• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.257-266
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• 2016

비선형 모형인 확률계수 자기회귀 모형의 모수를 추정하기 위해 전체 데이터를 부표본으로 나누어 확률계수 ${\phi}(t)$가 초기값, ${\phi}(0)$를 갖는 특별한 경우를 제안하고 추정하였다. 모의 실험으로 부표본으로 나누어 확률계수 자기회귀 모형을 추정하는 더 바람직함을 확인하였다. 실증분석에서는 한국 Mumps 자료를 선형 모형인 자기회귀 모형과 확률 계수 자기회귀 모형에 각각 적합시켜 모수를 추정하고, PRESS 값을 비교하여 확률계수 자기회귀 모형의 예측이 더 우수함을 보였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.755-762
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• 2013

본 논문은 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성모형에서 모수추정과 고장시간에 대한 예측을 다루고자 한다. 소프트웨어 신뢰성모형 Goel-Okumoto모형에서 평균값 함수에 대한 최우추정과 경험적 사전분포를 가정한 공액사전분포에서 베이지안 추정을 다루었다. 실제 자료에서 두 가지 추정법에 의한 모수 추정값을 제공하였으며, 모형의 적합성을 판정하고, 고장수에 대한 예측값을 비교하였다.

• 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국공작기계학회 1996년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.24-29
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• 1996

The seniconductor, which is precision product, requires many inspection processes. The surface conditions of the semiconductor chip effect on the functions of the semiconductors. The defects of the chip surface is crack or void. Because general inspection method requires many inspection processes, the inspection system which searches immediately and preciselythe defects of the semiconductor chip surface. We propose the inspection method by using the computer vision system. This study presents an image processing algorithm for inspecting the surface defects(crack, void)of the semiconductor test samples. The proposed image processing algorithm aims to reduce inspection time, and to analyze those experienced operator. This paper regards the chip surface as random texture, and deals with the image modeling of randon texture image for searching the surface defects. For texture modeling, we consider the relation of a pixel and neighborhood pixels as noncasul model and extract the statistical characteristics from the radom texture field by using the 2D AR model(Aut oregressive). This paper regards on image as the output of linear system, and considers the fidelity or intelligibility criteria for measuring the quality of an image or the performance of the processing techinque. This study utilizes the variance of prediction error which is computed by substituting the gary level of pixel of another texture field into the two dimensional AR(autoregressive model)model fitted to the texture field, estimate the parameter us-ing the PAA(parameter adaptation algorithm) and design the defect detection filter. Later, we next try to study the defect detection search algorithm.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.137-145
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• 2020

Various elements of Fabrication (FAB), mass production of existing products, new product development and process improvement evaluation might increase the complexity of production process when products are produced at the same time. As a result, complex production operation makes it difficult to predict production capacity of facilities. In this environment, production forecasting is the basic information used for production plan, preventive maintenance, yield management, and new product development. In this paper, we tried to develop a multiple linear regression analysis model in order to improve the existing production capacity forecasting method, which is to estimate production capacity by using a simple trend analysis during short time periods. Specifically, we defined overall equipment effectiveness of facility as a performance measure to represent production capacity. Then, we considered the production capacities of interrelated facilities in the FAB production process during past several weeks as independent regression variables in order to reflect the impact of facility maintenance cycles and production sequences. By applying variable selection methods and selecting only some significant variables, we developed a multiple linear regression forecasting model. Through a numerical experiment, we showed the superiority of the proposed method by obtaining the mean residual error of 3.98%, and improving the previous one by 7.9%.

• 한국작물학회지
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• 제45권5호
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• pp.339-342
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• 2000

Near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) was used to estimate the lipid and protein contents in ground seed samples of perilla (Perilla frutescens Brit.) and peanut (Arachis hypogaea L.). A total of 46 perilla and 80 peanut calibration samples and 23 perilla and 46 pea. nut NIRS validation samples were used for NIRS equation development and validation, respectively. Validation of these NIRS equations showed a range of very low bias (-0.05 to 0.13 %) and standard error of prediction corrected for bias (0.224 to 0.803%) and very high coefficient of determination ($R^2$) (0.962 to 0.985). It was concluded that NIRS could be adapted as a mass screening method for lipid and protein contents in perilla and peanut seed.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제52권12호
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• pp.2709-2716
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• 2020

