• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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• 2008.11a
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• pp.160-160
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• 2008

In practical etching process, etch ant is sprayed on the metal-deposited panel through nozzles collectively connected to the manifold and that panel is usually composed of many PCB(printed circuit board)'s. The etching uniformity, the difference between individual PCB's on the same panel, has become one of most important features of etching process. In this paper, the prediction of nozzle trajectory has been performed by the combination of algebraic formula and numerical simulation. With the pre-determined geometrical factors of nozzle distribution, the trajectories of individual nozzles were predicted with the change of process operational factors such as panel speed, nozzle swing frequency and so on. As results, two dimensional distribution of impulsive force of etchant spray which could be considered as a key factor determining the etching performance have been successfully obtained. Though only qualitative prediction of etching uniformity have been predicted by the process developed in this study, the expansion to the quantitative prediction of etching uniformity is expected to be apparent by this study.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.1051-1055
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• 1997

Hot forging is widely used in the manufacturing of automotive component. The mechanical, thermal load and thermal softening which is happened by the high temperature die in hot forging. Tool life of hot forging decreases considerably due to the softening of the surface layer of a tool caused by a high thermal load and long contact time between the tool and workpieces. The service life of tools in hot forging process is to a large extent limited by wear, heat crack, plastic deformation. These are one of the main factors affecting die accuracy and tool life. It is desired to predict tool life by developing life prediction method by FE-simulation. Lots of researches have been done into the life prediction of cold forming die, and the results of those researches were trustworthy, but there have been little applications of hot forming die. That is because hot forming process has many factors influencing tool life, and there was not accurate in-process data. In this research, life prediction of hot forming die by wear analysis and plastic deformation has been carried out. To predict tool life, by experiment of tempering of die, tempering curve was obtained and hardness express a function of main tempering curve.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.383-396
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• 2017

The model in our approach assumes that computer responses are a realization of a Gaussian processes superimposed on a regression model called a Gaussian process regression model (GPRM). Selecting a subset of variables or building a good reduced model in classical regression is an important process to identify variables influential to responses and for further analysis such as prediction or classification. One reason to select some variables in the prediction aspect is to prevent the over-fitting or under-fitting to data. The same reasoning and approach can be applicable to GPRM. However, only a few works on the variable selection in GPRM were done. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to build a good prediction model among some GPRMs. It is a post-work of the algorithm that includes the Welch method suggested by previous researchers. The proposed algorithms select some non-zero regression coefficients (${\beta}^{\prime}s$) using forward and backward methods along with the Lasso guided approach. During this process, the fixed were covariance parameters (${\theta}^{\prime}s$) that were pre-selected by the Welch algorithm. We illustrated the superiority of our proposed models over the Welch method and non-selection models using four test functions and one real data example. Future extensions are also discussed.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.2 no.4
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• pp.281-290
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• 2013

The IT asset is a core part that supports the management objective of an organization, and the fast settlement of the IT asset fault is very important. In this study, a fault recovery prediction technique is proposed, which uses the existing fault data to address the IT asset fault. The proposed fault recovery prediction technique is as follows. First, the existing fault recovery data were pre-processed and classified by fault recovery type; second, a rule was established for the keyword mapping of the classified fault recovery types and reported data; and third, a machine learning process that allows the prediction of the fault recovery method based on the established rule was presented. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed machine learning process, company A's 33,000 computer fault data for the duration of six months were tested. The hit rate for fault recovery prediction was approximately 72%, and it increased to 81% via continuous machine learning.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.40 no.3
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• pp.257-266
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• 2014

The semiconductor manufacturing industry is managed by a number of parameters from the FAB which is the initial step of production to package test which is the final step of production. Various methods for prediction for the quality and yield are required to reduce the production costs caused by a complicated manufacturing process. In order to increase the accuracy of quality prediction, we have to extract the significant features from the large amount of data. In this study, we propose the method for extracting feature from the cell level data of probe test process using OPTICS which is one of the density-based clustering to improve the prediction accuracy of the quality of the assembled chips that will be placed in a package test. Two features extracted by using OPTICS are used as input variables of quality prediction model because of having position information of the cell defect. The package test progress for chips classified to the correct quality grade by performing the improved prediction method is expected to bring the effect of reducing production costs.

• The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.303-317
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• 2010

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to fault prediction for real-time business process monitoring method using extended KNN imputation based LOF prediction. Existing rule-based approaches to process monitoring has some limitations like late alarm for fault occurrence or no indicators about real-time progress, since there exist unobserved attributes according to the monitoring phase during process executions. To improve these limitations, we propose an algorithm for LOF prediction by adopting the imputation method to assume unobserved attributes. LOF of ongoing instance is calculated by assuming next probable progresses after the monitoring phase, which is conducted during entire monitoring phases so that we can predict the abnormal termination of the ongoing instance. By visualizing the real-time progress in terms of the probability on abnormal termination, we can provide more proactive operations to opportunities or risks during the real-time monitoring.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.21 no.9
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• pp.95-102
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• 2004

A flexible incremental roll forming process has been developed by adopting the advantages of the incremental forming process and the roll forming process: i.e., inherent flexibility of the incremental forming process and continuous bending deformation of the roll forming process. It has an adjustable roll set as a forming tool composed of one upper center roll and two pairs of lower support rolls, which plays a key role during forming process. Through the experiments based on the various combinations of process parameters, it is shown that the incremental roll forming process is so effective as to manufacture various doubly curved sheet metals including concave-convex combination shapes in which there exists a line of inflection. The proposed relationship of the experimental parameters and the radius of curvature of the formed sheet boundary is found to be useful in prediction and control of the final shape.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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• 2004.04a
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• pp.394-397
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• 2004

This paper presents a simple analytic method using 2D simulation program for predications of cutting force and machining temperature in dry type milling process. And also, comparison of cutting force and machining temperature obtained from experiment and simulation work is accomplished to distinguish of suitability.

• Transactions of Materials Processing
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• v.11 no.7
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• pp.581-588
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• 2002

Among the processes to produce micro lens, the process using press molding is a new technology to simplify the process, but it contains many unknown variables. The press-molding process proposed in this paper was simplified into two step process, the first step is the pressing to design the preform for glass element, the second step is the annealing to reduce the residual stress. It is important to estimate the amount of shrinkage of glass gob and the residual stress during process. It Is difficult to evaluate the process variables as mentioned above through the experiment. The influences due to process variables was evaluated by using FEM parametric analysis. The results in this paper can be applicable to produce micro lens.

• Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.10-14
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• 2001

We studied the use of time-related information, with and without prediction, to support human operators performing moni-toring and control tasks in the process. Based on monitoring and control techniques used for Project Management we developed a display design for the process industries. A simulated power plant was used to test the hypothesis that availability of predictions along with information on past trends can improve the performances of the human operator handling faults. Several designs of dis-plays were tested in the experiment in which human operators had to detect and handle two types of faults(local and systems wide) in the simulated electricity generation process. Analysis of the results revealed that temporal data, with and without prediction, signifi-cantly reduced response time. Our results encourage the integration of temporal information and prediction in displays used for the control processes to enhance the capabilities of the human operators. Based on the analysis we proposed some guidelines for the de-signer of the human interface of a process control system.