• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.97-100
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• 2015

Analysis of construction tender documents in overseas projects is a very important issue from a risk management point of view. Unfortunately, majority of construction firms are biased by winning contracts without in-depth analysis of tender documents. As a result, many contractors have incurred loss in overseas projects. Although a lot of risk analysis techniques have been introduced, most of them focus project's external unexpected risks such as country conditions and owner's financial standing. However, because those external risks are difficult to control and take preemptive action, we need to concentrate on project inherent risks. Based on this premise, this paper proposes a project-oriented risk mining approach which could detect and extract project risk factors automatically before they are materialized and assess them. This study presents a methodology regarding how to extract potential risks which exist in owner's project requirements and project tender documents using state of the art data analysis method such as text mining, data mining, and information visualization. The project-oriented risk mining approach is expected to effectively reflect project characteristics to the project risk management and could provide construction firms with valuable business intelligence.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.191-209
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• 2020

Project logistics is becoming increasingly important in overseas plant projects. Efficient logistics risk management is needed to reduce construction period and reduce costs. However, Korean construction firms bid unconditionally without sufficient experience and analysis on overseas plants contract, companies are gradually losing profitability on projects due to not considering profitability. Despite the significant effects on the profitability of Korean construction companies, and although these companies still continue to bid on overseas plant projects, policies to manage project logistics risks for safe transport and compliance with the contracted building schedule in the long term is still lacking. Hence, this study investigates the risk factors related to project logistics and to analyze the effect of project logistics risk on overseas plant business performance. We conducted a survey of project-related workers. The results of the analysis are as follows: First, among the logistics risk factors, overseas platform business people recognize operational risk and financial risk factors, which have a positive effect directly on overseas plant performance. Second, the ability to manage project logistics risks can have a significant impact on the success or failure of overseas plants. Finally, if logistics risk factors are managed on the basis of the research results confirmed through empirical analysis, it is possible to carry out more efficient and effective management of the project, which implies that this will have a positive effect on overseas plant business performance.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.221-230
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• 2023

Under increased complexity and uncertainty of overseas construction projects, it is important for construction companies to improve their own project risk management capabilities instead of risk-taking strategies to secure competitiveness in the overseas construction market. Although most of the risks occur in project execution stage, many previous studies focused on planning stage including risk identification and analysis among PRM process. Therefore, this study aims to verify the effectiveness of whole PRM process during project execution stage through empirical study on participants of overseas construction projects. As the result it was found that first, the factor directly affects the project success is the execution process of PRM. It implies that appropriate actions such as appointing charged manager for risks, timely implementation of responding plan, continuous risk monitoring and updating established plan are the key for contribution to the project success. Second, the importance of communication in PRM is also found, which is not conducted at a specific but throughout the entire PRM process and need to be managed as essential factor for successful PRM..

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제32권5D호
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• pp.473-481
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• 2012

천연가스는 타 화석연료에 비해 온실가스를 적게 배출하는 청정연료로서 가채연수가 길고 상대적으로 가격 변동이 적어 세계적으로 사용량이 증대되고 있으며, 이에 따라 신규 가스전 개발 및 대규모의 천연가스 플랜트 건설 사업이 세계 각지에서 추진되고 있다. 특히 다양한 플랜트 사업 중 해외 천연가스 파이프라인 사업의 경우 보다 안정적이고 효율적인 천연가스의 수송을 위해 지역 간이나 국가 간에 적용되는 방식으로서 건설 수요가 괄목할만하게 증가하고 있으며 이미 전체 천연가스 교역의 72%를 차지하고 있다. 그러나 우리나라의 경우 해외의 주요 가스전과의 물리적인 거리 및 저장시설에 한정된 수요 발생으로 인해 해외 파이프라인 공종의 참여가 뒤떨어져 있는 것이 현실이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해외 천연가스 파이프라인 사업의 진출을 위해 사업계획 단계를 중심으로 표준화된 업무 프로세스 모델을 구축하고자 하였다. 국 내외의 파이프라인 사업 및 해외건설 프로세스를 분석하고, 해외 천연가스 파이프라인 사업의 특성을 반영하여 3단계의 레벨을 가진 업무 프로세스 모델을 도출하였다. 이후 전문가를 활용하여, 업무 프로세스 모델을 테스트베드에 적용하여 실무적 검증을 수행하였으며, 이와 별도로 추가적인 설문조사를 통해 본 연구에서 제시된 업무 프로세스 모델의 적용성과 효용성을 확인하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 업무 프로세스 모델을 기반으로 기업의 노하우를 반영한다면, 해외 천연가스 사업 의사결정을 위한 객관적인 기준으로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제50권
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• pp.215-250
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• 2011

