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A Basic Study on the Safety Design using the Fire Statistics of Residential Facilities (주거시설의 화재통계를 이용한 화재안전설계를 위한 기초적 연구)

  • Yoon, Ung-Gi;Seo, Dong-Goo;Kim, Dong-Eun;Kwon, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2013.11a
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    • pp.238-239
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    • 2013
  • A study on the fire scenario proposal of residential facilities by using fire statistics. as a result of analyzing residential facilities fires by using fire statistics of national emergency management agency during 2007~2012, fires from carelessness were the most causes. specially, fires during food cooking among carelessness showed the highest occurrence frequency, and followed sparks, neglecting fire sources, and cigarette stubs in order. through this the study suggested fire scenarios according, It is believed that can be used as basic data for applying a secure building in a fire using a basis for fire safety design of buildings in the future this.

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Use of Random Coefficient Model for Fruit Bearing Prediction in Crop Insurance

  • Park Heungsun;Jun Yong-Bum;Gil Young-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.381-394
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    • 2005
  • In order to estimate the damage of orchards due' to natural disasters such as typhoon, severe rain, freezing or frost, it is necessary to estimate the number of fruit bearing before and after the damage. To estimate the fruit bearing after the damages are easily done by delegations, but it cost too high to survey every insured farm household and calculate the fruit bearing before the damage. In this article, we suggest to use a random coefficient model to predict the numbers of fruit bearing in the orchards before the damage based on the tree age and the area information.

Geodesic Clustering for Covariance Matrices

  • Lee, Haesung;Ahn, Hyun-Jung;Kim, Kwang-Rae;Kim, Peter T.;Koo, Ja-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.321-331
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    • 2015
  • The K-means clustering algorithm is a popular and widely used method for clustering. For covariance matrices, we consider a geodesic clustering algorithm based on the K-means clustering framework in consideration of symmetric positive definite matrices as a Riemannian (non-Euclidean) manifold. This paper considers a geodesic clustering algorithm for data consisting of symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrices, utilizing the Riemannian geometric structure for SPD matrices and the idea of a K-means clustering algorithm. A K-means clustering algorithm is divided into two main steps for which we need a dissimilarity measure between two matrix data points and a way of computing centroids for observations in clusters. In order to use the Riemannian structure, we adopt the geodesic distance and the intrinsic mean for symmetric positive definite matrices. We demonstrate our proposed method through simulations as well as application to real financial data.

Cumulative Impulse Response Functions for a Class of Threshold-Asymmetric GARCH Processes

  • Park, J.A.;Baek, J.S.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.255-261
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    • 2010
  • A class of threshold-asymmetric GRACH(TGARCH, hereafter) models has been useful for explaining asymmetric volatilities in the field of financial time series. The cumulative impulse response function of a conditionally heteroscedastic time series often measures a degree of unstability in volatilities. In this article, a general form of the cumulative impulse response function of the TGARCH model is discussed. In particular, We present formula in their closed forms for the first two lower order models, viz., TGARCH(1, 1) and TGARCH(2, 2).

A Moment Inequality on New Renewal Better Than Used in Expectation Class of Life Distributions with Hypothesis Testing Application

  • Abu-Youssef, S.E.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2003
  • In the present work, a moment inequality is derived for new renewal better (worse) than used in expectation(NRBUE) (NRWUE) distributions. This inequality demonstrates that if the mean life is finite then all higher order moments exist. A new test statistics for testing exponentiality against NRBUE (NRWUE) is introduced based on this inequality. It is shown that the proposed test is simple and has high relative efficiency for some commonly used alternatives. Critical values are tabulated for sample sizes n = 5(1)30. A set of real data is used as an example to elucidate the use of the proposed test statistics for practical reliability analysis.

