• 제목/요약/키워드: PRECIPITATION

검색결과 6,956건 처리시간 0.039초

지역 기후 모형을 이용한 한반도 강수 모의에서 수평 해상도의 영향 (Impact of Horizontal Resolution of Regional Climate Model on Precipitation Simulation over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 이영호;차동현;이동규
    • 대기
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.387-395
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    • 2008
  • The impact of horizontal resolution on a regional climate model was investigated by simulating precipitation over the Korean Peninsula. As a regional climate model, the SNURCM(Seoul National University Regional Climate Model) has 21 sigma layers and includes the NCAR CLM(National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Land Model) for land-surface model, the Grell scheme for cumulus convection, the Simple Ice scheme for explicit moisture, and the MRF(Medium-Range Forecast) scheme for PBL(Planetary Boundary Layer) processing. The SNURCM was performed with 20 km resolution for Korea and 60 km resolution for East Asia during a 20-year period (1980-1999). Although the SNURCM systematically underestimated precipitation over the Korean Peninsula, the increase of model resolution simulated more precipitation in the southern region of the Korean Peninsula, and a more accurate distribution of precipitation by reflecting the effect of topography. The increase of precipitation was produced by more detailed terrain data which has a 10 minute terrain in the 20 km resolution model compared to the 30 minute terrain in the 60 km resolution model. The increase in model resolution and more detailed terrain data played an important role in generating more precipitation over the Korean Peninsula. While the high resolution model with the same terrain data resulted in increasing of precipitation over the Korean Peninsula including the adjoining sea, the difference of the terrain data resolution only influenced the precipitation distribution of the mountainous area by increasing the amount of non-convective rain. In conclusion, the regional climate model (SNURCM) with higher resolution simulated more precipitation over the Korean Peninsula by reducing the systematic underestimation of precipitation over the Korean Peninsula.

경북지방(慶北地方)의 강수(降水) 및 무강수(無降水) 현상(現象) 조사(調査) 분석(分析) (A Studay on the Rainfall and Drought Days in Kyupgpook Area)

  • 서승덕;전국진
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • 제5권
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    • pp.143-157
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    • 1987
  • In order to determine the design precipitation, the most probable daily precipitation and annual precipitation at every spot are calculated and iso - precipitation line are drawn. Probability of precipitation and drought phenomena of each gage station are analyzied by the method of frequency analysis from the statistical conceptions. The results summarized in this study are as the follows. 1. Annual mean precipitation in kyungpook area are 1044 mm, about 115 mm less than annual mean precipitation of Korea amounts to l1S9mm, and found to regionally unequal. 2. Monthly mean rainfall of July is 242.2mm, 23.2%, August 174.2mm, 16.7%, June 115mm, 11% and September 114.2mm, 10.9% and Rainfall depth of July-August are more than 40% of annual precipition. This shows notable summer rainy weather by typoon and low pressure storm and seasonal unbalance of water supply. 3. The relation among the maximum precipi.tation per day, per two continuous days and per three contnous days are caculated and the latter is found 31.0% increased rate of the first and the last 48.2% increased rate of first. 4. Probability precipitation in Kyungpook area are shown as 9.0%(5 year), 13.3%(10 year), 17.7%(20 year), 23.1%(50 year), 27.0%(100 year) and 31.1%(200 year) increased rate of each recurrence year compared with observed average annual precipitation. 5. From annual precipitation and maximum daily rainfall data probability of precipitation and precipitation isohyetal line are derived which shown as Table 11 and Fig. 8. 6. Drought days are divided 6 class and analysed results are shown on table 12. Average occurrence time of 10-14 continuous drought days are 2.3 time per year, 15-19 days are 0.9 time per year, 20-24 days are one per six years, 30-34 days are once per nine years and over than 35days are once per 25 years.

