pandemic and 2020 oil price war. So, we decide to use the daily data from December 2, 2019 to May 29, 2020, which cover these two major events. The purpose of this study is to find the dynamic movement between risk and return in four major oil markets: Brent, West Texas Intermediate, Dubai, and Singapore Exchange, during COVID-19 pandemic and 2020 oil price war. For the European oil market, our model found a significant and positive risk-return relationship in Brent during March 26-April 21, 2020. For the North America oil market, our model found a significant positive risk return relationship in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) during March 12-May 8, 2020. For the Middle East oil market, we found a significant and positive risk-return relationship in Dubai during March 12-April 14, 2020. Lastly, for the South East Asia oil market, we found a significant positive risk return relationship in Singapore Exchange (SGX) from March 9-May 29, 2020.

인터넷 쇼핑몰에서의 신뢰 형성 요인에 관한 연구: 인지된 위험 및 가격의 조절효과를 중심으로 (Investigating the Determinants of Trust in the Internet Shopping Mall Environments: Focusing on the Moderation Effects of Perceived Risk and Perceived Price)

  • 이규하;곽기영
    • 경영정보학연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2015
  • 인터넷 쇼핑몰은 지난 10년간 급격하게 성장해 왔다. 이러한 성장의 주요한 원인으로 저렴한 가격과 편리성을 들 수 있다. 그러나 인터넷쇼핑에서는 소비자가 구매하려고 하는 물품을 직접 보고 만질 수 없기 때문에 오프라인 쇼핑몰에 비교해서 불확실성이 높다. 많은 선행 연구에서 이러한 불확실성을 해결하기 위해서 신뢰를 제안하였다. 본 연구의 목적은 구전과 제3자 보증이 신뢰에 어떻게 영향을 미치는지 조사하는 것이다. 그리고 조절변수로서 인지된 위험과 인지된 가격 요인이 신뢰형성에 어떻게 영향을 미칠 것인지 확인하는 것이다. 연구결과, 인터넷 쇼핑몰에서 구전과 제3자 보증은 신뢰에 영향을 주는 중요한 요인임이 검증되었다. 그리고 인지된 위험(높은 위험 인지 그룹, 낮은 위험 인지 그룹)과 인지된 가격(높은 가격 인지 그룹, 낮은 가격 인지 그룹)은 신뢰형성에 각각 다르게 영향을 주는 것으로 검증되었다. 본 연구결과는 연구자와 실무자에게 중요한 시사점을 제공할 것이라 기대된다.

The working experience of internal control personnel and crash risk

  • RYU, Hae-Young;CHAE, Soo-Joon
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제10권12호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2019
  • Purpose : This study examines The impact of human resource investment in internal control on stock price crash risk. Effective internal control ensures that information provided is complete and accurate, financial statements are reliable. By overseeing management, internal control systems can reduce agency costs between management and outside parties. In Korea, firms have to disclose information about internal control systems. The working experience of human resources in internal control systems is also provided for interested parties. If a firm hires more experienced internal control personnel, it can better facilitate the disclosure of information. Prior studies reported that information asymmetry between managers and investors increases future stock price crash risk. Therefore, the longer working experience internal control personnel have, the lower probability stock crashes have. Research design, data and methodology : This study analyzed the association between the working experience of internal control personnel and crash risk using regression analysis on KOSPI listed companies for fiscal years 2016 through 2017. The sample consists of 1,034 firm-years of non-financial firms whose fiscal year end on December 31. Career spanning data of internal control personnel was collected from internal control reports. The professionalism(IC_EXP) was measured as the logarithm of the average working experience of internal control personnel in months. Negative conditional skewness(NSKEW) and down-to-up volatility (DUVOL) are used to measure firm-specific crash risk. Both measures are based on firm-specific weekly returns derived from the expanded market model. Results : We find that work experience in internal control environment is negatively related to stock price crashes. Specifically, skewness(NSKEW) and volatility (DUVOL) are reduced when firms have longer tenure of human resources in internal control division. The results imply that firms with experienced internal control personnel are less likely to experience stock price crashes. Conclusions : Stock price crashes occur when investors realize that stock prices have been inflated due to information asymmetry. There is a learning effect when internal control processes are done repetitively. Thus, firms with more experienced internal control personnel could manage their internal control more effectively. The results of this study suggest that firms could decrease information asymmetry by investing in human resources for their internal control system.

한국 포털 사이트 검색강도가 주가 동조성 및 위험에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Portal Search Intensity on Stock Price Synchronicity and Risk: Evidence from Korea)

  • 김민수;허몽하;권혁준
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 2020
  • 최근의 연구들에서는 투자자들의 관심이나 감정이 주식 거래행태와 주가 변동에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석들이 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 투자자들의 관심과 감정을 측정하기 위해 한국의 네이버 검색지수를 이용하여, 포털 검색량과 검색의 변동성이 주가동조성 및 총위험, 체계적 위험에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 먼저 평균적인 검색량이 증가할수록 주가동조성은 증가하는 반면, 검색의 변동성은 주가동조성을 감소시키는 것을 관찰하였다. 다음으로 평균 검색량과 검색의 변동성은 모두 주식의 총위험과 체계적 위험을 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 주가를 변동시키는 사건이 발생할 경우에만 개인투자자들의 검색이 증가하기 때문인 것으로 해석된다. 이러한 결과는 포트폴리오 분석, 고정효과 회귀분석 및 동적 패널 모형에서 일관되게 관찰된다.

