• 제목/요약/키워드: Output index

검색결과 677건 처리시간 0.033초

The Coal Price Shock and Its Impacts on Indonesian Macroeconomic Variables: An SVAR Approach

  • Kamal Maulana ALFI;Nasrudin
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: Changes in energy prices can be considered as one of the factors of macroeconomic uncertainty. This study examines the impact of coal price shocks on Indonesian macroeconomic variables. Research design, data and methodology: The structural vector autoregressive model is used on monthly data from January 2010 to June 2023. Results: The impulse response functions indicate that coal price shocks have a negative impact on output and a positive impact on CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the effective real exchange rate. Following a shock in coal price growth, output growth takes twelve months, CPI growth takes fifteen months, and the effective real exchange rate takes seventeen months to reach equilibrium. Coal price growth shocks generally do not have a significant contribution to the variation in output, CPI growth and effective real exchange rate. On average over a twelve-month simulation, coal price growth shocks contribute 2.06 percent to output growth variation, 0.0042 percent to CPI growth variation, and 0.0046 percent to effective real exchange rate growth variation. Conclusions: This study finds that the impact of rising coal prices, as an energy source in Indonesia, can be offset by coal export revenues. This is possible considering that 70-80% of Indonesia's coal is exported.

Structural damage alarming and localization of cable-supported bridges using multi-novelty indices: a feasibility study

  • Ni, Yi-Qing;Wang, Junfang;Chan, Tommy H.T.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.337-362
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a feasibility study on structural damage alarming and localization of long-span cable-supported bridges using multi-novelty indices formulated by monitoring-derived modal parameters. The proposed method which requires neither structural model nor damage model is applicable to structures of arbitrary complexity. With the intention to enhance the tolerance to measurement noise/uncertainty and the sensitivity to structural damage, an improved novelty index is formulated in terms of auto-associative neural networks (ANNs) where the output vector is designated to differ from the input vector while the training of the ANNs needs only the measured modal properties of the intact structure under in-service conditions. After validating the enhanced capability of the improved novelty index for structural damage alarming over the commonly configured novelty index, the performance of the improved novelty index for damage occurrence detection of large-scale bridges is examined through numerical simulation studies of the suspension Tsing Ma Bridge (TMB) and the cable-stayed Ting Kau Bridge (TKB) incurred with different types of structural damage. Then the improved novelty index is extended to formulate multi-novelty indices in terms of the measured modal frequencies and incomplete modeshape components for damage region identification. The capability of the formulated multi-novelty indices for damage region identification is also examined through numerical simulations of the TMB and TKB.

맘퀴스트 생산성지수를 이용한 수산물 가공식품 도매업의 생산성 분석에 관한 연구 (Productivity Analysis in Fisheries Processed Wholesale Products Using Malmquist Productivity Index)

  • 표희동;김종천
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.387-396
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    • 2010
  • This paper estimates changes in the total factor productivity and technical efficiency change index and the technical change index using the Malmquist productivity index (MPI) in fishery-processed wholesale products over the time period spanning 2006-2008. The model considers a number of employees and operating costs as input factors, and sales and EBIT (earnings before tax and interest) as output factors. The results demonstrate that, between 2006 and 2007, there has generally been no technical progress, although a small improvement in productivity was detected in the sales scale of 10 billion won-50 billion won. Between 2007 and 2008, there was technical progress in the majority of DMU, except within the range of 20 million won-10 billion won. Wilcoxon's rank-sum test, however, demonstrates no statistically significant differences in productivity between the two periods.

