• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.199-207
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• 2023

Trend Impact Analysis is a prominent hybrid method has been used in future studies with a modified surprise- free forecast. It considers experts' perceptions about how future events may change the surprise-free forecast. It is an advanced forecasting tool used in futures studies for identifying, understanding and analyzing the consequences of unprecedented events on future trends. In this paper, we propose an advanced mechanism to generate more justifiable estimates to the probability of occurrence of an unprecedented event as a function of time with different degrees of severity using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). The key idea of the paper is to enhance the generic process of reasoning with fuzzy logic and neural network by adding the additional step of attributes simulation, as unprecedented events do not occur all of a sudden but rather their occurrence is affected by change in the values of a set of attributes. An ANFIS approach is used to identify the occurrence and severity of an event, depending on the values of its trigger attributes.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2000.05a
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• pp.130-133
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• 2000

In this paper, a new design methodology named FNNN(Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network) algorithm is proposed to identify the structure and parameters of fuzzy model using PNN(Polynomial Neural Network) structure and a fuzzy inference method. The PNN is the extended structure of the GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling), and uses several types of polynomials such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic besides the biquadratic polynomial used in the GMDH. The premise of fuzzy inference rules defines by triangular and gaussian type membership function. The fuzzy inference method uses simplified and regression polynomial inference method which is based on the consequence of fuzzy rule expressed with a polynomial such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic equation are used. Each node of the FPNN is defined as fuzzy rules and its structure is a kind of neuro-fuzzy architecture Several numerical example are used to evaluate the performance of out proposed model. Also we used the training data and testing data set to obtain a balance between the approximation and generalization of proposed model.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2004.08a
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• pp.1865-1869
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• 2004

A new model for the propagation prediction for mobile communication network inside building is presented in this paper. The model is based on the determination of the dominant paths between the transmitter and the receiver. The field strength is predicted with adaptive neuro - fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS), trained with measurements. The advantage of the ANFIS with hybrid least squares and gradient descent algorithms is fast convergence compared with original neural network. The K-means algorithm for selection of training patterns is also used. Comparison of our predicted results to measurements indicate that improvements in accuracy over conventional empirical model are achieved.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.8 no.5
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• pp.1163-1168
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• 2013

In this paper, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is applied for modeling and simulation of DC characteristic of cylindrical Silicon Nanowire Transistor (SNWT). Device Geometry parameters, terminal voltages, temperature and output current were selected as the main factors of modeling. The results obtained are compared with numerical method and a good match has been observed between them, which represent accuracy of model. Finally, we imported the ANFIS model as a voltage controlled current source in a circuit simulator like HSPICE and simulated a SNWT inverter and common-source amplifier by this model.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.397-409
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• 2020

The current study targets to estimate the contribution of the end-anchored FRP composites in resisting shear force using a soft computing tool i.e., adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). A total of 107 sets of data accumulated from literature was utilized for the development and evaluation of the current ANFIS model. A comparative analysis between the ANFIS predictions and the acquired experimental results has shown that the ANFIS predictions are in very good agreement with that of experimental ones. Additionally, the accuracy of the current ANFIS model has been weighed up against the estimates of nine widely adopted design guidelines. Based on various statistical parameters, it has been deduced that the effectiveness of the current ANFIS model is better than the considered design guidelines. Besides this, a parametric study was carried out to explore the combined effect of different parameters as well as the impact of individual parameters.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 1993.06a
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• pp.857-860
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• 1993

In this paper, we apply the self generating neuro fuzzy model (SGNFM) to the dimension analysis of the chaotic time series. Firstly, we formulate a nonlinear time series identification problem with nonlinear autoregressive (NARMAX) model. Secondly, we propose an identification algorithm using SGNFM. We apply this method to the estimation of embedding dimension for chaotic time series, since the embedding dimension plays an essential role for the identification and the prediction of chaotic time series. In this estimation method, identification problems with gradually increasing embedding dimension are solved, and the identified result is used for computing correlation coefficients between the predicted time series and the observed one. We apply this method to the dimension estimation of a chaotic pulsation in a finger's capillary vessels.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.14 no.5
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• pp.533-538
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• 2004

