• Title/Summary/Keyword: Popularity Prediction

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The Relationship between Social Competence and Popularity in Children (아동의 사회적 능력과 인기도간의 관계)

  • Han, Seong Hee
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 1988
  • The present research studied the relationship between children's social competence and popularity and examined popularity variables for the prediction of children's social competence. The subjects of this study were 80 children, 40 boys and 40 girls at age 5. Children's social competence was measured by the children's teachers with the use of the Social Competence Scale (Kohn & Rossman, 1972). Children's popularity and unpopularity were obtained from the subjects with the use of Moore's (1973) Sociometric Status Test. Teacher's estimate of the popularity of children was obtained with the use of Connolly & Doyle's (1981) Teacher Rankings of Popularity. The analysis of the data was by Pearson's Correlation Coefficient, and Stepwise Multiple Regression. There were significant relationships between children's social competence and popularity (children's popularity, children's unpopularity, teacher's popularity). Teacher's estimate of child's popularity was the best variable with which to predict children's social competence, the second best variable was children's popularity as measured by Moore's Sociometric Test.

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Prediction Model for Popularity of Online Articles based on Analysis of Hit Count (온라인 게시글의 조회수 분석을 통한 인기도 예측)

  • Kim, Su-Do;Cho, Hwan-Gue
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.40-51
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    • 2012
  • Online discussion bulletin in Korea is not only a specific place where user exchange opinions but also a public sphere through which users discuss and form public opinion. Sometimes, there is a heated debate on a topic and any article becomes a political or sociological issue. In this paper, we propose how to analyze the popularity of articles by collecting the information of articles obtained from two well-known discussion forums such as AGORA and SEOPRISE. And we propose a prediction model for the article popularity by applying the characteristics of subject articles. Our experiment shown that the popularity of 87.52% articles have been saturated within a day after the submission in AGORA, but the popularity of 39% articles is growing after 4 days passed in SEOPRISE. And we observed that there is a low correlation between the period of popularity and the hit count. The steady increase of the hit count of an article does not necessarily imply the final hit count of the article at the saturation point is so high. In this paper, we newly propose a new prediction model called 'baseline'. We evaluated the predictability for popular articles using three models (SVM, similar matching and baseline). Through the results of performance evaluation, we observed that SVM model is the best in F-measure and precision, but baseline is the best in running time.

A Machine Learning-based Popularity Prediction Model for YouTube Mukbang Content (머신러닝 기반의 유튜브 먹방 콘텐츠 인기 예측 모델)

  • Beomgeun Seo;Hanjun Lee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2023
  • In this study, models for predicting the popularity of mukbang content on YouTube were proposed, and factors influencing the popularity of mukbang content were identified through post-analysis. To accomplish this, information on 22,223 pieces of content was collected from top mukbang channels in terms of subscribers using APIs and Pretty Scale. Machine learning algorithms such as Random Forest, XGBoost, and LGBM were used to build models for predicting views and likes. The results of SHAP analysis showed that subscriber count had the most significant impact on view prediction models, while the attractiveness of a creator emerged as the most important variable in the likes prediction model. This confirmed that the precursor factors for content views and likes reactions differ. This study holds academic significance in analyzing a large amount of online content and conducting empirical analysis. It also has practical significance as it informs mukbang creators about viewer content consumption trends and provides guidance for producing high-quality, marketable content.

Predicting the Lifespan and Retweet Times of Tweets Based on Multiple Feature Analysis

  • Bae, Yongjin;Ryu, Pum-Mo;Kim, Hyunki
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.418-428
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    • 2014
  • In social network services, such as Facebook, Google+, Twitter, and certain postings attract more people than others. In this paper, we propose a novel method for predicting the lifespan and retweet times of tweets, the latter being a proxy for measuring the popularity of a tweet. We extract information from retweet graphs, such as posting times; and social, local, and content features, so as to construct prediction knowledge bases. Tweets with a similar topic, retweet pattern, and properties are sequentially extracted from the knowledge base and then used to make a prediction. To evaluate the performance of our model, we collected tweets on Twitter from June 2012 to October 2012. We compared our model with conventional models according to the prediction goal. For the lifespan prediction of a tweet, our model can reduce the time tolerance of a tweet lifespan by about four hours, compared with conventional models. In terms of prediction of the retweet times, our model achieved a significantly outstanding precision of about 50%, which is much higher than two of the conventional models showing a precision of around 30% and 20%, respectively.

Understanding Watching Patterns of Live TV Programs on Mobile Devices: A Content Centric Perspective

  • Li, Yuheng;Zhao, Qianchuan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.3635-3654
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    • 2015
  • With the rapid development of smart devices and mobile Internet, the video application plays an increasingly important role on mobile devices. Understanding user behavior patterns is critical for optimized operation of mobile live streaming systems. On the other hand, volume based billing models on cloud services make it easier for video service providers to scale their services as well as to reduce the waste from oversized service capacities. In this paper, the watching behaviors of a commercial mobile live streaming system are studied in a content-centric manner. Our analysis captures the intrinsic correlation existing between popularity and watching intensity of programs due to the synchronized watching behaviors with program schedule. The watching pattern is further used to estimate traffic volume generated by the program, which is useful on data volume capacity reservation and billing strategy selection in cloud services. The traffic range of programs is estimated based on a naive popularity prediction. In cross validation, the traffic ranges of around 94% of programs are successfully estimated. In high popularity programs (>20000 viewers), the overestimated traffic is less than 15% of real happened traffic when using upper bound to estimate program traffic.

