• Title/Summary/Keyword: Policy Dilemma

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Nonlinear stochastic optimal control strategy of hysteretic structures

  • Li, Jie;Peng, Yong-Bo;Chen, Jian-Bing
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.39-63
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    • 2011
  • Referring to the formulation of physical stochastic optimal control of structures and the scheme of optimal polynomial control, a nonlinear stochastic optimal control strategy is developed for a class of structural systems with hysteretic behaviors in the present paper. This control strategy provides an amenable approach to the classical stochastic optimal control strategies, bypasses the dilemma involved in It$\hat{o}$-type stochastic differential equations and is applicable to the dynamical systems driven by practical non-stationary and non-white random excitations, such as earthquake ground motions, strong winds and sea waves. The newly developed generalized optimal control policy is integrated in the nonlinear stochastic optimal control scheme so as to logically distribute the controllers and design their parameters associated with control gains. For illustrative purposes, the stochastic optimal controls of two base-excited multi-degree-of-freedom structural systems with hysteretic behavior in Clough bilinear model and Bouc-Wen differential model, respectively, are investigated. Numerical results reveal that a linear control with the 1st-order controller suffices even for the hysteretic structural systems when a control criterion in exceedance probability performance function for designing the weighting matrices is employed. This is practically meaningful due to the nonlinear controllers which may be associated with dynamical instabilities being saved. It is also noted that using the generalized optimal control policy, the maximum control effectiveness with the few number of control devices can be achieved, allowing for a desirable structural performance. It is remarked, meanwhile, that the response process and energy-dissipation behavior of the hysteretic structures are controlled to a certain extent.

Incorporating Ex-Ante Risk in Evaluating Public R&D Programs: A Counterfactual Analysis of the Korean Case

  • Kim, So Young
    • STI Policy Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2013
  • R&D is inherently an uncertain endeavor, yet now more than ever those performing R&D with public funding are called upon to clarify the utility of their research. Calls for public accountability are mounting with the increase in constraints on government budgets due to the recent worldwide economic recession, in response to which both policymakers and researchers pay much more attention to rigorously assessing publicly funded R&D. A key issue complicating R&D evaluation in these circumstances is how to adequately account for the nature and degree of risk involved in a given R&D program or project. This study deliberates on certain issues involving the measurement of ex-ante risk in public R&D evaluation: (i) information asymmetry between R&D sponsors and performers, (ii) ambiguity in the measurement of returns in both prospective and retrospective evaluation, and (iii) the dilemma between measurement error and omitted variable bias for empirical estimation of R&D performance. The study then presents an analysis of hypothetical evaluation results that apply risk-relevant weights to the annual evaluation outcomes of South Korea's national R&D programs funded during 2006~2012. In this counterfactual re-evaluation of public R&D program performance, high-risk R&D programs turn out to receive higher evaluation than non-high-risk programs. The current study suggests that R&D evaluation ignoring ex-ante risk is not only conceptually invalid since R&D activities are intrinsically uncertain endeavors, but unfair as R&D performers are asked to be accountable for the results that were in fact out of their reach.

The Formation of the Machine Tool Cluster and The Accumlation of Technological Capability of the Numerical Controller Industry in Korea (클러스터 형성을 위한 지식 집약적 IT 부품 연구개발정책의 Dilemma : 공작기계제어 컴퓨터 사례)

  • 임채성
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2000
  • This paper analyses characteristics of the numerical controller industry in market formation and the Flow of information between users and producers and the characteristic of knowledge base of the industry and discusses the difficulties derived, from the characteristics, in accumulation of technological capability In market formation betweenusers and producers, the multi-layered market is not favorable to domestic producers in that lower end market is not large enough to provide cardle market to them which produce inferior quality and lower price than importer products. The credibility of the permance of a product is difficult to prove until a critical mass of products are sold. Therefore gaining market share is deterred by unproven credibility of the performance of the product. The flow of information between users and producers is limited. The flow of information on users environment through mass market to producers is essential for improving credibility of a product. The nature of knowledge base is tacit and the means of knowledge transmission is limited. Technological licensing and reverse engineering, Which have been conventional industry. These characteristics provide conditions of vicious circle in accumulation of technological capability of the numerical controller industry. This paper argues that these characteristics of the industry challenges existing approach to R&D management and framework of science and technology policy.

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RELIABLE ROLE OF NUCLEAR POWER GENERATION UNDER CO2 EMISSION CONSTRAINTS

  • Lee, Young-Eal;Jung, Young-Beom
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.655-662
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    • 2007
  • Most decision makers in the electricity industry plan their electric power expansion program by considering only a least cost operation, even when circumstances change with differing complexities. It is necessary, however, to analyze a long-term power expansion plan from various points of view, such as environmental friendliness, benefit of a carbon reduction, and system reliability, as well as least cost operation. The objective and approach of this study is to analyze the proper role of nuclear power in a long-term expansion plan by comparing different scenarios in terms of the system cost changes, $CO_2$ emission reduction, and system reliability in relation to the Business-As-Usual (BAU). The conclusion of this paper makes it clear that the Korean government cannot but expand the nationwide nuclear power program, because an increased energy demand is inevitable and other energy resources will not provide an adequate solution from an economic and sustainability point of view. The results of this analysis will help the Korean government in its long-term resource planning of what kinds of role each electric resource can play in terms of a triangular dilemma involving economics, environmental friendliness, and a stable supply of electricity.

