• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power trend

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Recent research and technical trend of power cable system (전력 케이블의 최근 연구 및 기술 동향)

  • Kim, Dong-Uk;Choe, Myeong-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.11c
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    • pp.616-618
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes the recent research and technical trend of power cable system. Compact sizing with long length and large capacity is the main trend of the power cable. From the manufacturing process to the monitoring of the underground power line, various new techniques are being developed for reliability and high quality such as in-line monitoring system, triple common extrusion, PD measurement system, new type completion test, etc.

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Research for Modeling the Failure Data for a Repairable System with Non-monotonic Trend (복합 추세를 가지는 수리가능 시스템의 고장 데이터 모형화에 관한 연구)

  • Mun, Byeong-Min;Bae, Suk-Joo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2009
  • The power law process model the Rate of occurrence of failures(ROCOF) with monotonic trend during the operating time. However, the power law process is inappropriate when a non-monotonic trend in the failure data is observed. In this paper we deals with the reliability modeling of the failure process of large and complex repairable system whose rate of occurrence of failures shows the non-monotonic trend. We suggest a sectional model and a change-point test based on the Schwarz information criterion(SIC) to describe the non-monotonic trend. Maximum likelihood is also suggested to estimate parameters of sectional model. The suggested methods are applied to field data from an repairable system.

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Impact of Trend Estimates on Predictive Performance in Model Evaluation for Spatial Downscaling of Satellite-based Precipitation Data

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2017
  • Spatial downscaling with fine resolution auxiliary variables has been widely applied to predict precipitation at fine resolution from coarse resolution satellite-based precipitation products. The spatial downscaling framework is usually based on the decomposition of precipitation values into trend and residual components. The fine resolution auxiliary variables contribute to the estimation of the trend components. The main focus of this study is on quantitative analysis of impacts of trend component estimates on predictive performance in spatial downscaling. Two regression models were considered to estimate the trend components: multiple linear regression (MLR) and geographically weighted regression (GWR). After estimating the trend components using the two models,residual components were predicted at fine resolution grids using area-to-point kriging. Finally, the sum of the trend and residual components were considered as downscaling results. From the downscaling experiments with time-series Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B43 precipitation data, MLR-based downscaling showed the similar or even better predictive performance, compared with GWR-based downscaling with very high explanatory power. Despite very high explanatory power of GWR, the relationships quantified from TRMM precipitation data with errors and the auxiliary variables at coarse resolution may exaggerate the errors in the trend components at fine resolution. As a result, the errors attached to the trend estimates greatly affected the predictive performance. These results indicate that any regression model with high explanatory power does not always improve predictive performance due to intrinsic errors of the input coarse resolution data. Thus, it is suggested that the explanatory power of trend estimation models alone cannot be always used for the selection of an optimal model in spatial downscaling with fine resolution auxiliary variables.

Long-Term Water Quality Trend Analysis with NTrend 1.0 Program in Nakdong River (NTrend 1.0에 의한 낙동강 수질 장기변동 추세분석)

  • Yu, Jae Jeong;Shin, Suk Ho;Yoon, Young Sam;Song, Jae Kee
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.895-902
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    • 2010
  • The effect of seasonality on water quality variation is very significant. Generally, it reduce the power of the trend extraction. A parametric time-series model was used for detecting trends in historic constituent concentration data. The effect of seasonality is able to remove from time series decomposition technique. According to such statistic methode, long-term water quality trend analysis system (NTrend 1.0) was developed by Nakdong River Water Environmental Research Center. The trend analysis of BOD variation was conducted with NTrend 1.0 at Goreong and Moolkum site in Nakdong river to show the effect of water quality management action plan. Power test of trend extraction was tried each case of 'deseasonalized and deannulized' data and 'deseasonalized' data. Analysis period was from 1989 to 2006, and it's period was divided again three times, 1989~1993, 1994~1999 and 2000~2006 according to action plan period. The BOD trend was downward in Goreong site during three times and it's trend slope was very steep, and upward in Moolkum during 1989~1993, but it was turned downward during 1994~1999 and 2000~2006. It was revealed that it's very effective to reduce the concentration of BOD by water quality management action plan in that watershed. The result of power test was shown that it is high for trend extraction power in case of 'deseasonalized' data.

