• 제목/요약/키워드: Predictive Power

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The Relationship Among Domain-General Creativity, Linguistic Intelligence, Korean Language Grade and Linguistic Creativity of Elementary School Student (초등학생의 일반창의성, 언어지능, 국어성적과 언어창의성 간의 관계연구)

  • Park, Jung-Hwan;Hong, Mi-Sun;Lew, Kyoung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.3760-3767
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship among domain-general creativity, linguistic intelligence, Korean language grade and linguistic creativity of elementary school student. And to confirm the relative predictive power of domain-general creativity variables in predicting elementary school students' linguistic creativity. The instruments used in this study were 'TTCT', 'Essay writing' and 'Linguistic intelligence ' and school grade of Korean language. Self-reported response data on these instruments from 338, 4th grade elementary school students in Seoul were analyzed. The data were analyzed with descriptive statistics, Pearson correlations, multiple stepwise regression analysis and ANOVA by using SPSS 18.0. The major results of this study were as follows; First, the correlations among domain-general creativity, Korean language grade and linguistic creativity were significant. Second, Abstractness of title were the best predictor of linguistic creativity in elementary school students.

Evaluating Distress Prediction Models for Food Service Franchise Industry (외식프랜차이즈기업 부실예측모형 예측력 평가)

  • KIM, Si-Joong
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was evaluated to compare the predictive power of distress prediction models by using discriminant analysis method and logit analysis method for food service franchise industry in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: Forty-six food service franchise industry with high sales volume in the 2017 were selected as the sample food service franchise industry for analysis. The fourteen financial ratios for analysis were calculated from the data in the 2017 statement of financial position and income statement of forty-six food service franchise industry in Korea. The fourteen financial ratios were used as sample data and analyzed by t-test. As a result seven statistically significant independent variables were chosen. The analysis method of the distress prediction model was performed by logit analysis and multiple discriminant analysis. Results: The difference between the average value of fourteen financial ratios of forty-six food service franchise industry was tested through t-test in order to extract variables that are classified as top-leveled and failure food service franchise industry among the financial ratios. As a result of the univariate test appears that the variables which differentiate the top-leveled food service franchise industry to failure food service industry are income to stockholders' equity, operating income to sales, current ratio, net income to assets, cash flows from operating activities, growth rate of operating income, and total assets turnover. The statistical significances of the seven financial ratio independent variables were also confirmed by logit analysis and discriminant analysis. Conclusions: The analysis results of the prediction accuracy of each distress prediction model in this study showed that the forecast accuracy of the prediction model by the discriminant analysis method was 84.8% and 89.1% by the logit analysis method, indicating that the logit analysis method has higher distress predictability than the discriminant analysis method. Comparing the previous distress prediction capability, which ranges from 75% to 85% by discriminant analysis and logit analysis, this study's prediction capacity, which is 84.8% in the discriminant analysis, and 89.1% in logit analysis, is found to belong to the range of previous study's prediction capacity range and is considered high number.

A Dynamic Piecewise Prediction Model of Solar Insolation for Efficient Photovoltaic Systems (효율적인 태양광 발전량 예측을 위한 Dynamic Piecewise 일사량 예측 모델)

  • Yang, Dong Hun;Yeo, Na Young;Mah, Pyeongsoo
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.632-640
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    • 2017
  • Although solar insolation is the weather factor with the greatest influence on power generation in photovoltaic systems, the Meterological Agency does not provide solar insolation data for future dates. Therefore, it is essential to research prediction methods for solar insolation to efficiently manage photovoltaic systems. In this study, we propose a Dynamic Piecewise Prediction Model that can be used to predict solar insolation values for future dates based on information from the weather forecast. To improve the predictive accuracy, we dynamically divide the entire data set based on the sun altitude and cloudiness at the time of prediction. The Dynamic Piecewise Prediction Model is developed by applying a polynomial linear regression algorithm on the divided data set. To verify the performance of our proposed model, we compared our model to previous approaches. The result of the comparison shows that the proposed model is superior to previous approaches in that it produces a lower prediction error.

