• Title/Summary/Keyword: Nonlinear trend

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An efficient response surface method considering the nonlinear trend of the actual limit state

  • Zhao, Weitao;Qiu, Zhiping;Yang, Yi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2013
  • In structural reliability analysis, the response surface method is a powerful method to evaluate the probability of failure. However, the location of experimental points used to form a response surface function must be selected in a judicious way. It is necessary for the highly nonlinear limit state functions to consider the design point and the nonlinear trend of the limit state, because both of them influence the probability of failure. In this paper, in order to approximate the actual limit state more accurately, experimental points are selected close to the design point and the actual limit state, and consider the nonlinear trend of the limit state. Linear, quadratic and cubic polynomials without mixed terms are utilized to approximate the actual limit state. The direct Monte Carlo simulation on the approximated limit state is carried out to determine the probability of failure. Four examples are given to demonstrate the efficiency and the accuracy of the proposed method for both numerical and implicit limit states.

A Hybrid Method to Improve Forecasting Accuracy Utilizing Genetic Algorithm: An Application to the Data of Processed Cooked Rice

  • Takeyasu, Hiromasa;Higuchi, Yuki;Takeyasu, Kazuhiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.244-253
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    • 2013
  • In industries, shipping is an important issue in improving the forecasting accuracy of sales. This paper introduces a hybrid method and plural methods are compared. Focusing the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) that is equivalent to (1, 1) order autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) model equation, a new method of estimating the smoothing constant in ESM had been proposed previously by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Generally, the smoothing constant is selected arbitrarily. However, this paper utilizes the above stated theoretical solution. Firstly, we make estimation of ARMA model parameter and then estimate the smoothing constant. Thus, theoretical solution is derived in a simple way and it may be utilized in various fields. Furthermore, combining the trend removing method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. This method is executed in the following method. Trend removing by the combination of linear and 2nd order nonlinear function and 3rd order nonlinear function is executed to the original production data of two kinds of bread. Genetic algorithm is utilized to search the optimal weight for the weighting parameters of linear and nonlinear function. For comparison, the monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non-monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful for the time series that has various trend characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

Linear and Nonlinear Trends of Extreme Temperatures in Korea (한반도 극한 기온의 선형 및 비선형 변화 경향)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Song, Kanghyun;Kim, Seo-Yeon;Son, Seok-Woo;Franzke, C.
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.379-390
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    • 2014
  • This study explores the long-term trends of surface air temperatures in 11 KMA stations over the period of 1960~2012. Both linear and nonlinear trends are examined for the $95^{th}$, $50^{th}$, and $5^{th}$ percentiles of daily maximum ($T_{max}$) and minimum temperatures ($T_{min}$) by using quantile regression method. It is found that in most stations linear trends of $T_{max}$ and $T_{min}$ are generally stronger in winter than in summer, and warming trend of the $5^{th}$ percentile temperature (cold extreme) is stronger than that of the $95^{th}$ percentile temperature (warm extreme) in both seasons. The nonlinear trends, which are evaluated by the second order polynomial fitting, show a strong nonlinearity in winter. Specifically, winter temperatures have increased until 2000s but slightly decreased afterward in all percentiles. This contrasts with the $95^{th}$ and $50^{th}$ percentiles of summer $T_{min}$ that show a decreasing trend until 1980s then an increasing trend. While this result is consistent with a seasonal dependence of the recent global warming hiatus, most of the nonlinear trends are statistically insignificant, making a quantitative attribution of nonlinear temperature trends challenging.

A Study on Changing Process of Nonlinear Expression Methods appeared in Frank Gehry's works according to Digital Archhitecture's introduction (디지털 건축의 도입에 따른 프랭크 게리의 작품에서 나타나는 비선형적 표현 기법의 변화 과정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Heang-Woo;Seo, Jang-Hoo;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2013
  • Conceptual and technical design designated as digital architecture has been discussed with disorderly meaning as a conception only. Thus, this study aims at verification of development possibility for the digital architecture by analyzing how works of Frank Gehry have effect on nonlinearity of the digital architecture. Nonlinear characteristics appeared on works of Frank Gehry analyzed on the basis of expression techniques and modeling principle are as follows: 1) Initial works show a trend to gradually change and develop from horizontal and vertical linear structure to nonlinear pattern. 2) From a nonlinear modeling principle, initial works appear the primary deformation elements only, while afterwards, they are gradually developing to a pattern to mix the primary and secondary deformation elements as introduction of digital architecture. 3) Through specific cases, Frank Gehry has conducted attempts with various method for nonlinear pattern expression. 4) From the initial works to the latest works, continuity becomes higher and changed to nonlinear pattern. This study is significant from a viewpoint that it has verified development possibility of digital architecture by analyzing nonlinear trend of digital architecture for Frank Gehry and it is required to conduct multilateral researches related to the digital architecture.

Data Mining with Constructing Database and Researching Trend Investigation Related with the Field of Nonlinear Problem

  • Niimi, Ayahiko
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.292-295
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose an approach which contains with constructing a bibliography information database, extracting the fields of research, and researching trend of them, using data mining. To apply our approach to IEICE Technical Report (nonlinear problem society), the database was constructed based on its report, keywords were analyzed using the frequency analysis and the association analysis, and we discussed about the result. We could extract some field of research from the result.