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한반도 겨울철 강수 유형에 따른 전지구 수치모델(GRIMs) 예측성능 검증 (Evaluation of Predictability of Global/Regional Integrated Model System (GRIMs) for the Winter Precipitation Systems over Korea)

  • 연상훈;서명석;이주원;이은희
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.353-365
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    • 2022
  • This paper evaluates precipitation forecast skill of Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs) over South Korea in a boreal winter from December 2013 to February 2014. Three types of precipitation are classified based on development mechanism: 1) convection type (C type), 2) low pressure type (L type), and 3) orographic type (O type), in which their frequencies are 44.4%, 25.0%, and 30.6%, respectively. It appears that the model significantly overestimates precipitation occurrence (0.1 mm d-1) for all types of winter precipitation. Objective measured skill scores of GRIMs are comparably high for L type and O type. Except for precipitation occurrence, the model shows high predictability for L type precipitation with the most unbiased prediction. It is noted that Equitable Threat Score (ETS) is inappropriate for measuring rare events due to its high dependency on the sample size, as in the case of Critical Success Index as well. The Symmetric Extreme Dependency Score (SEDS) demonstrates less sensitivity on the number of samples. Thus, SEDS is used for the evaluation of prediction skill to supplement the limit of ETS. The evaluation via SEDS shows that the prediction skill score for L type is the highest in the range of 5.0, 10.0 mm d-1 and the score for O type is the highest in the range of 1.0, 20.0 mm d-1. C type has the lowest scores in overall range. The difference in precipitation forecast skill by precipitation type can be explained by the spatial distribution and intensity of precipitation in each representative case.

현실적인 빗방울 종단 낙하 속도-크기 관계의 처방이 한반도 여름철 지표 강수 모의에 미치는 영향 (Effects of the Realistic Description for the Terminal Fall Velocity-Diameter Relationship of Raindrops on the Simulated Summer Precipitation over South Korea)

  • 김다슬;임교선;김권일;이규원
    • 대기
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.421-437
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    • 2020
  • The effects of the terminal fall velocity-diameter relationship for raindrops, which is prescribed based on the measurement, on the simulated surface precipitation over Korea during summer season were investigated in our study. Two rainfall cases, 1-month summer precipitation and mesoscale rainfall, have been simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The selected cloud microphysics parameterizations are WRF Single-Moment 5-class (WSM5) and WRF Single-Moment 6-class (WSM6) in the WRF model. The measured terminal fall-diameter relationship for raindrops by Gunn and Kinzer (1949) was applied in both WSM5 and WSM6. The sensitivity experiments with WSM5 and WSM6, applying the measured fall-diameter relationship, presents the different responses in simulated precipitation amount for the 1-month summer precipitation case. Precipitation increases with WSM5, thus enhancing the precipitation statistical skills. However, precipitation decreases with WSM6 leading to the deterioration of precipitation statistical skills. For the mesoscale rainfall case, precipitation increases with both WSM5 and WSM6, which further enhances the positive bias in precipitation amount.

충청지역 극한강우지수의 시공간적 경향과 변동성 분석 (Analysis of Spatial-temporal Variability and Trends of Extreme Precipitation Indices over Chungcheong Province, South Korea)

  • Bashir, Adelodun;Golden, Odey;Seulgi, Lee;Kyung Sook, Choi
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권6호
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2022
  • Extreme precipitation events have recently become a leading cause of disasters. Thus, investigating the variability and trends of extreme precipitation is crucial to mitigate the increasing impact of such events. Spatial distribution and temporal trends in annual precipitation and four extreme precipitation indices of duration (CWD), frequency (R10 mm), intensity (Rx1day), and percentile-based threshold (R95pTOT) were analyzed using the daily precipitation data of 10 observation stations in Chungcheong province during 1974-2020. The precipitation at all observation stations, except the Boryeong station, showed nonsignificant increasing trends at 95% confidence level (CL) and increasing magnitudes from the west to east regions. The high variability in mean annual precipitation was more pronounced around the northeast and northwest regions. Similarly, there were moderate to high patterns in extreme precipitation indices around the northeast region. However, the precipitation indices of duration and frequency consistently increased from the west to east regions, while those of intensity and percentile-based threshold increased from the south to east regions. Nonsignificant increasing trends dominated in CWD, R10 mm, and Rx1day at all stations, except for R10 mm at Boeun station and Rx1day at Cheongju and Jecheon stations, which showed a significantly increasing trend. The spatial distribution of trend magnitude shows that R10 mm increased from the west to east regions. Furthermore, variations in precipitation were very strongly correlated (99% CL) with R10 mm, Rx1day, and R95pTOT at all stations, except with wR10 mm at Cheongju station, which was strongly correlated with a 95% CL.

