• 제목/요약/키워드: Price asymmetry

검색결과 95건 처리시간 0.023초

국제 유가 변동성이 국내 휘발유 가격 비대칭성에 미치는 영향 (An Effect of Volatility of Crude Oil Price on Asymmetry of Domestic Gasoline Price Adjustment)

  • 김남제;김형건
    • 아태비즈니스연구
    • /
    • 제14권1호
    • /
    • pp.351-364
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study examines the effects of Dubai oil price and the volatility on the asymmetry of domestic gasoline price adjustment. Additionally, the study investigates the effects of "Altteul" gas-station and tax-cut policies on asymmetry. Design/methodology/approach - Firstly, the study calculates proxies for asymmetry and volatility of each window(every 3-month) by error-correction model and GARCH(1, 1) using daily domestic gas price and Dubai oil price from 2008/04/15 to 2022/12/31. Secondly, the study investigates the effects of the increasing rate of Dubai oil price, volatility, "Altteul" gas-station and tax-cut policies on asymmetry. The autoregressive distributed lag regression model is employed for estimations. Findings - The study finds that changes in the increasing rate of Dubai oil price and both types of volatility of Dubai oil price increase asymmetry. While "Altteul" gas-station and tax-cut policies decrease asymmetry. Additionally, the study fails to find that asymmetry in the Korean gasoline market in the estimation with total observations. Research implications or Originality - An increase in Dubai oil price volatility means an increase in cost uncertainty for gas-station owners. Since cost uncertainty is a kind of financial risk, the increase in volatility reinforces the asymmetry. The study provides supporting evidence for the idea.

신선 물오징어 소매가격 변동성의 구조변화와 비대칭성 검증 (Tests for Asymmetry and Structure Changes in Retail Price Volatility of Fresh Common Squid in the Republic of Korea)

  • 남종오;심성현
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • 제37권4호
    • /
    • pp.357-368
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study analyzed structural changes and asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after a point of structural change in price volatility, using the Korean fresh common squid daily retail price data from January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2015. This study utilized the following analytical methods: the unit-root test was applied to ensure the stability of the data, the Quandt-Andrews breakpoint test was applied to find the point of structural change, and the Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle GARCH and EGARCH models were applied to investigate the asymmetry of price volatility. The empirical results of this study are as follows. First, ADF, PP, KPSS and Zivot-Andrews tests showed that the daily retail price change rate of the Korean fresh common squid differentiated by logarithm was stable. Secondly, the ARIMA (2,1,2) model was selected by information criteria such as AIC, SC, and HQ. Thirdly, the Quandt-Andrews breakpoint test found that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on June 11, 2009. Fourthly, the Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle GARCH and EGARCH models showed that estimates of coefficients within the models were statistically significant before and after structural change and also that asymmetry as a leverage effect existed before and after structural change.

신선 물오징어의 도·소매시장 간 가격 변동성의 전이 및 비대칭성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Asymmetry Effect and Price Volatility Spillover between Wholesale and Retail Markets of Fresh squid)

  • 김철현;남종오
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제49권2호
    • /
    • pp.21-35
    • /
    • 2018
  • Squid is a popular seafood in Korea. However, since the 2000s, the squid production has been declining. The unstable supply of the squid products may cause price fluctuations of fresh and chilled squid. These price fluctuations may be relatively more severe than them of other commodities, because the fresh and chilled squid can not be stored for a long period of time. Thus, this study analyzes the structural characteristics of price volatility and price asymmetry of fresh squid based on off-diagonal GARCH model. Data used to analysis of this study are daily wholesale and retail prices of fresh squid from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2016 provided in the KAMIS. As theoretical approaches of this study, first of all, the stability of the time series is confirmed by the unit root test. Secondly, the causality between distribution channels is checked by the Granger causality test. Thirdly, the VAR model and the off-diagonal GARCH model are adopted to estimate asymmetry effect and price volatility spillover between distribution channels. Finally, the stability of the model is confirmed by multivariate Q-statistic and ARCH-LM test. In conclusion, fresh squid is found to have shock and volatility spillover between wholesale and retail prices as well as its own price. Also, volatility asymmetry effect is shown in own wholesale or retail price of fresh squid. Finally, this study shows that the decrease in the fresh squid retail price of t-1 period than the increase in the t-1 period has a greater impact on the volatility of the fresh squid wholesale price in t period.

