• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction formula

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Derivation of Empirical Erosion Equation of the 40 mm Long Hollow Cylinder (40 mm 장축공동실린더의 마모경험식 유도)

  • Chung, Dong-Yoon;Oh, Myoung-Ho;Shin, Nae-Ho
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2009
  • One of the critical issues associated with the 40mm long hollow cylinder's development and maintenance is the prediction of cylinder erosion. The actual firing test is the most accurate method to measure the cylinder erosion rate. But it costs a great deal and requires a long measurement time. Hence many empirical methods have been proposed to predict the erosion rate and life span of long hollow cylinders. An EFC formula is calculated. An approximate erosion formula for the ammunition type A is derived to interpolate 16 observation values up to 4,000 rounds. A new erosion equation and muzzle velocity formula are also suggested. Several numerical results are presented.

Analysis of Weights Given to Observations in the Bayesian Reliability Prediction (베이지안 기법을 이용한 신뢰도 예측 시 관측치에 주어지는 가중치 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Hee Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.51
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 1999
  • 평균치에 적용되는 credibility formula를 분산에도 적용하여 응용 할 수 있는 extended credibility formula를 개발한다. 간단한 베이지안 신뢰도 예측모형을 구축하고 이 모형에 extended credibility formula를 적용한다. 감마 사전분포 - 포아송 우도의 경우와 베타 사전분포 - 이항분포 우도의 경우에 대해 extended credibility formula를 적용해 관측치에 주어진 가중치에 따라 사후 분산이 어떻게 변화하는지를 분석한다. 사후분산도 사후평균과 마찬가지로 사전값과 관측값의 가중평균으로 표시될 수 있다는 것을 증명한다. 가중치와 불확실성 감소율간의 관계도 연구된다. 이와 같은 가중치에 따른 사전 및 사후분포의 변화 양식에 대한 이해는 올바른 사전분포를 설정하는데 큰 도움이 될 수 있다.

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Determination of empirical formula for instantaneous heat transfer coefficients in a S. I. engine (스파크 점화기관의 순간열전달계수의 경험식 결정)

  • Han, Seong-Bin;Gwon, Yeong-Jik;Lee, Jeong-Yeol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.1475-1484
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    • 1997
  • A new empirical formula for instantaneous heat transfer coefficients was determined. The determination of this formula is in need for prediction of instantaneous value of heat transfer coefficients to analyze in more detail the time variation of heat transfer rate from gas to wall in combustion chamber of a spark ignition engine. As the result, following formula was determined. h=687 $p^{0.75}$ $U^{0.75}$ $D^{0.25}$ - $T^{-0.465}$ U(.theta.)=O.494 $V_{p}$ +0.73*10$^{6}$ (1.35 p dV/d.theta.+V dp/d.theta.) Using this empirical formula, the instantaneous heat transfer coefficients of gas in the combustion chamber of spark ignition engine was predicted and compared with experimental values.

Studies on Application of Soybean Fatty Acid for Development of Cosmetic Formulation (대두 지방산을 활용한 화장품 기초제 개발)

  • Lee, Chi-Ho;Shin, Young-Hee;Lee, Une-Hyang
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 1990
  • Soybean fatty acid, the largest byproduct in the production of soybean oil, was formulated for hand cream, oil in water emulsion base, to improve the suppleness and elasticity of skin. The stability of emulsion observed by a macroscopic method was used as a characteristic index for deciding an optimum formula of hand creams. The optimum formula of the most stable hand cream was obtained from polynomial regression equation, contour graphs and partial derivative graphs. The values of soybean fatty acid and stearyl alcohol in the obtained optimum formula were 9.75 and 14.75 w/w%, respectively, and sodium lauryl sulfate was not needed. Experimental value for the stability of hand cream prepared according to the optimum formula was 76,14 days, and the prediction value by computation method was 73.25 days. From the results of accelerated tests by elevated temperature, the stability of hand cream by optimum formula was 1.7 year at room temperature $(25^{\circ}C)$. The hand cream containing soybean fatty acid was found to be free of primary irritant substance to the skin by Draize technique.

