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Development of Outbound Tourism Forecasting Models in Korea

  • Yoon, Ji-Hwan;Lee, Jung Seung;Yoon, Kyung Seon
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2014
  • This research analyzes the effects of factors on the demands for outbound to the countries such as Japan, China, the United States of America, Thailand, Philippines, Hong Kong, Singapore and Australia, the countries preferred by many Koreans. The factors for this research are (1) economic variables such as Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), which could have influences on outbound tourism and exchange rate and (2) unpredictable events such as diseases, financial crisis and terrors. Regression analysis was used to identify relationship based on the monthly data from January 2001 to December 2010. The results of the analysis show that both exchange rate and KOSPI have impacts on the demands for outbound travel. In the case of travels to the United States of America and Philippines, Korean tourists usually have particular purposes such as studying, visiting relatives, playing golf or honeymoon, thus they are less influenced by the exchange rate. Moreover, Korean tourists tend not to visit particular locations for some time when shock reaction happens. As the demands for outbound travels are different from country to country accompanied by economic variables and shock variables, differentiated measure to should be considered to come close to the target numbers of tourists by switching as well as creating the demands. For further study we plan to build outbound tourism forecasting models using Artificial Neural Networks.

Duty-Free Electronic Commerce and The Rules of The WTO (전자상거래 무관세화와 WTO 규범)

  • 정순태
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 2001
  • This paper seek to clarify a narrow set of policy issues relating to the international trade aspects of electronic commerce. It focuses, in particular, on the WTO decision not impose customs duties on electronically delivered products. The decision on duty-free commerce is intended to contribute to the growth of electronic commerce by providing a guarantee of open trading conditions, but the significance of the decision may have been exaggerated. In particular, the prohibition of customs duties does not ensure continued open market access for electronically delivered products and may even prompt recourse to inferior instruments of protection. Accordingly, barrier-free electronic commerce would be more effectively secured by deepening and widening the limited cross-border trade commitments under the GATS and by clarifying and strengthening certain GATS disciplines.

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The Evaluation and Some Problems for System-Transformation of Foreign Trade Law in Korea (전자무역지원을 위한 개정 대외무역법회 내용과 문제점)

  • 한상현
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.137-154
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    • 2001
  • Years in preparation, the revised law on Foreign Trade Law of Korea came into effect on March 1, 2001, adopted at the Congress on June 17, 2000. The purpose of this Act is to contribute to the growth of the national economy by means of contriving to maintain the balance of international payments and to expand commerce, and through promoting foreign trade and establishing fair trade system. Particular, revised Foreign Trade Law of Korea shall be based on the general provisions on transactions of exports or imports and measures for promotion of electronic Trade. Because electronic trade is not bound by physical geography provides a fundamentally new way of conducting commercial transactions, therefore Korea importers and exporters need to be aware of the character and problems that may occure from what was above-mentioned revised Foreign Trade Law of Korea. In the thesis, i tried to explain and survey the character and evaluation of revised Foreign Trade Law in Korea with particular attention to revised frameworks for electronic commerce on focus legal and commercial problems.

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Catalytic oxidation kinetics of iron-containing carbon particles generated from diesel-sprayed hydrogen-air diffusion flame (디젤-분무 수소-공기 확산화염에서 생성된 철-함유 탄소입자의 촉매 산화반응 특성)

  • Kim, Yongho;Kim, Yong-Tae;Kim, Soo Hyung;Lee, Donggeun
    • Particle and aerosol research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we devoted to kinetic measurement of the catalytic oxidation of iron-containing flame soot particles and better understanding the role of catalytic particles on carbon oxidation in particular at low temperature, targeting on autothermal regeneration of diesel particulate filter by diesel exhaust gas. Carbon-based Fe-containing particles generated by spraying ferrocene-doped diesel fuel in an oxy-hydrogen flame are tested and compared with a commercial carbon black powder for thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS), Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), Induced coupled plasma-Atomic emission spectroscopy (ICP-AES), and High-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HR-TEM). As a result, we found that a small amount of the ferrocene addition led to significant reductions in a on-set temperature and an activation energy of the carbon oxidation as well. An oxygenated surface complex forming at the particle surface could be thought as active species that would be readily consumed in particular at low temperature.

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A Study on the book reviews published in review periodicals (문헌비평을 위한 서평의 분석적 고찰 -서평문화와 출판저널을 중심으로-)

  • 김상호
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.247-262
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    • 1994
  • This study is concerned with analysis of all the reviews published by the reviewing periodicals, The Book Review Culture and The Korean Publishing Journal, from 1991 to 1993. The result of analysis for 736 reviews are followed: 1) The percentage of reviews in the field of philosophy & religion, literature & language, science & technology is lower than the percent-age of books published. But in the field of history and social science the reviewing is proportionately higher than the publishing. 2) Book reviews are prepared by professors, literary reviewers, researchers, and experts in the particular subject field except librarian. 3) Basic elements of reviewing are the career and view point of author, trends of suject field, content, value, omissions, limitations, and format of book, reader's level, etc. Ideal method of book criticism may be summarized as follows: 1) The criterion of book selection are the book's value, the social . demand, and the proportion of titles published. 2) For the unbiased criticism, it should be written by the experienced librarian rather than the experts of particular subject field. 3) Book criticism need to provide not only guide to new books but also interpretation and evaluation about each book for its reader.

