• 제목/요약/키워드: NCEP

검색결과 221건 처리시간 0.023초

한반도 주변 해역에서의 ASCAT 해상풍 격자 자료의 정확성 평가 (Accuracy Evaluation of Daily-gridded ASCAT Satellite Data Around the Korean Peninsula)

  • 박진구;김대원;조영헌;김덕수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제34권2_1호
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    • pp.213-225
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 주변 해역에서 Advanced Scatterometer(ASCAT) 해상풍 격자 자료(Daily Advanced Scatterometer, DASCAT)의 정확성을 평가하고자 우리나라 주변 해양관측부이 자료와 비교 분석을 수행하였다. 뿐만 아니라 European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF, 이하 ECMWF), National Centers for Environmental Prediction and National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCEP/NCAR, 이하 NCEP), Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications-2(MERRA-2, 이하 MERRA)에서 제공하는 10-m 해상풍 재분석자료에 대한 비교 및 분석이 추가적으로 수행되었다. 그 결과, DASCAT은 전반적으로 실제 풍속(해양관측부이)에 비하여 약 3 m/s의 RMSE를 나타내며 상관 관계는 동서 바람 성분의 경우 전 지역 0.8 이상의 높은 상관성을 보이지만 남북 바람 성분에 대한 상관성은 서해에서 0.7이하로 낮게 나타난다. 실제 풍속이 10 m/s 이하로 불 때 풍속에 대한 가장 높은 정확성을 나타내는 것은 ECMWF이며 DASCAT, MERRA, NCEP 순이다. 하지만 10 m/s 이상의 실제 풍속에서는 DASCAT이 가장 높은 정확성을 나타낸다. 풍향에 따른 오차 특성은 실제 바람이 동서방향으로 불 때 $70^{\circ}$ 이상의 풍향에 대한 오차가 모든 자료에서 발생하며 남북 성분의 바람이 강화될 때 약 $50^{\circ}$ 수준의 오차가 발생한다. 이러한 결과에서 ECMWF가 가장 높은 정확성을 보인다. 풍향에 따른 풍속의 오차 수준은 실제 바람이 부는 방향에 따라 풍속에 대한 정확성 수준이 변화한다. 특히, 서풍 및 남풍 계열의 바람이 불 때 풍속에 대한 RMSE가 큰 자료는 MERRA이지만 동풍 및 북풍 계열의 바람이 불 때는 NCEP이 가장 큰 RMSE를 나타낸다.

KORUS-AQ 기간 동안 초기 입력 자료에 따른 WRF 기상장 모의 결과 비교 (Impact of Different Meteorological Initializations on WRF Simulation During the KORUS-AQ Campaign)

  • 문정혁;전원배;이화운
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2020
  • Recently, a variety of modeling studies have been conducted to examine the air quality over South Korea during the Korea - United States Air Quality (KORUS-AQ) campaign period (May 1 to June 10, 2016). This study investigates the impact of different meteorological initializations on atmospheric modeling results. We conduct several simulations during the KORUS-AQ period using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with two different initial datasets, which is FNL of NCEP and ERA5 of ECMWF. Comparing the raw initial data, ERA5 showed better accuracy in the temperature, wind speed, and mixing ratio fields than those of NCEP-FNL. On the other hand, the results of WRF simulations with ERA5 showed better accuracy in the simulated temperature and mixing ratio than those with FNL, except for wind speed. Comparing the nudging efficiency of temperature and wind speed fields, the grid nudging effect on the FNL simulation was larger than that on the ERA5 simulation, but the results of mixing ratio field was the opposite. Overall, WRF simulation with ERA5 data showed a better performance for temperature and mixing ratio simulations than that with FNL data. For wind speed simulation, however, WRF simulation with FNL data indicated more accurate results compared to that with ERA5 data.

Validation Study of Gridded Product of Surface Wind/Wind-stress derived by Satellite Scatterometer Data in the Western North Pacific using Kuroshio Extension Observatory Buoy

  • Kutsuwada, Kunio;Morimoto, Naoki;Koyama, Makoto
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.394-397
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    • 2006
  • Gridded products of surface wind/wind-stress over the world ocean have been constructed by using satellite scatterometer as the Japanese Ocean Flux data sets with Use of Remote-sensing Observation (J-OFURO) data. Our previous validation study in the tropical Pacific using TAO/Triton and NDBC buoys revealed high reliability of our products. In this study, the Kuroshio Extension Observatory (KEO) buoy data are used for validation of other gridded wind-stress products including the NCEP-1 and 2 in the western North Pacific region where there have been few in-situ data. Results reveal that our J-OFURO product has almost zero mean difference and smallest root-mean-square (RMS) difference, while the NCEP-1 and 2 ones significantly positive biases and relatively high RMS difference. Intercomparison between the J-OFURO and NCEP products in a wide region of the North Pacific covered by the westerly winds exhibits that the NCEPs have larger magnitudes in the wind stress than the J-OFURO's, suggesting overestimation of the NCEPs.