Compositions of large nuclear cores (e.g. boiling water reactors) are highly heterogeneous in terms of fuel composition, control rod insertions and flow regimes. For this reason, they usually lack high order of symmetry (e.g. 1/4, 1/8) making it difficult to estimate their neutronic parameters for large spaces of possible loading patterns. A detailed hyperparameter optimization technique (a combination of manual and Gaussian process search) is used to train and optimize deep neural networks for the prediction of three neutronic parameters for the Ringhals-1 BWR unit: power peaking factors (PPF), control rod bank level, and cycle length. Simulation data is generated based on half-symmetry using PARCS core simulator by shuffling a total of 196 assemblies. The results demonstrate a promising performance by the deep networks as acceptable mean absolute error values are found for the global maximum PPF (~0.2) and for the radially and axially averaged PPF (~0.05). The mean difference between targets and predictions for the control rod level is about 5% insertion depth. Lastly, cycle length labels are predicted with 82% accuracy. The results also demonstrate that 10,000 samples are adequate to capture about 80% of the high-dimensional space, with minor improvements found for larger number of samples. The promising findings of this work prove the ability of deep neural networks to resolve high dimensionality issues of large cores in the nuclear area.

• 스마트미디어저널
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.22-29
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• 2021

In the past decade, deep learning has been applied to various medical image analysis tasks. Skeletal bone age estimation is clinically important as it can help prevent age-related illness and pave the way for new anti-aging therapies. Recent research has applied deep learning techniques to the task of bone age assessment and achieved positive results. In this paper, we propose a bone age prediction method using a deep convolutional neural network. Specifically, we first train a classification model that automatically localizes the most discriminative region of an image and crops it from the original image. The regions of interest are then used as input for a regression model to estimate the age of the patient. The experiments are conducted on a whole-body scintigraphy dataset that was collected by Chonnam National University Hwasun Hospital. The experimental results illustrate the potential of our proposed method, which has a mean absolute error of 3.35 years. Our proposed framework can be used as a robust supporting tool for clinicians to prevent age-related diseases.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.612-613
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• 2015

As a construction project is recently becoming large-scaled and complex, construction process plan and management for successful performance of a construction project has become more important. Especially a reasonable estimation plan of activity duration is required because the activity duration is directly related to the determination of the entire project duration and budget. However, the activity duration is used to estimate by the experience of a construction manager and past construction records. Furthermore, the prediction of activity duration is more difficult because there is some uncertainty caused by various influencing factors in a construction project. This study suggests an estimation model of construction activity duration using neural network theory for a more systematic and objective estimation of each activity duration. Because suggested model estimates the activity duration by a reasonable schedule plan, it is expected to reduce the error between planning duration and actual duration in a construction project. And it can be a more systematic estimation method of activity duration comparing to the estimation method by experience of project manager.

• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.199-206
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• 2024

The GEO-KOMPSAT-2A (GK2A) satellite, which was launched in December 2018, carries weather observation payloads and uses the image navigation and registration system to calibrate the observation images. The calibration system requires accurate orbit prediction data and depends on the accuracy of the orbit determination accuracy. In order to find a possible way to improve the current orbit determination accuracy of the GK2A flight dynamic subsystem module, orbit determination software was developed to independently evaluate the orbit determination accuracy. A comprehensive satellite dynamic model is applied for a batch-type least squares filter. When determining the orbit, thrust firing during station-keeping maneuvers and wheel-off loading maneuvers is taken into account. One month of GK2A ranging data were processed to estimate the satellite position on a daily basis. The orbit determination error was evaluated by comparing estimates during overlapping estimation intervals.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.134-140
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• 2014

Many reports have shown that the access pattern for geospatial tiles follows Zipf's law and that its parameter ${\alpha}$ represents the access characteristics. However, visits to geospatial tiles have temporal and spatial popularities, and the ${\alpha}$-value changes as they change. We construct a mathematical model to simulate the user's access behavior by studying the attributes of frequently visited tile objects to determine parameter estimation algorithms. Because the least squares (LS) method in common use cannot obtain an exact ${\alpha}$-value and does not provide a suitable fit to data for frequently visited tiles, we present a new approach, which uses a moment method of estimation to obtain the value of ${\alpha}$ when ${\alpha}$ is close to 1. When ${\alpha}$ is further away from 1, the method uses the associated cache hit ratio for tile access and uses an LS method based on a critical cache size to estimate the value of ${\alpha}$. The decrease in the estimation error is presented and discussed in the section on experiment results. This new method, which provides a more accurate estimate of ${\alpha}$ than earlier methods, promises more effective prediction of requests for frequently accessed tiles for better caching and load balancing.