• 한국정보기술응용학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보기술응용학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.103-108
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• 2007

다항지수 신뢰도 함수(multinomial-exponential reliability function ; MERF) 는 소프트웨어의 고장/수정 공정을 세밀하게 수행하는 중에 개발되는 관계에 있다. 후에 MERF는 좀더 매우 단순화한 지수 신뢰도 함수(exponential reliability function ; EARF)로 근사화되는 공정을 거치게 된다. 이는 MERF의 특성을 대부분 가지고 있어서 두 개의 함수가 하나의 신뢰도 함수로 단일화되도록 한다. 신뢰도 모델 MERF/EARF는 소프트웨어 고장 공정을 NHPP로, 수정공정을 다항분포로 고려한다. 이 모텔은 두 개의 공정 모두가 통계적 독립인 것으로 간주한다. 본 논문에서는 모델의 이론적인 기준, 수학적 특성, 소프트웨어 신뢰도에의 응용을 검토한다. 이는 물리적 인 시스템을 검사하고 유지보수하는 선도적인 모델응용이다. 본 논문에는 소프트웨어 신뢰도 분석에 응용하는 하나의 수치 예를 포함한다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.33-38
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• 2009

When we estimate the parameters of software reliability models, we usually use maximum liklihood estimator(MLE). But this method is required a large data set. In particular, when we want to estimate it with small observed data such as early stages of testing, we give rise to the non-existence of MLE. Therefore, it is interesting to look into the influence of parameter estimators obtained using MLE. In this paper, we use two non-homogenous poisson process software reliability growth model: delayed S-shaped model and log power model. In this paper, we calculate the sensitivity of estimators about failure intensity function for two SRGMs respectively.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.675-682
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• 2013

Reliability analysis and prediction of next failure time is critical to sustain weapon systems, concerning scheduled maintenance, spare parts replacement and maintenance interventions, etc. Since 1981, many methodology derived from various probabilistic and statistical theories has been suggested to do that activity. Nowadays, many A.I. tools have been used to support these predictions. Support Vector Regression(SVR) is a nonlinear regression technique extended from support vector machine. SVR can fit data flexibly and it has a wide variety of applications. This paper utilizes SVM and SVR with combining time series to predict the next failure time based on historical failure data. A numerical case using failure data from the military equipment is presented to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach. Finally, the proposed approach is proved meaningful to predict next failure point and to estimate instantaneous failure rate and MTBF.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.141-149
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• 1998

It is of great practical interest to decide when to stop testing a software system in the development phase and transfer it to the user. This decision problemcalled an optimal software release one is discussed to specify the a, pp.opriate release time. In almost all studies, the software reliability models used are nonphomogenous Poisson process(NHPP) model with bounded mean value function. HNPP models with unbounded mean value function are more suitable in practice because of the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. We discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. A numerical example illustrates the results.

• 정보교육학회논문지
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.35-51
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• 1998

Software reliability growth model is one of the evaluation methods, software quality which quantitatively calculates the software reliability based on the number of errors detected. For correct and precise evaluation of reliability of certain software, the reliability model, which is considered to fit dose to real data should be selected as well. In this paper, the optimal model for specific test data was selected one of among five software reliability growth models based on NHPP(Non Homogeneous Poission Process), and in result reliability estimating scales(total expected number of errors, error detection rate, expected number of errors remaining in the software, reliability etc) could obtained. According to reliability estimating scales obtained, Software development and predicting optimal release point and finally in conducting systematic project management.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.15-26
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• 2000

This paper considers an aperiodic preventive maintenance (PM) model for repairable systems, in which the time intervals between two consecutive preventive maintenances are unequal. To propose such an aperiodic PM model, we assume that each PM reduces the current hazard rate by a certain amount which depends on the number of PMs performed previously. If the system fails between PMs, the minimal repair is performed and the hazard rate remains unchanged after the repair. We give the exact expressions for the hazard rate function for the aperiodic PM model. Based on the proposed aperiodic PM model, we suggest the maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters characterizing the model and apply the method to the case of Weibull distribution. Numerical examples for estimating the parameters are presented for the purpose of illustration.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.535-541
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• 2007

The Non-homogeneous Poisson process is probably the most popular model since it can model systems that are deteriorating or improving. The renewal process is a model that is often used to describe the random occurrence of events in time. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose maximum likelihood estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model.

• 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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• 제51권1호
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• pp.18-25
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• 2002

The software reliability is defined, and not only the relations between testing time and reliability, but also the relation between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied in this paper. The release time making the testing cost to be minimum is determined through evaluating the cost for each condition. Also, the release time is determined depending on the conditions of the first reliability, considering the specified reliability. the optimum release time is determined by simultaneously studying two optimum release time issues that determine both the cost related time and the specified reliability related time. And, each condition and limitation are studied. The trend of the optimum time is also examined.

• 정보학연구
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.47-64
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called enhanced non-homogeneous poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-coverage model was reviewed, proposes the exponentiated exponential coverage reliability model, which maked out efficiency substituted for gamma and Weibull model(2 parameter shape illustrated by Gupta and Kundu(2001). In this analysis of software failure data, algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.43-52
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• 1995

A replacement policy under two types of failures, repairable or irrepairable, is considered, In the policy, the system is replaced at the n-th failure if all the previous (n-1) failures are repairable; Otherwise it is replaced at the first irrepairable failure. Assuming that the j-th failure is repairable with probability ${\alpha}_j$ and minimal repairs are performed for repairable failures between replacements, we derive the expected cost rate through the application of NHPP in order to determine the optimal number $n^*$. The policy includes some previous studies as special cases.