• 제목/요약/키워드: Multiple Probability

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Multiple Behavior s Learning and Prediction in Unknown Environment

  • Song, Wei;Cho, Kyung-Eun;Um, Ky-Hyun
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제13권12호
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    • pp.1820-1831
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    • 2010
  • When interacting with unknown environments, an autonomous agent needs to decide which action or action order can result in a good state and determine the transition probability based on the current state and the action taken. The traditional multiple sequential learning model requires predefined probability of the states' transition. This paper proposes a multiple sequential learning and prediction system with definition of autonomous states to enhance the automatic performance of existing AI algorithms. In sequence learning process, the sensed states are classified into several group by a set of proposed motivation filters to reduce the learning computation. In prediction process, the learning agent makes a decision based on the estimation of each state's cost to get a high payoff from the given environment. The proposed learning and prediction algorithms heightens the automatic planning of the autonomous agent for interacting with the dynamic unknown environment. This model was tested in a virtual library.

다중입력영역시험에서의 대형 소프트웨어 고장률 추정 연구 (Estimating the Failure Rate of a Large Scaled Software in Multiple Input Domain Testing)

  • 문숙경
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.186-194
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we introduce formulae for estimating the failure rate of a large scaled software by using the Bayesian rule when a black-box random testing which selects an element(test case) at random with equally likely probability, is performed. A program or software can be treated as a mathematical function with a well-defined (input)domain and range. For a large scaled software, their input domains can be partitioned into multiple subdomains and exhaustive testing is not generally practical. Testing is proceeding with selecting a subdomain, and then picking a test case from within the selected subdomain. Whether or not the proportion of selecting one of the subdomains is assumed probability, we developed the formulae either case by using Bayesian rule with gamma distribution as a prior distribution.

Bayesian multiple comparisons in Freund's bivariate exponential populations with type I censored data

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.569-574
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    • 2010
  • We consider two components system which have Freund's bivariate exponential model. In this case, Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure for failure rates is sug-gested in K Freund's bivariate exponential populations. Here we assume that the com-ponents enter the study at random over time and the analysis is carried out at some prespeci ed time. We derive fractional Bayes factor for all comparisons under non- informative priors for the parameters and calculate the posterior probabilities for all hypotheses. And we select a hypotheses which has the highest posterior probability as best model. Finally, we give a numerical examples to illustrate our procedure.

Error Probability Evaluation of a Novel Cooperative Communications Signaling Strategy in CDMA Systems

  • Khuong Ho-Van;Kong Hyung-Yun
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2006
  • The powerful benefits of multi-antenna systems can be obtained by cooperative communications among users in multiple access environments without the need for physical arrays. This paper studies a novel cooperative signaling strategy that achieves high performance and low implementation complexity for synchronous code division multiple access (CDMA) wireless mobile networks. The validity of the proposed strategy under slow flat Rayleigh fading channel plus additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN) is verified through closed-form error probability expressions and MonteCarlo simulations. A variety of analytical results reveal that the new cooperative strategy significantly outperforms direct transmission subject to the same spectral efficiency and transmit power constraint.

Low Dimensional Multiuser Detection Exploiting Low User Activity

  • Lee, Junho;Lee, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we propose new multiuser detectors (MUDs) based on compressed sensing approaches for the large-scale multiple antenna systems equipped with dozens of low-power antennas. We consider the scenarios where the number of receiver antennas is smaller than the total number of users, but the number of active users is relatively small. This prior information motivates sparsity-embracing MUDs such as sparsity-embracing linear/nonlinear MUDs where the detection of active users and their symbol detection are employed. In addition, sparsity-embracing MUDs with maximum a posteriori probability criterion (MAP-MUDs) are presented. They jointly detect active users and their symbols by exploiting the probability of user activity, and it can be solved efficiently by introducing convex relaxing senses. Furthermore, it is shown that sparsity-embracing MUDs exploiting common users' activity across multiple symbols, i.e., frame-by-frame, can be considered to improve performance. Also, in multiple multiple-input and multiple-output networks with aggressive frequency reuse, we propose the interference cancellation strategy for the proposed sparsity-embracing MUDs. That first cancels out the interference induced by adjacent networks and then recovers the desired users' information by exploiting the low user activity. In simulation studies for binary phase shift keying modulation, numerical evidences establish the effectiveness of our proposed MUDs exploiting low user activity, as compared with the conventional MUD.

Tone 신호방해 하에서의 DS/SFH 복합 확산대역 시스템의 비트오율 (Error Probability of a Hybrid DS/SFH Spread-Spectrum System under Tone Jamming)

  • 유병석;이재홍;이상철
    • 대한전자공학회논문지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.645-655
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    • 1990
  • A hybrid DS/SFH spread spectrum system is used to achieve a larger gain in some applications. The probability of error for a hybrid DS/SFH(direct sequence/slow frequency hopped) spread-spectrum system is calculated over a channel which suffers from multiple-tone jamming and additive white Gaussian noise. BPSK(binary phase shift keying) is considered as modulation scheme. The probability of error is computed for various system parameters such as a DS/SFH hybrid ratio, the number of jamming tones, a jamming-to-signal ratio, and a siganl-to-noise ratio. It is shown that a DS system or a SFH system achieves smaller probability of error than a hybrid DS/SFH system for most values of system parameters. However, it is also shown that there are hybrid ratios with which a hybrid DS/SFH system achieves smaller probability of error than a DS system and a SFH system achieve for some values of system parameters.

