• Title/Summary/Keyword: Optimum sensitivity analysis

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A NESTING APPROACH IN DISCRETE EVENT SIMULATION FOR INTEGRATING CONSTRUCTION OPERATION AND SCHEDULE MODELS

  • Chang-Yong Yi;Chan-Sik Park;Doo-Jin Lee;Dong-Eun Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.400-408
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    • 2009
  • Simulation applications for analyzing the productivity of construction operations at operation level and project schedules at project level are crucial methods in project management. The application at two different levels should be very tightly linked to each other in practice. However, appropriate integration at the levels is not achieved in that existing systems do not support to integrate operation models into a schedule model. This paper presents a new approach named to Discrete Event Simulation-Nesting modeling approach, which supports not only productivity analysis at operation level but also schedule management at a project level. The system developed by the authors allows creating operation models at the operation level, maintaining them in operation model library, executing sensitivity analysis to find the behaviors of the operation models when different combination of resources are used as existing DES systems do. On top of the conventional functions, the new system facilitates to find the optimum solution of resource combinations which satisfy the user's interest by computing the hourly productivity and the hourly cost of the operation. By drag-and-dropping an operation model kept in the operation model library, the operation models are integrated into an activity of the schedule model. When a complete schedule model is established by nesting operation models into the schedule model, stochastic simulation based scheduling is executed. A case study is presented to demonstrate the new simulation system and verify the validity of the system.

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A Variant of Improved Robust Fuzzy PCA (잡음 민감성이 개선된 변형 퍼지 주성분 분석 기법)

  • Kim, Seong-Hoon;Heo, Gyeong-Yong;Woo, Young-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2011
  • Principal component analysis (PCA) is a well-known method for dimensionality reduction and feature extraction. Although PCA has been applied in many areas successfully, it is sensitive to outliers due to the use of sum-square-error. Several variants of PCA have been proposed to resolve the noise sensitivity and, among the variants, improved robust fuzzy PCA (RF-PCA2) demonstrated promising results. RF-PCA2, however, still can fall into a local optimum due to equal initial membership values for all data points. Another reason comes from the fact that RF-PCA2 is based on sum-square-error although fuzzy memberships are incorporated. In this paper, a variant of RF-PCA2 called RF-PCA3 is proposed. The proposed algorithm is based on the objective function of RF-PCA2. RF-PCA3 augments RF-PCA2 with the objective function of PCA and initial membership calculation using data distribution, which make RF-PCA3 to have more chance to converge on a better solution than that of RF-PCA2. RF-PCA3 outperforms RF-PCA2, which is demonstrated by experimental results.

Simulation-Based Stochastic Markup Estimation System $(S^2ME)$ (시뮬레이션을 기반(基盤)으로 하는 영업이윤율(營業利潤率) 추정(推定) 시스템)

  • Yi, Chang-Yong;Kim, Ryul-Hee;Lim, Tae-Kyung;Kim, Wha-Jung;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.109-113
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    • 2007
  • This paper introduces a system, Simulation based Stochastic Markup Estimation System (S2ME), for estimating optimum markup for a project. The system was designed and implemented to better represent the real world system involved in construction bidding. The findings obtained from the analysis of existing assumptions used in the previous quantitative markup estimation methods were incorporated to improve the accuracy and predictability of the S2ME. The existing methods has four categories of assumption as follows; (1) The number of competitors and who is the competitors are known, (2) A typical competitor, who is fictitious, is assumed for easy computation, (3) the ratio of bid price against cost estimate (B/C) is assumed to follow normal distribution, (4) The deterministic output obtained from the probabilistic equation of existing models is assumed to be acceptable. However, these assumptions compromise the accuracy of prediction. In practice, the bidding patterns of the bidders are randomized in competitive bidding. To complement the lack of accuracy contributed by these assumptions, bidding project was randomly selected from the pool of bidding database in the simulation experiment. The probability to win the bid in the competitive bidding was computed using the profile of the competitors appeared in the selected bidding project record. The expected profit and probability to win the bid was calculated by selecting a bidding record randomly in an iteration of the simulation experiment under the assumption that the bidding pattern retained in historical bidding DB manifest revival. The existing computation, which is handled by means of deterministic procedure, were converted into stochastic model using simulation modeling and analysis technique as follows; (1) estimating the probability distribution functions of competitors' B/C which were obtained from historical bidding DB, (2) analyzing the sensitivity against the increment of markup using normal distribution and actual probability distribution estimated by distribution fitting, (3) estimating the maximum expected profit and optimum markup range. In the case study, the best fitted probability distribution function was estimated using the historical bidding DB retaining the competitors' bidding behavior so that the reliability was improved by estimating the output obtained from simulation experiment.

