• Title/Summary/Keyword: Point estimation method

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Change-Point Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Regions in Weibull Distribution

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.359-370
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    • 1999
  • We considered a change-point hazard rate model generalizing constant hazard rate model. This type of model is very popular in the sense that the Weibull and exponential distributions formulating survival time data are the special cases of it. Maximum likelihood estimation and the asymptotic properties such as the consistency and its limiting distribution of the change-point estimator were discussed. A parametric bootstrap method for finding confidence intervals of the unknown change-point was also suggested and the proposed method is explained through a practical example.

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Estimation of slope , βusing the Sequential Slope in Simple Linear Regression Model

  • Choi, Yong;Kim, Dongjae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2003
  • Distribution-free estimation methods are proposed for slope, $\beta$ in the simple linear regression model. In this paper, we suggest the point estimators using the sequential slope based on sign test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. Also confidence intervals are presented for each estimation methods. Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the efficiency of these methods with least square method and Theil´s method. Some properties for the proposed methods are discussed.

Influence Analysis of Sampling Points on Accuracy of Storage Reliability Estimation for One-shot Systems (원샷 시스템의 저장 신뢰성 추정 정확성에 대한 샘플링 시점의 영향 분석)

  • Chung, Yong H.;Oh, Bong S.;Lee, Hong C.;Park, Hee N.;Jang, Joong S.;Park, Sang C.
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of sampling points on accuracy of storage reliability estimation for one-shot systems by assuming a weibull distribution as a storage reliability distribution. Also propose method for determining of sampling points for increase the accuracy of reliability estimation. Methods: Weibull distribution was divided into three sections for confirming the possible to estimate the parameters of the weibull distribution only some section's sample. Generate quantal response data for failure data. And performed parameter estimation with quantal response data. Results: If reduce sample point interval of 1 section, increase the accuracy of reliability estimation although sampling only section 1. Even reduce total number of sampling point, reducing sampling time interval of the 1 zone improve the accuracy of reliability estimation. Conclusion: Method to increase the accuracy of reliability estimation is increasing number of sampling and the sampling points. But apply this method to One-shot system is difficult because test cost of one-shot system is expensive. So propose method of accuracy of storage reliability estimation of one-shot system by adjustment of the sampling point. And by dividing the section it could reduce the total sampling point.

Adaptive maximum power point tracking control of wind turbine system based on wind speed estimation

  • Hyun, Jong-Ho;Kim, Kyung-Youn
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.460-475
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    • 2018
  • In the variable-speed wind energy system, to achieve maximum power point tracking (MPPT), the wind turbine should run close to its optimal angular speed according to the wind speed. Non-linear control methods that consider the dynamic behavior of wind speed are generally used to provide maximum power and improved efficiency. In this perspective, the mechanical power is estimated using Kalman filter. And then, from the estimated mechanical power, the wind speed is estimated with Newton-Raphson method to achieve maximum power without anemometer. However, the blade shape and air density get changed with time and the generator efficiency is also degraded. This results in incorrect estimation of wind speed and MPPT. It causes not only the power loss but also incorrect wind resource assessment of site. In this paper, the adaptive maximum power point tracking control algorithm for wind turbine system based on the estimation of wind speed is proposed. The proposed method applies correction factor to wind turbine system to have accurate wind speed estimation for exact MPPT. The proposed method is validated with numerical simulations and the results show an improved performance.

A study on the quantitation of asbestos by the visual estimation and point counting method (시야평가법과 포인트계수법에 의한 석면정량평가 연구)

  • Choi, Yun-Ho;Kim, Tae-Hwa;Bae, Yong-Soo;Kim, Tae-Hyun;Kim, Hyeon-Ja;Jang, Eun-Ah;Hwang, Beom-Goo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2014
  • While variety of cases of studies about asbestos analysis methods are released internationally, the results of Asbestos Containing Materials (ACM) according to differences in the method of the analysis is becoming an issue. In this study, homogeneity ensured ACM samples were analyzed by visual estimation method and point counting method, and the result cound be used not only to improve the reliability on asbestos analysis of the institutions and analysts but also to obtain the basic data of Polarizing Light Microscope (PLM) analysis by comparing and evaluating. Asbestos analysis were divided into qualitative and quantitative analysis method. The quantitative analysis was performed by visual estimation method and point counting method (total 400 points) of EPA 600-R-93-116 method by using PLM. Firstly, The following was the result of homogeneity of the samples by ANOVA (Analysis of variance) and the results were satisfied. The results of qualitative analysis showed that the samples were chrysotile and amosite, and about the results of quantitative analysis, asbestos concentration determined by point counting method tend to be lower than concentrations determined by visual estimation method and also, pont counting method was a little more complicated and time-consuming.

