• 제목/요약/키워드: Population dynamics

검색결과 537건 처리시간 0.031초

다른 시간 단위에서 백로류 개체군 변동과 그 결정 요인 (Factors influencing population dynamics of herons in rice paddy at different time scales)

  • 남형규;김명현;권순익;어진우;송영주
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2018
  • 생태계 내에서 개체군 변동을 이해하는데 다양한 시간 스케일에서의 분석이 유용한 방법이 될 수 있다. 최근까지 다양한 시간 스케일에서의 개체군 변동에 대한 연구는 거의 드물다. 본 연구는 2014년부터 2017년까지 4년간 충남 당진시 석문면 논에 도래하는 백로류 개체군을 대상으로 시간 스케일에 따른 이들 개체군 변동에 영향을 미치는 요인을 확인하기 위해 수행되었다. 백로류는 황로, 왜가리, 중대백로, 중백로, 쇠백로만을 대상으로 하였으며, 고정된 지점에 설치된 무인모니터링 시스템을 활용하여 백로류의 개체군 변동을 다른 시간 단위의 스케일인 월 단위와 일 단위 변동으로 나누어 확인하였다. 그 결과, 월별 개체군 변동에 영향을 미치는 요인은 시기, 평균 온도, 평균 강수량으로 나타났고, 일별 개체군 변동에 영향을 미치는 요인은 평균 온도와 서식지 유형이 중요한 것으로 확인되었다. 시기의 통계적 유의성이 일 단위에서는 나타나지 않고 월 단위에서 확인된 이유는 백로류의 논 이용 패턴이 일 단위보다는 월 단위 스케일에서 명확히 구별되기 때문으로 판단된다. 이를 통해 시간 스케일에 따라 백로류에 영향을 미치는 요인에 차이가 있다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

인구감소형 도시의 주택정책 개선방안 연구 (A Study on Mea'sures to Improve Housing Policy for Population Declining Cities)

  • 문태훈
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.127-151
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to examine measures to improve government's supply oriented housing policy in population declining cities. For this purpose, system dynamics simulation method was used to build urban-housing model and different sets of housing policies were tested to see their impact on local housing problems. Simulation result shows that there is no best set of housing policies that can solve all housing problems in population declining cities. It also indicates that housing policy that solve one type of problems can worsen other type of problems. Housing policy that increases population size has negative effect of housing oversupply. It also increases proportion of old houses in population declining cities. However, housing policy that makes city younger with newer houses tends to increase housing shortage and housing price. So, policy choice needs to be made with clear understanding of trade off between different policies. The result also shows it is difficult to expect a full scale effect of housing policy on local housing problems unless it is executed with regional economic development policy because local housing problems are so closely related with local economic problem in population declining local cities.

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시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구 (Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2003년도 하계학술대회발표논문집
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper was developing a development density control model for urban growth management, using system dynamics modeling. The density control model was developed to see how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. Suggesting adequate level of development density control using the model was another purpose of this paper. The model was applied to An'yang city to estimate the maximum number of population, industry structures, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current An'yang city's infrastructur capacity. The computer simulation results shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. To reduce the population to the adequate level that the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio are needed to be strengthened at least 20 to 35%.

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NUMERICAL METHODS FOR A STIFF PROBLEM ARISING FROM POPULATION DYNAMICS

  • Kim, Mi-Young
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.161-176
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    • 2005
  • We consider a model of population dynamics whose mortality function is unbounded. We note that the regularity of the solution depends on the growth rate of the mortality near the maximum age. We propose Gauss-Legendre methods along the characteristics to approximate the solution when the solution is smooth enough. It is proven that the scheme is convergent at fourth-order rate in the maximum norm. We also propose discontinuous Galerkin finite element methods to approximate the solution which is not smooth enough. The stability of the method is discussed. Several numerical examples are presented.

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A DISCONTINUOUS GALERKIN METHOD FOR A MODEL OF POPULATION DYNAMICS

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Yin, Y.X.
    • 대한수학회논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.767-779
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    • 2003
  • We consider a model of population dynamics whose mortality function is unbounded. We approximate the solution of the model using a discontinuous Galerkin finite element for the age variable and a backward Euler for the time variable. We present several numerical examples. It is experimentally shown that the scheme converges at the rate of $h^{3/2}$ in the case of piecewise linear polynomial space.