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NUMERICAL FLOW VISUALIZATION ANALYSIS AROUND AN OSCILLATING SQUARE CYLINDER (정사각봉의 진동에 의한 유동해석)

  • Ju, M.K.;Ajith Kumar, R.;Sohn, C.H.;Gowda, R.H.L.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.115-119
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a flow visualization analysis has been carried out on an oscillating square section cylinder, numerically, using a commercially available code CFD-ACE. In this study, the square cylinder is forced to oscillate at different frequencies of excitation, viz., fe/fo=0.5, 1.0 and 2.0 (where, fe is the excitation frequency provided to the cylinder and fo is the natural vortex shedding frequency from the stationary cylinder at a particular Reynolds number (=5200). In all the cases, the peak-to-peak amplitude of oscillation is kept at 32% of the side dimension of the square cylinder. These studies are conducted to understand the influence of frequency of oscillation on the flow field features around the cylinder, particularly the mode of vortex shedding. Results indicate that, the flow field around a square cylinder is very much influenced by the excitation frequency, in particular the vortex shedding mode. It is also found that, the vortex street parameters are significantly influence by the oscillation frequency. Comparison with earlier reported experimental studies has also been attempted in this paper. In appears that, such a numerical exercise (as performed in this paper) is first of its kind. It is believed that, these studies would enable one to understand the mechanisms underlying the flow-induced vibrations of a square section cylinder.

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NUMERICAL ANALYSIS ON THE MIXING OF A PASSIVE SCALAR IN THE TURBULENT FLOW OF A SMALL COMBUSTOR BY USING LARGE EDDY SIMULATION (큰에디모사법을 이용한 소형 연소기의 난류 유동장 내 스칼라 혼합에 대한 수치해석)

  • Choi, H.S.;Park, T.S.;Suzuki, K.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.11 no.4 s.35
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2006
  • The characteristics of turbulent flow and mixing in a small can type combustor are investigated by means of Large Eddy Simulation (LES). Attention is paid for a combustor having a baffle plate with oxidant injection and fuel injection holes and study is made for three cases of different baffle plate configurations. From the result, it is confirmed that mixing is promoted by interaction between the jets during their developing process and large vortical flows generated in the vicinity of the combustor wall or fuel jet front. This particular flow feature is effective to accelerate the slow mixing between fuel and oxidant suffering from low Reynolds number condition in such a small combustor. In particular, the vortical flow region ahead of fuel jet plays an important role for rapid mixing. Discussion is made for the time and space averaged turbulent flow and scalar quantities which show peculiar characteristics corresponding to different vortical flow structures for each baffle plate shapes.

Discrete-vortex Simulation of Turbulent Separation Bubble Excited by Acoustic Perturbatioons (음향교란을 받는 난류박리기포의 이산와류 수치해석)

  • 임재욱;성형진
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.775-786
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    • 1992
  • Studies are made of the turbulent separation bubble in a two-dimensional semi-infinite blunt plate aligned to a uniform free stream when the oncoming free stream contains a pulsating component. The discrete-vortex method is applied to simulate this flow situations because this approach is effective to represent the unsteady motions of turbulent shear layer and the effect of viscosity near the solid surface. The two key external paramenters in the free stream, i.e., the amplitude of pulsation, A, and the frequency parameter St[=fH/ $U_{1}$], are dealt with in the present numerical computations, A particular frequency gives a minimum reattachment which is related to the drag reduction and the most effective frequency is dependent on the most amplified shedding frequency. The turbulent flow structure is scrutinized. A comparison between the unperturbed flow and the perturbed at the particular frequency of the minimum reattachment length of the separation bubble suggests that the large-scale structure is associated with the shedding frequency and the flow instabilities.

Effects of Nanopowder Additives in Micro-electrical Discharge Machining

  • Tan, Peng-Cheong;Yeo, Swee-Hock;Tan, Yie-Voon
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.22-26
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    • 2008
  • The use of electrical discharge machining (EDM) for micro-machining applications requires particular attention to the machined surface roughness and discharge gap distance, as these factors affect the geometrical accuracy of micro-parts. Previous studies of conventional EDM have shown that selected types of semi-conductive and non-conductive powder suspended in the dielectric reduced the surface roughness while ensuring a limited increase in the gap distance. Based on this, an extension of the technique to micro-EDM was studied Such work is necessary since the introduction of nanopowders suspended in the dielectric is not well understood. The experimental results showed that a statistically significant reduction in the surface roughness value was achieved at particular concentrations of the powder additives, depending on the powder material and the machining input energy setting. The average reduction in surface roughness using a powder suspended dielectric was between 14-24% of the average surface roughness generated using a pure dielectric. Furthermore, when these additive concentrations were used for machining, no adverse increase in the gap distance was observed.

A Study on the Measurement of Vibration Mode Shape using Holographic interferometry (홀로그래픽 간섭법을 이용한 진동모드의 계측에 관한 연구)

  • 김광래
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2000
  • In this study the vibration behavior of the stiffened double cylinder was experimently analyzed. Due to the complex structure of the double cylinder the outside cylinder frequency responses to the exciting forces applied on various posi-tions were analyzed by using spectrum analyzer in conjunction with an accelerometer and the natural frequencies were obtained. The technique of time-averaged holographic interferometry is applied to study the vibration characteristics of outside cylinder with stiffening T frame. The experimental data showed that the T frame had salient effect of damping on the testing structure at most of resonances. however the experimental results also revealed interesting phenomenon. At some particular frequencies the T frame. The experimental data showed that the T frame had salient effect of damping on the testing structure at most of resonances. However the experimental results also revealed interesting phenomenon. At some particular frequencies the T frame seemed to behave as a transmitter. In addition it has been successfully demon-started that optical method such as holographic interferometry is well suited for the identification of mode shapes. They can give us a whole-field non-contact measurement instead of the point-wise measurement by accelerometer in classical modal testing.

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