Korean won overseas construction projects worth 71.6 billion US Dollars in 2010, which exceeded that of 2009 by 45.6%. An overseas construction project is a transaction of large scale, long term project, many parties participating, deferred payment, and of high-technology. It contributes to foreign currency earning, and also leads the nation's export restructuring work towards high value-added one. There are various kinds of risks towards the relevant parties respectively, which are key elements in successfully performing the overseas construction project. There are completion risk, financing risk, operating risk, revenue risk etc, in an employer's place. A contractor may be confronted with payment risk, issuance risk of performance bond, financing risk, performance risk of sub-contractors, and exchange rate risk. In lenders place there are repayment risk, completion risk, and political risk in the host country. In order to mitigate risks, the parties shall take relevant measures or require relevant securities. A contractor needs to evaluate the credibility of an employer in respect of payment risk, and can also request export insurance cover by the Korea Trade Insurance Corporation(the former 'Korea Export Insurance Corporation"). An employer can require a contractor to provide performance bond in respect of completion risk, and employ a well-known first class bank as a mandated arranger to arrange financing with regard to completion risk. Lenders needs to evaluate the credibility of an employer and accomplish feasibility study of the project. Lenders can request insurance cover from export credit agency. Once the parties assess the respective risks and obtain relevant securities, the project will be successfully completed. The success of the project will be sure to bring the parties involved enormous profits and another opportunity to participate in overseas construction project afterwards.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.43-51
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• 2013

일련의 건설업체들의 사업 구조 변화 과정을 살펴보면 국내건설시장과 해외건설시장의 수주 규모가 건설업체의 재무적 상황과 특정한 관계가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구에서는 해외건설사업과 건설업체의 재무 건전성 간에 관계성을 실증분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구에서는 유동성 지표는 유동비율을 안정성 지표는 부채비율을 분석에 활용하였다. 분석변수의 시계열 자료는 2000년부터 2010년까지의 분기별 자료이다. 본 연구에서는 유동비율과 해외 및 국내 건설수주액을 활용한 모형을 Model 1로, 부채비율과 해외 및 국내건설수주액을 활용한 모형을 Model 2로 구분하여 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과 현재 해외건설수주액 증가가 유동비율을 증가시킴으로서 단기 자금회전은 원활히 할 수 있지만 전체적인 관점에서 부채비율을 낮추는 데에는 효과가 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 이에 따라 현재 급격한 해외건설사업 규모 증대를 긍정적인 현상으로 보기에는 무리가 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.133-156
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• 2014