물가변동에 따른 계약금액 조정방식의 지수조정율 산출에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Escalation Method for Contract Adjustment Public Construction Project)

  • 배경태;최동수;황치원
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2005년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.117-120
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    • 2005
  • The business market of architecture has got a system that controls a deposit according to the price function. This system is written on a law of contract about countries. So the main body of construction has to make a reasonable contract. This study is written about a rate of numerical index on controling a deposit. We tried to fine problems and solutions of labor expenses, instrument costs and material costs which is so big and changable on the construction market Labor expenses are expressed according to the rate of construction scale between direct and indirect cost that applies ability of works. Instrument costs are expressed according to an output method of a unit price annually and a weight allowance of local instrument conditions and use frequence. The last material costs expressed according to a local weight allowance make a decision of the material cost index. They applies locally relative index more than absolute one on what uses the price rate of producers and importations. This solutions are not enough to apply to the real market, so it needs to exam and to be on the market after a feasibility study.

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On DC-Side Impedance Frequency Characteristics Analysis and DC Voltage Ripple Prediction under Unbalanced Conditions for MMC-HVDC System Based on Maximum Modulation Index

  • Liu, Yiqi;Chen, Qichao;Li, Ningning;Xie, Bing;Wang, Jianze;Ji, Yanchao
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we first briefly introduce the effect of circulating current control on the modulation signal of a modular multilevel converter (MMC). The maximum modulation index is also theoretically derived. According to the optimal modulation index analysis and the model in the continuous domain, different DC-side output impedance equivalent models of MMC with/without compensating component are derived. The DC-side impedance of MMC inverter station can be regarded as a series xR + yL + zC branch in both cases. The compensating component of the maximum modulation index is also related to the DC equivalent impedance with circulating current control. The frequency characteristic of impedance for MMC, which is observed from its DC side, is analyzed. Finally, this study investigates the prediction of the DC voltage ripple transfer between two-terminal MMC high-voltage direct current systems under unbalanced conditions. The rationality and accuracy of the impedance model are verified through MATLAB/Simulink simulations and experimental results.

Efficiency Analysis of Spanish Container Ports Using Undesirable Variables and the Malmquist Index

  • Bernal, Maria Listan;Choi, Young-Seo;Park, Sung-Hoon;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.110-120
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    • 2022
  • Spain is Europe's second-largest country with total throughput reaching 16.7 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) by 2020. The purpose of this study was to measure and compare the efficiency of 17 container terminals. As a study method, the DEA-CCR model, undesirable variable, and Malmquist Index (MI) were used for data envelopment analysis (DEA). The study results are as follow: (1) DEA-CCR is used to evaluate basic efficiency. The most efficient terminals are decision-making units DMU 1 (APM Terminals (Algeciras Port)), DMU 2 (Total Terminal International Algeciras (Algeciras Port)) and DMU 5 (Barcelona Europe South Terminal (Barcelona Port)). (2) Undesirable DEA was conducted to suggest inefficiency from the undesirable output. Overall, the efficiency scores were reduced. However, DMU 1, DMU 2, and DMU 5 maintained efficiency scores regardless of the finish factor. (3) Malmquist Index was used to observe technology and efficiency changes dynamically. The changes in TCI affected Spanish container terminals more than the Technical Efficiency Change Index (TECI) in 2018-2019. However, in 2019-2020, the TECI was 2.706, higher than the TCI value, indicating that the change in TECI had more influence on the increase in productivity. This study offers a broader understanding of Spanish container terminals.

자동차용 현가장치의 성능감도해석에 의한 안정승차영역의 결정 (Sweet Area Determination by Performance Sensitivity Analysis for an Automotive Vehicle Suspension)

  • 박호;한창수;김병우;김동규
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2003
  • Using a quarter car model, an analytic method for performance estimation of a vehicle suspension system with respect to frequency response, RMS response and performance index is presented. From frequency response function, compromization of response performance to the whole frequency range is verified and from RMS response and performance index, sensitivity of ride md handling characteristics are examined. Using a full car model, sweet area(stable ride area) are determined and performance sensitivity is estimated according to the change of feedback gains. In order to esimate the output sensitivity, response we is displayed using a 3-dimensional contour plot. Design data n suggested for optimal design parameter esimation, which maximize the performance of the given suspension system.