소듐바나데이트 수용액에서 염화암모늄 첨가에 의한 암모늄메타바나데이트 침전특성 고찰 (Precipitation Characteristics of Ammonium Metavanadate from Sodium Vanadate Solution by Addition of Ammonium Chloride)

  • 윤호성;허서진;김철주;정경우;전호석
    • 자원리싸이클링
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.28-37
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 알칼리 영역의 소듐바나데이트(NaVO3) 수용액을 출발물질로 사용하여 침전온도, 염화암모늄 첨가량 및 첨가방법, 수용액의 바나듐 및 수산화나트륨 함량 등이 암모늄메타바나데이트 침전거동에 미치는 영향을 알아보았다. 수용액 pH가 감소할수록, 염화암모늄 첨가량 그리고 수용액의 바나듐 함량이 증가할수록 암모늄메타바나데이트 침전률이 증가하였다. 본 연구조건에서 90% 이상의 암모늄메타바나데이트 침전률을 얻기 위한 기본 조건은 수용액 바나듐 함량 10,000mg/L, 고체 염화암모늄 첨가량 2당량, 침전온도 상온, 침전시간 2시간 이었다. 암모늄메타바나데이트는 침전속도 증가에 따라 침전물 크기가 감소하였으며, 특히 염화암모늄을 액체로 투입할 때, 침전속도는 가장 느리며 침전물 크기는 가장 크게 나타났다. 염화암모늄을 고체로 첨가하여 1차 침전반응 후, 새로운 반응물을 첨가하여 2차 침전반응을 시킬 때, 고체 염화암모늄을 첨가한 침전반응은 수용액에 존재하는 침전물에 영향을 받지 않았다. 그러나 염화암모늄 수용액을 첨가하였을 때는 수용액에 존재하는 침전물 표면에 침적되어 그 크기를 증가시켰다. 수용액 온도에 따른 암모늄메타바나데이트 용해도 차이에 의하여, 바나듐 함량 10,000mg/L 수용액에서는 침전온도가 암모늄메타바나데이트 침전에 영향을 미치며, 바나듐 함량 30,000mg/L 이상의 고농도 수용액에서는 침전온도가 침전반응에 영향을 미치지는 못하였다.

기후변화에 따른 강수량의 시공간적 발생 패턴의 변화 분석 (Changes in the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Precipitation Due to Climate Change)

  • 김대준;강대균;박주현;김진희;김용석
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.424-433
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    • 2021
  • 최근의 기후변화는 지구촌 곳곳에 이상기상 현상을 발생시키며, 사회 여러 분야에서 많은 피해를 발생시키고 있다. 특히 최근에는 호우 또는 가뭄 등 강수량의 많고 적음으로 인한 피해가 많이 보고되고 있는데, 본 연구에서는 실제로 우리나라에서 발생하고 있는 강수량의 발생 패턴을 조사하여 과거에서 현재까지 어떤 변화를 보이는지 분석해보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 선행연구에서 기후변화에 따른 강수량의 시간적 특성 비교를 위해 제시한 강수지표 중 일부를 선정하였다. 지점별 시간에 따른 변화를 분석하기 위하여 국내 기상청 ASOS 관측소 10개 지점을 지역분포를 고려하여 선정하였으며, 지점별로 1951년부터 2020년까지의 일적산강수량을 수집하였다. 또한 산악강수모형을 이용하여 1981년부터 2020년까지의 전국 고해상도의 일별 강수분포도를 제작하여 분석에 활용하였다. 시간에 따른 분석결과 연적산강수량의 경우 과거에서 현재로 이동하면서 증가 양상을 보였다. 강수일수의 경우 대부분의 관측지점에서 감소하는 추세를 보였으며, 호우일수의 경우는 반대로 증가하는 경향을 보였다. 공간적인 변화의 경우 강수일수와 호우일수 모두 과거에 비해 감소되는 지역이 많았으며, 그 특징은 중부지방에서 두드러지게 나타났다. 결과적으로 우리나라의 강수량의 패턴은 짧아진 강수일수, 늘어난 일별 강수량으로의 변화로 정리할 수 있다.

