• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power farm

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Analysis of wind farm power prediction sensitivity for wind speed error using LSTM deep learning model (LSTM 딥러닝 신경망 모델을 이용한 풍력발전단지 풍속 오차에 따른 출력 예측 민감도 분석)

  • Minsang Kang;Eunkuk Son;Jinjae Lee;Seungjin Kang
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.10-22
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    • 2024
  • This research is a comprehensive analysis of wind power prediction sensitivity using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning neural network model, accounting for the inherent uncertainties in wind speed estimation. Utilizing a year's worth of operational data from an operational wind farm, the study forecasts the power output of both individual wind turbines and the farm collectively. Predictions were made daily at intervals of 10 minutes and 1 hour over a span of three months. The model's forecast accuracy was evaluated by comparing the root mean square error (RMSE), normalized RMSE (NRMSE), and correlation coefficients with actual power output data. Moreover, the research investigated how inaccuracies in wind speed inputs affect the power prediction sensitivity of the model. By simulating wind speed errors within a normal distribution range of 1% to 15%, the study analyzed their influence on the accuracy of power predictions. This investigation provided insights into the required wind speed prediction error rate to achieve an 8% power prediction error threshold, meeting the incentive standards for forecasting systems in renewable energy generation.

Power Quality Analysis of Wind Farms interconnected in Jeju System during HVDC Overhaul (HVDC Overhaul 기간 중 제주계통에 연계된 풍력발전의 전력품질 분석)

  • Chae, Woo-Kyu;Yoon, Gi-Gab;Cho, Seong-Soo;Jung, Won-Wook
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.11
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    • pp.1946-1953
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    • 2008
  • Power system of Jeju is interconnected to the mainland using HVDC and that is also interconnected to three wind farms. It will be difficult to control of Jeju power system if HVDC is disconnected or HVDC is overhauled under large scale wind farms interconnected. We measured and analysed the power quality of two substation and two wind farms to assess that wind farms have an effect on Jeju system during the HVDC overhaul last May. We concentrated on the power quality like frequency, voltage variation, voltage harmonics, current harmonics, flicker. We can found that the frequency of Jeju system is very unstable during overhaul, so the frequency of Jeju system can be variated easily by wind farm's rapid output power variation. There are some benefits and weak points in power quality between two wind farms because each wind farm is consist of different wind turbines.

Economic Assessment of a Wind Farm Project Using Least Square Monte-Carlo (LSMC) Simulation (최소자승몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 풍력발전설비 투자계획)

  • Kim, Jin-A;Lee, Jong-Uk;Lee, Jae-Hee;Joo, Sung-Kwan
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.32-35
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    • 2011
  • The economic value of a wind farm project is influenced by various risk factors such as wind power output and electricity market price. In particular, there is uncertainty in the economic evaluation of a wind farm project due to uncertain wind power outputs, which are fluctuated by weather factors such as wind speed, and volatile electricity market prices. This paper presents a systematic method to assess the economic value and payback period of a wind farm project using Least Square Monte-Carlo (LSMC) simulation. Numerical example is presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed economic assessment method for a wind farm project.

Construction of Marine Small Hydro Power Plant using Discharge Water of Fish Farm (양어장 방류수를 이용한 해양소수력발전소 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Yeong-Cheol;Choi, Young-Do
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2013
  • This study is aimed to construct a marine small hydro power plant using discharge water of fish farm in Jeju Haengwon-ri. The difference of design methods between marine small hydro power plant and land small hydro power plant is to consider the tides. Moreover, ground condition should be examined because gushout sea water comes out from the ground at high tide in Jeju as the ground of Jeju beach consists of basalt stone. From the field test of the turbine generator after construction of the power plant, output power and efficiency of the turbine generator shows good conformance to the required conditions.

Short-term Wind Farm Power Forecasting Using Multivariate Analysis to Improve Wind Power Efficiency (풍력발전 설비 효율화를 위한 다변량 분석을 이용한 풍력발전단지 단기 출력 예측 방법)

  • Wi, Young-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.54-61
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents short-term wind farm power forecasting method using multivariate analysis and time series. Based on factor analysis, the proposed method makes new independent variables which newly composed by raw independent variables such as wind speed, ramp rate, wind power. Newly created variables are used in the time series model for forecasting wind farm power. To demonstrate the improved accuracy, the proposed method is compared with persistence model commonly used as reference in wind power forecasting using data from Jeju Island. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed forecasting method.