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Verification of the Wind-driven Transport in the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre using Gridded Wind-Stress Products Constructed by Scatterometer Data

  • Aoki, Kunihiro;Kutsuwada, Kunio
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.418-421
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    • 2007
  • Using gridded wind-stress products constructed by satellite scatterometers (ERS-1, 2 and QSCAT) data and those by numerical weather prediction(NWP) model(NCEP-reanalysis), we estimate wind-driven transports of the North Pacific subtropical gyre, and compare them in the central portion of the gyre (around 300 N) with geostrophic transports calculated from historical hydrographic data (World Ocean Database 2005). Even if there are some discrepancies between the wind-driven transports by the QSCAT and NCEP products, they are both in good agreement with the geostrophic transports within reasonable errors, except for the regional difference in the eastern part of the zone. The difference in the eastern part is characterized by an anticyclonic deviation of the geostrophic transport resulting from an anti-cyclonic anomalous flow in the surface layer, suggesting that it is related to the Eastern Gyral produced by the thermohaline process associated with the formation of the Eastern Subtropical Mode Water. We also examine the consistency of the Sverdrup transports estimated from these products by comparing them with the transports of the western boundary current, namely the Kuroshio regions, in previous studies. The net southward transport, based on the sum of the Sverdrup transports by QSCAT and NCEP products and the thermohaline transport, agrees well with the net northward transport of the western boundary current, namely the Kuroshio transport. From these results, it is concluded that the Sverdrup balance can hold in the North Pacific subtropical gyre.

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태풍 기상장의 신뢰도 분석: 태풍 매미(0314) (Analysis of Reliability of Weather Fields for Typhoon Maemi (0314))

  • 윤성범;정원무;조명환;류경호
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.351-362
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    • 2020
  • 2003년 남해안에 내습한 태풍 매미에 의해 발생한 폭풍해일과 파랑을 JMA-MSM 예보기상자료, NCEP-CFSR 재분석 기상자료, ECMWF-ERA5 재분석 기상자료, JTWC의 최적경로를 이용한 기상자료를 이용하여 수치모의하고, 계산된 해일고를 전국 해안의 항만에서 관측된 폭풍해일 시계열 자료와 비교하였다. 폭풍해일과 동시에 발생하는 파랑에 대해서는 계산된 유의파고를 관측 자료와 비교하였다. 이 비교를 통해 태풍 매미에 대한 각종 기상장의 신뢰도를 평가하였다. 그 결과 JMA-MSM 기상자료가 가장 신뢰도가 높았고, JTWC의 최적경로를 이용한 기상자료도 상당히 우수하게 나타났다. ECMWF-ERA5 기상자료는 전반적으로 해일고나 파고의 크기가 작게 나타났으며, NCEP-CFSR 기상자료는 태풍 매미의 특정 경우에 대해 신뢰도가 가장 낮게 나타났다. 이 연구를 통하여 폭풍해일과 파랑을 추산하기 위해 신뢰도 높은 기상장이 필수적임을 알 수 있었다.

NCEP 일기도 데이터 클러스터링을 위한 특징 벡터 추출 (Feature vector extraction for NCEP weather data clustering)

  • 이기범;이성환;정창성;황치정
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2001년도 봄 학술발표논문집 Vol.28 No.1 (B)
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    • pp.583-585
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    • 2001
  • 방대한 양의 격자점 데이터 및 일기도 관련 데이터를 효율적으로 저장 및 검색 하기위해서는 데이터들의 유형을 찾아 서로 유형이 비슷한 데이터를 하나의 클러스터로 연관지어 놓으면 효율적인 저장과 검색을 할 수 있다. 클러스터링에서 데이터들의 어떤 특징 벡터를 추출하는가가 클러스터링의 결과에 가장 중요한 영향을 끼친다. 본 논문에서는 격자점, 기압값 데이터로부터 일기도의 특징을 표현할 수 있는 벡터로 변환 한반도도 중심의 8방향에 대한 고/저기압의 분포와 동아시아 지역을 24영역으로 나누어 각 영역별로 고/저기압의 분포 정보를 특징벡터로 추출하여 클러스터링하였다. 클러스터팅 알고리즘으로는 unsupervised mode인 SOM(Self Organizing Map) 기법을 사용하였다.

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Non-homogeneous Hidden Markov Model을 이용한 금강유역의 미래 가뭄 분석 (Future Drought Analysis using Non-homogeneous Hidden Markov Model in Gum River Basin)

