• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multivariate Monte Carlo

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Testing Multivariate Normality Based on EDF Statistics (EDF 통계량을 이용한 다변량 정규성검정)

  • Kim Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.241-256
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    • 2006
  • We generalize the $Cram{\acute{e}}r$-von Mises Statistic to test multivariate normality using Roy's union-intersection principle. We show the limit distribution of the suggested statistic is representable as the integral of a suitable Gaussian process. We also consider the computational aspects of the proposed statistic. Power performance is assessed in a Monte Carlo study.

Multivariate Control Chart for Autocorrelated Process (자기상관자료를 갖는 공정을 위한 다변량 관리도)

  • Nam, Gook-Hyun;Chang, Young-Soon;Bai, Do-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes multivariate control chart for autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase in the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a vector autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and therefore the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

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An Approximate Shapiro -Wilk Statistic for Testing Multivariate Normality (다변량 정규성검정을 위한 근사 SHAPIRO-WILK 통계량의 일반화)

  • 김남현
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we generalizes Kim and Bickel(2003)'s statistic for bivariate normality to that of multinormality, applying Fattorini(1986)'s method. Fattorini(1986) generalized Shapiro-Wilk's statistic for univariate normality to multivariate cases. The proposed statistic could be considered as an approximate statistic to Fattorini(1986)'s. It can be used even for a big sample size. Power performance of the proposed test is assessed in a Monte Carlo study.

On EM Algorithm For Discrete Classification With Bahadur Model: Unknown Prior Case

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Jung, Hun-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.63-78
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    • 1994
  • For discrimination with binary variables, reformulated full and first order Bahadur model with incomplete observations are presented. This allows prior probabilities associated with multiple population to be estimated for the sample-based classification rule. The EM algorithm is adopted to provided the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters of interest. Some experiences with the models are evaluated and discussed.

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Bootstrap Confidence Intervals of Classification Error Rate for a Block of Missing Observations

  • Chung, Hie-Choon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.675-686
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, it will be assumed that there are two distinct populations which are multivariate normal with equal covariance matrix. We also assume that the two populations are equally likely and the costs of misclassification are equal. The classification rule depends on the situation when the training samples include missing values or not. We consider the bootstrap confidence intervals for classification error rate when a block of observation is missing.

The Evaluation of Long-Term Generation Portfolio Considering Uncertainty (불확실성을 고려한 장기 전원 포트폴리오의 평가)

  • Chung, Jae-Woo;Min, Dai-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a portfolio model for a long-term power generation mix problem. The proposed portfolio model evaluates generation mix by considering the tradeoffs between the expected cost for power generation and its variability. Unlike conventional portfolio models measuring variance, we introduce Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in designing the variability with aims to considering events that are enormously expensive but are rare such as nuclear power plant accidents. Further, we consider uncertainties associated with future electricity demand, fuel prices and their correlations, and capital costs for power plant investments. To obtain an objective generation by each energy source, we employ the sample average approximation method that approximates the stochastic objective function by taking the average of large sample values so that provides asymptotic convergence of optimal solutions. In addition, the method includes Monte Carlo simulation techniques in generating random samples from multivariate distributions. Applications of the proposed model and method are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity industry with nuclear, coal, oil (OCGT), and LNG (CCGT) in South Korea.

Empirical Bayes Posterior Odds Ratio for Heteroscedastic Classification

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 1987
  • Our interest is to access in some way teh relative odds or probability that a multivariate observation Z belongs to one of k multivariate normal populations with unequal covariance matrices. We derived the empirical Bayes posterior odds ratio for the classification rule when population parameters are unknown. It is a generalization of the posterior odds ratio suggested by Gelsser (1964). The classification rule does not have complicated distribution theory which a large variety of techniques from the sampling viewpoint have. The proposed posterior odds ratio is compared to the Gelsser's posterior odds ratio through a Monte Carlo study. The results show that the empiricla Bayes posterior odds ratio, in general, performs better than the Gelsser's. Especially, for large dimension of Z and small training sample, the performance is prominent.

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Marginal Likelihoods for Bayesian Poisson Regression Models

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Balgobin Nandram;Kim, Seong-Jun;Choi, Il-Su;Ahn, Yun-Kee;Kim, Chul-Eung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.381-397
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    • 2004
  • The marginal likelihood has become an important tool for model selection in Bayesian analysis because it can be used to rank the models. We discuss the marginal likelihood for Poisson regression models that are potentially useful in small area estimation. Computation in these models is intensive and it requires an implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Using importance sampling and multivariate density estimation, we demonstrate a computation of the marginal likelihood through an output analysis from an MCMC sampler.

A Trimmed Spatial Median Estimator Using Bootstrap Method (붓스트랩을 활용한 최적 절사공간중위수 추정량)

  • Lee, Dong-Hee;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.375-382
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we propose a robust estimator of the multivariate location parameter by means of the spatial median based on data trimming which extending trimmed mean in the univariate setup. The trimming quantity of this estimator is determined by the bootstrap method, and its covariance matrix is estimated by using the double bootstrap method. This extends the work of Jhun et al. (1993) to the multivariate case. Monte Carlo study shows that the proposed trimmed spatial median estimator yields better efficiency than a spatial median, while its covariance matrix based on double bootstrap overcomes the under-estimating problem occurred on single bootstrap method.

On multivariate GARCH model selection based on risk management (리스크 관리 측면에서 살펴본 다변량 GARCH 모형 선택)

  • Park, SeRin;Baek, Changryong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1333-1343
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    • 2014
  • Hansen and Lund (2005) documented that a univariate GARCH(1,1) model is no worse than other sophisticated GARCH models in terms of prediction errors such as MSPE and MAE. Here, we extend Hansen and Lund (2005) by considering multivariate GARCH models and incorporating risk management measures such as VaR and fail percentage. Our Monte Carlo simulations study shows that multivariate GARCH(1,1) model also performs well compared to asymmetric GARCH models. However, we suggest that actual model selection should be done with care in light of risk management. It is applied to the realized volatilities of KOSPI, NASDAQ and HANG SENG index for recent 10 years.