• 제목/요약/키워드: Poisson distribution

검색결과 583건 처리시간 0.022초

음이항분포의 특성을 이용한 조달기간 수요 분석 (Diagnosis of Lead Time Demand Based on the Characteristics of Negative Binomial Distribution)

  • 안선응;김우현
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.146-151
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    • 2005
  • Some distributions have been used for diagnosing the lead time demand distribution in inventory system. In this paper, we describe the negative binomial distribution as a suitable demand distribution for a specific retail inventory management application. We here assume that customer order sizes are described by the Poisson distribution with the random parameter following a gamma distribution. This implies in turn that the negative binomial distribution is obtained by mixing the mean of the Poisson distribution with a gamma distribution. The purpose of this paper is to give an interpretation of the negative binomial demand process by considering the sources of variability in the unknown Poisson parameter. Such variability comes from the unknown demand rate and the unknown lead time interval.

음이항분포의 특성을 이용한 조달기간 수요 분석 (Diagnosis of Lead Time Demand Based on the Characteristics of Negative Binomial Distribution)

  • 안선응;김우현
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2005
  • Some distributions have been used for diagnosing the lead time demand distribution in inventory system. In this paper, we describe the negative binomial distribution as a suitable demand distribution for a specific retail inventory management application. We here assume that customer order sizes are described by the Poisson distribution with the random parameter following a gamma distribution. This implies in turn that the negative binomial distribution is obtained by mixing the mean of the Poisson distribution with a gamma distribution. The purpose of this paper is to give an interpretation of the negative binomial demand process by considering the sources of variability in the unknown Poisson parameter. Such variability comes from the unknown demand rate and the unknown lead time interval.

Monotone Likelihood Ratio Property of the Poisson Signal with Three Sources of Errors in the Parameter

  • Kim, Joo-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.503-515
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    • 1998
  • When a neutral particle beam(NPB) aimed at the object and receive a small number of neutron signals at the detector, it follows approximately Poisson distribution. Under the four assumptions in the presence of errors and uncertainties for the Poisson parameters, an exact probability distribution of neutral particles have been derived. The probability distribution for the neutron signals received by a detector averaged over the three sources of errors is expressed as a four-dimensional integral of certain data. Two of the four integrals can be evaluated analytically and thereby the integral is reduced to a two-dimensional integral. The monotone likelihood ratio(MLR) property of the distribution is proved by using the Cauchy mean value theorem for the univariate distribution and multivariate distribution. Its MLR property can be used to find a criteria for the hypothesis testing problem related to the distribution.

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Posterior Consistency of Bayesian Inference of Poisson Processes

  • Kim, Yongdai
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.825-834
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    • 2002
  • Poisson processes are widely used in reliability and survival analysis. In particular, multiple event time data in survival analysis are routinely analyzed by use of Poisson processes. In this paper, we consider large sample properties of nonparametric Bayesian models for Poisson processes. We prove that the posterior distribution of the cumulative intensity function of Poisson processes is consistent under regularity conditions on priors which are Levy processes.

영과잉 포아송 회귀모형에 대한 베이지안 추론: 구강위생 자료에의 적용 (Bayesian Analysis of a Zero-inflated Poisson Regression Model: An Application to Korean Oral Hygienic Data)

  • 임아경;오만숙
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.505-519
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    • 2006
  • 셀 수 있는 이산 자료(discrete count data)에 대한 분석은 여러 분야에서 활용되고 있지만 영(zero)을 과도하게 포함하고 있는 영과잉 자료는 자료의 성격상 포아송 분포를 따르지 못할 때가 있어 분석에 어려움이 따른다. Zero-Inflated Poisson(ZIP)모형은 이런 어려움을 극복하기 위하여 영에 대한 점확률을 가지는 분포와 포아송 분포를 합성하여 과도한 영과 영이 아닌 자료를 설명하는 모형이다. 설명 변수가 존재할 때는 포아송 분포 부분에서 반응변수의 평균과 공변량사이에 로그선형 연결함수를 사용한 Zero-Inflated Poisson Regression(ZIPR)모형이 사용될 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 Markov Chain Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 ZIPR모형의 베이지안 추론방법을 제안하고, 이를 실제 구강위생 자료에 적용하며 다른 모형들과 비교한다. 그 결과 베이지안 추론 방법을 적용한 영과잉 모형의 추정오차가 다른 모형들의 추정오차보다 작았고, 예측치가 더 정확했다는 점에서 우수함을 알 수 있었다.

