• Title/Summary/Keyword: Non-Parametric Statistics

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Semi-parametric Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for High-Quantiles of Heavy-Tailed Distributions (꼬리가 두꺼운 분포의 고분위수에 대한 준모수적 붓스트랩 신뢰구간)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.717-732
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    • 2011
  • We consider bootstrap confidence intervals for high quantiles of heavy-tailed distribution. A semi-parametric method is compared with the non-parametric and the parametric method through simulation study.

Bootstrap simulation for quantification of uncertainty in risk assessment

  • Chang, Ki-Yoon;Hong, Ki-Ok;Pak, Son-Il
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.259-263
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    • 2007
  • The choice of input distribution in quantitative risk assessments modeling is of great importance to get unbiased overall estimates, although it is difficult to characterize them in situations where data available are too sparse or small. The present study is particularly concerned with accommodation of uncertainties commonly encountered in the practice of modeling. The authors applied parametric and non-parametric bootstrap simulation methods which consist of re-sampling with replacement, in together with the classical Student-t statistics based on the normal distribution. The implications of these methods were demonstrated through an empirical analysis of trade volume from the amount of chicken and pork meat imported to Korea during the period of 1998-2005. The results of bootstrap method were comparable to the classical techniques, indicating that bootstrap can be an alternative approach in a specific context of trade volume. We also illustrated on what extent the bias corrected and accelerated non-parametric bootstrap method produces different estimate of interest, as compared by non-parametric bootstrap method.

Evaluation of statistical methods in the Journal of Korean Academy of Periodontology published from 2000 to 2006 (대한치주과학회지에 게재된 논문의 통계방법 평가(2000-2006))

  • Kim, Yang-Jung;Jang, Hyun-Seon;Kim, Byung-Ock
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.399-405
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: This article is purposed to present the correct statistic method by pointing out the statistical errors after analyzing the method of articles that were published in Korean Academy Journal of Periodontology and made statistic processes in them. Methods: 488 science papers which being put in Korean Academy Journal of Periodontology published from 2000 to 2006 was divided according to year. Results: In the 308 articles that applied statistic methods, 59 articles (50.0%), the largest portion of all, were included the case that applied incorrect parametric statistic method when needed to apply parametric statistics and 38 articles (32.2%) were included in the case that applied incorrect parametric statistic method when needed to apply non-parametric statistics. Conclusions: It is necessary to present the cases of inappropriate statistical methods in order to improve the quality of academic researches. Also, to apply adequate methods of statistics, it is suggested to report the articles periodically which are comparing and analyzing the statistical methods that are applied in the international articles in periodontal field.

Sample size determination based on placements for non-inferiority trials (비열등성 시험에서 위치 방법에 기초한 표본 수 결정)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Kim, Dongjae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1349-1357
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    • 2013
  • In clinical research, sample size determination is one of the most important things. There are parametric method using t-test and non-parametric method suggested by Kim and Kim (2007) based on Wilcoxon's rank sum test for determining sample size in non-inferiority trials. In this paper, we propose sample size calculation method based on placements method suggested by Orban and Wolfe (1982) and using the power calculated by Kim (1994) in non-inferiority trials. We also compare proposed sample size with that using Kim and Kim (2007)'s formula and that of t-test for parametric methods. As the result, sample size calculated by proposed method based on placements is the smallest. Therefore, proposed method based on placements is better than parametric methods in case that it's hard to assume specific distribution function for population and also more efficient in terms of time and cost than method based on Wilcoxon's rank sum test.

Non-Inferiority Test in a Two-Arm Trial and a Three-Arm Trial Including a Placebo (활성대조군을 이용한 두 군 설계와 위약군을 포함한 세 군 설계의 비열등성 시험)

  • Lee, Ji-Sun;Kim, Dong-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.947-957
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    • 2008
  • Two-arm non-inferiority trials is often applied to parametric procedure suggested by Hauschke et al. (1999). Since this design does not allow a direct comparison of a new treatment group with placebo group, parametric procedure in a three-arm non-inferiority trial with a placebo group was suggested by Pigeot et al. (2003). But, procedures in these designs are necessary for distribution assumptions. Therefore we propose, in this paper, non parametric procedures employing Wilcoxon rank sum test in a two-arm design and linear contrast test suggested by Scheirer et al. (1976) in a three-arm design. The proposed nonparametric procedures and parametric procedures are compared by Monte Carlo simulation study.