수산물 시장의 유통단계별 가격전달의 비대칭성에 관한 실증 분석 (An Empirical Study on Asymmetric Price Transmissions in the Distribution Channels of Fisheries Market)

  • 이정미;김기수
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제41권3호
    • /
    • pp.59-78
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper tries to apply the asymmetrical price transmission(APT) behavior observed in the agricultural industry to supply chains of the domestic fishery industry by a statistical manner. The fore mentioned asymmetrical price transmission refers to when price movements in the later stage of the supply chain do not move in a normal or symmetrical manner corresponding to price movements in the earlier stage of the supply chain. Therefore, when the earlier stage price increase and the later stage price increases to a larger degree, it is called positive(+) asymmetry and the opposite behavior is called negative(-) asymmetry. The study examines the data from domestic producers of three fresh fish types, hairtail, mackerel, and cuttlefish, and tries to examine the price asymmetry between the producer or farm, wholesaler, and retail prices via an APT test utilizing unit root, cointegration, and error correction model. The study found, hairtail wholesale and retail pricing bas a negative asymmetric relationship while mackerel has a negative asymmetric pricing relationship at the producer and retail levels of the supply chain. In the case of cuttlefish, all levels of the supply chain showed negative asymmetrical behavior in the supply chain price transmission, meaning the earlier stage price changes are more rapidly and greatly inputted in the later stage of the supply chain pricing. We believe that the reason why the analysis results show negative price asymmetry is due to the uniqueness of fishery products having an important variable such as freshness. If price increases are greater and quicker than price decreases, then consumer demand, which is sensitive to price increases will decrease and subsequently result in the increase of inventory levels, reducing profits for retailers. Also, frozen hairtail, mackerel, and cuttlefish will act as substitute goods to fresh fishery products. Therefore, fresh fishery products have a high demand of price elasticity. When prices increase, demand quickly decreases. Therefore the profit of wholesalers and retailers to decrease, I think this is the main reason of APT in the supply chain of Korea' s fisheries industry.

호텔과 대체숙박업소 간 비대칭적 가격 경쟁 : 공간계량경제모형의 응용 (Asymmetry of Price Competition between Hotel and Alternative Accommodation Submarkets)

  • 노수향;심영석;이희찬;이슬기
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
    • /
    • 제26권3호
    • /
    • pp.229-246
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to examine the potential asymmetry in price competition between the geographically defined submarkets of the lodging industry, namely the traditional and alternative accommodation facilities. Design/methodology/approach The study utilizes a spatial econometric model to empirically test for the hypothesized asymmetry in price competition. Property-level panel data on hotels and alternative accommodation facilities collected from a major online travel agency (OTA: Agoda.com) was used for this purpose. Findings Result of the analysis shows significant intra-segment spatial price competition among the properties, that is, within hotels and within alternative accommodation submarkets, respectively. However, the inter-segment competition was found to be asymmetric as hypothesized. Room rates of hotels are influenced by prices of geographically close alternative accommodations, but the reverse does not hold. Implications for practitioners and suggestions for future research are discussed along with the findings of the study.

The Effect of Managerial Ownership on Stock Price Crash Risk in Distribution and Service Industries

  • RYU, Haeyoung;CHAE, Soo-Joon
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.27-35
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study is to investigate the effect of managerial ownership level in distribution and service companies on the stock price crash. The managerial ownership level affects the firm's information disclosure policy. If managers conceal or withholds business-related unfavorable factors over a long period, the firm's stock price is likely to plummet. In a similar vein, management's equity affects information opacity, and information asymmetry affects stock price collapse. Research design, data, and methodology: A regression analysis is conducted using the data on companies listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) between 2012-2017 to examine the effect of the managerial ownership level on stock price crash risks. Results: Logistic and regression results indicate that the stock price crash risk was reduced as managerial ownership levels are increased. The managerial ownership level has a significant negative coefficient on stock price crash risk, negative conditional return skewness of firm-specific weekly return distribution, and asymmetric volatility between positive and negative price-to-earnings ratios. Conclusions: As the ownership and management align, the likeliness of withholding business-related information is reduced. This study's results imply that the stock price crash risk reduces as the managerial ownership level increases because shareholder and manager interests coincide, thereby reducing information asymmetry.