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Experimental study on the seismic behavior in the connection between CFRT column and steel beam

  • Lu, Xilin;Yu, Yong;Kiyoshi, Tanaka;Satoshi, Sasaki
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2000
  • The structural behavior of connections between concrete-filled rectangular tubular column (CFRT column) and steel beam has been studied in this paper through sub-assemblage loading tests. It is found that the sub-assemblages exhibit ductile restoring force characteristics under seismic loading. A formula for the prediction of the yield strength of each member in the connection is proposed by using the yield line theory under the assumption of a simple stress transfer mechanism. It is shown that the proposed formula can produce a reasonable prediction while providing a basis for further investigation.

Prediction of Diffraction Loss in Radio Channels (무선채널에서의 회절손실 예측)

  • 백정기;이형수;김혁제;이성제
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, several diffraction formulas are discussed and diffraction losses predicted from each formula for a wedge are compared with each other. Simulation results are also compared with measured ones. It turns out that in real situations, where many scatterers are located around a diffracting wedge, the prediction from the simple knife-edge formula for vertical polarization agrees well with the measured loss.

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Characteristics of Bearing Capacity and Reliability-based Evaluation of Pile-Driving Formulas for H Pile (H-pile의 지지력 특성 및 동역학적 공식의 신뢰도 평가)

  • 오세욱;이준대
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2003
  • Recently, pile foundations were constructed in rough or soft ground than ground of well condition thus it is important that prediction of ultimate bearing capacity and calculation of proper safety factor applied pile foundation design. This study were performed to dynamic loading tests for the thirty two piles at four different construction sites and selected pile at three site were performed to static loading tests and then compare with measured value and value of static and dynamic loading tests. The load-settlement curve form the dynamic loading tests by CAPWAP was very similar to the results obtained from the static load tests. Based on dynamic and static loading tests, the reliability of pile-driving formula were analyzed and then suggested with proper safety factor for prediction of allowable bearing capacity in this paper.

Prediction of Scabbing Limit Thickness Considering Fiber Reinforced Effect about High-Velocity Impact (고속비상체 충돌에 대한 섬유보강효과를 고려한 배면박리한계두께 예측)

  • Kim, Jung-Hyun;Kim, Gyu-Yong;Kim, Hong-Seop;Yoon, Min-Ho;Han, Sang-Hyu;Kim, Rae-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.30-31
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    • 2014
  • Since consists of regression equation by penetration depth prediction calculated by existing NDRC formula mainly considers properties of projectile, impact velocity, compressive strength as parameter, it is difficult to apply it to fire reinforced concrete. In this study, scabbing limit thickness was predict considering fiber reinforcement effect by local fracture of concrete was evaluated through high-velocity impact test. As a result of applying fracture reduction coefficient to NDRC, it was possible to predict scabbing limit thickness of fiber reinforced concrete similarly with actual measurement.

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A Study on the Whirling Critical Speeds of Marine Propeller Shafts (선박 추진축의 선회임계속도에 관한 연구)

  • Yong-Chul Kim;Gun-Do Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 1994
  • In this paper the modelling procedure and analysis technique for the prediction of accurate critical speeds of marine propeller shafts are suggested. As a solution method the transfer matrix method is employed to calculate the critical speeds, which are correspond to natural frequencies of the shaft in lateral vibration, and whirling responses. Furthermore, in order to check the validity of the simple prediction formulae, such as Jasper's formula and Panagopulos's formula, numerical calculations were performed. From the numerical results it was found that the critical speed of the propeller shaft is sensitive to the position and the supporting conditions of journal bearings.

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Application of Multiple Regression Method to Prediction of Noise Level in Ship Cabins (회귀분석법에 의한 선박 소음 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Dong-Hae Kim;Kyoon-Yang Chung
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, statistical approach to prediction of A-weighted noise level in ship cabins. based on multiple linear regression analysis, is conducted. The best regression formula is composed of seven parameters of the deadweight, the type of ship, the location of engines and cabins, the type of deckhouse and the propeller skew angle. Verification work was carried out with other 210 cabins' data in 6 ships. As a result, the formula ensures the accuracy of 3 dB(A) in 77 % of cases.

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