• 제목/요약/키워드: Potential risk

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Scenario Planning and Risk Failure Mode Effect and Analysis (RFMEA) based Management

  • Paul, Virendra Kumar;Basu, Chaitali
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.24-29
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    • 2016
  • This paper elaborates the significance of scenario planning in risk management, and presents an integrated approach which takes into account the 'Risk Events' derived from scenario planning for risk prioritisation. This research integrates scenario planning with Risk Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (RFMEA) through examples from construction litigations of project schedule and cost overrun cases as a simplified approach to project risk management. The proposed methodology incorporates scenarios developed from realistic events of dispute and arbitration cases from construction projects, and thereby increasing potential to foresee risks and their effects well in advance. The results from this methodology shall be validated against outcome of survey study conducted by KPMG-PMI (2013) on project schedule and cost overruns that was based on Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) Project Monitoring data for 2012-13.

정보시스템 프로젝트의 위험요인에 대한 현업인력과 서비스제공인력과의 인식도 차이 (Perceptual Differences between IS Project Service Providers and Customers on Information System Project Risk Factors: a Koran case)

  • 이석준;조숙진;박정선;함유근;김용재
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 2007
  • Cases of botched information systems implementation have been surfaced due to poor IS project management and control. One major source of such failures is the perceptual difference between the participants of IS projects who should define potential risk factors well before considered IS projects are launched. Based on risk factors cited from prior works, this paper empirically examines the risk factors associated with IS service project management to analyze perceptual differences between the IS service providers and customers in Korea. Data analyses found significant differences in the area of scheduling/resource, technological newness, communications, and sponsorship/ownership while statistically significant differences were observed in eleven individual factors out of forty six risk factors. Risk factors are also ordered in terms of perceived importance to highlight the critical differences.

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A View from the Bottom: Project-Oriented Risk Mining Approach for Overseas Construction Projects

  • Lee, JeeHee;Son, JeongWook;Yi, June-Seong
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2015
  • Analysis of construction tender documents in overseas projects is a very important issue from a risk management point of view. Unfortunately, majority of construction firms are biased by winning contracts without in-depth analysis of tender documents. As a result, many contractors have incurred loss in overseas projects. Although a lot of risk analysis techniques have been introduced, most of them focus project's external unexpected risks such as country conditions and owner's financial standing. However, because those external risks are difficult to control and take preemptive action, we need to concentrate on project inherent risks. Based on this premise, this paper proposes a project-oriented risk mining approach which could detect and extract project risk factors automatically before they are materialized and assess them. This study presents a methodology regarding how to extract potential risks which exist in owner's project requirements and project tender documents using state of the art data analysis method such as text mining, data mining, and information visualization. The project-oriented risk mining approach is expected to effectively reflect project characteristics to the project risk management and could provide construction firms with valuable business intelligence.

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아동 및 청소년의 인터넷 게임 사용수준에 따른 인터넷 게임 이용동기와 학교생활 적응 (The Relationships Among Children's/Adolescents' Frequency Levels of Playing Internet Games, Motives for Playing Internet Games and Adaptation to School)

  • 변성희;김정민
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to examine children's/adolescents' motives for playing internet games and adaptation to school in accordance with their frequency levels of playing internet games. Participants were 236 children from grades 4, 5, and 6 in two elementary schools and 237 adolescents from grades 1, 2, and 3 in one middle school. They were measured on frequency levels of playing internet games, motives for playing internet games, and adaptation to school. Collected data were analyzed by SPSS WIN 12.0 for reliability, frequency, Chi-square test, t-test, Pearson's correlation, and one way ANOVA. Major findings of the research are as follows: First, children's/adolescents' frequency levels of playing internet games differed by their gender. The male ratio was much higher than the female ratio in the potential risk group and the high risk poop. In contrast, no grade differences on the frequency levels of playing internet games were found. Second, children's/adolescents' motives for playing internet games differed by their gender. Especially, among the motives the greatest difference between male and female was marked for 'Social Relationship'. Third, children's/adolescents' motives for playing internet games differed by their frequency levels of playing internet games. For 'Conformity,' the low risk group differed from the high risk group. For 'Spending Time', 'Benefit', 'Competition', and 'Social Relationship', the low risk group differed from the potential risk group and also from the high risk poop. Fourth, children's/adolescents' adaptation to school differed by their frequency levels of playing internet games. The high risk group exhibited a low level of adaptation in 'Academic Activities', 'a subcategory of adaptation to school.

아동이 지각한 부모의 부부갈등, 양육태도, 감독과 통제와 인터넷 중독에 대한 연구 (A Study on Internet Addiction and Parental Marital Conflict, Parenting Attitudes, and Parental Monitoring and Control as perceived by Elementary School Children)

  • 양명숙;조은주
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.339-351
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to inquire into how children's internet addiction is affected by home environments, computing environments, parental marital conflicts, parenting attitudes and parental monitoring and control as perceived by children. The study was conducted on 579 sixth graders at elementary schools located in Daejeon City. The data was analyzed by frequency, percentage, $X^2$, one way ANOVA, and scheffe analysis using the SPSS 18.0 version program. The results were as follows: first, out of 579 students, 5.0% were classified as at high-risk for addiction; 22.8% as at potential-risk; 72.2% as normal. Second, in the high-risk group, boys accounted for a higher percentage compared to girl students. Mothers' academic backgrounds and fathers' occupations affected the children's internet addiction. Third, the high-risk group tended to use the internet in internet cafes, to use it before going to elementary school, to use it for at least 4 hours once, and to use it to play games. Fourth, the high-risk group perceived parents marital conflicts as more frequent and more severer, as compared to other groups. Fifth, while the high-risk group perceived parenting attitudes as negative, the normal group perceived them as positive. Sixth, the potential-risk group and the normal group perceived parental monitoring and control as more frequent, as compared to the high-risk group.