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Usefulness of Scan Position Change on Dual Time Point PET-CT in Pancreas Cancer (췌장암 Dual Time Point PET/CT 검사에서 Scan Position Change의 유용성 평가)

  • Chang, Boseok;Kim, Jae Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.299-305
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    • 2016
  • Despite of the development of medical equipments and technology. Pancreatic cancer has maked high false positive rate and low survival rate compared to other cancers. Therefore, early catch of pancreatic cancer is the only way to enhance the viability. It is important to find the exact location of the pancreas cancer in early stage. The method of optimum scan for early detection of pancreatic cancer on PET/CT exam is proposed. Examined the anatomical region that potentially can be missing from the supine position of ordinary pet/ct exam. The characteristics and usefulness of angle variation ($0^{\circ}$, $30^{\circ}$, $45^{\circ}$, $60^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}$) of patients scan position is analyzed. The proposed scan method (named JJ-projection) is bringing advantage of anatomical discrimination by separating stomach, liver, gallbladder duodenum and pancreas. ROC curve analysis is shows to advantage of the JJ-Projection method. The sensitivity has increased 4.6% than the supine delay scan method, the results sensitivity has increased from 91% to 95.2%. The specificity has increased from 75.1% to 84%. Compared with the results observed in cancer by biological biopsy, The accuracy has increased from 86.8% to 94.1%.

Analysis of Shear Stress Type Piezoresistive Characteristics in Silicon Diaphragm Structure (실리콘 다이아프램 구조에서 전단응력형 압전저항의 특성 분석)

  • Choi, Chae-Hyoung;Choi, Deuk-Sung;Ahn, Chang-Hoi
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.55-59
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we investigated the characteristics of shear stress type piezoresistor on a diaphragm structure formed by MEMS (Microelectromechanical System) technology of silicon-direct-bonding (SDB) wafers with Si/$SiO_2$/Si-sub. The diaphragm structure formed by etching the backside of the wafer using a TMAH aqueous solution can be used for manufacturing various sensors. In this study, the optimum shape condition of the shear stress type piezoresistor formed on the diaphragm is found through ANSYS simulation, and the diaphragm structure is formed by using the semiconductor microfabrication technique and the shear stress formed by boron implantation. The characteristics of the piezoelectric resistance are compared with the simulation results. The sensing diaphragm was made in the shape of an exact square. It has been experimentally found that the maximum shear stress for the same pressure at the center of the edge of the diaphragm is generated when the structure is in the exact square shape. Thus, the sensing part of the sensor has been designed to be placed at the center of the edge of the diaphragm. The prepared shear stress type piezoresistor was in good agreement with the simulation results, and the sensitivity of the piezoresistor formed on the $2200{\mu}m{\times}2200{\mu}m$ diaphragm was $183.7{\mu}V/kPa$ and the linearity of 1.3 %FS at the pressure range of 0~100 kPa and the symmetry of sensitivity was also excellent.

Sensitivity Analysis of Runoff-Quality Parameters in the Urban Basin (도시 배수유역의 유출-수질 특성인자의 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Gang, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of the study is to analyze the sensitivity of the parameters that affect the runoff and water quality in the studied drainage basins. SWMM model is applied to the four drainage basins located at Namgazwa and Sanbon in Seoul and Gray Haven and Kings Creek in the USA. first of all, the optimum values of the parameters which have least simulation error to the observed data, are detected by iteration procedure. These are used as the standard values which are compared against the procedure. These are used as the standard values which are compared against the varied parameter values. In order to catch the effectiveness of the parameters to the computing result, the parameters are changed step by setp, and the results are compared to the standard results in flowerate and quality of the sewer. The study indicates that the discharge is greatly affected by the types of runoff surface, i.e., impervious area remarkably affects the peak flow and runoff volume while the surface storage affects the runoff volume at mild sloped basins. In addition, the major parameters affecting the pollution concentrations and loadings are the contaminant accumulation coefficient per unit area per time and the continuous dry weather days. Furthermore, the factors that affect the water quality during the initial rainfall period are the rainfall intensity, transport capacity coefficient and its power coefficient. Consequently, in order to simulate the runoff-water quality, it is needed to evaluate previous data in the research performed for the studied basins. To accurately estimated from the tributary areas and the rational computation methods of the pollutants calculation should be introduced.