Predictive models of hardened mechanical properties of waste LCD glass concrete

  • Wang, Chien-Chih;Wang, Her-Yung;Huang, Chi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.577-597
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    • 2014
  • This paper aims to develop a prediction model for the hardened properties of waste LCD glass that is used in concrete by analyzing a series of laboratory test results, which were obtained in our previous study. We also summarized the testing results of the hardened properties of a variety of waste LCD glass concretes and discussed the effect of factors such as the water-binder ratio (w/b), waste glass content (G) and age (t) on the concrete compressive strength, flexural strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity. This study also applied a hyperbolic function, an exponential function and a power function in a non-linear regression analysis of multiple variables and established the prediction model that could consider the effect of the water-binder ratio (w/b), waste glass content (G) and age (t) on the concrete compressive strength, flexural strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity. Compared with the testing results, the statistical analysis shows that the coefficient of determination $R^2$ and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were 0.93-0.96 and 5.4-8.4% for the compressive strength, 0.83-0.89 and 8.9-12.2% for the flexural strength and 0.87-0.89 and 1.8-2.2% for the ultrasonic pulse velocity, respectively. The proposed models are highly accurate in predicting the compressive strength, flexural strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity of waste LCD glass concrete. However, with other ranges of mixture parameters, the predicted models must be further studied.

Family of Cascade-correlation Learning Algorithm (캐스케이드-상관 학습 알고리즘의 패밀리)

  • Choi Myeong-Bok;Lee Sang-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.87-91
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    • 2005
  • The cascade-correlation (CC) learning algorithm of Fahlman and Lebiere is one of the most influential constructive algorithm in a neural network. Cascading the hidden neurons results in a network that can represent very strong nonlinearities. Although this power is in principle useful, it can be a disadvantage if such strong nonlinearity is not required to solve the problem. 3 models are presented and compared empirically. All of them are based on valiants of the cascade architecture and output neurons weights training of the CC algorithm. Empirical results indicate the followings: (1) In the pattern classification, the model that train only new hidden neuron to output layer connection weights shows the best predictive ability; (2) In the function approximation, the model that removed input-output connection and used sigmoid-linear activation function is better predictability than CasCor algorithm.

Development of Diagnosis System for LNG Pump (LNG 펌프 고장 진단 시스템 개발)

  • Hong S. H.;Lee Y. W.;Hwang W G.;Ki Ch. D.;Kim Y. B.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 1998
  • Vibration analysis of rotating machinery can give an indication of possible faults thus allowing maintenance before further damage occurs. Current predictive maintenance system installed in Pyung-tak has the ability to diagnose the mechanical problems within the LNG Pump when the vibration exceeds preset overall alarm levels. In this study, LNG pump auto-diagnosis system based upon Windows NT and DSP Board is developed. This system analysis velocity signal acquired from dual accelerometer input monitor system to diagnose pump condition. Many plots which display machine condition are shown and features of vibration are stored in every time. If the fault is found, the system diagnoses automatically using expert system and trend monitoring. Operator checks pump condition intuitively using personal computer monitor.

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A Convergence Study about the Performance of Healthcare-Associated Infection Control Guidelines of Hospital Nurses-based on the Theory of Planned Behavior (병원간호사의 의료관련감염 관리지침 수행에 관한 융합연구-계획된 행위이론(TPB) 기반)

  • Moon, Jeong-Eun;Song, Mi-Ok
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2017
  • This is a convergence study to present strategies for performance enhancement by verifying the causal relationship between the influencing factor on the performance of the healthcare-associated infection control guidelines in hospital nurses. Participants were 388 nurses recruited from 16 different tertiary and general hospitals in Korea. Data collection was conducted using self-report questionnaires and analyzed using SPSS 21.0 and AMOS 21.0 programs. The overall fitness was ${\chi}^2=99.64$ (df=14, p<.01), GFI=.94, RMSEA=.10, NFI=.84, CFI=.90. The explanatory power of predictive variables on intention were 23.8%, and those on behavior were 17.7%. As a result of this study, it was found that TPB is an appropriate theory to explain the performance of healthcare-associated infection control guidelines, and repeated studies including multi-level modeling of career experience and organizational influences on behavior with strong social characteristics are needed.

