• Title/Summary/Keyword: Passenger demand

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A Study on the Planning and Operation Status of Cruise Terminal in Jeju (제주지역 크루즈터미널 계획 및 운영 실태에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chung-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2018
  • Although Jeju is the best cruise Secondary port in Northeast Asia, currently there are no dedicated cruise terminals. The port international passenger terminal opened in 2015 has a ferry terminal for offshore passengers and a cruise passenger function. Jeju Island is therefore constructing a cruise only terminal with the aim of opening in 2018 to meet the growing passenger demand at the Seoguipo civilian and public ports along with construction of a naval base at Gangjeong Port in Seogwipo City. It also plans to build cruise docks and cruise terminals in the Jeju New Port according to the Jeju port construction basic plan. However, during the construction and planning process of cruise terminals in Jeju, the adequacy of the terminal size is being debated and the immigration facilities are being operated. Therefore, the study analyzed the size of terminals and operation of immigration facilities appropriate for cruise passenger demand by investigating the status of cruise related facilities and operation in Jeju area. Based on this, the Commission hopes to explore the rational direction of the cruise terminal plan to revive the cruise industry in Jeju and provide high quality service to cruise passengers.

A Study on Zonal Operation of Buses - 2-Zonal operation Case - (구역분할 버스운영에 관한 연구 - 2-구역분할 운영의 경우 -)

  • 고승영;이양호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 1996
  • In most cities, travel demand is distributed along long corridors and its destinations tend to concentrate in a central business district. For this kind of many-to-one or one-to-many travel demand pattern, a zonal operation of buses can be an efficient bus operation technique in which a long bus-demand corridor is divided into service zones and each service zone is provided with its own bus route connecting the service zone and single destination separately. This paper develops models of the total transportation costs for a single-zone operation and 2-zonal operation of buses for a long demand corridor with single destination in terms of various cost parameters, demand density, bus operation speeds, and location of the boundary between two service zones. In this study the total transportation cost is assumed to consist of the bus operation cost, passenger waiting cost and passenger travel time cost. It was proved that a zonal operation of buses can be more efficient than a single-zone operation for certain circumstances of the system and an boundary condition between two operation techniques was obtained. Also, several case studies were performed for various values of the cost parameters.

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Estimation of Optimal Passenger Car Equivalents of TCS Vehicle Types for Expressway Travel Demand Models Using a Genetic Algorithm (고속도로 교통수요모형 구축을 위한 유전자 알고리즘 기반 TCS 차종별 최적 승용차환산계수 산정)

  • Kim, Kyung Hyun;Yoon, Jung Eun;Park, Jaebeom;Nam, Seung Tae;Ryu, Jong Deug;Yun, Ilsoo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The Toll Collection System (TCS) operated by the Korea Expressway Corporation provides accurate traffic counts between tollgates within the expressway network under the closed-type toll collection system. However, although origin-destination (OD) matrices for a travel demand model can be constructed using these traffic counts, these matrices cannot be directly applied because it is technically difficult to determine appropriate passenger car equivalent (PCE) values for the vehicle types used in TCS. Therefore, this study was initiated to systematically determine the appropriate PCE values of TCS vehicle types for the travel demand model. METHODS : To search for the appropriate PCE values of TCS vehicle types, a traffic demand model based on TCS-based OD matrices and the expressway network was developed. Using the traffic demand model and a genetic algorithm, the appropriate PCE values were optimized through an approach that minimizes errors between actual link counts and estimated link volumes. RESULTS : As a result of the optimization, the optimal PCE values of TCS vehicle types 1 and 5 were determined to be 1 and 3.7, respectively. Those of TCS vehicle types 2 through 4 are found in the manual for the preliminary feasibility study. CONCLUSIONS : Based on the given vehicle delay functions and network properties (i.e., speeds and capacities), the travel demand model with the optimized PCE values produced a MAPE value of 37.7%, RMSE value of 17124.14, and correlation coefficient of 0.9506. Conclusively, the optimized PCE values were revealed to produce estimates of expressway link volumes sufficiently close to actual link counts.

A Study on Architectural Facility and Spatial characteristics of Busan Port International Passenger Terminal

  • Ahn Woong Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2005
  • As the international society becomes more and more open, the international marine transportation demand is growing. And the growth of international tour demands and the developments of new passenger ship routes make the role of passenger terminals crucial. In this context this study analyzes and compares the terminals of Korea and Japan and defines design criteria for the construction of a passenger terminal. As a result of this study, it is proposed that an urban context, an architectural type and spatial characteristics be taken into account for the construction cf a passenger terminal. The ultimate purpose cf this study is to build a future-oriented international passenger terminal based on the result of this study, which will lead the ocean culture.

Analysis of Multi-Airport System Application Measures for New Jeju Airport (복수공항시스템 분석을 통한 제주신공항 운영방안 연구)

  • Jeon, Je-hyung;Park, Jeongmin;Oh, LeeJun;Song, Byung-Heum
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2017
  • In order for the international aviation community to efficiently and safely manage the gradual increase of air passenger demand, direction suggestions of airport traffic prediction based on future airport capacity requirements, airport design and infrastructure establishment is utilized by airport traffic data that is m comparable internationally. It is a global trend to pursue more efficient airport operating system structure to accept air passenger demand through more realistic comparable data in order to escape from the structure of reckless airport establishment and infrastructure composition based on passenger demand predictions referring to simple statistical data that has existed in the past. This study aimed to seek effective operational measures for the New Jeju airport scheduled to be opened in 2025 by time-series analysis. This study also analysed airport operation strategies, air traffic distribution strategies, cargo volume increase rates and its effectiveness of airports adopting the multi-airport system that have similar operational practices and geographical conditions. This study sought the most appropriate multi airport system application measures for New Jeju airport to promote efficiency and international competitiveness.