The Trend Analysis of Technology Development for Auxiliary Power Supply of Electric Vehicle (전동차 보조전원장치의 기술개발 동향 분석)

  • Han, Young-Jae;Jo, Jeong-Min;Lee, Jin-Ho;Lee, Chul-Ung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.7957-7963
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    • 2015
  • R&D trend for Auxiliary Power Supply(APU) of electric vehicle can be well understood by analyzing patents at home and abroad. Based on this trend analysis, domestic technology development direction is proposed. To get technique trend, patents of Korea, Japan, Europe and America published until February of 2014 are analyzed by WIPS DB. First, power converter and transformer two big category are classified. Power converter can be classified into resonant DC to DC converter and resonant Half bridge inverter; transformer can be classified into high frequency transformer, ferrite transformer and matching transformer. By analyzing R&D trend of different counties, companies and years, specific technology needed to be developed and trend of technology can be accurately grasped.

The fire Prevention measures of the underground transmission line (지중송전케이블의 방화대책)

  • Kwak, Bang-Myung;Tack, Eui-Gyun;Kim, Jae-Seung
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.07a
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    • pp.501-503
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    • 2001
  • Electric power consumption is highly increasing as the social trend requiring comfortable life, the population in a big city and the industrial development. Therefore it has become to be very important to supply the stable high-quality power. As these trend, the underground power transmission facility is highly increasing in the center of a city. As the proportion to increase facility in tunnel, the fire prevention measures of the underground transmission line become very important.

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Power Test of Trend Analysis using Simulation Experiment (모의실험을 이용한 경향성 분석기법의 검정력 평가)

  • Ryu, Yongjun;Shin, Hongjoon;Kim, Sooyoung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.219-227
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    • 2013
  • Time series data including change, jump, trend and periodicity generally have nonstationarity. Especially, various methods have been proposed to identify the trend about hydrological time series data. However, among various methods, evaluation about capability of each trend test has not been done a lot. Even for the same data, each method may show the different result. In this study, the simulation was performed for identification about the changes in trend analysis according to the statistical characteristics and the capability in the trend analysis. For this purpose, power test for the trend analysis is conducted using Men-Kendall test, Hotelling-Pabst test, t test and Sen test according to the slope, sample size, standard deviation and significance level. As a result, t test has higher statistical power than the others, while Mann-Kendall, Hotelling-Pabst, and Sen tests were similar results.

Power and Heat Load of IT Equipment Projections for New Data Center's HVAC System Design (데이터센터의 공조시스템 계획을 위한 IT장비의 전력 및 발열량 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Jin-Kyun;Shin, Seung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.212-217
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    • 2012
  • The cooling of data centers has emerged as a significant challenge as the density of IT equipment increased. With the rapid increasing of heat load and cooling system, predictions for electronics power trends have been closely watched. A data center power density projection is needed so that IT organizations can develop data centers with adequate cooling for reasonable lifetimes. This paper will discuss the need for something more than processor and equipment power trend projections which have overestimated the required infrastructure for customers. This projection will use data from a survey of actual enterprise data centers and the ASHRAE projections to formulate a data center server heat load trend projection.

The Trend of suppression technology of harmonics for distribution system (고조파 유출 억제기술의 동향)

  • Koh Hee Seog;Lee Hyun Moo;Lee Chung Sik
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.330-332
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    • 2004
  • Reliance on electric power has increased together with customer's demand for delightful and convenient linging. Recently, as appeared in the rapid growth of the technology of power electronics, the installation and apparatus using semiconductor applicotion is widly supplied and used from a household goods to industrial goods. However, these machine generate harmonics current and voltage for electric power system. The harmonics current is increased voltage distortion and generate a lot of interference in the electric power system. In this paper, the trend of the trend of suppression technology of harmonics outflow and the fundamental theory about the suppression of harmonics current in the distribution system are investigated and evaluated Therefore we look forward to supply electric power of good quality to satisfy the harmonics current guide line which is applied to household goods in the world.

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Long-Term Maximum Power Demand Forecasting in Consideration of Dry Bulb Temperature (건구온파를 오인한 장기최대전력수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 고희석;정재길
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 1985
  • Recently maximum power demand of our country has become to be under the great in fluence of electric cooling and air conditioning demand which are sensitive to weather conditions. This paper presents the technique and algorithm to forecast the long-term maximum power demand considering the characteristics of electric power and weather variable. By introducing a weather load model for forecasting long-term maximum power demand with the recent statistic data of power demand, annual maximum power demand is separated into two parts such as the base load component, affected little by weather, and the weather sensitive load component by means of multi-regression analysis method. And we derive the growth trend regression equations of above two components and their individual coefficients, the maximum power demand of each forecasting year can be forecasted with the sum of above two components. In this case we use the coincident dry bulb temperature as the weather variable at the occurence of one-day maximum power demand. As the growth trend regression equation we choose an exponential trend curve for the base load component, and real quadratic curve for the weather sensitive load component. The validity of the forecasting technique and algorithm proposed in this paper is proved by the case study for the present Korean power system.

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