Prediction of Sleep Stages and Estimation of Sleep Cycle Using Accelerometer Sensor Data (가속도 센서 데이터 기반 수면단계 예측 및 수면주기의 추정)

  • Gang, Gyeong Woo;Kim, Tae Seon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1273-1279
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    • 2019
  • Though sleep polysomnography (PSG) is considered as a golden rule for medical diagnosis of sleep disorder, it is essential to find alternative diagnosis methods due to its cost and time constraints. Recently, as the popularity of wearable health devices, there are many research trials to replace conventional actigraphy to consumer grade devices. However, these devices are very limited in their use due to the accessibility of the data and algorithms. In this paper, we showed the predictive model for sleep stages classified by American Academy of Sleep Medicine (AASM) standard and we proposed the estimation of sleep cycle by comparing sensor data and power spectrums of δ wave and θ wave. The sleep stage prediction for 31 subjects showed an accuracy of 85.26%. Also, we showed the possibility that proposed algorithm can find the sleep cycle of REM sleep and NREM sleep.

Multi-FNN Identification Based on HCM Clustering and Evolutionary Fuzzy Granulation

  • Park, Ho-Sung;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we introduce a category of Multi-FNN (Fuzzy-Neural Networks) models, analyze the underlying architectures and propose a comprehensive identification framework. The proposed Multi-FNNs dwell on a concept of fuzzy rule-based FNNs based on HCM clustering and evolutionary fuzzy granulation, and exploit linear inference being treated as a generic inference mechanism. By this nature, this FNN model is geared toward capturing relationships between information granules known as fuzzy sets. The form of the information granules themselves (in particular their distribution and a type of membership function) becomes an important design feature of the FNN model contributing to its structural as well as parametric optimization. The identification environment uses clustering techniques (Hard C - Means, HCM) and exploits genetic optimization as a vehicle of global optimization. The global optimization is augmented by more refined gradient-based learning mechanisms such as standard back-propagation. The HCM algorithm, whose role is to carry out preprocessing of the process data for system modeling, is utilized to determine the structure of Multi-FNNs. The detailed parameters of the Multi-FNN (such as apexes of membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients) are adjusted using genetic algorithms. An aggregate performance index with a weighting factor is proposed in order to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization (predictive) abilities of the model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, two numeric data sets are experimented with. One is the numerical data coming from a description of a certain nonlinear function and the other is NOx emission process data from a gas turbine power plant.

Phase-space Analysis in the Group and Cluster Environment: Time Since Infall and Tidal Mass Loss

  • Rhee, Jinsu;Smith, Rory;Choi, Hoseung;Yi, Sukyoung K.;Jaffe, Yara;Candlish, Graeme;Sanchez-Janssen, Ruben
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.45.2-45.2
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    • 2017
  • Using the latest cosmological hydrodynamic N-body simulations of groups and clusters, we study how location in phase-space coordinates at z = 0 can provide information on environmental effects acting in clusters. We confirm the results of previous authors showing that galaxies tend to follow a typical path in phase-space as they settle into the cluster potential. As such, different regions of phase-space can be associated with different times since first infalling into the cluster. However, in addition, we see a clear trend between total mass loss due to cluster tides and time since infall. Thus, we find location in phase-space provides information on both infall time and tidal mass loss. We find the predictive power of phase-space diagrams remains even when projected quantities are used (i.e.,line of sight velocities, and projected distances from the cluster). We provide figures that can be directly compared with observed samples of cluster galaxies and we also provide the data used to make them as supplementary data to encourage the use of phase-space diagrams as a tool to understand cluster environmental effects. We find that our results depend very weakly on galaxy mass or host mass, so the predictions in our phase-space diagrams can be applied to groups or clusters alike, or to galaxy populations from dwarfs up to giants.

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