• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Module

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A Deep Space Orbit Determination Software: Overview and Event Prediction Capability

  • Kim, Youngkwang;Park, Sang-Young;Lee, Eunji;Kim, Minsik
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.139-151
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents an overview of deep space orbit determination software (DSODS), as well as validation and verification results on its event prediction capabilities. DSODS was developed in the MATLAB object-oriented programming environment to support the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) mission. DSODS has three major capabilities: celestial event prediction for spacecraft, orbit determination with deep space network (DSN) tracking data, and DSN tracking data simulation. To achieve its functionality requirements, DSODS consists of four modules: orbit propagation (OP), event prediction (EP), data simulation (DS), and orbit determination (OD) modules. This paper explains the highest-level data flows between modules in event prediction, orbit determination, and tracking data simulation processes. Furthermore, to address the event prediction capability of DSODS, this paper introduces OP and EP modules. The role of the OP module is to handle time and coordinate system conversions, to propagate spacecraft trajectories, and to handle the ephemerides of spacecraft and celestial bodies. Currently, the OP module utilizes the General Mission Analysis Tool (GMAT) as a third-party software component for high-fidelity deep space propagation, as well as time and coordinate system conversions. The role of the EP module is to predict celestial events, including eclipses, and ground station visibilities, and this paper presents the functionality requirements of the EP module. The validation and verification results show that, for most cases, event prediction errors were less than 10 millisec when compared with flight proven mission analysis tools such as GMAT and Systems Tool Kit (STK). Thus, we conclude that DSODS is capable of predicting events for the KPLO in real mission applications.

PromoterWizard: An Integrated Promoter Prediction Program Using Hybrid Methods

  • Park, Kie-Jung;Kim, Ki-Bong
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.194-196
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    • 2011
  • Promoter prediction is a very important problem and is closely related to the main problems of bioinformatics such as the construction of gene regulatory networks and gene function annotation. In this context, we developed an integrated promoter prediction program using hybrid methods, PromoterWizard, which can be employed to detect the core promoter region and the transcription start site (TSS) in vertebrate genomic DNA sequences, an issue of obvious importance for genome annotation efforts. PromoterWizard consists of three main modules and two auxiliary modules. The three main modules include CDRM (Composite Dependency Reflecting Model) module, SVM (Support Vector Machine) module, and ICM (Interpolated Context Model) module. The two auxiliary modules are CpG Island Detector and GCPlot that may contribute to improving the predictive accuracy of the three main modules and facilitating human curator to decide on the final annotation.

A study on the Conceptual Design for the Real-time wind Power Prediction System in Jeju (제주 실시간 풍력발전 출력 예측시스템 개발을 위한 개념설계 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Yoo, Myoung-Suk;Choi, Hong-Seok;Kim, Yong-Jun;Seo, Young-Jun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.12
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    • pp.2202-2211
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    • 2010
  • The wind power prediction system is composed of a meteorological forecasting module, calculation module of wind power output and HMI(Human Machine Interface) visualization system. The final information from this system is a short-term (6hr ahead) and mid-term (48hr ahead) wind power prediction value. The meteorological forecasting module for wind speed and direction forecasting is a combination of physical and statistical model. In this system, the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model, which is a three-dimensional numerical weather model, is used as the physical model and the GFS(Global Forecasting System) models is used for initial condition forecasting. The 100m resolution terrain data is used to improve the accuracy of this system. In addition, optimization of the physical model carried out using historic weather data in Jeju. The mid-term prediction value from the physical model is used in the statistical method for a short-term prediction. The final power prediction is calculated using an optimal adjustment between the currently observed data and data predicted from the power curve model. The final wind power prediction value is provided to customs using a HMI visualization system. The aim of this study is to further improve the accuracy of this prediction system and develop a practical system for power system operation and the energy market in the Smart-Grid.

"Green Sea Ranger", an Oil-Spill Model for Korean Coastal Waters

  • Hong, Key-yong;Song, Mu-seok
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 1997
  • We reviewed various oil-spill models and condensed the integrated information into a prediction model, “Green Sea Ranger”which is applicable to Korean coastal area. The developed software consists of pre- and post-modules for environment setup and display of results and main module for the prediction of oil\`s fate. In the pre-module target areas can be selected from the included geographic information system and various environmental and optional numerical data for the prediction can be input through easy GUI or imported from the database we established. For the fate of the spilt oil we included effects of spreading, advection, evaporation, and emulsification. Preliminary numerical experiment has proved that the developed oil-spill prediction system can be easily utilized in on-site oil recovery operations which usually require a quick and reasonable prediction.

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Assessment of Rainfall-Sediment Yield-Runoff Prediction Uncertainty Using a Multi-objective Optimization Method (다중최적화기법을 이용한 강우-유사-유출 예측 불확실성 평가)

  • Lee, Gi-Ha;Yu, Wan-Sik;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Cho, Bok-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.12
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    • pp.1011-1027
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    • 2010
  • In hydrologic modeling, prediction uncertainty generally stems from various uncertainty sources associated with model structure, data, and parameters, etc. This study aims to assess the parameter uncertainty effect on hydrologic prediction results. For this objective, a distributed rainfall-sediment yield-runoff model, which consists of rainfall-runoff module for simulation of surface and subsurface flows and sediment yield module based on unit stream power theory, was applied to the mesoscale mountainous area (Cheoncheon catchment; 289.9 $km^2$). For parameter uncertainty evaluation, the model was calibrated by a multi-objective optimization algorithm (MOSCEM) with two different objective functions (RMSE and HMLE) and Pareto optimal solutions of each case were then estimated. In Case I, the rainfall-runoff module was calibrated to investigate the effect of parameter uncertainty on hydrograph reproduction whereas in Case II, sediment yield module was calibrated to show the propagation of parameter uncertainty into sedigraph estimation. Additionally, in Case III, all parameters of both modules were simultaneously calibrated in order to take account of prediction uncertainty in rainfall-sediment yield-runoff modeling. The results showed that hydrograph prediction uncertainty of Case I was observed over the low-flow periods while the sedigraph of high-flow periods was sensitive to uncertainty of the sediment yield module parameters in Case II. In Case III, prediction uncertainty ranges of both hydrograph and sedigraph were larger than the other cases. Furthermore, prediction uncertainty in terms of spatial distribution of erosion and deposition drastically varied with the applied model parameters for all cases.