  • 김보란;주홍준;김수전;김형수
    • 한국재난정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국재난정보학회 2016년 정기학술대회
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    • pp.388-390
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 금강유역의 가뭄과 한반도 주변 지역의 기후 인자들과의 상관관계를 파악하고 이를 바탕으로 기후변화 시나리오를 이용하여 미래의 가뭄을 예측하였다. 1974 - 2015년 동안 11 - 5월에 발생한 강우 자료와 NOAA에서 제공하는 NCEP-NCAR 자료를 이용하여 한반도 주변 기후인자와 금강유역의 강우가 과거 발생한 가뭄과 어떠한 상관관계를 갖는지를 분석하였다. 금강유역의 강우 패턴을 4개의 스테이지로 구분한 후 이를 상태층으로 참고하였으며, 관측 자료는 학습단계에 활용하였다. 이러한 기후인자와 강우 관계의 학습 결과를 바탕으로 기후변화 시나리오를 적용하고 미래의 기후요소를 예측하였으며 이를 통해 미래 금강유역의 가뭄을 예측하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 금강권역 수자원 공급 계획 및 설계의 기초자료로 제공될 수 있으며, 가뭄 대비 대책 사업의 우선순위 결정에 대한 근거 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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대사증후군의 관련 인자별 유병률 (Prevalence by Factors associated with Metsbolic Syndrome)

  • 이태용;윤달식;이준기;박옥자;박현정;김인삼
    • 한국건강관리협회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2006
  • Background Cardiovascular disease is becoming an important national health issue since its recent increase in incidence and mortality. The study was conducted to find out the prevalence of metabolic syndrome according to the clinical identification criteria by NCEP-ATP3 and Asia-Pacific criteria. Meterials & Methods: The subjects were 759 people -male 375 and female 384 after twenties age - who had undergone medical examinations at Korea Association of Health, Daejeon- Chungnam Branch. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was assessed as defined by the NCEP ATP3, while abdominal obesity was assessed according to the Asia-Pacific guidelines. Anthropometric variables and cardiovascular risk factors were measured, and Associated factors with metabolic syndroms was analyzed by logistic regression analysis. Results The prevalence of metabotic syndrome was 24.O% for male and 27.1% for female The high blood pressure was the highest prevalent risk factors of metabolic syndrome. In the age group of thirties, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome was higher in men than in women, however it was significantly higher in women than in men in fifties and six ties. The metabolic syndrome was more prevalent in aged people over 50 years. and .significantly associated with BMI index(odds ratio 2.58 in male, 9.87 in female)Conclusions The prevalence of metabolic syndrome is over 20%.Early detection and intervention of risk factors by health examination and promotion are needed for prevention of metabolic syndrome.

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한반도 주변에서 MODIS와 NCEP/NCAR 재분석 자료를 이용한 에어로졸과 구름의 연관성 분석 (An Analysis of Aerosol-Cloud Relationship Using MODIS and NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Data around Korea)

  • 김유준;이진화;김병곤
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.152-167
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    • 2011
  • MODIS/Terra level 3 and NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data from 2001 to 2008 have been analyzed to understand long-term aerosol and cloud optical properties, and their relationships around Korea. Interestingly, cloud fraction(CF) has the similar annual variation to aerosol optical depth (${\tau}_a$) without any temporal significant trend. Horizontal distributions of ${\tau}_a$ showed the substantial horizontal gradient from China to Korea, especially with the strong difference over the Yellow Sea, which could represent the evidence of the anthropogenic influence from China in the perspective of long-term average. Specifically the negative correlations between ${\tau}_a$ and liquid-phase cloud effective radius ($r_e$) were shown on the monthly-average basis, only in summer with significant associations over the Yellow Sea, but not in the other seasons and/or specific regions. Relationship between ${\tau}_a$ and CF for the low-level liquid-phase clouds exhibited the overall positive correlation, being consistent with cloud lifetime effect. Meanwhile static stability showed no deterministic relationships with ${\tau}_a$ as well as CF. The dependence of aerosol-cloud relationship on the meteorological conditions should be examined more in detail with the satellite remote sensing and reanalysis data.

Construction of Gridded Wind-stress Products over the World Ocean by Tandem Scatterometer Mission

  • Kutsuwada Kunio;Kasahara Minoru;Morimoto Naoki
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.192-195
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    • 2004
  • Products of gridded surface wind and windstress vectors over the world ocean have been constructed by satellite scatterometer data with highly temporal and spatial resolutions. Even if the ADEOS-II/SeaWinds has supplied surface wind data only for short duration in Apr. to Oct. 2003 to us, it permits us to construct a product with higher resolution together with the Qscat/SeaWinds. In addition to our basic product with its resolution of $1^{\circ}\times1^{\circ}$ in space and daily in time, we try to construct products with $1/2^{\circ}\times1/2^{\circ}$ and semi- and quarter-daily resolution. These products are validated by inter-comparison with in-situ data (TAO and NDBC buoys), and also compared with numerical weather prediction(NWP) ones (NCEP reanalysis). Result reveals that our product has higher reliability in the study area than the NCEP's. For the open ocean regions in the middle and high latitudes where there are no in-situ data, we find that there are clear differences between them. Especially in the southern westerly region of 400-600S, the' wind-stress magnitudes by the NCEP are significantly larger than the others, suggesting that they are overestimated. We also calculate wind-stress curl field that is an important factor for ocean dynamics and focus its spatial character in the northwestern Pacific around Japan. Positive curl areas are found to cover from southwest to northeast in our focus region and almost correspond to the Kuroshio path. It is suggested that the vorticity field in the lower atmosphere is related to the upper oceanic one, and thus an aspect of air-sea interaction process.

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