• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.363-370
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• 2010

Load forecasting has always been essential to the operation and planning of power systems in deregulated electricity markets. Various methods have been proposed for load forecasting, and the neural network is one of the most widely accepted and used techniques. However, to obtain more accurate results, more information is needed as input variables, resulting in huge computational costs in the learning process. In this paper, to reduce training time in multi-layer perceptron-based short-term load forecasting, a graphics processing unit (GPU)-based computing method is introduced. The proposed approach is tested using the Korea electricity market historical demand data set. Results show that GPU-based computing greatly reduces computational costs.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.65 no.7
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• pp.1115-1120
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• 2016

This paper presents the daily load forecasting for special days considering the rate of operation of industrial consumers. The authors analyzed the power consumption pattern for both the special and ordinary days according to the contract power classification of industrial consumers, and selected 400~600 specific consumers for which the rates of operation during special days are needed. Load forecasting for 2014 special days considering the rate of operation of industrial consumers showed a noticeable improvement on forecasting error of daily peak demand, which proved the effectiveness of the survey for the rates of operation during special days of industrial consumers.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2000.07a
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• pp.495-497
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• 2000

The KEPCO is developing the load forecasting sysetm using land use simulation method and distribution planning system. Distribution planning needs the data of presents loads, forecasted loads sub-statin, and distribution lines. Using the data, determine the sub-station and feeder lines according to the load forecasting data. This paper presents the method of formulation processfor the long term load forecasting and optimal distribution planning and optimal distribution planning. And describes the case study of long term distribution planning of Kwangju city accord to the newly applied method.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1999.07c
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• pp.1522-1522
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• 1999

This paper proposes the methods of short-term load forecasting using Kohonen neural networks and back-propagation neural networks. Historical load data is divided into 5 patterns for the each seasonal data using Kohonen neural networks and using these results, load forecasting neural network is used for next day hourly load forecasting. Normal days and holidays are forecasted. For load forecasting in summer, max-, and min-temperature data are included in neural networks for a better forecasting accuracy. To show the possibility of the proposed method, it was tested with hourly load data of Korea Electric Power Corporation. (1993-1997)

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1992.07a
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• pp.495-497
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• 1992

Hourly load forecasting has become indispensable for practical simulation of electric power system as the system become larger and more complicated. To forecast the future hourly load the cyclic behavior of electric load which follows seasonal weather, day or week and office hours is to be analyzed so that the trend of the recent behavioral change can be extrapolated for the short term. For the long term, on the other hand, the changes in the infra-structure of each electricity consumer groups should be assessed. In this paper the concept and process of hourly load forecasting for hourly load is introduced.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.65 no.7
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• pp.1144-1150
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• 2016

Short-term load forecasting is essential to the electricity pricing and stable power system operations. The conventional weekday 24-hour load forecasting algorithms consider the temperature model to forecast maximum load and minimum load. But 24-hour load pattern forecasting models do not consider temperature effects, because hourly temperature forecasts were not present until the latest date. Recently, 3 hour temperature forecast is announced, therefore hourly temperature forecasts can be produced by mathematical techniques such as various interpolation methods. In this paper, a new 24-hour load pattern forecasting method is proposed by using similar day search considering the hourly temperature. The proposed method searches similar day input data based on the anomalous weather features such as continuous temperature drop or rise, which can enhance 24-hour load pattern forecasting performance, because it uses the past days having similar hourly temperature features as input data. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, it was applied to the case study. The case study results show high accuracy of 24-hour load pattern forecasting.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.11b
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• pp.272-274
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• 2001

This paper presents a model for short-term load forecasting using relationship of temperature and load. We made one-day ahead load forecasting model using hourly normalized load and 11 dummy variables that were classified by day characteristics such as day of the week, holiday, and special holiday.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.104.1-104
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• 2001

This paper presents a technique to development load control and management system in order to limits a maximum load demand and saves electric energy consumption. The computer programming proper load forecasting algorithm associated with programmable logic control and digital power meter through inform of multidrop network RS 485 over the twisted pair, over all are contained in this system. The digital power meter can measure a load data such as V, I, pf, P, Q, kWh, kVarh, etc., to be collected in statistics data convey to data base system on microcomputer and then analyzed a moving linear regression of load to forecast load demand Eventually, the result by forecasting are used for compost of load management and shedding for demand monitoring, Cycling on/off load control, Timer control, and Direct control. In this case can effectively reduce the electric energy consumption cost for 10% ...

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.833-836
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• 2012

Demand Controller is a load control device that monitor the current power consumption and calculate the forecast power to not exceed the power set by consumer. Accurate demand forecasting is important because of controlling the load use the way that sound a warning and then blocking the load when if forecasted demand exceed the power set by consumer. When if consumer with fluctuating power consumption use the existing forecasting method, management of demand control has the disadvantage of not stable. In this paper, examine the existing forecasting method and the exponential smoothing method, and then propose the forecasting method using Kalman Filter algorithm.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.5 no.10
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• pp.293-302
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• 2016

Since the electricity is produced and consumed simultaneously, predicting the electric load and securing affordable electric power are necessary for reliable electric power supply. In particular, a university campus is one of the highest power consuming institutions and tends to have a wide variation of electric load depending on time and environment. For these reasons, an accurate electric load forecasting method that can predict power consumption in real-time is required for efficient power supply and management. Even though various influencing factors of power consumption have been discovered for the educational institutions by analyzing power consumption patterns and usage cases, further studies are required for the quantitative prediction of electric load. In this paper, we build an electric load forecasting model by implementing and evaluating various machine learning algorithms. To do that, we consider three building clusters in a campus and collect their power consumption every 15 minutes for more than one year. In the preprocessing, features are represented by considering periodic characteristic of the data and principal component analysis is performed for the features. In order to train the electric load forecasting model, we employ both artificial neural network and support vector machine. We evaluate the prediction performance of each forecasting model by 5-fold cross-validation and compare the prediction result to real electric load.