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Threshold-asymmetric volatility models for integer-valued time series

  • Kim, Deok Ryun;Yoon, Jae Eun;Hwang, Sun Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2019
  • This article deals with threshold-asymmetric volatility models for over-dispersed and zero-inflated time series of count data. We introduce various threshold integer-valued autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models as incorporating over-dispersion and zero-inflation via conditional Poisson and negative binomial distributions. EM-algorithm is used to estimate parameters. The cholera data from Kolkata in India from 2006 to 2011 is analyzed as a real application. In order to construct the threshold-variable, both local constant mean which is time-varying and grand mean are adopted. It is noted via a data application that threshold model as an asymmetric version is useful in modelling count time series volatility.

An improved estimation procedure of population mean using bivariate auxiliary information under non-response

  • Bhushan, Shashi;Pandey, Abhay Pratap
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.347-357
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    • 2019
  • We propose new classes of estimators of population mean under non-response using bivariate auxiliary information. Some improved regression (or difference) type estimators have been proposed in four different situations of non response along with their properties and the expressions for the bias and mean square errors of the proposed estimators are derived under double (two-stage) sampling scheme. The properties of the suggested class of estimators are studied and it is observed that the proposed estimators performed better when compared to conventional estimators proposed by Singh and Kumar (Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 140, 2536-2550, 2010b), Shabbir and Khan (Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 42, 4127-4145, 2013) and Bhushan and Naqvi (Journal of Statistics and Management Systems, 18, 573-602, 2015). A comparative study is also conducted both theoretically as well as empirically in order to support the results.

Stable activation-based regression with localizing property

  • Shin, Jae-Kyung;Jhong, Jae-Hwan;Koo, Ja-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.281-294
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose an adaptive regression method based on the single-layer neural network structure. We adopt a symmetric activation function as units of the structure. The activation function has a flexibility of its form with a parametrization and has a localizing property that is useful to improve the quality of estimation. In order to provide a spatially adaptive estimator, we regularize coefficients of the activation functions via ℓ1-penalization, through which the activation functions to be regarded as unnecessary are removed. In implementation, an efficient coordinate descent algorithm is applied for the proposed estimator. To obtain the stable results of estimation, we present an initialization scheme suited for our structure. Model selection procedure based on the Akaike information criterion is described. The simulation results show that the proposed estimator performs favorably in relation to existing methods and recovers the local structure of the underlying function based on the sample.

Fixed-accuracy confidence interval estimation of P(X > c) for a two-parameter gamma population

  • Zhuang, Yan;Hu, Jun;Zou, Yixuan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.625-639
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    • 2020
  • The gamma distribution is a flexible right-skewed distribution widely used in many areas, and it is of great interest to estimate the probability of a random variable exceeding a specified value in survival and reliability analysis. Therefore, the study develops a fixed-accuracy confidence interval for P(X > c) when X follows a gamma distribution, Γ(α, β), and c is a preassigned positive constant through: 1) a purely sequential procedure with known shape parameter α and unknown rate parameter β; and 2) a nonparametric purely sequential procedure with both shape and rate parameters unknown. Both procedures enjoy appealing asymptotic first-order efficiency and asymptotic consistency properties. Extensive simulations validate the theoretical findings. Three real-life data examples from health studies and steel manufacturing study are discussed to illustrate the practical applicability of both procedures.

A Study on Fire Scenario Analysis Based on Fire Statistics for Building Fire Risk Analysis (건축물 화재위험평가를 위한 화재통계 기반 화재시나리오 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-Hyeon;Kim, Hye-Won;Koo, In-Hyuk;Kwon, Yeong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.81-82
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to establish a methodology for rational fire risk assessment for building evacuation safety in case of fire, and specifically, to propose a fire risk assessment technique using fire scenarios considering various uncertain factors in case of fire. In order to analyze the extent to which the assumed conditions can occur, that is, the probability of each accident caused by fire, the safety rate is analyzed according to the presence or absence of each factor by using fire statistics. Factors related to the fire protection performance and evacuation ability of buildings are defined as disaster factors. In this study, disaster factors were classified into the following three categories.

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