• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson Model

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Characteristics and Models of Intersection Accidents by Elderly Drivers in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged Signalized Intersections (고령운전자 교차로 사고의 특성 및 모형 - 청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Wook;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of elderly drivers. The objectives are to comparatively analyze the characteristics of accident between the elderly and other drivers, and to develop the models of traffic accidents. In pursuing the above, this paper gives particular attentions to testing the differences between the above two groups, and developing the models(Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between the elderly and other drivers' accidents were clearly defined by the time of day, accident type, etc. Second, 3 accident models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between elderly and other drivers' models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.

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Evaluation of Indentation Fracture Toughens in Brittle Materials Based on FEA Solutions (유한요소해에 기초한 취성재료의 압입파괴인성평가)

  • Hyun, Hong Chul;Lee, Jin Heang;Felix, Rickhey;Lee, Hyungyil
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.1503-1512
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we proposed an indentation evaluation method for fracture toughness using cohesive finite element simulations. First, we examined the effect of material properties (yield strain, Poisson's ratio, and elastic modulus) on crack size during Vickers indentation and then generated a regression formula that explains the relations among fracture toughness, indentation load, and crack size. We also proposed another indentation formula for fracture toughness evaluation using the contact size a and E/H (H: hardness). Finally, we examined the relation between the crack size and the indenter shapes. Based on this, we can generate from the formula obtained using the Vickers indenter a formula for an indenter of different shapes. Using the proposed method, fracture toughness is directly estimated from indentation data.

Vibration behavior of trapezoidal sandwich plate with functionally graded-porous core and graphene platelet-reinforced layers

  • Liang, Di;Wu, Qiong;Lu, Xuemei;Tahouneh, Vahid
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2020
  • In this study, free vibration behavior of trapezoidal sandwich plates with porous core and two graphene platelets (GPLs) reinforced nanocomposite outer layers are presented. The distribution of pores and GPLs are supposed to be functionally graded (FG) along the thickness of core and nanocomposite layers, respectively. The effective Young's modulus of the GPL-reinforced (GPLR) nanocomposite layers is determined using the modified Halpin-Tsai micromechanics model, while the Poisson's ratio and density are computed by the rule of mixtures. The FSDT plate theory is utilized to establish governing partial differential equations and boundary conditions (B.C.s) for trapezoidal plate. The governing equations together with related B.C.s are discretized using a mapping- generalized differential quadrature (GDQ) method in the spatial domain. Then natural frequencies of the trapezoidal sandwich plates are obtained by GDQ method. Validity of current study is evaluated by comparing its numerical results with those available in the literature. A special attention is drawn to the role of GPLs weight fraction, GPLs patterns of two faces through the thickness, porosity coefficient and distribution of porosity on natural frequencies characteristics. New results show the importance of this permeates on vibrational characteristics of porous/GPLR nanocomposite plates. Finally, the influences of B.C.s and dimension as well as the plate geometry such as face to core thickness ratio on the vibration behaviors of the trapezoidal plates are discussed.

Non-linear Relationship Between Body Mass Index and Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms in Korean Males

  • Choi, Chang Kyun;Kim, Sun A;Jeong, Ji-An;Kweon, Sun-Seog;Shin, Min-Ho
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between body mass index (BMI) and severe lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) in Korean males. Methods: This study was conducted on males aged ${\geq}50years$ who participated in the 2011 Korean Community Health Survey. LUTS severity was assessed using the Korean version of the International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS) questionnaire, and was dichotomized as severe (IPSS >19) and non-severe ($IPSS{\leq}19$). BMI was divided into 6 categories: <18.5, 18.5-22.9, 23.0-24.9, 25.0-27.4, 27.5-29.9, and ${\geq}30.0kg/m^2$. To evaluate the relationship between BMI and LUTS, a survey-weighted multivariate Poisson regression analysis was performed to estimate prevalence rate ratios (PRRs). Age, smoking status, alcohol intake, physical activity, educational level, household income, and comorbidities were adjusted for in the multivariate model. Results: A U-shaped relationship was detected between BMI and severe LUTS. Compared with a BMI of $23.0-24.9kg/m^2$, the PRR for a BMI < $18.5kg/m^2$ was 1.65 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35 to 2.02), that for a BMI of $18.5-22.9kg/m^2$ was 1.25 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.44), that for a BMI of $25.0-27.4kg/m^2$ was 1.20 (95% CI, 1.00 to 1.45), that for a BMI of $27.5-29.9kg/m^2$ was 1.11 (95% CI, 0.83 to 1.47), and that for a BMI ${\geq}30.0kg/m^2$ was 1.85 (95% CI, 1.18 to 2.88). Conclusions: This study showed that both high and low BMI were associated with severe LUTS.

