• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Performance

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A cavitation performance prediction method for pumps PART1-Proposal and feasibility

  • Yun, Long;Rongsheng, Zhu;Dezhong, Wang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.11
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    • pp.2471-2478
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    • 2020
  • Pumps are essential machinery in the various industries. With the development of high-speed and large-scale pumps, especially high energy density, high requirements have been imposed on the vibration and noise performance of pumps, and cavitation is an important source of vibration and noise excitation in pumps, so it is necessary to improve pumps cavitation performance. The modern pump optimization design method mainly adopts parameterization and artificial intelligence coupling optimization, which requires direct correlation between geometric parameters and pump performance. The existing cavitation performance calculation method is difficult to be integrated into multi-objective automatic coupling optimization. Therefore, a fast prediction method for pump cavitation performance is urgently needed. This paper proposes a novel cavitation prediction method based on impeller pressure isosurface at single-phase media. When the cavitation occurs, the area of pressure isosurface Siso increases linearly with the NPSHa decrease. This demonstrates that with the development of cavitation, the variation law of the head with the NPSHa and the variation law of the head with the area of pressure isosurface are consistent. Therefore, the area of pressure isosurface Siso can be used to predict cavitation performance. For a certain impeller blade, since the area ratio Rs is proportional to the area of pressure isosurface Siso, the cavitation performance can be predicted by the Rs. In this paper, a new cavitation performance prediction method is proposed, and the feasibility of this method is demonstrated in combination with experiments, which will greatly accelerate the pump hydraulic optimization design.

A Study on Reliability Prediction of System with Degrading Performance Parameter (열화되는 성능 파라메터를 가지는 시스템의 신뢰성 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yon Soo;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2015
  • Due to advancements in technology and manufacturing capability, it is not uncommon that life tests yield no or few failures at low stress levels. In these situations it is difficult to analyse lifetime data and make meaningful inferences about product or system reliability. For some products or systems whose performance characteristics degrade over time, a failure is said to have occurred when a performance characteristic crosses a critical threshold. The measurements of the degradation characteristic contain much useful and credible information about product or system reliability. Degradation measurements of the performance characteristics of an unfailed unit at different times can directly relate reliability measures to physical characteristics. Reliability prediction based on physical performance measures can be an efficient and alternative method to estimate for some highly reliable parts or systems. If the degradation process and the distance between the last measurement and a specified threshold can be established, the remaining useful life is predicted in advance. In turn, this prediction leads to just in time maintenance decision to protect systems. In this paper, we describe techniques for mapping product or system which has degrading performance parameter to the associated classical reliability measures in the performance domain. This paper described a general modeling and analysis procedure for reliability prediction based on one dominant degradation performance characteristic considering pseudo degradation performance life trend model. This pseudo degradation trend model is based on probability modeling of a failure mechanism degradation trend and comparison of a projected distribution to pre-defined critical soft failure point in time or cycle.

A study on the performance prediction technique of the dual-thrust rocket motor (이중 추력형 로켓모타의 성능예측 기법 연구)

  • 이도형
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the technique of the performance prediction on the finocyl-type dual-thrust rocket motor is developed, and the predicted data are compared with those of the static firing tests. The prediction is carried out with the separate calculations of the grain burning area and the performance of the rocket motor. When predicting the performance of the dual-thrust rocket motor, the different correction factors should be used at the boosting and sustaining phases. Otherwise, an error of prediction will follow. Reprediction using the separate correction factors shows good agreement with the test data within 0.5% error.

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Service Life Prediction for Building Materials and Components with Stochastic Deterioration (추계적 열화모형에 의한 건설자재의 사용수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2007
  • The performance of a building material degrades as time goes by and the failure of the material is often defined as the point at which the performance of the material reaches a pre-specified degraded level. Based on a stochastic deterioration model, a performance based service life prediction method for building materials and components is developed. As a stochastic degradation model, a gamma process is considered and lifetime distribution and service life of a material are predicted using the degradation model. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed service life prediction method.

