• 제목/요약/키워드: Multisite

검색결과 23건 처리시간 0.027초

Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse 모형 기반의 다지점 강수모의 기법 개발 (A development of multisite hourly rainfall simulation technique based on neyman-scott rectangular pulse model)

  • 문장원;김장경;문영일;권현한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제49권11호
    • /
    • pp.913-922
    • /
    • 2016
  • 유역의 신뢰성 있는 수자원계획을 수립하기 위해서는 장기간의 강수자료가 필수적으로 요구된다. 그러나 시간강수시계열의 경우 결측치가 상대적으로 많으며, 연속적인 시계열을 확보하는데 어려움이 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 대표적인 시간강수모의기법인 Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model (NSRPM) 기반의 강수모의기법을 활용하여, 모의기반의 장기강수자료를 생산할 수 있는 기법을 개발하고자 한다. 이와 더불어, 신뢰성 있는 면적강수량을 추정하기 위한 방안으로 유역 내 여러 지점의 강수량을 동시에 모의할 수 있는 다지점 시간강수모의기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형은 서울 우이천 유역 강수지점에 적용하여 모형의 적합성을 평가하였다. 모형 적용결과 다양한 지속시간에 대해서 강수량의 효과적인 모의(평균, 분산, 1차 자기상관계수)가 가능하였으며, 지점간의 공간성도 효과적으로 복원 가능하였다.

OPTIMAL DESIGN OF BATCH-STORAGE NETWORK APPLICABLE TO SUPPLY CHAIN

  • Yi, Gyeong-beom;Lee, Euy-Soo;Lee, In-Beom
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
    • /
    • pp.1859-1864
    • /
    • 2004
  • An effective methodology is reported for the optimal design of multisite batch production/transportation and storage networks under uncertain demand forecasting. We assume that any given storage unit can store one material type which can be purchased from suppliers, internally produced, internally consumed, transported to or from other plant sites and/or sold to customers. We further assume that a storage unit is connected to all processing and transportation stages that consume/produce or move the material to which that storage unit is dedicated. Each processing stage transforms a set of feedstock materials or intermediates into a set of products with constant conversion factors. A batch transportation process can transfer one material or multiple materials at once between plant sites. The objective for optimization is to minimize the probability averaged total cost composed of raw material procurement, processing setup, transportation setup and inventory holding costs as well as the capital costs of processing stages and storage units. A novel production and inventory analysis formulation, the PSW(Periodic Square Wave) model, provides useful expressions for the upper/lower bounds and average level of the storage inventory. The expressions for the Kuhn-Tucker conditions of the optimization problem can be reduced to two sub-problems. The first yields analytical solutions for determining lot sizes while the second is a separable concave minimization network flow subproblem whose solution yields the average material flow rates through the networks for the given demand forecast scenario. The result of this study will contribute to the optimal design and operation of large-scale supply chain system.

  • PDF

다수의 공장을 포함하는 불확실한 수요예측하의 회분식 공정-저장조 망의 최적설계 (Optimal Design Of Multisite Batch-Storage Network under Scenario Based Demand Uncertainty)

  • 이경범;이의수;이인범
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제10권6호
    • /
    • pp.537-544
    • /
    • 2004
  • An effective methodology is reported for determining the optimal lot size of batch processing and storage networks which include uncertain demand forecasting. We assume that any given storage unit can store one material type which can be purchased from suppliers, internally produced, infernally consumed, transported to or from other sites and/or sold to customers. We further assume that a storage unit is connected to all processing and transportation stages that consume/produce or move the material to which that storage unit is dedicated. Each processing stage transforms a set of feedstock materials or intermediates into a set of products with constant conversion factors. A batch transportation process can transfer one material or multiple materials at once between sites. The objective for optimization is to minimize the probability averaged total cost composed of raw material procurement, processing setup, transportation setup and inventory holding costs as well as the capital costs of processing stages and storage units. A novel production and inventory analysis formulation, the PSW(Periodic Square Wave) model, provides useful expressions for the upper/lower bounds and average level of the storage inventory. The expressions for the Kuhn-Tucker conditions of the optimization problem can be reduced to two sub-problems. The first yields analytical solutions for determining lot sires while the second is a separable concave minimization network flow subproblem whose solution yields the average material flow rates through the networks for the given demand forecast scenario. The result of this study will contribute to the optimal design and operation of the global supply chain.

