• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction System

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An Exploratory Study for Decreasing Error of Prediction Value of Recommended System on User Based

  • Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2006
  • This study is to investigate the error of prediction value with related variables from the recommended system and to examine the error of prediction value with related variables. To decrease the error on the collaborative recommended system on user based, this research explored the effects on the prediction related response pair between raters' demographic variables and Pearson's coefficient and sparsity. The result shows comparative analysis between existing error of prediction value and conditioned one.

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Prediction-based Dynamic Thread Pool System for Massively Multi-player Online Game Server

  • Ju, Woo-Suk;Im, Choong-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.876-881
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    • 2009
  • Online game servers usually has been using the static thread pool system. But this system is not fit for huge online game server because the overhead is always up-and-down. Therefore, in this paper, we suggest the new algorithm for huge online game server. This algorithm is based on the prediction-based dynamic thread pool system. But it was developed for web servers and every 0.1 seconds the system prediction the needed numbers of threads and determine the thread pool size. Some experimental results show that the check time of 0.4 seconds is the best one for online game server and if the number of worker threads do not excess or lack to the given threshold then we do not predict and keep the current state. Otherwise we apply the prediction algorithm and change the number of threads. Some experimental results shows that this proposed algorithm reduce the overhead massively and make the performance of huge online game server improved in comparison to the static thread pool system.

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Forecasting High-Level Ozone Concentration with Fuzzy Clustering (퍼지 클러스터링을 이용한 고농도오존예측)

  • 김재용;김성신;왕보현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.191-194
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    • 2001
  • The ozone forecasting systems have many problems because the mechanism of the ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary. Also, the results of prediction are not a good performance so far, especially in the high-level ozone concentration. This paper describes the modeling method of the ozone prediction system using neuro-fuzzy approaches and fuzzy clustering. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) based upon a typical algorithm of GMDH (group method of data handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system.

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Pitch Angle Control and Wind Speed Prediction Method Using Inverse Input-Output Relation of a Wind Generation System

  • Hyun, Seung Ho;Wang, Jialong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1040-1048
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a sensorless pitch angle control method for a wind generation system is suggested. One-step-ahead prediction control law is adopted to control the pitch angle of a wind turbine in order for electric output power to track target values. And it is shown that this control scheme using the inverse dynamics of the controlled system enables us to predict current wind speed without an anemometer, to a considerable precision. The inverse input-output of the controlled system is realized by use of an artificial neural network. The proposed control and wind speed prediction method is applied to a Double-Feed Induction Generation system connected to a simple power system through computer simulation to show its effectiveness. The simulation results demonstrate that the suggested method shows better control performances with less control efforts than a conventional Proportional-Integral controller.

Saturation Prediction for Crowdsensing Based Smart Parking System

  • Kim, Mihui;Yun, Junhyeok
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1335-1349
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    • 2019
  • Crowdsensing technologies can improve the efficiency of smart parking system in comparison with present sensor based smart parking system because of low install price and no restriction caused by sensor installation. A lot of sensing data is necessary to predict parking lot saturation in real-time. However in real world, it is hard to reach the required number of sensing data. In this paper, we model a saturation predication combining a time-based prediction model and a sensing data-based prediction model. The time-based model predicts saturation in aspects of parking lot location and time. The sensing data-based model predicts the degree of saturation of the parking lot with high accuracy based on the degree of saturation predicted from the first model, the saturation information in the sensing data, and the number of parking spaces in the sensing data. We perform prediction model learning with real sensing data gathered from a specific parking lot. We also evaluate the performance of the predictive model and show its efficiency and feasibility.

Design of HCBKA-Based IT2TSK Fuzzy Prediction System (HCBKA 기반 IT2TSK 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.7
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    • pp.1396-1403
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    • 2011
  • It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

Reliability evaluation plan of Rocket motor system (고체 추진기관 시스템의 신뢰성 평가 방안)

  • Kwon, Tag-Man;Jung, Ji-Sun;Shim, Hang-Geun;Jang, Ju-Su
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.399-407
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    • 2011
  • Reliability evaluation of One-Shot system which flies at speed of Mach must be evaluated as the result of many firing tests. But many firing tests are impossible because of budget deficit. Consequently the reliability prediction which substitutes firing tests is used. The accuracy of reliability prediction is decided according to a quantity of accumulated test data. If the test data is insufficient, the direction of prediction can not be set. So we propose the reliability prediction method which applies MIL-HDBK-217 Plus. MIL-HDBK-217 Plus is described about reliability prediction method without sufficient test data. So we apply MIL-HDBK-217 Plus to the rocket motor system, and we accomplish a modeling and a reliability prediction about the system.

CLASSIFICATION FUNCTIONS FOR EVALUATING THE PREDICTION PERFORMANCE IN COLLABORATIVE FILTERING RECOMMENDER SYSTEM

  • Lee, Seok-Jun;Lee, Hee-Choon;Chung, Young-Jun
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.28 no.1_2
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    • pp.439-450
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a new idea to evaluate the prediction accuracy of user's preference generated by memory-based collaborative filtering algorithm before prediction process in the recommender system. Our analysis results show the possibility of a pre-evaluation before the prediction process of users' preference of item's transaction on the web. Classification functions proposed in this study generate a user's rating pattern under certain conditions. In this research, we test whether classification functions select users who have lower prediction or higher prediction performance under collaborative filtering recommendation approach. The statistical test results will be based on the differences of the prediction accuracy of each user group which are classified by classification functions using the generative probability of specific rating. The characteristics of rating patterns of classified users will also be presented.

Estimation of Smart Election System data

  • Park, Hyun-Sook;Hong, You-Sik
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2018
  • On the internal based search, the big data inference, which is failed in the president's election in the United States of America in 2016, is failed, because the prediction method is used on the base of the searching numerical value of a candidate for the presidency. Also the Flu Trend service is opened by the Google in 2008. But the Google was embarrassed for the fame's failure for the killing flu prediction system in 2011 and the prediction of presidential election in 2016. In this paper, using the virtual vote algorithm for virtual election and data mining method, the election prediction algorithm is proposed and unpacked. And also the WEKA DB is unpacked. Especially in this paper, using the K means algorithm and XEDOS tools, the prediction of election results is unpacked efficiently. Also using the analysis of the WEKA DB, the smart election prediction system is proposed in this paper.

Improving the prediction accuracy by using the number of neighbors in collaborative filtering (협력적 필터링 추천기법에서 이웃 수를 이용한 선호도 예측 정확도 향상)

  • Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2009
  • The researcher analyzes the relationship between the number of neighbors and the prediction accuracy in the preference prediction process using collaborative filtering system. The number of neighbors who are involved in the preference prediction process are divided into four groups. Each group shows a little difference in the preference prediction. By using prediction error averages in each group, linear functions are suggested. Through the result of this study, the accuracy of preference prediction can be raised when using linear functions by using the number of neighbors in the suggested system.

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