A comparison and prediction of total fertility rate using parametric, non-parametric, and Bayesian model (모수, 비모수, 베이지안 출산율 모형을 활용한 합계출산율 예측과 비교)

  • Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.677-692
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    • 2018
  • The total fertility rate of Korea was 1.05 in 2017, showing a return to the 1.08 level in the year 2005. 1.05 is a very low fertility level that is far from replacement level fertility or safety zone 1.5. The number may indicate a low fertility trap. It is therefore important to predict fertility than at any other time. In the meantime, we have predicted the age-specific fertility rate and total fertility rate by various statistical methods. When the data trend is disconnected or fluctuating, it applied a nonparametric method applying the smoothness and weight. In addition, the Bayesian method of using the pre-distribution of fertility rates in advanced countries with reference to the three-stage transition phenomenon have been applied. This paper examines which method is reasonable in terms of precision and feasibility by applying estimation, forecasting, and comparing the results of the recent variability of the Korean fertility rate with parametric, non-parametric and Bayesian methods. The results of the analysis showed that the total fertility rate was in the order of KOSTAT's total fertility rate, Bayesian, parametric and non-parametric method outcomes. Given the level of TFR 1.05 in 2017, the predicted total fertility rate derived from the parametric and nonparametric models is most reasonable. In addition, if a fertility rate data is highly complete and a quality is good, the parametric model approach is superior to other methods in terms of parameter estimation, calculation efficiency and goodness-of-fit.

Logistic Regression Method in Interval-Censored Data

  • Yun, Eun-Young;Kim, Jin-Mi;Ki, Choong-Rak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.871-881
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we propose a logistic regression method to estimate the survival function and the median survival time in interval-censored data. The proposed method is motivated by the data augmentation technique with no sacrifice in augmenting data. In addition, we develop a cross validation criterion to determine the size of data augmentation. We compare the proposed estimator with other existing methods such as the parametric method, the single point imputation method, and the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator through extensive numerical studies to show that the proposed estimator performs better than others in the sense of the mean squared error. An illustrative example based on a real data set is given.

Asymmetric volatility models with non-zero origin shifted from zero : Proposal and application (원점이 이동한 비대칭-변동성 모형의 제안 및 응용)

  • Ye Jin Lee;Sun Young Hwang;Sung Duck Lee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.561-571
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    • 2023
  • Volatility of a time series is defined as the conditional variance on the past information. In particular, for financial time series, volatility is regarded as a time-varying measure of risk for the financial series. To capture the intrinsic asymmetry in the risk of financial series, various asymmetric volatility processes including threshold-ARCH (TARCH, for short) have been proposed in the literature (see, for instance, Choi et al., 2012). This paper proposes a volatility function featuring non-zero origin in which the origin of the volatility is shifted from the zero and therefore the resulting volatility function is certainly asymmetric around zero and achieves the minimum at a non-zero (rather than zero) point. To validate the proposed volatility function, we analyze the Korea stock prices index (KOSPI) time series during the Covid-19 pandemic period for which origin shift to the left of the zero in volatility is shown to be apparent using the minimum AIC as well as via parametric bootstrap verification.

Estimation of confidence interval in exponential distribution for the greenhouse gas inventory uncertainty by the simulation study (모의실험에 의한 온실가스 인벤토리 불확도 산정을 위한 지수분포 신뢰구간 추정방법)

  • Lee, Yung-Seop;Kim, Hee-Kyung;Son, Duck Kyu;Lee, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.825-833
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    • 2013
  • An estimation of confidence intervals is essential to calculate uncertainty for greenhouse gases inventory. It is generally assumed that the population has a normal distribution for the confidence interval of parameters. However, in case data distribution is asymmetric, like nonnormal distribution or positively skewness distribution, the traditional estimation method of confidence intervals is not adequate. This study compares two estimation methods of confidence interval; parametric and non-parametric method for exponential distribution as an asymmetric distribution. In simulation study, coverage probability, confidence interval length, and relative bias for the evaluation of the computed confidence intervals. As a result, the chi-square method and the standardized t-bootstrap method are better methods in parametric methods and non-parametric methods respectively.

Confidence Intervals for High Quantiles of Heavy-Tailed Distributions (꼬리가 두꺼운 분포의 고분위수에 대한 신뢰구간)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.461-473
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    • 2014
  • We consider condence intervals for high quantiles of heavy-tailed distribution. The asymptotic condence intervals based on the limiting distribution of estimators are considered together with bootstrap condence intervals. We can also apply a non-parametric, parametric and semi-parametric approach to each of these two kinds of condence intervals. We considered 11 condence intervals and compared their performance in actual coverage probability and the length of condence intervals. Simulation study shows that two condence intervals (the semi-parametric asymptotic condence interval and the semi-parametric bootstrap condence interval using pivotal quantity) are relatively more stable under the criterion of actual coverage probability.