Comparison of North Korea's Military Strategy before and after Nuclear Arming (핵무장 전.후 북한의 대남 군사전략 비교)

  • Nam, Man-Kwon
    • Journal of National Security and Military Science
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    • s.5
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    • pp.173-202
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    • 2007
  • After successful nuclear tests Pakistan launched a more severe surprise attack toward India than before. It is highly possible that North Korea will adopt this Pakistan military strategy if it is armed with nuclear weapons. The North Korean forces armed, with nuclear bombs could make double its war capability through strengthening aggressive force structure and come into effect on blocking reinforcement of the US forces at the initial phase of war time. Therefore we may regard that Pyongyang's nuclear arming is a major one of various factors which increase possibility of waging a conventional warfare or a nuclear war. North Korea's high self-confidence after nuclear arming will heighten tension on the Korean Peninsula via aggressive military threat or terror toward South Korea, and endeavor to accomplish its political purpose via low-intensity conflicts. For instance, nuclear arming of the Pyongyang regime enforces the North Korean forces to invade the Northern Limit Line(NLL), provoke naval battles at the West Sea, and occupy one or two among the Five Islands at the West Sea. In that case, the South Korean forces will be faced with a serious dilemma. In order to recapture the islands, Seoul should be ready for escalating a war. However it is hard to imagine that South Korea fights with North Korea armed with nuclear weapons. This paper concludes that the Pyongyang regime after nuclear arming strongly tends to occupy superiority of military strategy and wage military provocations on the Korean Peninsula.

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Transition Experiment and Socially-oriented R&D Program (시스템 전환론의 관점에서 본 사회문제 해결형 연구개발사업의 발전 방향)

  • Song, Wichin;Seong, Jieun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.89-116
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    • 2014
  • Socially-oriented R&D programs aimed at solving societal problem rather than scientific and industrial fruits have started recently. Societal problem is recognized as dilemma since this problem related to various stakeholders. And this is not solved with single program and needed long-term process. So the perspective of socio-technical system transition including technological and institutional change is needed. This paper suggests policy implication of Socially-oriented R&D programs from socio-technical system transition perspective. 'Transitioning of Socially-oriented R&D program' is the key concept of restructuring the program for the system transition. The establishment of multi-layer transition governance and the transition vision-making and transition experiment planning are the key process of transitioning the R&D program. This paper suggests the ways and issues of implementing this process in Socially-oriented R&D program.

A Study on Fisheries Resource Management Under the Rate Payment System - In Case of Large Trawl Fisheries - (비율(보합) 급제하에서 어업(자원)관리에 관한 연구 - 대형기선저인망어업을 중심으로 -)

  • Park Seong-Kwae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.36 no.3 s.69
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2005
  • Korean fishery wage system has been evolved with the different titles. However, Since the law of fishing crew was enacted in 1984, the fishery wage system has been established as a rate system, which is a legal term. The present rate system in practice shows various contents and modalities, depending on fisheries and regions, but the fisheries of large trawl cooperative employ a rate system of fixed plus rate wage. However, such change did not transform basically the properties of pure rate scheme. As well known, fishing vessel owners face an awful lot of difficulty in managing and controlling effectively the production process because fishing activities are carried out in the seas remote from the land. Thus, it tend to be inevitable for vessel owners to employ a rate system to induce fishermen's positive motivation for promoting productivity and saving operating costs. However, the rate system has worked out as a driving force, which induce an increase in production more strongly under the expansion of vessel numbers and power and the keener competition of fishing activities. Even though the control mechanism of fishing instruments are well established, fishermen become naturally to have an incentive to increase their fishing effort for maximizing production since they are able to raise their shares by maximizing the quantity harvested. Thus, as far as the rate system exists, fisheries administration may have much difficulty in realizing its fishery management goals only through vessel reduction and fishing gear regulations. Also, under the rate system fishery management authority may be in face of a serious dilemma between the spontaneous rate system and vessel reduction policy. If the realistic aspect of the rate system is recognized and resource restoration and profit promotion are main policy goals, it is necessary to develop effective ways to control vessel owners' and fishermen's production-maximizing motives at an appropriate level. From this point of view, it seems reasonable to introduce TAC system by species or by fisheries into the existing fishery system. The research results suggest that if the fisheries administration could understand clearly the spontaneous fisheries wage system, it would know the norm of TAC and the basic reasons for illegal fishing activities and thus it would be able to develop and implement more realistic resource management policies.