Axisymmetric vibration analysis of a sandwich porous plate in thermal environment rested on Kerr foundation

  • Zhang, Zhe;Yang, Qijian;Jin, Cong
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.581-601
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    • 2022
  • The main objective of this research work is to investigate the free vibration behavior of annular sandwich plates resting on the Kerr foundation at thermal conditions. This sandwich configuration is composed of two FGM face sheets as coating layer and a porous GPLRC (GPL reinforced composite) core. It is supposed that the GPL nanofillers and the porosity coefficient vary continuously along the core thickness direction. To model closed-cell FG porous material reinforced with GPLs, Halpin-Tsai micromechanical modeling in conjunction with Gaussian-Random field scheme is used, while the Poisson's ratio and density are computed by the rule of mixtures. Besides, the material properties of two FGM face sheets change continuously through the thickness according to the power-law distribution. To capture fundamental frequencies of the annular sandwich plate resting on the Kerr foundation in a thermal environment, the analysis procedure is with the aid of Reddy's shear-deformation plate theory based high-order shear deformation plate theory (HSDT) to derive and solve the equations of motion and boundary conditions. The governing equations together with related boundary conditions are discretized using the generalized differential quadrature (GDQ) method in the spatial domain. Numerical results are compared with those published in the literature to examine the accuracy and validity of the present approach. A parametric solution for temperature variation across the thickness of the sandwich plate is employed taking into account the thermal conductivity, the inhomogeneity parameter, and the sandwich schemes. The numerical results indicate the influence of volume fraction index, GPLs volume fraction, porosity coefficient, three independent coefficients of Kerr elastic foundation, and temperature difference on the free vibration behavior of annular sandwich plate. This study provides essential information to engineers seeking innovative ways to promote composite structures in a practical way.

Analysis on Factors Contributing to Motorcycle Accidents of Food Delivery Riders (플랫폼 기반 배달 이륜차 교통사고 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Sang Yun;Park, Jun Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.70-77
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    • 2022
  • The total number of Korean restaurants using delivery applications has substantially increased from 7.6% in 2018 to 11.2% in 2019. In 2020, the gross sales in the food delivery service market reached approximately 17 trillion won; this amount is virtually six times that in 2017 (i.e., 2 trillion won). Meanwhile, the annual average death toll of motorcycle riders increased by 3.5%, whereas the number of deaths due to other traffic accidents decreased by 8.2%. Consequently, the foregoing has become a critical social problem. Despite the continuing increase in the number of delivery riders due to the rapid expansion of the delivery industry, no appropriate safety management system has been established. Moreover, the government is experiencing difficulties in assessing the exact situation because of the absence of competent authority. In this study, fundamental data on the characteristics of delivery work and motorcycle accidents were collected through surveys and interviews; then, the influencing factors of traffic accidents were analyzed. Different influencing factors were identified: work experience as a rider; number of deliveries; whether to accept delivery requests in transit; manner of accepting delivery requests; and traffic law violations, such as speeding (for faster delivery) and running a red light. Because the motorcycle delivery industry has a relatively low job-entry barrier (i.e., special qualifications are not required), the riding skills of riders must be improved, and delivery companies must be technically developed to achieve a safe working environment. The results of this study can be utilized as fundamental data for system development or structural improvement of the delivery industry.