시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구 (Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this dissertation is to build a development density control model and estimate optimum developmental density level for a sustainable urban growth management. To develop the model, system dynamics modeling approach was used. The model was developed to analyze how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. The model was applied to Anyang city to estimate optimum density level. Extensive computer simulation was conducted to find out the maximum numbers of population, industry structure, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current Anyang city's infrastructure capacity. The computer simulation result shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. It nab analyzed that 20% increase of existing capacity of urban infrastructure is necessary to support current population of Anyang city. To reduce the population to the adequate level whereby the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio needs be strengthened at least 20% to 35%.

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Evaluation of Commercial Pheromones on the Population Dynamics of Spodoptera frugiperda (J. E. smith) and Mythimna loreyi (Duponchel) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)

  • Seo Yeon Hong;Hwi Jong Yi;Young Nam Yoon;Yun Woo Jang;Ki Do Park;Rameswor Maharjan
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제67권4호
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2022
  • The trapping efficacy of five commercially available sex pheromones manufactured in Korea, the Netherlands, North America, China, and Costa Rica was evaluated to determine the population dynamics of Spodoptera frugiperda and Mythimna loreyi and their relationships with the weather parameters of maize fields in Miryang, Gyeongnam Province, Korea in 2019. The results show that the sex pheromone manufactured in Costa Rica were more efficient at capturing S. frugiperda and M. loreyi than those manufactured in other countries. The lowest number of S. frugiperda moths were captured using sex pheromones manufactured in the Netherlands. We noted that more than four population peaks of both the moth species and weather parameters influenced the moth population dynamics in Miryang. A positive relationship was observed between the population of S. frugiperda and weather parameters, such as mean temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity, for sex pheromones manufactured in Korea. Furthermore, a positive relationship was recorded between the population of M. loreyi and wind speed for the sex pheromone manufactured in Korea. The results of this study suggest that the sex pheromones manufactured in Costa Rica are the best solution for the efficient capture of S. frugiperda and M. loreyi under typical weather conditions in the southern parts of Korea. In addition, the outcomes of this study are discussed in terms of population dynamics and integrated pest management for S. frugiperda and M. loreyi as alternatives to chemical management by maize producers. Further studies related to the continuous improvement in the capture efficiency of both moth species using sex pheromones are now needed.

시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 고령화 사회 인구에 따른 지목별 토지거래량에 관한 연구 (System Dynamic Approaches on Land-Price Volume in Land according to Population of Aging Society)

  • 최해옥
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2015
  • The price-volume in land by land categories is evaluated with dynamic approaches in the era of aging society This research tries to investigate in the respect of major factors such as real estate, macro-economics, and population that is simulated by land categories. The system dynamics approaches on price-volume in land are forecasted until 2020 using the data in the period of 2000-2014. In regard to methodologies, this research adopted system dynamics to evaluate the relationships between price-volume in land and aging society. The meaningful results have been found during the last over 10 year's analysis as the dynamic relations with major factors. Regarding land categories, this research tries to overcome former research limitations. As an implication from the price-volume in land, it confirmed that the multifaceted aspects show that system dynamics approach effectively simulated them by price-volume in land with the population of aging society.

해충발생동태 및 예찰모델 개발: 수원에서의 이화명나방 발생 사례 (Development of Insect Population Dynamics and Forecast Models: A Case of Chilo suppressalis(Walker) Occurrence in Suwan)

  • 이준호
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 1999
  • 수원 지역에서의 이화명나방 발생의 장기적 경시적 변화 패턴을 분석하고 수원 지역에서의 이화명나방 봄나방(I화기) 발생시기 예찰 모델을 개발하였다.수원에서의 이화명나방의 개체군동태는 1965년부터 1996년까지 한 번의 큰 피크와 한 번의 작은 피크를 보인 주기적 변동을 보였으며 발생 변동의 큰 주기는 대략 36세대 (18년)로 분석되었다. 수원 지역에서의 이화명나방 발생동태는 l세대를 작은 주기로 하는 내적 유발성 주기성을 보였으며 전세대의 밀도의존성이 높은 제 l차 부의 피이드백 작용에 의해 지배되는 내적 동태성이 기본이었다. 이화명나방 개체군 변동 메카니즘은 밀도의 급격한 감소에도 불구하고 변화가 없었다.수원 지역의 이화명나방 발생 자료를 바탕으로 봄나방 발생시기 예찰 모델들(온도발육모델 및 온일도 모델)을 개발하였다.또한, 이화명나방 개체군 동태와 관련한 봄나방 성충 예찰 문제를 고찰하였다.

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