경제구조를 표현하는 식들로 구성된 모형을 이용하여 도출되는 정량적 분석결과는 성과의 크기를 제시하므로 정책을 평가할 때에 유용하다. 이에 본 논문에서는 해외석유 가스개발사업의 국민경제에 대한 효과를 정량적으로 측정하기 위하여 해외석유 가스개발사업을 반영한 거시경제모형을 구축하고, 이를 이용하여 해외석유 가스개발사업으로부터의 회수액이 GDP, 경상수지, 실업률, 소비자물가, 환율 등에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 해외석유 가스개발 사업의 회수액은 우리나라 기업이 해외석유 가스개발사업에 참여하여 획득한 석유 또는 가스를 달러 형태로 금액화한 것이다. 해외석유 가스개발사업을 반영한 거시경제모형은 한국은행의 모형(1997, 2004, 2012)을 이용하여 구축하였으며, 개별 행태방정식의 통계적 적합성과 historical simulation을 통해 모형 전체의 안정성을 확인하였다. 분석결과에 따르면 시간이 경과하면서 해외석유 가스개발사업 회수액의 규모가 커지면서 우리 나라의 거시경제 변수에 미치는 효과의 크기도 커졌다. 변수별로 보면 해외석유 가스개발사업은 경상수지, 실질 GDP, 실업률에 대해서 긍정적인 효과를 유도하였다. 이에 비해서 소비자물가에 대해서는 상승하는, 그리고 환율에 대해서는 하락(원화가치의 평가절상)하는 효과를 보였다. 매해마다 효과의 크기는 다르지만, 2011년 기준으로 해외석유 가스개발사업 회수액은 경상수지를 2.226%, 실질 GDP를 0.401% 증가시키고, 실업률을 0.489%p 감소시켰다. 소비자물가는 0.101% 증가시키고, 원/달러환율은 0.379% 낮추었다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.72-80
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• 2016

The market size of plant projects in overseas is so large that domestic EPC project contractors are actively seeking the overseas projects and then trying to meet completion plans since successful fulfillment of these projects can provide great opportunities for them to expand into new foreign markets. International EPC projects involve all of the uncertainties common to domestic projects as well as uncertainties specific to foreign projects including marine transportation, customs, regulations, nationality, culture and so on. When overseas project gets off-schedule, the resulting uncertainty may trigger unexpected exceptions and then critical effects to the project performance. It usually require much more time and costs to encounter these exceptions in foreign sites compared to domestic project sites. Therefore, an exception handling approach is required to manage exceptions effectively for successful project progress in foreign project sites. In this research, we proposed a methodology for prediction and evaluation of exceptions caused by risks in international EPC projects based on sensitivity analysis and Bayesian Networks. First, we identified project schedule risks and related exceptions, which may meet during the fulfillment of foreign EPC projects that is performed in a sequence of engineering, procurement, preparatory manufacture, foreign shipping, construction, inspection and modification activities, and affect project performance, using literature review and expert interviews. The impact of exceptions to the schedule delay were also identified. Second, we proposed a methodology to predict the occurrence of exceptions caused by project risks and evaluate them. Using sensitivity analysis, we can identify activities that critically affect schedule delay and need to focus by priority. Then, we use Bayesian Networks to predict and evaluate exceptions. Third, we applied the proposed methodology to an international EPC project example to validate the proposed approach. Finally, we concluded the research with the further research topics. We expect that the proposed approach can be extended to apply in exception management in project management.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1237-1243
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• 2005

International construction projects are exposed to various and complicated risk factors stemming from different political, economical, social, and cultural backgrounds, which make contractors entering into international construction to experience severe losses. It implies that overseas markets do not necessarily secure the high return, which is typically expected to in the high risky attempts. Accordingly, contractors need to evaluate various risk factors faced with overseas construction projects that can possibly aggravate the profitability. This paper aims at establishing a valid groundwork for further research on developing the integrated risk management model. For this end, it analyzes the long-term trend of profitability on total of 3,487 projects performed by Korean global contractors in world-wide construction markets during the last four decades. Then, it investigates the possible factors/causes of bad profit that have affected the profitability significantly through the structured surveys of 90 real overseas projects based on the project-specific information and experiences of Korean contractors in overseas markets. Furthermore, it analyzes relative importance of these factors/causes and identifies the important features expected for the risk management of international construction projects. Finally, vital distinctions between success and failure projects and lessons learned to improve profitability are then distilled.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2015년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.107-108
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• 2015

It's became essential that Korea construction companies should enter into the overseas construction market for their growth and sustainability. In order to comply with the client's required global standard and to compete with in the international market, the shifting the construction project management system to global level is required. In accordance with the demand, this paper proposes the top-level document of construction project management system as a to-be model that utilized in overseas construction projects. The project management plan ("PMP") suggested in this paper is not only the most appropriate one, which complies with the global standard, to be used when companies bid for international construction projects against foreign competitors but also has the process modeling and hierarchical structure.