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Hybrid Diversity-Beamforming Technique for Outage Probability Minimization in Spatially Correlated Channels

  • Kwon, Ho-Joong;Lee, Byeong-Gi
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.274-281
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we present a hybrid multi-antenna technique that can minimize the outage probability by combining the diversity and beamforming techniques. The hybrid technique clusters the transmission antennas into multiple groups and exploit diversity among different groups and beamforming within each group. We analyze the performance of the resulting hybrid technique for an arbitrary correlation among the transmission antennas. Through the performance analysis, we derive a closed-form expression of the outage probability for the hybrid technique. This enables to optimize the antenna grouping for the given spatial correlation. We show through numerical results that the hybrid technique can balance the trade-offs between diversity and beamforming according to the spatial correlation and that the optimally designed hybrid technique yields a much lower outage probability than the diversity or beamforming technique does in partially correlated fading channels.

Naval ship's susceptibility assessment by the probabilistic density function

  • Kim, Kwang Sik;Hwang, Se Yun;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.266-271
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    • 2014
  • The survivability of the naval ship is the capability of a warship to avoid or withstand a hostile environment. The survivability of the naval ship assessed by three categories (susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability). The magnitude of susceptibility of a warship encountering with threat is dependent upon the attributes of detection equipment and weapon system. In this paper, as a part of a naval ship's survivability analysis, an assessment process model for the ship's susceptibility analysis technique is developed. Naval ship's survivability emphasizing the susceptibility is assessed by the probability of detection, and the probability of hit. Considering the radar cross section (RCS), the assessment procedure for the susceptibility is described. It's emphasizing the simplified calculation model based on the probability density function for probability of hit. Assuming the probability of hit given a both single-hit and multiple-hit, the susceptibility is accessed for a RCS and the hit probability for a rectangular target is applied for a given threat.

간섭과 페이딩환경에서 스펙트럼 확산(SS) 통신 신호의 다이버시티 수신 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Diversity Reception Performance of Spread Spectrum Signals in Interference and Fading Environments)

  • 강희조;이권현;조성준
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.901-911
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    • 1994
  • 직접 스펙트럼 확산(DS)방식과 주파수 도약 확산(FH)방식을 혼합시킨 하이브리드 DS/SFH-SSMA 시스템에 대해서 m-분포 페이딩 체널에서의 비동기 MDPSK 신호의 오율특성을 구하고, 다이버시티 기법과 부호화 기법을 함께 도입하였을때의 오율특성도 구했다. 얻은 결과로부터 페이딩의 심도 m에 따른 오율성능의 열화 정도를 알 수 있었는데 레일리 페이딩 환경(m=1)에서는 도약 주파수를 증가시키면 hit될 확률이 감소하므로 다중접속에 의한 간섭의 영향이 감소하고, 호핑수(q)가 사용자수(K)보다 무척 크고, 비트 에너지 대 잡음 전력비(E/N)가 높을때는 다중접속에 의한 간섭은 무시되어 다중경로에 의한 영향이 지배적이 된다는 것과, 비트 에너지 대 잡음 전력비가 낮을때는 가우스 잡음의 영향이 지배적이 되어 호핑수(q)에 관계없이 오율성능이 일정해진다는 것을 알았다.

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지진취약도 곡선의 응답변수에 대한 상관계수 평가 및 변수별 조합 (Evaluation and Combination of Correlation Coefficient for Response Variable of Seismic Fragility Curve)

  • 김시영;김정한
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.401-409
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    • 2020
  • 확률론적 지진취약도 평가는 구조물 혹은 기기의 손상확률을 각 취약도 변수별 조합을 통해 이루어진다. 지진취약도로부터 구해지는 2개 이상 기기의 동시손상확률 계산은 기존에는 각 기기의 손상확률을 독립으로 가정해 왔다. 하지만 기기별 손상확률에 상관성이 있으며, 이를 평가한 결과 상관성에 따라 동시손상확률이 변화할 수 있는 결과를 보였다. 이 지진상관성을 무시하면 비보수적인 결과가 나오고 따라서 이를 고려해서 계산되어야 한다. 이 연구에서는 지진상관계수를 해석적으로 평가하기 위해 몇 가지 확률 변수를 선정하여 각 변수별로 혹은 통합하여 평가하고 그 차이를 비교했다. 그리고 단순화된 모델과, 복잡한 모델에 대한 상관계수 차이도 비교하였다. 이들 방법에 따른 상관계수의 결과와 차이를 분석했다. 그 결과 각 변수별로 평가하는 것과 통합하여 평가할 때 변수별 영향의 차이에 따라 상관성이 변화함을 확인하였고, 모델이 단순할수록 상관성이 높아짐을 확인하였다.