소비자의 인터넷 쇼핑몰 이용가치와 불안요소 인지 - D백화점 쇼핑몰 고객을 중심으로 - (Consumer′s Perception and Buying Behavior through the Shopping Mall -Focused on the Customers of D Cyber Mall-)

  • 홍성희;배미경;서동주
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제40권6호
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2002
  • This study examined the effects of demographic variables on buying behavior, and investigated buyers'perceived value and risk perception of the internet shopping mall. The sample was collected by a department store in Daegu, and it included 1,732 individuals using the Cyber Mall. Research methods used in this study were simple statistics, t-test and ANOVA. The buyers perceived values through the internet shopping mall were classified into five categories-price, time, convenience, intrinsic attributes, reliability and the risk perception also was classified such as the overall purchasing process, quality of products, exposure of the personal information, delivery system, refund and exchange. The major findings of this study were 1) most important categories affecting their buying behavior were the value of convenience and following values in order were time, price, reliability, intrinsic attributes. 2) the risk perception were overall purchasing behavior, quality of products, exposure of personal information, delivery, and refund & exchange in order. 3) age of buyers, buying experience on the internet shopping mall, and gender were the important factors affecting the buyers'perceived value and risk. 4) the study also, showed that according to the variety of products, buyers perceived the value and risk differently, for example, the price was the most important perceived value in case of food product. The implication of the study is to strategically suggest how to enhance the buyers'perceived value and diminish perceived risk of different products.

소비자 효용을 고려한 실시간 요금제의 Load Serving Entity 수익 설계 방안 (Evaluation of a Load Serving Entity Revenue in the Real Time Pricing Considering Customer's Utility)

  • 노준우;김문겸;김도한;유태현;박종근
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.266-272
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    • 2011
  • Real Time Pricing(RTP) is used not only to stabilize the price volatility in electricity market, but to hedge the price risk for Load Serving Entity(LSE). This paper presents an efficient method to reduce the risk of the price volatility in real-time electricity market. For designing the RTP, load patterns of customer are calculated by applying the demand elasticity and customer's utility is also analyzed to compute the RTP revenue through the risk-attribute of the LSE. In the end, the distribution of the LSE's profits can be evaluated to lead the optimal RTP value, depending on the level of customer's participation. Results from the case study based on PJM data are reported to illustrate the proposed method.

감사품질이 주가급락 위험에 미치는 영향: 유통, 서비스 기업을 중심으로 (The Effect of Audit Quality on Crash Risk: Focusing on Distribution & Service Companies)

  • 채수준;황희중
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제15권8호
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - According to agency theory, managers have incentives to adjust firm revenues to meet earnings expectations or delay bad news disclosure because of performance-based compensation and their reputation in the market. When the bad news accumulates, stock prices fail to reflect all available information. Thus, market prices of stocks are higher than their intrinsic value. After all, bad news crosses the tipping point, it comes out all at once. That results in stock crashes. Auditors can decrease stock crash risk by reducing agency costs through their informational role. Especially, stock price crash risk is expected to be lower for firms adopting high-quality audits. We focus on distribution and service industry to examine the relation between audit quality and stock price crash risk. Industry specialization and auditor size are used as proxies for auditor quality. Research design, data and methodology - Our sample contains distribution and service industry firms listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ during a period of 2004-2011. We use a logistic regression to test whether auditor quality influences crash risk. Auditor quality was measured by industry specialist auditor and Big4 / non-Big4 dichotomy. Following the approach in prior researches, we use firm-specific weekly returns to measure crash risk. Firms experiencing at least one stock price crash in a specific week during year are classified as the high risk group. Results - The result of analyzing 429 companies in distribution and service industry is summarized as follows: Above all, it is shown that higher audit quality has a significant negative(-) effect on the crash risk. Crash risk is alleviated for firms audited by industry specialist auditors and Big 4 audit firms. Therefore, our results show that hypotheses are supported. Conclusions - This study is very meaningful as the first study which investigated the effects of high audit quality on stock price crash risk. We provide evidence that high-quality auditors reduce stock price crash risk. Our finding implies that the risk of extreme losses can be reduced through screening of high-quality auditors. Therefore investors and regulators may utilize our findings in their investment and rule making decisions.

2007 Price Risk Management & World Maize Outlook 세미나

  • 홍성수
    • 사료
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    • 통권27호
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    • pp.81-85
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    • 2007
  • 지난 5월 17,18일 양 일간에 걸쳐 한국사료협회(KFA)와 미국곡물협회(USGC)는 국내곡물 구매자들을 대상으로 급변하는 국제곡물시장에 능동적으로 대처하고자 미국CBOT, USGC, Cargil티 Consultant의 발표와 Simulation을 병행하는 "2007 Price Risk Management & World Maize Outlook 세 미나"를 개최하였다. 이 에 본지에서는 세미나 내용을 요약.게재 한다.

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