양식 넙치가격 변동성의 구조변화와 비대칭성 검증 (Tests for the Structure Change and Asymmetry of Price Volatility in Farming Olive Flounder)

  • 강석규
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제45권2호
    • /
    • pp.29-38
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study is to analyse the timing of the structural change of price volatility and the asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after the timing of the structural change of price volatility using Jeju Farming Olive Flounder's production area market price data from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2013. The analysis methods of Quandt-Andrews break point test and Threshold GARCH model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the result of Quandt-Andrews break point test shows that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on May 4, 2010 over the sample period. Second, during the period before structural change, daily price change rate has averagely positive value which means price increase, but during the period after structural change daily price change rate has averagely negative value which means price decrease. Also, daily volatility of price change rate during the period before structural change is higher than during the period after structural change. This indicates that price volatility decreases after structural change. Third, the estimation results of Threshold GARCH Model show that the volatility response against price increase is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. Also the result shows the volatility response against price decrease is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. And, irrespective of the timing of structural change, price increase has an larger effect on volatility than price decrease. This means volatility is asymmetric at price increase.

국내 수송용 석유제품 시장의 시장구조와 가격행태 (Market Structure and Pricing Behavior in the Korean Transportation Fuel Market)

  • 문춘걸
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
    • /
    • 제24권2호
    • /
    • pp.311-342
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 경제이론과 실증분석을 통하여 이명박 정부가 석유제품 시장에 개입한 논거를 평가하였다. 한국을 포함하여 세계적으로 정제산업은 과점이 보편적이며, 역차별적인 수준의 대외 시장개방에도 불구하고 석유제품 시장에서 국내 정유4사의 시장점유율이 높게 지속되는 이유는 정유4사가 국제적인 가격경쟁력을 보유하고 있고 MOPS 가격을 기준으로 경쟁적인 가격책정을 하고 있기 때문이다. 국내 세전 소비자가격은 일본의 가격과 '27개 EU권 국가의 가격들을 가중평균한 값'보다 통계적으로 유의하게 현저히 낮았다. 한국, 일본, 14개 EU권 국가들을 대상으로 가격 비대칭성의 존재여부와 상세내역을 분석한 결과, 휘발유의 경우 한국과 11개 EU권 국가, 경유의 경우 한국과 8개 EU권 국가에서 비대칭성이 있는 것으로 판별되었다. 가격 비대칭성은 다양한 경제 경영적 원인에 의해 다양한 제품과 시장구조에서 발생한다. 소비자 복지의 관점에서는 한국의 세전 소비자가격이 현저히 낮다는 점이 제일 중요하다.

원자재가격과 건화물선 운임지수의 비대칭구조 분석 (Empirical Investigation to The Asymmetric Structure between Raw Material Price and Baltic Dry-bulk Index)

  • 김현석
    • 한국항만경제학회지
    • /
    • 제34권4호
    • /
    • pp.181-190
    • /
    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 2012년 1월부터 2018년 5월까지의 주별 건화물선 운임과 원자재 가격 자료를 사용하여 두 변수간의 비대칭적인 관계를 다음의 두 가지를 중심으로 실증 분석한다. 첫째, 원자재가격의 거시경제지표에 대한 비대칭성을 2단계 경계(threshold) 공적분 검정모형으로 추정한다. 둘째, 기존의 원자재가격 변화의 무역수지에 대한 비대칭관계 검정을 보다 고빈도 건화물선 운임지수로 우회해서 검정한다. 추정결과 기존의 선형 분석과 대조적으로 하한과 상한에 대한 각각의 경계값이 상이한 비대칭성을 갖는 것으로 드러났다. 이는 불규칙적인 수익률 변동을 유발하는 급격한 잔차의 변동 구간이 원자재 가격과 건화물선 운임간의 선형의 장기균형관계가 성립하지 않도록 함을 의미한다. 따라서 이상의 추정결과는 급격한 가격 변화를 분석에 고려하기 위해서는 불규칙(irregular)적인 변동성을 제어하는 무반응(band of inaction)구간을 모형에 포함하는 것이 필요함을 의미하며 기존의 원자재가격의 무역수지에 대한 비대칭성과 일치하는 실증분석 결과다.

Understanding Information Asymmetry among Investors in Online Trading Environment

  • Lee, Posang
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제21권1호
    • /
    • pp.139-146
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, we analyze the information asymmetry among investors in online trading environment using rumors which are collected in the Korean stock market for the eleven-year period between January 2004 and December 2014. We find that cumulative abnormal return of sample firms is negative and statistically significant, indicating that a significant fall of the stock price starts before the online disclosure, suggesting that the rumors were reflected in the stock price to a significant extent. Furthermore, individual investors show net purchases on firms prior to disclosure while institutional investors show net sales, showing that individual investors trade unfavorably vis-$\grave{a}$-vis institutional investors. This phenomenon is more evident for the KOSDAQ. This result confirms that the information asymmetry exists between individual and institutional investors in online trading environment.