단일 양자점으로부터 발생한 발광세기 변화에 대한 베이지안 다중 변화점 추정 (Bayesian Multiple Change-Point Estimation for Single Quantum Dot Luminescence Intensity Data)

  • 김재희;김학준
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.569-579
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    • 2013
  • 단일 분자에서 발생한 발광의 세기 변화를 분석하는 문제는 단분자 분광학에서 반드시 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 카드뮴셀레나이드/황화아연의 중심-껍질 구조를 갖는 양자점에 대한 단분자 분광학 데이터에 대해 Poisson count data로서 베이지안 접근으로 모수에 대한 공액 감마분포와 변화점 개수에 대한 절단포아송 분포로 사전분포를 주고 다중변화점을 추정하였다.

A Comparison of Some Approximate Confidence Intervals for he Poisson Parameter

  • Kim, Daehak;Jeong, Hyeong-Chul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.899-911
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we reviewed thirteen methods for finding confidence intervals for he mean of poisson distribution. Bootstrap confidence intervals are also introduced. Two bootstrap confidence intervals are compared with the other existing eleven confidence intervals by using Monte Carlo simulation with respect to the average coverage probability of Woodroofe and Jhun (1989).

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포아송 분포를 가정한 Wafer 수준 Statistical Bin Limits 결정방법과 표본크기 효과에 대한 평가 (Methods and Sample Size Effect Evaluation for Wafer Level Statistical Bin Limits Determination with Poisson Distributions)

  • 박성민;김영식
    • 산업공학
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2004
  • In a modern semiconductor device manufacturing industry, statistical bin limits on wafer level test bin data are used for minimizing value added to defective product as well as protecting end customers from potential quality and reliability excursion. Most wafer level test bin data show skewed distributions. By Monte Carlo simulation, this paper evaluates methods and sample size effect regarding determination of statistical bin limits. In the simulation, it is assumed that wafer level test bin data follow the Poisson distribution. Hence, typical shapes of the data distribution can be specified in terms of the distribution's parameter. This study examines three different methods; 1) percentile based methodology; 2) data transformation; and 3) Poisson model fitting. The mean square error is adopted as a performance measure for each simulation scenario. Then, a case study is presented. Results show that the percentile and transformation based methods give more stable statistical bin limits associated with the real dataset. However, with highly skewed distributions, the transformation based method should be used with caution in determining statistical bin limits. When the data are well fitted to a certain probability distribution, the model fitting approach can be used in the determination. As for the sample size effect, the mean square error seems to reduce exponentially according to the sample size.

MISCLASSIFICATION IN SIZE-BIASED MODIFIED POWER SERIES DISTRIBUTION AND ITS APPLICATIONS

  • Hassan, Anwar;Ahmad, Peer Bilal
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.55-72
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    • 2009
  • A misclassified size-biased modified power series distribution (MSBMPSD) where some of the observations corresponding to x = c + 1 are misclassified as x = c with probability $\alpha$, is defined. We obtain its recurrence relations among the raw moments, the central moments and the factorial moments. Discussion of the effect of the misclassification on the variance is considered. To illustrate the situation under consideration some of its particular cases like the size-biased generalized negative binomial (SBGNB), the size-biased generalized Poisson (SBGP) and sizebiased Borel distributions are included. Finally, an example is presented for the size-biased generalized Poisson distribution to illustrate the results.

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A Characterization of Negative Binomial Distribution Truncated at Zero

  • Shanmugam, R.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1982
  • Analogous to Singh's (1978) characterization of positive-Poisson distributioin and Shanmugam and Singh's (1992) characterization of logarithmic series distribution, a characterization and its statistical application of the negative binomial distribution truncated at zero are given in this paper. While it is known that under certain conditions the negative binomial distribution truncted at zero approaches the positive-Poisson and the logarithmic series distributions, we show here that the results of this paper approach in limit the results of Singh, and Shanmugam and Singh, respectively. Using the biologicla data from Sampford (1955), we illusrate our results. Also, expressions are explicitly given to test the hypothesis whether a random sample is indeed from a geometric distribution.

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