• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population migration

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A Conceptual Analysis of Household Migration Decisions (가구의 이동결정에 관한 개념적고찰)

  • 김헌민
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.26-34
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    • 1991
  • Migration studies that assume that decision making is done on an individual basis is overlooking the importance of the family factor. Considering that must people belong to families, it is more appropriate to view migration decision from the perspective of the family. This study analyzes the household migration decision whereby the alternatives are to stay, 10 undertake family migration or to undertake single migration of a member. In developing a conceptual model of household migration decision, it is assumed that the household's objective is to maximize household income which is a function of individual members' earnings. The benefits and costs of household migration and individual migration are identified and the household chooses the migration strategy that maximizes expected household income. When household members have conflicting earning prospects in the potential destination, the household considers single migration of the member with the best earning potentials. However, lone migration by a household member involves cost of family separation which is both monetary and psychic, and this study shows that lone migration is undertaken only when its net gains to the family are greater than the separation cost of the family. The major benefit of choosing single migration is the retention of home base in the place of origin which can serve as an insurance against the uncertainty of obtaining a job in the destination, the benefit that is unavailable in family migration. The conceptual analysis shows how a household's migration decision would depend on its members' economic roles and prospects in the destination. Besides the economic variables, social and life cycle variables of the family translate into separation costs and benefits of migration. This study indicates that one - earner family in low economic status but with good earning prospects and high separation costs is more likely to choose family migration over single migration.

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Development of a model to forecast the external migration rate in development projects reflecting city characteristics

  • Kim, Ki-Bum;Park, Joon;Seo, Jee-Won;Yu, Young-Jun;Hyun, In-Hwan;Koo, Ja-Yong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.406-419
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    • 2018
  • In planning public service systems such as waterworks, the design population is very important factor. Owing to the limitations of the indirect method, two new models, which take into consideration urban characteristics, were developed to accurately predict external migration rate (EMR), which is an essential component in estimating reliably the design population. The root mean square error (RMSE) between the model values and observed values were 10.12 and 15.58 for the metropolitan cities and counties respectively and were lower compared to RMSE values of 27.31 and 28.79 obtained by the indirect method. Thus, the developed models provide a more accurate estimate of EMR than the indirect method. In addition, the major influencing factors for external migration in counties were development type, ageing index, number of businesses. On the other hand, the major influencing migration factors for cities were project scale, distance to city center, manufacturing size, population growth rate and residential environment. Future medium and long-term studies would be done to identify emerging trends to appropriately inform policy making.

A study on the Population and Public Health Policies in East European Countries (동구 제국의 인구 및 보건의료정책에 관한 종합적 연구)

  • 안계춘;김영기
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 1988
  • Though most of East European coutries seem to hold a pronatalist policy, they approve of family planning and provide contraceptive services. One of the most popular contraceptive method has traditionally been the coitus interruptus in these countries. One of the major reasons for adopting family planning is to decrease the incidence of induced abortion has been closely related to the popular use of coitus interruptus in these countries. Most of the East European countries liberalized induce abortion legally mainly to neutralize the wide practice of illegal abortion. However, the practice of induced abortion is under the strict control of the public health authorities in these countries. Migration and redistribution of population of population are mostly under the control of the state in these socialist countries. Policies on migration and redistribution are usually carried out to achieve the general goal of socio-economic development plan of the states. Both incentive measures and control measures are mobilized to affect the internal migration and redistribution of population. With respect to public health East European countries are characterized by the socialized medicine following the Soviet model. Public health measures and medical practice are controlled by the state and highly centralized in many countries except Yugoslavia. They place much emphasis on preventive medicine, primary health care, occupatinal and industrial medicine, and health education. Private sectors in medical practice do not exist in these countries of Eastern Europe.

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Analysis on the Dynamic Characteristics of Migration and Regional Economic Growth between Regions (지역 간 인구이동과 지역경제성장의 동태적 특징에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Woo;Lee, Du-Heon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.310-321
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    • 2021
  • The influence of regional economic growth on migration may also differ by age and generation age due to individual lifestyle. Therefore, this study analyzes an effects of changes in regional economic growth on migration between regions by age group. The result shows that the increase in the growth rate of the regional economy and job creation increased the net migration rate, regardless of age group. Second, it is found that the growth rate of the regional economy and job creation have a greater effect on the net migration rate for the youth population than for the middle-aged group. Third, it is found that the gap between regions in the level of individual income in the 25 to 29 years old and the level of land price fluctuations in the 40 to 64 years old affect the net migration rate. This implies that regional economic growth is still an important factor in the migration between regions, and has a great influence on the youth population.

Up and Down Flows of Migration in National-Space Hierarchy Over Time (국토공간계층에서 상방 및 하방 이주 흐름 변화 분석)

  • Han, Yicheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2016
  • Throughout the economic development era of Korea, migration occurred within a spatial hierarchy, with upward flows from rural areas to urban. The concept of step migration is a typical theory to explain these upward migration flows. Recent migration data and trends, however, indicate that migration-pattern regime shows strongly opposite-direction flows, with many of the major migration flowing downward on this national-spatial hierarchy, away from urban areas. In this study, we examine the most recent structure of migration flows up and down within the national-spatial hierarchy. We define seven tiers to tabulate origin-destination migration flows from population density of local administrative districts for the period 2001-2014, and then analyze the migration patterns between the tiers over time. The results show differentiated patterns of migration within the national-spatial hierarchy over time including specific states of migrants' life cycles.