This paper proposes a systematic method to develop short-term electrical load forecasting systems using neuro-fuzzy models. The proposed system predicts the electrical loads with the lead times of 1 hour, 24 hour, and 168 hour. To do so, the load forecasting system first builds an initial structure off-line for each hour of four day types and then stores the resultant initial structures in the initial structure bank. 96 initial structures are constructed for each prediction lead time. Whenever a prediction needs to be made, the proposed system initializes the neuro-fuzzy model with the appropriate initial structure stored and trains the initialized prediction modell. To improve the performance of the prediction system in terms of accuracy and reliability at the same time, the prediction model employs only two inputs. It makes possible to interpret the fuzzy rules to be learned. In order to demonstrate the viability of the proposed method, we develop a load forecasting system by using the real load data collected during 1996 and 1997 at KEPCO. Simulation results reveal that the prediction system developed in this paper can achieve a remarkable improvement on both accuracy and reliability

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.341-351
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• 2008

Since the damage from the torrential rain increases recently due to climate change and global warming, the significance of flood forecasting and warning becomes important in medium and small streams as well as large river. Through the preprocess and main processes for estimating runoff, diverse errors occur and are accumulated, so that the outcome contains the errors in the existing flood forecasting and warning method. And estimating the parameters needed for runoff models requires a lot of data and the processes contain various uncertainty. In order to overcome the difficulties of the existing flood forecasting and warning system and the uncertainty problem, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) technique has been presented in this study. ANFIS, a data driven model using the fuzzy inference theory with neural network, can forecast stream level only by using the precipitation and stream level data in catchment without using a lot of physical data that are necessary in existing physical model. Time series data for precipitation and stream level are used as input, and stream levels for t+1, t+2, and t+3 are forecasted with this model. The applicability and the appropriateness of the model is examined by actual rainfall and stream level data from 2003 to 2005 in the Tancheon catchment area. The results of applying ANFIS to the Tancheon catchment area for the actual data show that the stream level can be simulated without large error.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.12 no.8
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• pp.3689-3696
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• 2011

In decision support system, knowledge workers require aggregation operations of the large data and are more interested in the trend analysis rather than in the punctual analysis. Therefore, it is necessary to provide fast approximate answers rather than exact answers, and to research approximate query answering techniques. In this paper, we propose a new approximation query answering method which is based on Fuzzy C-means clustering (FCM) method and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The proposed method using FCM-ANFIS can compute aggregate queries without accessing massive multidimensional data cube by producing the KR model of multidimensional data cube. In our experiments, we show that our method using the KR model outperforms the NMF method.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.81-98
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• 2014

This paper presents the elastic buckling of smart lightweight column structures integrated with a pair of surface piezoelectric layers using artificial intelligence. The finite element modeling of Smart lightweight columns is found using $ANSYS^{(R)}$ software. Then, the first buckling load of the structure is calculated using eigenvalue buckling analysis. To determine the accuracy of the present finite element analysis, a compression study is carried out with literature. Later, parametric studies for length variations, width, and thickness of the elastic core and of the piezoelectric outer layers are performed and the associated buckling load data sets for artificial intelligence are gathered. Finally, the application of soft computing-based methods including artificial neural network (ANN), fuzzy inference system (FIS), and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) were carried out. A comparative study is then made between the mentioned soft computing methods and the performance of the models is evaluated using statistic measurements. The comparison of the results reveal that, the ANFIS model with Gaussian membership function provides high accuracy on the prediction of the buckling load in smart lightweight columns, providing better predictions compared to other methods. However, the results obtained from the ANN model using the feed-forward algorithm are also accurate and reliable.