• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Estimation

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Bayesian Estimation of k-Population Weibull Distribution Under Ordered Scale Parameters (순서를 갖는 척도모수들의 사전정보 하에 k-모집단 와이블분포의 베이지안 모수추정)

  • 손영숙;김성욱
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2003
  • The problem of estimating the parameters of k-population Weibull distributions is discussed under the prior of ordered scale parameters. Parameters are estimated by the Gibbs sampling method. Since the conditional posterior distribution of the shape parameter in the Gibbs sampler is not log-concave, the shape parameter is generated by the adaptive rejection sampling. Finally, we applied this estimation methodology to the data discussed in Nelson (1970).

Some efficient ratio-type exponential estimators using the Robust regression's Huber M-estimation function

  • Vinay Kumar Yadav;Shakti Prasad
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.291-308
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    • 2024
  • The current article discusses ratio type exponential estimators for estimating the mean of a finite population in sample surveys. The estimators uses robust regression's Huber M-estimation function, and their bias as well as mean squared error expressions are derived. It was campared with Kadilar, Candan, and Cingi (Hacet J Math Stat, 36, 181-188, 2007) estimators. The circumstances under which the suggested estimators perform better than competing estimators are discussed. Five different population datasets with a well recognized outlier have been widely used in numerical and simulation-based research. These thorough studies seek to provide strong proof to back up our claims by carefully assessing and validating the theoretical results reported in our study. The estimators that have been proposed are intended to significantly improve both the efficiency and accuracy of estimating the mean of a finite population. As a result, the results that are obtained from statistical analyses will be more reliable and precise.

Estimation Methods for Population Pharmacokinetic Models using Stochastic Sampling Approach (확률적 표본추출 방법을 이용한 집단 약동학 모형의 추정과 검증에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Yoon, Jeong-Hwa;Lee, Eun-Kyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.175-188
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    • 2015
  • This study is about estimation methods for the population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodymic model. This is a nonlinear mixed effect model, and it is difficult to find estimates of parameters because of nonlinearity. In this study, we examined theoretical background of various estimation methods provided by NONMEM, which is the most widely used software in the pharmacometrics area. We focused on estimation methods using a stochastic sampling approach - IMP, IMPMAP, SAEM and BAYES. The SAEM method showed the best performance among methods, and IMPMAP and BAYES methods showed slightly less performance than SAEM. The major obstacle to a stochastic sampling approach is the running time to find solution. We propose new approach to find more precise initial values using an ITS method to shorten the running time.

A Validation of Estimating the National Cancer Incidence in Korea using the Databases of 7 Population-based Regional Cancer Registries except Seoul (서울을 제외한 7개 지역암등록본부 자료를 활용한 국가 암통계 추정의 타당성)

  • Bae, Jong-Myeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.130-134
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : A method of estimation using 8 populationbased cancer registries databases in Korea(KRCR DB) has been introduced as another strategy for validly estimating the national cancer incidence(NCI) in Korea. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the validity of this method with using the 7 KRCR DBs, excluding Seoul covering 21% of the total population of Korea. Methods : We designed the study method(NCSE_7) as same as the estimating method with using 8 KRCR DBs (NCSE_8) in order to ensure maximal comparability. We defined the expected number of cancer cases in each registry as the number of observed cases and then we added the weighted observed cases according to gender, age and the proportion of the population covered by each registry for the population of the seven regions and the population of all areas, with excluding these seven regions. From the expected number of total cancer incidents, the estimated NCI was calculated by dividing the expected number of cancer cases by the number of the total population. The standard error(SE) of the estimated incidence was also taken from the expected number of total cancer incidents. Results : Compared with the results of the NCSE_8, the overall age-standardized rates(ASR) in men and women became over-estimated and under-estimated, respectively. Primary sites that showed statistically significant differences were the colo-rectum, prostate, breast and thyroid. The index of death certificate only(DCO)and microscopically verified(MV)% indicating levels of data quality were decreased, especially for the brain in DCO% and kidney in the MV%. Conclusions : The database of Seoul regional cancer registry has a key role for the method to estimate the valid nationwide cancer statistics in Korea with using the population-based cancer registries databases.