Predicting flux of forward osmosis membrane module using deep learning (딥러닝을 이용한 정삼투 막모듈의 플럭스 예측)

  • Kim, Jaeyoon;Jeon, Jongmin;Kim, Noori;Kim, Suhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2021
  • Forward osmosis (FO) process is a chemical potential driven process, where highly concentrated draw solution (DS) is used to take water through semi-permeable membrane from feed solution (FS) with lower concentration. Recently, commercial FO membrane modules have been developed so that full-scale FO process can be applied to seawater desalination or water reuse. In order to design a real-scale FO plant, the performance prediction of FO membrane modules installed in the plant is essential. Especially, the flux prediction is the most important task because the amount of diluted draw solution and concentrate solution flowing out of FO modules can be expected from the flux. Through a previous study, a theoretical based FO module model to predict flux was developed. However it needs an intensive numerical calculation work and a fitting process to reflect a complex module geometry. The idea of this work is to introduce deep learning to predict flux of FO membrane modules using 116 experimental data set, which include six input variables (flow rate, pressure, and ion concentration of DS and FS) and one output variable (flux). The procedure of optimizing a deep learning model to minimize prediction error and overfitting problem was developed and tested. The optimized deep learning model (error of 3.87%) was found to predict flux better than the theoretical based FO module model (error of 10.13%) in the data set which were not used in machine learning.

Deep-Learning-Based Water Shield Automation System by Predicting River Overflow and Vehicle Flooding Possibility (하천 범람 및 차량 침수 가능성 예측을 통한 딥러닝 기반 차수막 자동화 시스템)

  • Seung-Jae Ham;Min-Su Kang;Seong-Woo Jeong;Joonhyuk Yoo
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes a two-stage Water Shield Automation System (WSAS) to predict the possibility of river overflow and vehicle flooding due to sudden rainfall. The WSAS uses a two-stage Deep Neural Network (DNN) model. First, a river overflow prediction module is designed with LSTM to decide whether the river is flooded by predicting the river's water level rise. Second, a vehicle flooding prediction module predicts flooding of underground parking lots by detecting flooded tires with YOLOv5 from CCTV images. Finally, the WSAS automatically installs the water barrier whenever the river overflow and vehicle flooding events happen in the underground parking lots. The only constraint to implementing is that collecting training data for flooded vehicle tires is challenging. This paper exploits the Image C&S data augmentation technique to synthesize flooded tire images. Experimental results validate the superiority of WSAS by showing that the river overflow prediction module can reduce RMSE by three times compared with the previous method, and the vehicle flooding detection module can increase mAP by 20% compared with the naive detection method, respectively.

A design of High-Profile Intra Prediction module for H.264 (H.264 High-Profile Intra Prediction 모듈 설계)

  • Suh, Ki-Bum;Lee, Hye-Yoon;Lee, Yong-Ju;Kim, Ho-Eui
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.2045-2049
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose an novel architecture for H.264 High Profile Encoder Intra Prediction module. This designed module can be operated in 306 cycle for one-macroblock. To verify the Encoder architecture, we developed the reference C from JM 13.2 and verified the our developed hardware using test vector generated by reference C. We adopt plan removal and SAD calculation to reduce the Hardware cost and cycle. The designed circuit can be operated in 133MHz clock system, and has 250K gate counts using TSMC 0.18 um process including SRAM memory.

Prediction of module temperature and photovoltaic electricity generation by the data of Korea Meteorological Administration (데이터를 활용한 태양광 발전 시스템 모듈온도 및 발전량 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-min;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the PV output and module temperature values were predicted using the Meteorological Agency data and compared with actual data, weather, solar radiation, ambient temperature, and wind speed. The forecast accuracy by weather was the lowest in the data on a clear day, which had the most data of the day when it was snowing or the sun was hit at dawn. The predicted accuracy of the module temperature and the amount of power generation according to the amount of insolation decreased as the amount of insolation increased, and the predicted accuracy according to the ambient temperature decreased as the module temperature increased as the ambient temperature increased and the amount of power generated lowered the ambient temperature. As for wind speed, the predicted accuracy decreased as the wind speed increased for both module temperature and power generation, but it was difficult to define the correlation because wind speed was insignificant than the influence of other weather conditions.

Parts Stresss Analysis for Reliability Prediction of Control Module in Plant (부품부하분석을 이용한 발전소 제어모듈의 신뢰도 예측)

  • 김대웅;강희정
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 1995
  • The objective of this study is to predict the reliability of the electronic control module at ROD control system in nuclear power plant. Maintaining of the reliability is important issue in the complext system like nuclear plower plant, military equipment, satelite system, etc., because the failure of reliability brings etravagant economic loss and deteriorates public acceptance. In addition to the prediction of reliability, the fators affect the reliability including operating condition, environment, temperature and quality factors were analyzed and simulated. The result shows that the quality factors are more critical for the higher reliability than other two factors.

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