Modeling of Public Risk Perception and Risk Communication Research: In A Social-Cognitive Direction

  • Li, Yiwei;Guo, Yu;Ito, Naoya
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.217-231
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    • 2014
  • This study begins with a review of commonly discussed dimensions of public risk perception that may influence public opinion toward risks. Factors that have been revealed by the literature to have substantial impact on risk perception, such as demographic background, trust, and media environment, are also discussed. Meanwhile, we evaluate two well-known research models in the realm of risk analysis: 1) the psychometric paradigm, and 2) the social amplification of risk framework (SARF). Based on a literature review, this study suggests that, besides the psychological and social approach, models of risk perception and risk communication research should shift to a more comprehensive one by considering the interrelations between laypeople and the environment. This study proposes a research model from the perspective of social cognitive theory (SCT) as a potential framework for future studies: 1) in the societal environment, individuals' risk perception and information seeking behavior, which is determined by risk perception will be influenced by trust in regulators and interpersonal trust; 2) in the media environment, individuals' risk perception and information seeking behavior will be influenced by individuals' perceived information characteristics. Knowledge about risk accumulated through information seeking will change risk perception in a longitudinal process.

수입 화물의 위험 기반 검사(RBI)를 위한 규칙 기반 위험 분류 알고리즘의 설계 및 구현 (Design and Implementation of a Rule-based Risk Classification Algorithm for Risk-based Inspection (RBI) of Imported Goods)

  • 차주호;허훈
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we describe a rule-based risk classification algorithm to perform Risk-based Inspection (RBI) on imported goods at customs. The RBI system is a method to automatically select which cargos have to be inspected and manage potential risks in boarder. In this study, we designed a rule-based risk classification algorithm for RBI solutions and implemented them using the Svelte web application framework. The risk classification algorithm proposed in this paper uses different indicative risk factors such as HS code, country of origin, importer's reliability, trade relationships, and logistics routes to classify cargos into Green, Yellow, and Red channels. To achieve this, we assigned risk categories to each risk factor and randomly generated risk scores within a specific range for each risk category. This system is expected to contribute to the increased efficiency of customs operations and protect public safety by minimizing the risk of imported hazardous materials.

기존 지하철 터널 운영 중 대피선 건설 시공 리스크 분석 (Risk analysis for sidetrack construction during subway tunnel operation)

  • 전종훈;정희영;고성일;윤희택;이나현;최항석
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.401-417
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    • 2020
  • 증가하는 도심지 전철 급행화의 요구에 따라, 완행과 급행철도를 동시에 운영할 수 있도록 하는 부본선의 건설이 필요하다. 그러나 기존 대피선 설치 방안은 열차의 운행을 차단한다는 점에서 긴 공사기간이 필요할 뿐만 아니라 막대한 경제적 손실을 발생시키는 문제점이 있다. 이를 개선하고자 기존 지하철 터널 운영 중이라는 특수한 상황에서의 대피선 설치 방안 연구가 필요하며 대피선 건설방안 적용에 따른 시공 리스크 분석 또한 요구된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 지하철 4호선 과천정부청사역을 가상의 대피선 건설 대상역으로 선정하여 최적의 대피선 건설방안을 도출하였으며, 기존 지하철 터널운영 중 대피선 건설 예비 설계단계 시 발생 가능한 리스크 사건에 대한 리스크 식별 및 대응계획 수립, 리스크 평가, 리스크 통제 및 관리의 일련의 리스크 관리 프로세스를 수행하였다. 총 8가지의 발생 가능한 리스크 사건과 리스크 저감 대책을 선정하였으며 5단계의 리스크 사건 발생확률 및 영향도 기준을 활용한 리스크 평가 매트릭스를 구축하여 리스크 및 잔류 리스크 평가를 수행하였다. 리스크 평가 결과를 바탕으로 각 리스크 사건의 평가 점수와 리스크 저감 대책공법의 저감효과를 확인하였다.

쉴드 TBM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리: I. 리스크 요인 분석 (Risk management applicable to shield TBM tunnel: I. Risk factor analysis)

  • 현기창;민상윤;문준배;정경환;이인모
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2012
  • 일반적으로 리스크 관리는 리스크 확인, 리스크 분석, 리스크 평가, 리스크 대책, 리스크 재평가를 포함하는 일련의 과정으로 구성된다. 본 논문에서는 쉴드 TBM 터널에서 발생 가능한 리스크 요인들을 여러 문헌 자료와 워크샵을 바탕으로 조사하였다. 리스크 요인들은 지질 요인, 설계 요인, 시공 관리 요인으로 구분되었다. Fault Tree도는 리스크들을 커터, 기계 구속, 배토(굴진), 세그먼트과 관련된 4그룹으로 분류하여 작성되었다. FT도로부터 12가지 리스크 아이템을 확인하고 각각의 발생확률을 구하였다.