한강수계에 있어서 분해모형에 의한 모의 월유량 발생 (A Generation of Synthetic Monthly Streamflows in the Han River Basin by Disaggregation Model)

  • 강관수;선우중호
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.107-116
    • /
    • 1987
  • 수자원 시스템의 합리적인 분석, 개발계획과 운영 및 설계를 위하여 필요한 자료를 얻기 위한 추계학적 모형이 계속 개발되어지고 있다. 본연구에서는 한강수계의 과거자료를 이요하여 다지점 AR(1) 모형으로서 연유량을 모의발생시킨후, 장기간, 단기간, 통계적 특성치를 잘 보존하는 분해 모형을 통해 월유량을 발생시켰다. 모의 발생된 자료를 이용하여 모형의 적합도 검정, 통계학적 분석을 실시한 결과 사용된 모형이 국내유역에서의 적용가능성이 검증되었다.

  • PDF

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
    • /
    • pp.540-544
    • /
    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

  • PDF

Enhanced Access Grid(e-AG)를 통한 3차원 미디어 공유 (Sharing 3D Media with Enhanced Access Grid(e-AG))

  • 이영호;오세찬;이석희;우운택
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전자공학회 2003년도 컴퓨터소사이어티 추계학술대회논문집
    • /
    • pp.107-110
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose sharing 3D media between multisite using enhanced Access Grid (e-AG) which is a composition of 3D display and Access Grld (AG) Conventional AG and other collaborative systems have a limitation to share immersive 3D media Thus, proposed system supports sharing 3D media contents in a AG meeting section. Real object can be shared by acquiring stereo image with pre-calibrated stereo camera and by delivering, and virtual object can be shared by transmitting state information after downloading 3D model. And also, real video scene acquired by stereo camera and virtual object from 3D model can be displayed on the 3D display system of each node adaptively. The characteristics of proposed sharing method are sharing 3D media, displaying 3D media on a system adaptively, supporting real-time interaction. The proposed sharing method will be used remote lecture, remote collaboration with 3D media.

  • PDF

BIVARIATE ANALYSIS에 의한 월류량에 모의발생에 관한 연구 (A STUDY ON SYNTHETIC GENERATION OF MONTHLY STREAMFLOW BY BIVARIATE ANALYSIS)

  • 서병하;윤용남;강관원
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.63-69
    • /
    • 1979
  • The sequences of monthly streamflows constitute a non-statonary time series. The purely stochastic model has been applied to data generation of non-stationary time series. Tow different mothods--single site and multisite generation--have been used on the hydrologic time series. In this study the synthetic generation method by bivariate analysis, studied by Thomas Fiering, one of multi-site models, has been applied to the historical data on monthly streamflows at two sites in Nakdong River, and also for validity of this model the single site Thomas Fiering model applied. Through statistical analysis it has been shown that the performance of bivariate Thomas Fiering model was better than that of the other. By comparison of mean and standard deviaion between the historical and the generated, and cross correlogram interpretation, it has been known that the model used herein has good performance to simultaneously generate the monthly streamflows at two sites in a river hasin.

  • PDF

주의력결핍 과잉행동장애 치료에서 MTA의 주요 교훈 (Major Lessons from the MTA in Treatment of Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder)

  • 황준원
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
    • /
    • 제21권1호
    • /
    • pp.3-10
    • /
    • 2010
  • Objectives : The current review aimed to describe the major findings of the NIMH Collaborative Multisite Multimodal Treatment Study of Children with Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (MTA) with regard to the treatment of children with attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Methods : We performed a general review of the literature regarding the efficacy of the MTA's proposed treatments. Results : There is a large and still increasing body of evidence regarding the MTA's treatment outcomes. We present and discuss details of the findings at each follow-up point. Conclusion : Currently, findings regarding the MTA's treatments suggest children with combined-type ADHD exhibit significant impairment in adolescence, despite their initial symptom improvement. Further studies, using innovative treatment approaches and targeting specific areas of adolescent impairment, are needed in order to enhance ADHD treatment outcomes.

비정상성 Markov Chain Model을 이용한 다지점 일강수량 모의 (Nonstationary Markov Chain Model for Multi-site Daily Rainfall Simulation)

  • 문장원;권현한;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.1495-1499
    • /
    • 2010
  • 최근에 기후변화 영향 분석을 위한 강수모의발생 기법에 대한 연구가 중요한 문제로 대두되고 있다. 기본적으로 모의된 강수량이 유역단위에서 의미 있는 값으로 수문모형에 입력자료로 활용되기 위해서는 강수지점간의 공간상관성의 유지가 매우 중요하다. 즉 지역적인 수문학적 거동을 유역단위에서 평가하기 위해서는 유역상관성을 고려할 수 있는 다지점(multisite) 모형의 개발이 필수적이다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 다지점 강수모의기법을 개발하였으며 비정상성 해석이 가능하도록 동역학적 강수모형을 구성하였다. 이를 한강유역 강수지점에 적용하여 모형의 적합성을 평가하였다.

  • PDF