10%Cr 페라이트계 합금에서 라베스상의 석출거동에 관한 연구 (Precipitation Behavior of Laves Phase in 10%Cr Ferrite System Alloy)

  • 김익수;강창용;배동수
    • 열처리공학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 1999
  • The present study were investigated changes of precipitation behaviour of laves phase in ferrite single phase and ferrite-martensite dual phase and precipitation of laves phase under stress. Hardness changes in ferrite phase appeared two hardness peaks by precipitation of initial fine precipitator and laves phase in 3Mo-0.3Si and 3Mo-0.3Si-C specimens, respectively. Hardness changes in martensite phase of 3Mo-0.3Si-C specimen was lower in the initial stage of aging by carbide precipitation and after this, increased by re-hardening due to precipitation of laves phase. In the ferrite phase, laves phase was mainly precipitated, whereas in the martensite phase, carbide was preferentially formed during the initial stage of aging and with increasing aging time, laves phase and carbide were simultaneously precipitated by precipitation of laves phase at around carbide. In the ferrite-martensite interface, laves phase was mainly precipitated and carbide was mainly formed at boundary of lath martensite than grain boundary. Adding the stress in aging, fine precipitator of inital precipitation of laves phase precipitated in (100) of perpendicular to tensile direction and has grown to only followed<010>direction and also, volume fraction of laves phase increased. Consequently, the stress added was accelerated initial precipitation of laves phase.

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대기중 $CO_2$ 증가에 따른 한반도 강수량 변화 (Precipitation Change in Korea due to Atmospheric $CO_2$ Increase)

  • 오재호;홍성길
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.143-157
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    • 1995
  • 대기중 $CO_2$ 배증에 따른 한반도 강수량 변화가 3개 GCM(CCC, UI와 GFDL)의 기후변화 실험에 따른 광역적 강수변동 자료로부터 Robinson과 Finkelstein이 제시한 혼합적 방법에 의하여 계산되었다. 계산 결과 도출된 대기중 CO$ 배증에 따라 예상되는 강수량 변화는 다음과 같다. 봄철에 예상되는 강수량 증가는 약 25mm/yr정도이며 여름철과 가을철의 강수량 증가는 50mm/yr를 상회하였다. 그러나 겨울철에는 13mm/yr 감소하였다. 현 강수량에 대한 백분율로 보면 봄철, 여름철과 가을철에 각각 10%, 13%와 24%의 강수량 증가를 보인 반면에 겨울철에는 현재보다 다소 감소할 것이 예상된다.

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자동배수형 무게식 강수량계 개발 및 강우량 측정 성능검사 (Development of Auto-Empting Type Weighing Precipitation Gauge and Performance Test on Rainfall Measurement)

  • 김상조;손탑
    • 대기
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2012
  • The weighing precipitation gauge with auto-empting capability was developed in the R&D project organized by the Research Agency for Climate Science (RACS) and supported by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). This project was initiated in line with the KMA's plan executed since 2010 to introduce the weighing precipitation gauges partly into of their Automatic Weather Station (AWS) network in order to upgrade the quality of precipitation data. The innovative feature of this research is that the auto-empting in weighing precipitation gauge is realized by abrupt rotation of receiving container. The prototype was tested in compliance with the relevant standards of KMA. The results of performance test on rainfall measurement in laboratory verified that the accuracies for 20 mm and 100 mm reference rainfall amount were 0.1 mm and 0.4 mm, respectively in both conditions of auto-empting and no-empting. During the rotation of container for auto-empting, the data was extrapolated smoothly by applying the same precipitation intensity of the previous 10 sec. Consequently, it was found that the auto-empting precipitation gauge developed in this research is quite enough to be used for the operational purpose of accurate measurement with 0.1 mm resolution, regardless of the precipitation intensity.