Determination of Optimum Size of Power Tiller (소형(小型) 동력경운기(動力耕耘機)의 적정(適正) 설계(設計)에 관한 연구(硏究) - 기관출력(機關出力)과 중량(重量)을 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Ryu, Kwan Hee;Kim, Kyeong Uk;Choi, Kyu Hong;Park, Keum Ju
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1985
  • The two agricultural zones, mid-and-northen region and southern region, were established according to the possibility of double cropping in the paddy field. For each agricultural zone typically mechanized farming systems with a power tiller for cultivating rice, barley and soybean were established. A computer program, which determines the optimum size of power tiller for the given farm size, the ratio of paddy area to total area and the ratio of double cropping area to the paddy area, was developed. The computer program was executed for the farm sizes, 1 to 3 ha, and the ratios of paddy area to the total area, 60~80%, and the ratio of double cropping area to the total paddy area, 70%. The following conclusions were drawn from analyzing the computer outputs. 1. In the mid-and-northern region, a smaller power tiller (5 or 6 PS) appeared to be more economical for the farm size up to 3 ha. From the viewpoint of fuel consumption a 6 PS power tiller appeared to be more favorable. 2. In the southern region, a smaller tiller (5 or 6 PS) appeared to be more economical for the farm size up to 1.5 ha. But, a larger power tiller (8 or 10 PS) appeared to become more economical as the farm size and the barley planted area increased. 3. For the southern region where rotary tilling is heavily required due to double cropping, it is recommended to develop a power tiller which weighs light like the conventional 5 or 6 PS small power tiller but has lager power.

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CFD Study on Aerodynamic Power Output of 6 MW Offshore Wind Farm According to the Wind Turbine Separation Distance (CFD를 활용한 6 MW 해상풍력발전단지의 풍력터빈 이격거리에 따른 공기역학적 출력 변화연구)

  • Choi, Nak-Joon;Nam, Sang-Hyun;Jeong, Jong-Hyun;Kim, Kyung-Chun
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.1063-1069
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents aerodynamic power outputs of wind turbine of 6 MW wind farm composed of 3 sets of 2 MW wind turbine according to the separation distance by using CFD. Layout design including offshore wind farm and onshore wind farm is key factor for the initial investment cost, annual energy production and maintenance cost. For each wind turbine rotor, not actuator disc model with momentum source but full 3-dimensional model is used for CFD and it has a great technical meaning. The results of this study can be applied to the offshore wind farm layout design effectively.

GIS Analysis on Siting Strategy of Offshore Wind Farm (해상풍력단지 입지전략 GIS 분석)

  • Song, Kyu-Bong;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.460-462
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    • 2009
  • This study has analyzed the scale, location, resource potential and feasibility of offshore wind farm scientifically and systematically based on the national wind map and GIS (Geographic Information System). For long-term wind power development, this study pursues siting strategy building, selection of target area and deciding development priority as well as the presenting a basis for assessment that are necessary for policy decision making by making theme layers under GIS environment. According to the analysis after organizing technological development by stages, even if only the most suitable sites are developed among the area of offshore wind farm candidates that can be developed under the current technological standard, it has been evaluated as being able to develop about 3 times of the wind power dissemination target until 2012. It is expected that about 5% of territorial water area can be developed in a short-term future while the southern offshore area possessing relatively favorable wind resource than the western offshore has been identified as the most feasible site. While about 23% of territorial water area has been classified as potential area for offshore wind farm development in a long-term future, even Jeju Island and offshore of Ulsan possessing excellent wind resource have been analyzed as feasible sites. The feasibility assessment of offshore wind farm development established by this study is expected to assist national strategy building for accomplishing the wind power dissemination target.

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Correction of Overcurrent Protective Relay on Distribution Feeders Considering the Power Output of Wind Farm Interconnected with Utility Networks (계통 연계 풍력발전단지의 출력 조건을 고려한 배전선 과전류 계전기 정정)

  • Kim, J.W.;Jang, S.I.;Kim, K.H.;Yoo, N.S.;Park, H.J.;Song, D.S.;Lee, J.M.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.342-344
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes the correction of overcurrent protective relaying set value in distribution networks interconnected with wind farm by dedicated line. The wind farm composed of wind turbine generators is one of the great energy sources; however, it would be also highly possible that the current in the point of common coupling is influenced by the output power of wind farm. So, the overcurrent relay applied in distribution feeders might generate trip signal for normal operation. In order to prevent the mal-operation of overcurrent relay, it is necessary to correct the relay's setting value according to the output power of end farm. This paper presents the influence of wind farm on the overcurrent relaying set value in distribution feeders for cases of fault as well as normal operation and proposes the basic strategy for correction of overcurrent relaying set value.

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Power Quality Analysis of Jeju Power System during HVDC Overhaul using PSCAD/EMTDC (PSCAD/EMTDC에 의한 직류연계선 오버홀시 제주계통의 전력품질 분석)

  • Kang, Bo-Seung;Kim, Jae-Hong;Kim, Eel-Hwan;Kim, Se-Ho;Oh, Seong-Bo;Song, Ki-Heouk
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.82-84
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents the modeling and power quality analysis of Jeju island power system connected with wind farm, and thermal power plant. It is for indicating the influence of wind farm operation in steady and transient state in Jeju island power system during the HVDC system overhaul period. For the computer simulation, three kinds of main item are modeled, which are 67[MW] wind farm, thermal power plant and Jeju power load. To analyze the influence of the wind power generation to the Jeju power system, two kinds of simulations are carried out by using the PSCAD/EMTDC program. One is the steady state operation under the variable speed wind, and the other is the transient state operation when all of wind farms in Jeju island are disconnected from the Jeju power grid instantaneously on the rated power output. With the comparison of these results, it is useful for analyzing the power quality of Jeju power system versus wind power generation.

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