KTX Passenger Demand Forecast with Intervention ARIMA Model (개입 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 KTX 수요예측)

  • Kim, Kwan-Hyung;Kim, Han-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.470-476
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    • 2011
  • This study proposed the intervention ARIMA model as a way to forecast the KTX passenger demand. The second phase of the Gyeongbu high-speed rail project and the financial crisis in 2008 were analyzed in order to determine the effect of time series on the opening of a new line and economic impact. As a result, the financial crisis showed that there is no statistically significant impact, but the second phase of the Gyeongbu high-speed rail project showed that the weekday trips increased about 17,000 trips/day and the weekend trips increased about 26,000 trips/day. This study is meaningful in that the intervention explained the phenomena affecting the time series of KTX trip and analyzed the impact on intervention of time series quantitatively. The developed model can be used to forecast the outline of the overall KTX demand and to validate the KTX O/D forecasting demand.

Passenger Demand Forecasting for Urban Air Mobility Preparation: Gimpo-Jeju Route Case Study (도심 항공 모빌리티 준비를 위한 승객 수요 예측 : 김포-제주 노선 사례 연구)

  • Jung-hoon Kim;Hee-duk Cho;Seon-mi Choi
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.472-479
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    • 2024
  • Half of the world's total population lives in cities, continuous urbanization is progressing, and the urban population is expected to exceed two-thirds of the total population by 2050. To resolve this phenomenon, the Korean government is focusing on building a new urban air mobility (UAM) industrial ecosystem. Airlines are also part of the UAM industry ecosystem and are preparing to improve efficiency in safe operations, passenger safety, aircraft operation efficiency, and punctuality. This study performs demand forecasting using time series data on the number of daily passengers on Korean Air's Gimpo to Jeju route from 2019 to 2023. For this purpose, statistical and machine learning models such as SARIMA, Prophet, CatBoost, and Random Forest are applied. Methods for effectively capturing passenger demand patterns were evaluated through various models, and the machine learning-based Random Forest model showed the best prediction results. The research results will present an optimal model for accurate demand forecasting in the aviation industry and provide basic information needed for operational planning and resource allocation.

A Study on Dynamic Change of Transportation Demand Using Seasonal ARIMA Model (계절성을 감안한 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 교통수요 동태적 변화 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Min;Gwon, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2011
  • This study is to estimate the dynamic change of the regional railway passenger traffic and, based on the estimated, to forecast the future regional railway passenger traffic by using the Seasonal ARIMA model. The existing studies using ARIMA failed to consider seasonality nor the monthly or the quarterly data. It was attempted in this study to use the monthly regional railway passenger traffic data to propose a model that estimates dynamic change of demand. The authors employed the Seasonal ARIMA model previously developed and used (1) the numbers of monthly passenger data and (2) the monthly passenger-km data. The test results showed that the numbers of passengers in 2015 and 2020 would increase by 36% and 71%, respectively, compared to those in 2008. The numbers of passenger-kms in 2015 and 2020 would increase by 25% and 78%, respectively, compared to those in 2008.

A Prediction of Change on the Body Style Proportion of the Future Passenger Cars (향후의 승용차 차체 스타일 비례의 변화 예측)

  • Koo, Sang
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2000
  • The body proportion of a passenger car has been changed by the demand of consumer and the market. Now the interior space proportion on a passenger car become to have the importance as the passenger space and this proportion has been changed as the new models have been developed. It didn't seems to had a unified direction or strategy in the dimensions of the domestic passenger cars on the early models, but they had a specific changes in dimensions on the later models. The proportion of the wheelbase and greenhouse can be calculated into as about 58% and 57% on the compact and sub-compact passenger cars while it is about 56% on mid-size sedan type passenger cars for thier 3-box structure body concept. The overrall proportion of the interior space is bigger on the compact and the sub-compact passenger cars than the mid-size passenger cars as the calculation shows. It can be concluded that the interior space proportion on the compact passenger cars would become larger, which is closed to 60%. And this trend would be appear on the mid-size passenger cars.

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An Alternative Evaluation Model for Benefit Measurement of Public Transportation by the Open of Urban Railway: Seoul Metro Line 9 (도시 철도개통에 따른 대중교통이용 편익측정을 위한 대안적 평가모델 : 지하철 9호선을 사례로)

  • Joo, Yong-Jin
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2011
  • In accordance with low carbon and green growth paradigm, a subway is one of major public transit systems for resolving traffic congestion and decreasing traffic accidents. In addition, as subway networks expand, passengers' travel pattern in the subway network change and consequently affect the urban structure. Generally, new subway route has been planned and developed, mainly considering a travel demand forecast. However, it is desired to conduct an empirical analysis on the forecast model regarding change of travel accessibility and passenger demand pattern according to new subway line. Therefore, in this paper, an alternative method, developed based upon a spatial syntax model, is proposed for evaluating new subway route in terms of passenger's mobility and network accessibility. In a case study, we constructed subway network data, mainly targeting the no 9 subway line opened in 2009. With an axial-map analysis, we calculated spatial characteristics to describe topological movement interface. We then analyzed actual modal shift and change on demand of passengers through the number of subway passenger between subway stations and the number of passenger according to comparative bus line from Smart Card to validate suggested methods. Results show that the proposed method provides quantitative means of visualizing passenger flow in subway route planning and of analyzing the time-space characteristics of network. Also, it is expected that the proposed method can be utilized for predicting a passengers' pattern and its impact on public transportation.