Motion Estimation Method Based on Correlations of Motion Vectors for Multi-view Video Coding (다시점 비디오 부호화를 위한 움직임 벡터들의 상관성을 이용한 움직임 추정 기법)

  • Yoon, Hyo-Sun;Kim, Mi-Young
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.1131-1141
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    • 2018
  • Motion Estimation which is used to reduce the redundant data plays an important role in video compressions. However, it requires huge computational complexity of the encoder part. And therefore many fast motion estimation methods has been developed to reduce complexity. Multi-view video is obtained by using many cameras at different positions and its complexity increases in proportion to the number of cameras. In this paper, we proposed a fast motion estimation method for multi-view video. The proposed method predicts a search start point by using correlated candidate vectors of the current block. According to the motion size of the start search point, a search start pattern of the current block is decided adaptively. The proposed method proves to be about 2 ~ 5 times faster than existing methods while maintaining similar image quality and bitrates.

Fatigue life estimation using the multi-axial multi-point Load Counting method under Variable Amplitude Loading (가변진폭하중에서 다축-다점 하중 Counting method를 이용한 피로수명평가)

  • 이원석;이현우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.913-920
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    • 1996
  • In this study, the counting method for multi-axial and multi-point load states was proposed. Using this counting method, the load spectrum is generated from the service load history which is measured for boom structure of excavator. Loading state for loading points of boom structure is described as a multi-dimensional state space. From this load spectrum, the stress spectrum was generated by FEM analysis using the superposition of the unit load. The cumulated damage at the severe damage point of In nm structure by the failure example is calculated by Palmgren-Miner's rule. As a result of this study, the fatigue life estimation using the multi-axial and multi-point load counting method is useful.

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The Effect of the Estimation Strategy on Placing Decimal Point in Multiplication and Division of Decimals (어림하기를 통한 소수점 찍기가 소수의 곱셈과 나눗셈에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Youn-Mee;Park, Sung-Sun
    • Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of estimation strategy on placing decimal point in multiplication and division of decimals. To examine the effects of improving calculation ability and reducing decimal point errors with this estimation strategy, the experimental research on operation with decimal was conducted. The operation group conducted the decimal point estimation strategy for operating decimal fractions, whereas the control group used the traditional method with the same test paper. The results obtained in this research are as follows; First, the estimation strategy with understanding a basic meaning of decimals was much more effective in calculation improvement than the algorithm study with repeated calculations. Second, the mathematical problem solving ability - including the whole procedure for solving the mathematical question - had no effects since the decimal point estimation strategy is normally performed after finishing problem solving strategy. Third, the estimation strategy showed positive effects on the calculation ability. Th Memorizing algorithm doesn't last long to the students, but the estimation strategy based on the concept and the position of decimal fraction affects continually to the students. Finally, the estimation strategy assisted the students in understanding the connection of the position of decimal points in the product with that in the multiplicand or the multiplier. Moreover, this strategy suggested to the students that there was relation between the placing decimal point of the quotient and that of the dividend.

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An Enhanced Function Point Model for Software Size Estimation: Micro-FP Model (소프트웨어 규모산정을 위한 기능점수 개선 Micro-FP 모형의 제안)

  • Ahn, Yeon-S.
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 2009
  • Function Point Method have been applied to measure software size estimation in industry because it supports to estimate the software's size by user's view not developer's. However, the current function point method has some problems for example complexity's upper limit etc. So, In this paper, an enhanced function point model. Micro FP model, was suggested. Using this model, software effort estimation can be more efficiently because this model has some regression equation. This model specially can be applied to estimate in detail the large application system's size Analysis results show that measured software size by this Micro FP model has the advantage with more correlative between the one of LOC, as of 10 applications operated in an large organization.

A Maximum Power Point Tracking Control for Photovoltaic Array without Voltage Sensor

  • Senjyu Tomonobu;Shirasawa Tomiyuki;Uezato Katsumi
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.617-621
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a maximum power point tracking algorithm for Photovoltaic array using only instantaneous output current information. The conventional Hill climbing method of peak power tracking has a disadvantage of oscillations about the maximum power point. To overcome this problem, we have developed a algorithm, that will estimate the duty ratio corresponding to maximum power operation of solar cell. The estimation of the optimal duty ratio involves, finding the duty ratio at which integral value of output current is maximum. For the estimation, we have used the well know Lagrange's interpolation method. This method can track maximum power point quickly even for changing solar insolations and avoids oscillations after reaching the maximum power point.

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