평가함수를 이용한 I-PD콘트롤러의 튜닝 (A Tuning Method for I-PD Controller Using Performance Index)

  • 유항열;이정국;이금원;이준모
    • 융합신호처리학회 학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신호처리시스템학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 2003
  • PID control has been well used for several decade. For PID algorithm, some tuning methods are used and with these parameters, control system is designed. But in some cases various kinds of performance are needed, so variable type of performance index must be utilized so that the designed control system meets the conditions. This paper presents some linear combinational type of performance index and with numerical methods, the PID parameters are obtained. Moreover I-PD type controller is used so that this two degree of freedom controller may give more desirable output characteristics. Simulations are done with MATLAB m file and mdl files.

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가뭄시 용수공급지장으로 인한 경제적 파급효과 분석 (The Economic Impacts of Water Supply Constraints During a Drought Using input-output Analysis)

  • 최장환;허은녕;심명필
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.647-658
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 공급측면 산업연관분석모형을 사용하여 물공급지장이 끼치는 산업의 전방효과를 분석하고자 하였다. 여기서 분석된 공급지장비용은 수도사업의 신뢰도 결정에 사용될수 있으며 물의 공급부족이 발생할 경우 물의 효율적 배분을 위한 정책적 기초를 제공할 수 있다. 따라서 산업연관분석을 이용하여 수도부문이 차지하는 국민경제적 위치를 확인하고 공급지장으로 인한 산업간 직·간접 피해를 분석하였다. 또한 가뭄시 중요한 공급우선 순위 결정을 위한 공급지장지수를 제안하였다. 한편 가뭄의 발생은 지역적인 특성을 가지고 있어서 전국산업연관표를 이용한 지역수준의 공급지장비용이 과대 도는 과소평가될 여지가 있다. 따라서 경남지역산업연관표를 통해 산정한 공급지장비용을 전국산업관표와 비교·분석하였다.

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선천성 심장기형 환자에서 조기술후 심실 전부하 용적과 심박출량의 상호 관계 및 혈역학적 변화 분석 (Analysis of Relation between Ventricular Preload and Cardiac Output and Hemodynamic in the Early Postoperative Period of Congenital Heart Surgery)

  • 박승일;김응중;김용진
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 1990
  • Postoperative cardiac performance of cyanotic congenital heart disease is somewhat different from that of other cardiac diseases. For the evaluation of postoperative cardiac performance in the cyanotic congenital heart disease we measured cardiac output by thermodilution technique at 1, 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, 24, 36, 48 postoperative hours in 14 patients operated from Feb. 1989 to Nov. 1989 in The Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Seoul National University Children`s Hospital. At the same time, we checked left atrial pressure [LAP], central venous pressure [CUP], and mixed venous oxygen saturation [SvO2] to detect correlation between them. Immediate postoperative cardiac index was 3.585 $\pm$ 0.945 L/min/m2, and it decreased maximally to 3.322$\pm$1.007 L/min/m2 at postoperative 16 hours. After then it increased and stabilized from 36 hours after operation, and its value was 4.426$\pm$1.358 L/min/m2. There were no correlations between cardiac index and left atrial pressure or central venous pressure. Between mixed venous oxygen saturation and cardiac index, there was no correlation in the early postoperative period but after postoperative 16 hours, there was significant correlation between them and correlation coefficients were 0.573 [16hrs], 0.743 [20hrs], 0.436 [24hrs], 0.560 [36hrs], 0.636 [48hrs], respectively. From these results, we concluded that in the corrective surgery of cyanotic congenital heart disease, cardiac performance was depressed in the early postoperative period. It improved from postoperative 16 hours, and stabilized from 36 hours after operation. During early postoperative period, mixed venous oxygen saturation should not be used as a predictor of cardiac performance but it could be used as a predictor of cardiac performance from 16 hours after operation.

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