Fluctuations in the Abundance of Common Squid, Todarodes pacificus and Environmental Conditions in the Far East Regions during 52 Years

  • Gong, Yeong;Jeong, Hee-Dong;Choi, Kwang-Ho;Seong, Ki-Tack;Kim, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2006
  • Environmental variables, fishing and biological data of the common squid, Todarodes pacificus were used to describe changes in structure, migration and abundance of the squid population in relation to ocean climate shifts. It was possible to consider the main groups of the squid (autumn and winter-spawned groups) as a single population to aid conservation in the waters around Korea and Japan (TWC and KOC regions). The patterns of yearly fluctuations in abundance of the squid population in the two regions were the same during 52 years of $1952{\sim}2003$. The abundance of the squid began to decrease in both regions in the early 1970s, remained low in the 1980s and the main squid groups synchronously increased in the 1990s coincident with favorable changes of thermal conditions and plankton production in those ecosystems. The mechanisms of changes in the structure, distribution and abundance of common squid population in relation to current-mediated migration circuits are explained on the basis of phenological variables responding to climate shifts.

Variation and Forecast of Rural Population in Korea: 1960-1985 (농촌인구(農村人口)의 변화(變化)와 예측(豫測))

  • Kwon, Yong Duk;Choi, Kyu Seob
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.8
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 1990
  • This study investigated the relationship between the cutflow of rural population and agricultural policy by using time series method. For the analytical tools, decomposition time series methods and regression technique were employed in computing seasonal fluctuation and cyclical fluctuation of population migration. Also, this study predicted farmhouse, rural population till the 2000's by means of the mathematical methods. The analytical forms employed in forecasting farmhouse, rural population were Exponential curve, Gompertz curve and Transcendental form. The major findings of this study were identified as follows: 1) Rural population and farmhouse population began to decrease from 1965 and hastily went down since 1975. Rural population which accounted for 36.4 percent, 35.6 percent of national population respectively in 1960 diminished about two times: 17.5 percent, 17.1 percent respectively. 2) The rapid decreasing of the rural population was caused because of the outflow of rural people to the urban regions. Of course, that was also caused from the natural decreases but the main reason was heavily affected more the former than the latter. In the outflowing course shaped from rural to the urban regions, rural people concentrated on such metropolis as Seoul, Pusan, Keanggi. But these trends were diminishing slowly. On the other hand, compared with that of the 1970's the migration to Keanggi was still increasing in the 1980's. That is, people altered the way of migration from the migration to Seoul, Pusan to the migration to the out-skirts of Seoul. 3) The seasonal fluctuation index of population migration has gone down since the June which the request of agricultural labor force increases and has turned to be greatly wanted in the March as result of decomposition time series method. As result of cyclical analysis, the cyclical patterns of migration have greatly 7 cycle. 4) As result of forecasting the rural and farmhouse population, rural and farmhouse population in the 2000 will be about 9,655(thousand/people) and 4,429(thousand/people) respectively. Thus, it is important to analyze the probloms that rural and farmhouse population will decrease or increase by the degree. But fairly defining the agricultural into a industry that supply the food, this problem - how much our nation need the rural and farmhouse population - is greatly significant too. Therefore, the basic problems of the agricultural including the outflows of rural people are the earning differentials between rural and urban regions. And we should regard the problems of the gap of relative incomes between rural and urban regions as the main task of the agricultural policy and treat the agricultural policy in the viewpoint of developing economic equilibrium than efficiency by using actively the natural resources of the rural regions.

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The Process of Migration Among Ulleung Island Residents (울릉도민의 이주과정에 대한 인구사회학적 고찰)

  • Kim Tae Won
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.147-169
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    • 2004
  • The paper examines migration and settlement process of the Ulleung Island residents. On the theoretical side, this paper analyzes migration and settlement process of the Ulleung Island residents in relation with a social, cultural, and political phenomenon of that island. And on the methodological side analyzes this paper historical literatures and output materials of field work. In order to achieve the purpose of this study, this paper approaches the issue on three dimensions. First, this article pursues the movement course of the Ulleung Island residents in the early Gaecheokryoung era. Second, it follows up their settlement process. Third, it tries to find out the factors of the population increase and decrease. The findings are as follows: The factors of migration of Ulleung Island residents are following three - first, social and political motive, second, economical motive, and third, criminal motive. The immigrants with these motives have constituted a unique society on the Ulreung Island.

Effects of Climate-Changes on Patterns of Seasonal Changes in Bird Population in Rice Fields using a Prey-Predator Model (포식자-피식자 모델을 이용하여 기후변화가 논습지를 이용하는 조류 개체군 동태에 미치는 영향 예측)

  • Lee, Who-Seung
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.294-303
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    • 2013
  • BACKGROUND: It is well known that rice-fields can provide excellent foraging places for birds including seasonal migrants, wintering, and breeding and hence the high biodiversity of rice-fields may be expected. However, how environmental change including climate-changes on life-history and population dynamics in birds on rice-fields has not been fully understood. In order to investigate how climate-change affects population migratory patterns and migration timing, I modeled a population dynamics of birds in rice-fields over a whole year. METHODS AND RESULTS: I applied the Lotka-Volterra equation to model the population dynamics of birds that have been foraging/visiting rice-fields in Korea. The simple model involves the number of interspecific individuals and temperature, and the model parameters are periodic in time as the biological activities related to the migration, wintering and reproduction are seasonal. As results, firstly there was a positive relationship between the variation of seasonal population sizes and temperature change. Secondly, the reduced lengths of season were negatively related to the population size. Overall, the effects of the difference of lengths of season on seasonal population dynamics were higher than the effects of seasonal temperature change. CONCLUSION(S): Climate change can alter population dynamics of birds in rice-fields and hence the variation may affect the fitness, such as reproduction, survival and migration. The unstable balances of population dynamics in birds using paddy rice field as affected by climate change can reduce the population growth and species diversity in rice fields. The results suggest that the agricultural production is partly affected by the unstable balance of population in birds using rice-fields.