Stochastic simulation of future sub-hourly rainfall using Poisson cluster rainfall model (포아송 클러스터 강우 모형을 이용한 미래 시단위 이하 강우의 추계학적 모의)

  • Jeongha Park;Dongkyun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.284-284
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    • 2023
  • 도시 침수의 발생과 규모는 도시 유역이 가지는 짧은 도달 시간으로 인하여 주로 시단위 이하의 짧은 지속시간의 강우의 극한 및 변동성에 따라 결정된다. 미래 기간에 대하여 도시 수문 시스템의 적정성을 평가하기 위해서는 기후변화에 따른 시단위 이하 강우의 특성을 살펴보아야한다. 그러나 기후변화 영향 평가 도구로 활용되는 기후 모형들은 대부분 일단위의 결과물을 제공하여 시단위 이하의 미세 규모 강우의 특성을 나타낼 수 없다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 기후 모형 모의 결과와 포아송 클러스터 강우 모형을 이용하여 미래 시단위 이하 강우 시계열을 모의하는 방법을 제안한다. 첫째로, 포아송 클러스터 기반 강우 생성 알고리즘과 폭풍우 재배열 알고리즘을 결합한 최신 모형을 선정하였다. 해당 모형은 광범위한 시간 규모에서 관측된 강우량의 주요 통계와 극값을 재현할 수 있는 모형이다. 그 다음 강우 모형에 적합시킬 관측 강우량 통계(평균, 분산, 공분산, 왜도, 우기 비율)를 계산하였다. 둘째, 강우 통계 간의 선형 관계를 도출하였다. 여기서는 클러스터에 있는 모든 관측소의 통계를 사용하여 회귀의 신뢰도를 높였다. 셋째, 강우 평균 조정을 위한 Change Factor는 제어(2000~2019년) 및 미래(2041~2070년) 기간의 기후 모형 자료를 사용하여 계산하였다. 넷째, 조정된 15분 강우 평균은 관측 평균에 Change Factor을 곱하여 계산하고 조정된 강우 평균과 통계 간의 관계를 사용하여 미래 강우 통계 세트를 추정하였다. 여러 통계 세트를 생성한 후 마지막으로 미래 통계에 강우 모형을 적합시켜 최종적으로 미래 시단위 이하 강우 시계열을 모의하였다. 이 방법은 CMIP6에 참여하는 기후 모델의 기후 예측 데이터를 사용하여 용산(415) 및 동래(940) AWS 관측소에 적용되었다. 두 관측소의 미래 강우 모의 결과, 시단위 이하 시간 규모에서 극값이 증가하는 추세를 보였다.

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Therapeutic Duplication as a Medication Error Risk in Fixed-Dose Combination Drugs for Dyslipidemia: A Nationwide Study

  • Wonbin Choi;Hyunji Koo;Kyeong Hye Jeong;Eunyoung Kim;Seung-Hun You;Min-Taek Lee;Sun-Young Jung
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.168-177
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    • 2023
  • Background & Objectives: Fixed-dose combinations (FDCs) offer advantages in adherence and cost-effectiveness compared to free combinations (FCs), but they can also complicate the prescribing process, potentially leading to therapeutic duplication (TD). This study aimed to identify the prescribing patterns of FDCs for dyslipidemia and investigate their associated risk of TD. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study involving drugs that included statins, using Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service-National Patient Sample (HIRA-NPS) data from 2018. The unit of analysis was a prescription claim. The primary outcome was TD. The risk ratio of TD was calculated and adjusted for patient, prescriber, and the number of cardiovascular drugs prescribed using a multivariable Poisson model. Results: Our study included 252,797 FDC prescriptions and 515,666 FC prescriptions. Of the FDC group, 46.52% were male patients and 56.21% were aged 41 to 65. Ezetimibe was included in 71.61% of the FDC group, but only 0.25% of the FC group. TD occurred in 0.18% of the FDC group, and the adjusted risk ratio of TD in FDC prescriptions compared to FC was 6. 44 (95% CI 5. 30-7. 82). Conclusions: Prescribing FDCs for dyslipidemia was associated with a higher risk of TD compared to free combinations. Despite the relatively low absolute prevalence of TD, the findings underline the necessity for strategies to mitigate this risk when prescribing FDCs for dyslipidemia. Our study suggests the potential utility of Clinical Decision Support Systems and standardizing nomenclature in reducing medication errors, providing valuable insights for clinical practice and future research.