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Political Economy of Privatization of Public Utilities (공익산업의 민영화에 대한 정치$\cdot$경제적 접근)

  • Lee Heng;Chae Doo-Byoung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.5 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.8-20
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    • 2001
  • Neoliberalism became a catch word of a post-cold war era. It began to develop in the middle of welfare state crisis in developed countries. It promoted both a unified world market through mutual penetration of national boundaries in International scene and maximization of efficiency through market competition in domestic scene. Privatization of public corporations is a major policy to pursue market efficiency through deregulation. Two reasons are often adduced to support the cause The socio-economic changes diminished the necessity to establish public corporation on the one hand. On the other hand gross inefficiency has been observed in the management of public corporation. 'Government failure' is an apt expression of the inefficiency. In analysing the experiences of privatization of utility industries of some other countries we found a couple of lessons for a Korean case. First, it is doubtful if privatization, that is a change in the form of ownership, is a necessary condition for achieving market efficiency. Because it is possible to operate a mechanism of market competition while maintaining competition among public corporations and with private actors. Second, the patron-agent dilemma is often cited as a major culprit of an inefficient management of public corporations. But it is without saying that the dilemma is also found in the management of private firms. So, the issue is not the privatization per se but to realize responsible management through discipline and incentives.

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The Social Dilemma of Chinese Village Community: Focusing on the Film (중국 마을 공동체의 사회적 딜레마: 영화 <빈관>을 중심으로)

  • Sun, Ming-Yue;Lee, Hee-Seung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.375-381
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    • 2021
  • This study aimed to examine the dilemma of rural China under rapid urbanization process after economic reform, by paying attention to the problem of the order of village community and the expression of individual desires depicted in the film with a rural background. To this end, the narrative analysis, which is suitable for exploring the story structure and expression style of the text, was conducted to examine the community order and ethics, patriarchy and paternity, and the expression of desires of subject. In the film, closed space and villagers, who are disciplined by community customs, local culture, and formality of the rule of manners, are depicted. The film is covered in a form of mystery movie dealing with the deaths of members of the village community. However, the film talks about the rise of the Imaginary desire of subject against the symbolic rules of community order and ethics through the puzzle pieces story according to the perspectives of the characters. In conclusion, through the narrative analysis, it was possible to examine the implications of weakened communal discipline and paternity of the countryside by the rapid urbanization of China, and implications of the lethargy and neurosis of the subjects.

협력관계(協力關係) 구축(構築)에 있어서의 신뢰(信賴)의 역할(役割) : 남북한(南北韓) 관계(關係)를 중심으로

  • An, Seok-Hwan;Im, Won-Hyeok
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.105-149
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    • 1997
  • 이 논문에서는 남북한 관계를 중심으로 분쟁해소와 협력관계 구축에 있어서 신뢰(信賴)가 할 수 있는 역할(役割)에 대해 검토해 보았다. 이 논문의 모델은 Kreps-Wilson(1982)의 신규진입 게임을 협력관계 구축이라는 새로운 상황에 맞게 변환시킨 순차적 게임모델로서 유한반복(有限反復) 게임구도와 비대칭적(非對稱的) 정보소유(情報所有)를 그 근간으로 한다. 북한이 남한정부가 진보적이라고 믿는 확률을 남한에 대한 '신뢰(信賴)'라고 정의할 때, 신뢰는 크게 나누어 다음과 같은 역할을 한다. 북한이 남한에 대해 작은 규모의 신뢰감만 가지고 있어도 피의자(被疑者)의 딜레마 (Prisoner's Dilemma) 상황을 피할 수 있으며 상당한 기간동안 남북협력관계(南北協力關係)가 지속될 수 있다. 왜냐하면 보수적 성향의 남한정부도 북한이 개혁정책을 추진할 때 대북(對北) 압박정책 대신 포용정책(包容政策)을 통해 얻을 수 있는 수익이 적지 않은 점을 고려하여 상당기간동안 포용정책을 선택할 동기가 있기 때문이다. 하지만 이와 같이 자신의 성향을 은폐하는 위장행동의 가능성이 높은 동안 신뢰(信賴)는 쉽게 증진되지 않는다. 다만 남북한이 협력을 통해 실질적인 수익을 얻을 수 있을 뿐이다. 남북협력관계를 구축하기 위해 남한이 할 수 있는 일은 정책대응에 소요되는 시간을 줄이는 한편, 개혁정책을 통해 북한이 얻을 수 있는 기대수익(期待收益)을 늘리고 남한에 배신당할 경우 입는 피해를 줄여주는 것이다. 특히 장기적인 관점에서 북한의 기대수익을 점진적으로 늘려 '신뢰도(信賴度)가 넘어야 할 문턱'을 낮추는 것이 효과적인 정책이다. 따라서 남북관계를 진전시키기 위해서는 북한의 지속적인 개혁을 조건으로 북한의 기대수익이 점진적으로 증가하는 KEDO식의 장기적 경협사업(經協事業)을 고안하여 추진해야 한다. 이에 반해 인도주의적 명분하에 일과성의 식량지원을 북한에 제공하는 것은 북한의 구조적(構造的) 경제난(經濟難) 해소나 남북관계의 지속적 진전에 별 도움이 안되는 정책이다. 북한은 북한 나름대로 남한을 한번 믿어볼 필요가 있다. 왜냐하면 상대방에 대한 불신(不信)은 결국 협력관계가 유지될 수 있는 기간을 감축시켜 비효율적인 결과를 초래하기 때문이다.

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