A Strategy of Assessing Climate Factors' Influence for Agriculture Output

  • Kuan, Chin-Hung;Leu, Yungho;Lee, Chien-Pang
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1414-1430
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    • 2022
  • Due to the Internet of Things popularity, many agricultural data are collected by sensors automatically. The abundance of agricultural data makes precise prediction of rice yield possible. Because the climate factors have an essential effect on the rice yield, we considered the climate factors in the prediction model. Accordingly, this paper proposes a machine learning model for rice yield prediction in Taiwan, including the genetic algorithm and support vector regression model. The dataset of this study includes the meteorological data from the Central Weather Bureau and rice yield of Taiwan from 2003 to 2019. The experimental results show the performance of the proposed model is nearly 30% better than MARS, RF, ANN, and SVR models. The most important climate factors affecting the rice yield are the total sunshine hours, the number of rainfall days, and the temperature.The proposed model also offers three advantages: (a) the proposed model can be used in different geographical regions with high prediction accuracies; (b) the proposed model has a high explanatory ability because it could select the important climate factors which affect rice yield; (c) the proposed model is more suitable for predicting rice yield because it provides higher reliability and stability for predicting. The proposed model can assist the government in making sustainable agricultural policies.

A Study on the Prediction Models of Used Car Prices Using Ensemble Model And SHAP Value: Focus on Feature of the Vehicle Type (앙상블 모델과 SHAP Value를 활용한 국내 중고차 가격 예측 모델에 관한 연구: 차종 특성을 중심으로)

  • Seungjun Yim;Joungho Lee;Choonho Ryu
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2024
  • The market share of online platform services in the used car market continues to expand. And The used car online platform service provides service users with specifications of vehicles, accident history, inspection details, detailed options, and prices of used cars. SUV vehicle type's share in the domestic automobile market will be more than 50% in 2023, Sales of Hybrid vehicle type are doubled compared to last year. And these vehicle types are also gaining popularity in the used car market. Prior research has proposed a used car price prediction model by executing a Machine Learning model for all vehicles or vehicles by brand. On the other hand, the popularity of SUV and Hybrid vehicles in the domestic market continues to rise, but It was difficult to find a study that proposed a used car price prediction model for these vehicle type. This study selects a used car price prediction model by vehicle type using vehicle specifications and options for Sedans, SUV, and Hybrid vehicles produced by domestic brands. Accordingly, after selecting feature through the Lasso regression model, which is a feature selection, the ensemble model was sequentially executed with the same sampling, and the best model by vehicle type was selected. As a result, the best model for all models was selected as the CBR model, and the contribution and direction of the features were confirmed by visualizing Tree SHAP Value for the best model for each model. The implications of this study are expected to propose a used car price prediction model by vehicle type to sales officials using online platform services, confirm the attribution and direction of features, and help solve problems caused by asymmetry fo information between them.

A Study on the Short-term Load Forecasting using Support Vector Machine (지원벡터머신을 이용한 단기전력 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Nam-Hoon;Song, Kyung-Bin;Roh, Young-Su;Kang, Dae-Seung
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.306-312
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    • 2006
  • Support Vector Machine(SVM), of which the foundations have been developed by Vapnik (1995), is gaining popularity thanks to many attractive features and promising empirical performance. In this paper, we propose a new short-term load forecasting technique based on SVM. We discuss the input vector selection of SVM for load forecasting and analyze the prediction performance for various SVM parameters such as kernel function, cost coefficient C, and $\varepsilon$ (the width of 8 $\varepsilon-tube$). The computer simulation shows that the prediction performance of the proposed method is superior to that of the conventional neural networks.

A Study on Sentiment Pattern Analysis of Video Viewers and Predicting Interest in Video using Facial Emotion Recognition (얼굴 감정을 이용한 시청자 감정 패턴 분석 및 흥미도 예측 연구)

  • Jo, In Gu;Kong, Younwoo;Jeon, Soyi;Cho, Seoyeong;Lee, DoHoon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.215-220
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    • 2022
  • Emotion recognition is one of the most important and challenging areas of computer vision. Nowadays, many studies on emotion recognition were conducted and the performance of models is also improving. but, more research is needed on emotion recognition and sentiment analysis of video viewers. In this paper, we propose an emotion analysis system the includes a sentiment analysis model and an interest prediction model. We analyzed the emotional patterns of people watching popular and unpopular videos and predicted the level of interest using the emotion analysis system. Experimental results showed that certain emotions were strongly related to the popularity of videos and the interest prediction model had high accuracy in predicting the level of interest.

Enhancing Single Thermal Image Depth Estimation via Multi-Channel Remapping for Thermal Images (열화상 이미지 다중 채널 재매핑을 통한 단일 열화상 이미지 깊이 추정 향상)

  • Kim, Jeongyun;Jeon, Myung-Hwan;Kim, Ayoung
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.314-321
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    • 2022
  • Depth information used in SLAM and visual odometry is essential in robotics. Depth information often obtained from sensors or learned by networks. While learning-based methods have gained popularity, they are mostly limited to RGB images. However, the limitation of RGB images occurs in visually derailed environments. Thermal cameras are in the spotlight as a way to solve these problems. Unlike RGB images, thermal images reliably perceive the environment regardless of the illumination variance but show lacking contrast and texture. This low contrast in the thermal image prohibits an algorithm from effectively learning the underlying scene details. To tackle these challenges, we propose multi-channel remapping for contrast. Our method allows a learning-based depth prediction model to have an accurate depth prediction even in low light conditions. We validate the feasibility and show that our multi-channel remapping method outperforms the existing methods both visually and quantitatively over our dataset.