Trauma Exposure and Suicidal Ideation among Korean Male Firefighters: Examining the Moderating Roles of Organizational Climate

  • Chi-Yun Back;Dae-Sung Hyun;Sei-Jin Chang;Da-Yee Jeung
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2023
  • Background: This study investigated the relationship between trauma exposure and suicidal ideation. Moreover, this study examines the moderating roles of organizational climate on the association between trauma exposure and suicidal ideation in Korean male firefighters. Methods: A total of 15,104 male firefighters who completed a questionnaire were analyzed. The data were obtained using an online self-administered questionnaire from the Firefighter Research on Enhancement of Safety and Health Study. Poisson regression analysis was performed to determine the effects of trauma exposure on suicidal ideation and the moderating effect of organizational climate. Results: The results showed that 389 firefighters (2.6%) responded that they had experienced suicidal ideation. In the final model, trauma exposure was positively related to suicidal ideation (adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.076; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.051-1.103), and organizational climate was negatively associated with suicidal ideation (aRR, 0.772; 95% CI: 0.739-0.806). Additionally, the interaction term (trauma exposure × organizational climate) was related to suicidal ideation (aRR, 1.016; 95% CI: 1.009-1.023). Conclusions: This study suggests that trauma exposure might play a significant role in developing suicidal ideation and that positive organizational climate moderates the negative effects of trauma exposure on suicidal ideation among firefighters. It is necessary to perform a follow-up study of various intervention strategies to maintain a healthy organizational climate or work environment. Such interventions should promote lasting trust within teams, provide social support and belonging, and nurture job value.

The finite element method for dynamics of FG porous truncated conical panels reinforced with graphene platelets based on the 3-D elasticity

  • Lingqin Xia;Ruiquan Wang;Guang Chen;Kamran Asemi;Abdelouahed Tounsi
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.375-389
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    • 2023
  • In this study, free vibration analysis of functionally graded (FG) porous truncated conical shell panels reinforced by graphene platelets (GPLs) has been investigated for the first time. Additionally, the effect of three different types of porosity distribution and five different types of GPLs patterns on dynamic response of the shell are also studied. Halpin-Tsai micromechanical model and Voigt's rule are used to determine Young modulus, shear modulus and Poisson's ratio with mass densities of the shell, respectively. The main novelties of present study are: applying 3D elasticity theory and the finite element method in conjunction with Rayleigh-Ritz method to give more accurate results unlike other simplified shell theories, and also presenting a general 3D solution in cylindrical coordinate system that can be used for analyses of different structures such as circular, annular and annular sector plates, cylindrical shells and panels, and conical shells and panels. A convergence study is performed to justify the correctness of the obtained solution and numerical results. The impact of porosity and GPLs patterns, the volume of voids, the weight fraction of graphene nanofillers, semi vertex and span angles of the cone, and various boundary conditions on natural frequencies of the functionally graded panel have been comprehensively studied and discussed. The results show that the most important parameter on dynamic response of FG porous truncated conical panel is the weight fraction of nanofiller and adding 1% weight fraction of nanofiller could increase 57% approximately the amounts of natural frequencies of the shell. Moreover, the porosity distribution has great effect on the value of natural frequency of structure rather than the porosity coefficient.