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Development of Stochastic Expected Cost Model for Preventive Optimal- Maintenance of Armor Units of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters (경사제 피복재의 예방적 최적 유지관리를 위한 추계학적 기대비용모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.276-284
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    • 2013
  • A stochastic expected cost model has been suggested by combining the nonlinear cumulative damage model with the expected cost model together which can be useful for doing the preventive optimal-maintenance of the armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters. The suggested model has been satisfactorily calibrated by comparison of the results from others models, also the sensitivity analysis has been carried out in detail under the variation of the associated parameters with the model. The optimal repair times can be directly evaluated by minimizing the expected cost rates that depend on the social importances, damage intensity functions and resistance limits. Finally, the present cost model has been straightforwardly applied to the armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters. Based on the assumption of turning the damaged structure back to the state as good as new after repairs, the required optimal repair times and magnitudes can be determined quantitatively in terms of the optimum balance between the costs and benefits on the preventive maintenance.

The configuration Optimization of Truss Structure (트러스 구조물의 형상최적화에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Youn Su;Choi, Byoung Han;Lee, Gyu Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.16 no.1 s.68
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 2004
  • In this research, a multilevel decomposition technique to enhance the efficiency of the configuration optimization of truss structures was proposed. On the first level, the nonlinear programming problem was formulated considering cross-sectional areas as design variables, weight, or volume as objective function and behavior under multiloading condition as design constraint. Said nonlinear programming problem was transformed into a sequential linear programming problem. which was effective in calculation through the approximation of member forces using behavior space approach. Such approach has proven to be efficient in sensitivity analysis and different form existing shape optimization studies. The modified method of feasible direction (MMFD) was used for the optimization process. On the second level, by treating only shape design variables, the optimum problem was transformed into and unconstrained optimal design problem. A unidirectional search technique was used. As numerical examples, some truss structures were applied to illustrate the applicability. and validity of the formulated algorithm.

Modeling for Prediction of Water Quality According to Dredging Operation (퇴적물 준설에 따른 수환경 영향 예측 모의)

  • Ahn, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Mee-Kyung;Lee, Mi-Kyung;Hwang, Byung-Gi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.1228-1237
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    • 2005
  • In order to predict the long-term effects of pollutants in sediment on the water quality and the improvement of water quality according to dredging operation, models applied to decide the location and the propriety of dredging were developed. At first, the area was divided into several segments and the developed model was applied to simulate the behaviors of contaminants in an aquatic environment by using estimated parameters. And then through the sensitivity analysis between parameters, the optimum values were determined. The long-term modelling in the area A forecasted that PCBs concentration in the hot spot was decreased from $3.1\;{\mu}g/L$ to $2.4\;{\mu}g/L$ in 30 years. Contaminants in sediment as a source of water pollution did not reduce remarkably in the long run. Therefore it is difficult to expect the improvement of water qualities without the fundamental isolation of contaminants from sediment. It is considered that the selective dredging in the spot improves the water quality consequently.

Control of Prestressing Forces in a Splicing Method using the Partial Post-tensioning and Releasing Procedure (부분 긴장과 해제를 이용한 연속화 과정에서의 긴장력 조절)

  • 이환우;김광양
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2002
  • A new splicing technique by the secondary moment which is intentionally induced by the tensioning effect of continuous tendons and the releasing effect of temporary beam tendons was developed. The tensioning and releasing works are essential and the decisions of the magnitude and order about them may be important engineering problems in this technique. In this paper, it was studied lot the practically optimum procedure of the tensioning and releasing works. As the result, it is concluded that the gradual progress through the three stages is reasonable for the procedure and the tensioning work have to precede the releasing work. Additionally, the magnitude of preceding tensioning force should be obtained by the sensitivity analysis and the minimum limit is more critical than the minimum limit.