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Modeling of High Density of Ozone in Seoul Area with Non-Linear Regression (비선형 회귀 모형을 이용한 서울지역 오존의 고농도 현상의 모형화)

  • Chung, Soo-Yeon;Cho, Ki-Heon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.865-877
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    • 2009
  • While characterized initially as an urban-scale pollutant, ozone has increasingly been recognized as a regional and even global-scale phenomenon. The complexity of environmental data dynamics often requires models covering non-linearity. This study deals with modeling ozone with meteorology in Seoul area. The relationships are used to construct a nonlinear regression model relating ozone to meteorology. The model can be used to estimate that part of the trend in ozone levels that cannot be accounted for by trends in meteorology.

Nonlinear vibration of smart nonlocal magneto-electro-elastic beams resting on nonlinear elastic substrate with geometrical imperfection and various piezoelectric effects

  • Kunbar, Laith A. Hassan;Hamad, Luay Badr;Ahmed, Ridha A.;Faleh, Nadhim M.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.619-630
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    • 2020
  • This paper studies nonlinear free vibration characteristics of nonlocal magneto-electro-elastic (MEE) nanobeams resting on nonlinear elastic substrate having geometrical imperfection by considering piezoelectric reinforcement scheme. The piezoelectric reinforcement can cause an enhanced vibration behavior of smart nanobeams under magnetic field. All of previously reported studies on MEE nanobeams ignore the influences of geometric imperfections which are very substantial due to the reason that a nanobeam cannot be always perfect. Nonlinear governing equations of a smart nanobeam are derived based on classical beam theory and an analytical trend is provided to obtained nonlinear vibration frequency. This research shows that changing the volume fraction of piezoelectric constituent in the material has a great influence on vibration behavior of smart nanobeam under electric and magnetic fields. Also, it can be seen that nonlinear vibration behaviors of smart nanobeam are dependent on the magnitude of exerted electric voltage, magnetic potential, hardening elastic foundation and geometrical imperfection.

In-situ fatigue monitoring procedure using nonlinear ultrasonic surface waves considering the nonlinear effects in the measurement system

  • Dib, Gerges;Roy, Surajit;Ramuhalli, Pradeep;Chai, Jangbom
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.867-876
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    • 2019
  • Second harmonic generation using nonlinear ultrasonic waves have been shown to be an early indicator of possible fatigue damage in nuclear power plant components. This technique relies on measuring amplitudes, making it highly susceptible to variations in transducer coupling and instrumentation. This paper proposes an experimental procedure for in-situ surface wave nonlinear ultrasound measurements on specimen with permanently mounted transducers under high cycle fatigue loading without interrupting the experiment. It allows continuous monitoring and minimizes variation due to transducer coupling. Moreover, relations describing the effects of the measurement system nonlinearity including the effects of the material transfer function on the measured nonlinearity parameter are derived. An in-situ high cycle fatigue test was conducted using two 304 stainless steel specimens with two different excitation frequencies. A comprehensive analysis of the nonlinear sources, which result in variations in the measured nonlinearity parameters, was performed and the effects of the system nonlinearities are explained and identified. In both specimens, monotonic trend was observed in nonlinear parameter when the value of fundamental amplitude was not changing.

Nonlinear Dynamic Analysis of Fiber Movement

  • Shen Danfeng;Ye Guoming
    • Fibers and Polymers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.191-194
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    • 2006
  • This paper adopts nonlinear vibration method to analyze the fluctuation process of fiber movement. Based on Hamilton Principle, this paper establishes differential equation of fiber axial direction movement. Using variable-separating method, this paper separates time variable from space variable. By using the disperse movement equation of Galerkin method, this paper also discusses stable region of transition curve and points out those influencing factor and variation trend of fiber vibration.

A hybrid-separate strategy for force identification of the nonlinear structure under impact excitation

  • Jinsong Yang;Jie Liu;Jingsong Xie
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.85 no.1
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2023
  • Impact event is the key factor influencing the operational state of the mechanical equipment. Additionally, nonlinear factors existing in the complex mechanical equipment which are currently attracting more and more attention. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel hybrid-separate identification strategy to solve the force identification problem of the nonlinear structure under impact excitation. The 'hybrid' means that the identification strategy contains both l1-norm (sparse) and l2-norm regularization methods. The 'separate' means that the nonlinear response part only generated by nonlinear force needs to be separated from measured response. First, the state-of-the-art two-step iterative shrinkage/thresholding (TwIST) algorithm and sparse representation with the cubic B-spline function are developed to solve established normalized sparse regularization model to identify the accurate impact force and accurate peak value of the nonlinear force. Then, the identified impact force is substituted into the nonlinear response separation equation to obtain the nonlinear response part. Finally, a reduced transfer equation is established and solved by the classical Tikhonove regularization method to obtain the wave profile (variation trend) of the nonlinear force. Numerical and experimental identification results demonstrate that the novel hybrid-separate strategy can accurately and efficiently obtain the nonlinear force and impact force for the nonlinear structure.