Estimation of Design Population and Design Wastewater Flow Rate for the BTO Project of Wastewater Treatment Facilities (하수종말처리시설 민간투자사업을 위한 계획 인구 및 계획 하수량 추정)

  • Son, Young-Gyu;Lee, So-Young;Kim, Lee-Hyung;Khim, Jee-Hyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2008
  • A novel method was suggested for the estimation of design population and design wastewater flow rate in fishing and agrarian village. Even though the population was decreasing continuously in this area, the design population was considered as constant with the passage of the time in conventional methods. And although the portion of groundwater uses was pretty high, the design wastewater flow rate was determined by the supply amount of tap water. Consequently, the design population and the design wastewater flow rate were overestimated. To prevent these overestimates, the design population was predicted to decrease gradually using the population trends from Korea National Statistical Office, and the design wastewater flow rate was determined using the way that the supply amount of tap water was applied in developed areas and the supply amount of groundwater was used in undeveloped areas.

Some Properties of Sequential Point Estimation of the Mean

  • Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.657-663
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    • 2005
  • Under the minimum risk point estimation formulation of Robbins(1959), we consider the sequential point estimation problem for normal population $N({\theta},\;{\theta})$ with unknown parameter ${\theta}$. In the case of completely unknown ${\theta}$, Stein's(1945) two-stage procedure is known to enjoy the consistency property, but it is not even first-order efficient. In the case when ${\theta}>{\theta}_L\;where\;{\theta}_L(>0)$ is known, the revised two-stage procedure is shown to enjoy all the usual second-order properties.

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Constrained Estimation of the Numbers of Trials in Several Binomial Populations

  • Oh, Myongsik;Lee, Eun-Kyoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.699-709
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    • 2000
  • The constrained maximum likelihood estimation of the number of trials in several binomial populations under order restriction, such as simple order, is discussed. The estimation procedure is based on, so called, pool adjacent violators algorithm. Three handy estimators are given and their performances are compared using an artificial example.

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The Characteristics of Population and Family Composition by the Unit Type in Apartment Houses (아파트단지의 단위세대별 인구 및 가족형구성에 관한 분석)

  • Chung Sa-Hee;Choi Seung Hee
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to understand changes of the population and family composition in apartment houses. The main contents of this study is to find the way of housing planning through the analysis of the population and family composition by the unit types. The population and family composition were studied by computer data base program to 11,000 residents of selection 4 apartments houses. The structure of the family types proved to be constant by the result of analyzing the 10 family types. If the family types of certain resident's groups are given, this study will be able to estimate population structure to them. The transition of the population and the family composition changes to the unit types proved to be constant by the time. The distribution of manhood and matured children is tend to change according to how large the size of house is, and to change the structure of family composition.

Issues in Developing Statistics for the Handicapped Population (장애자통계의 개선방안)

  • 최봉호;이승욱
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 1994
  • In order for handicapped people to maintain better humane life, it is necessary to get statistics of them in developing appropriate national policy. However, it is very difficult to obtain baseline statistics on regular or occasional basis. It's reason is mainly attributed to attitudes of their family's tendency to conceal any existence of such memeber in the household. As a result, the statis-tics on the handicapped population is very inaccurate and under satisfaction. We must produce such statistics periodically in time and with accuracy. Thus, this study porposes five methods which, we believe, can produce reliable statistics of thehandcapped population : 1) vitalization through enforcement of handicapped information into the registration system, 2) inclusion in population census of items related to handicapped information, 3) improvement of the physically handicapped population survey scheme, 4) utilization of hospital patients' records for development of the statistics, and 5) an estimation through the labor force survey.

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A Study on the Influx of Population by Rural Tourism in Rural Village (농촌마을의 농촌관광 시행에 따른 인구유입효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Se-Hee;Jung, Nam-Su;Um, Dae-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2008
  • Settlement problems in rural area are gradually becoming more intense due to decreasing agricultural income led by market globalization. Rural tourism is considered as one of alternatives for complementing agricultural income. In this study, we analyzed the relation of rural development project and the influx of population on green tourism villages. Results show that the influx of population in rural area is related with project cost, tourism income, visiting numbers, and ratio of labor population. With these results, we modified rural population model for estimating future rural population. Adapted result to Buraemi village by modified model showed that estimation error can be decreased from 7.23% to 0.95%.