Aerodynamic Design and Performance Prediction of Wind Turbine Blade (풍력터빈 블레이드 공력설계 및 성능예측)

  • Kim, Cheol-Wan;Cho, Tae-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.677-681
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    • 2011
  • Characteristics of vertical and horizontal axis wind turbines are explained. The speed and direction of wind on the blade of the Darrieus type turbine changes very severely. Therefore dynamic stall happens periodically and the wake from the front blade deteriorates the performance of rear blades. Blade element momentum theory(BEMT) is widely utilized for aerodynamic design and performace prediction of horizontal axis wind turbine(HAWT). Computation analysis and wind tunnel test are also performed for the performance prediction.

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In-Flight Prediction of Solid Rocket Motor Performance for Flight Control (비행제어를 위한 비행 중 고체로켓 추력 예측 방법)

  • Lee, Yong-In;Cho, Sungjin;Choe, Dong-Gyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.816-821
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, an in-flight prediction method of thrust profiles for solid rocket motors is proposed. Actually, it is very difficult to have detailed information about the performance of the rocket motors beforehand because it is quite sensitive to combustion environments. To overcome this problem, we have developed an algorithm for generating in-flight prediction of rocket motor performance in realistic environments via a reference burnback profile and accelerations measured at a short time-interval just after launch. The performance is evaluated through a lot of flight test results.

A Aerodynamic Design of Mixed Flow Turbine of the Marine Turbocharger (박용 터보챠저 사류 터빈의 공력설계)

  • Kim, Hong-Won;Oh, Kook-Taek;Ghal, Sang-Hak;Ha, Ji-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.670-675
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes aerodynamic preliminary design performance prediction and flow analysis for turbine of the marine middle engine turbocharger. The performance characteristics of turbocharger turbine are investigated at various operating conditions using mass flow rate and computational flow analysis for rotor and nozzle at design point are performed. Preliminary design results are performed by applying mean line and radial equilibrium theory. Performance prediction and flow analysis results show good agreement with experiments. From 3 dimensional flow analysis result, efficiency is 0.6% greater than design point. Therefore, this design approach is useful for preliminary design, and helps to increase the design capability for optimized rotor blade.

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The Analytic Performance Model of the Superscalar Processor Using Multiple Branch Prediction (독립시행의 정리를 이용하는 수퍼스칼라 프로세서의 다중 분기 예측 성능 모델)

  • 이종복
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.1009-1012
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    • 1999
  • An analytical performance model that can predict the performance of a superscalar processor employing multiple branch prediction is introduced. The model is based on the conditional independence probability and the basic block size of instructions, with the degree of multiple branch prediction, the fetch rate, and the window size of a superscalar architecture. Trace driven simulation is performed for the subset of SPEC integer benchmarks, and the measured IPCs are compared with the results derived from the model. As the result, our analytic model could predict the performance of the superscalar processor using multiple branch prediction within 6.6 percent on the average.

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Call Admission Control Using Adaptive-MMOSPRED for Resource Prediction in Wireless Networks (무선망의 자원예측을 위한 Adaptive-MMOSPRED 기법을 사용한 호 수락제어)

  • Lee, Jin-Yi
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents adaptive-MMOSPRED method for prediction of resource demands requested by multimedia calls, and shows the performance of the call admission control based on proposed resource prediction method in multimedia wireless networks. The proposed method determines (I-CDP) random variables of the standard normal distribution by using LMS algorithm that minimize errors of prediction in resource demands, while parameters in an existing method are constant all through the prediction time. Our simulation results show that prediction error in adaptive-MMOSPRED method is much smaller than in fixed-MMOSPRED method. Also we can see via simulation the CAC performance based on the proposed method improves the new call blocking performance compared with the existing method under the desired handoff dropping probability.

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Development of Rutting Prediction Model of Flexible Pavement using Repetitive Axial Loading Test (반복 축하중 시험을 이용한 연성포장의 소성변형 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Nakseok
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.491-498
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    • 2017
  • The primary objective of this research is to develop a rutting performance prediction model of flexible pavement. Extensive laboratory testings were conducted to achieve the objective. A new test method employing repetitive axial loading with confinement was also adopted to estimate the rutting performance of asphalt concrete in the research. The rutting prediction model employes a layer-strain theory. The required rutting coefficients for the prediction model were determined through the laboratory rutting characterizations of the asphalt concrete layer materials. Within the limits of this study, a laboratory rutting prediction model of flexible pavement using repetitive axial loading test was presented. It is noted that the developed rutting prediction model simulates propery the behaviors of flexible pavement layer materials.