• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte-Carlo 기법

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Probabilistic Seepage Analysis Considering the Spatial Variability of Permeability for Layered Soil (투수계수의 공간적 변동성을 고려한 층상지반에 대한 확률론적 침투해석)

  • Cho, Sung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2012
  • In this study, probabilistic analysis of seepage through a two-layered soil foundation was performed. The hydraulic conductivity of soil shows significant spatial variations in different layers because of stratification; further, it varies on a smaller scale within each individual layer. Therefore, the deterministic seepage analysis method was extended to develop a probabilistic approach that accounts for the uncertainties and spatial variation of the hydraulic conductivity in a layered soil profile. Two-dimensional random fields were generated on the basis of the Karhunen-Lo$\grave{e}$ve expansion in a manner consistent with a specified marginal distribution function and an autocorrelation function for each layer. A Monte Carlo simulation was then used to determine the statistical response based on the random fields. A series of analyses were performed to verify the application potential of the proposed method and to study the effects of uncertainty due to the spatial heterogeneity on the seepage behavior of two-layered soil foundation beneath water retaining structure. The results showed that the probabilistic framework can be used to efficiently consider the various flow patterns caused by the spatial variability of the hydraulic conductivity in seepage assessment for a layered soil foundation.

Bayesian Filter-Based Mobile Tracking under Realistic Network Setting (실제 네트워크를 고려한 베이지안 필터 기반 이동단말 위치 추적)

  • Kim, Hyowon;Kim, Sunwoo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.1060-1068
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    • 2016
  • The range-free localization using connectivity information has problems of mobile tracking. This paper proposes two Bayesian filter-based mobile tracking algorithms considering a propagation scenario. Kalman and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) particle filters are applied according to linearity of two measurement models. Measurement models of the Kalman and MCMC particle filter-based algorithms respectively are defined as connectivity between mobiles, information fusion of connectivity information and received signal strength (RSS) from neighbors within one-hop. To perform the accurate simulation, we consider a real indoor map of shopping mall and degree of radio irregularity (DOI) model. According to obstacles between mobiles, we assume two types of DOIs. We show the superiority of the proposed algorithm over existing range-free algorithms through MATLAB simulations.

Preminary analysis of performance of avionics equipment using worst case analysis (Worst Case 분석을 이용한 항공 전자장비 성능 사전분석)

  • Cheon, Young-ho;Woo, Hui-Seung;Seo, Inn-beom;Ahn, Tae-Sik
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2022
  • Avionics equipment requires various environmental conditions and performance during development, and as a countermeasure against such development risk, the worst-case circuit analysis(WCCA) is applied to predict perform preliminary performance analysis. WCCA calculates the maximum and minimum values by combining the parameter values of the relevant circuit after deriving the parameter values in consideration of the aging of the temperature and operating period at the component level. In this paper, the necessary matters for WCCA application are described. Chapter 2 describes the differences and characteristics of the WCCA techniques EVA, RSS, and Monte Carlo.Chapter 3 introduces the analysis process through the example circuit to introduce the actual analysis procedure. Chapter 4 describes the method of selecting an analysis technique for each condition of the analysis target. As a result of applying the procedures and analysis methods introduced in this paper when open, it was confirmed that preliminary performance analysis and part optimization design verification are possible.

A Study on the Probabilistic Stability Analysis of Slopes (확률론적 사면안정 해석기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Young;Cho, Sung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2006
  • Slope stability analysis is a geotechnical engineering problem characterized by many sources of uncertainty. Some of them are connected to the variability of soil properties involved in the analysis. In this paper, a numerical procedure of probabilistic analysis of slope stability is presented based on Spencer's method of slices. The deterministic analysis is extended to a probabilistic approach that accounts fur the uncertainties and spatial variation of the soil parameters. The procedure is based on the first-order reliability method to compute the Hasofer-Lind reliability index and Monte-Carlo Simulation. A probabilistic stability assessment was performed to obtain the variation of failure probability with the variation of soil parameters in homogeneous and layered slopes as an example. The examples give insight into the application of uncertainty treatment to the slope stability and show the impact of the spatial variability of soil properties on the outcome of a probabilistic assessment.

통계적 접근을 통한 COMS 위성의 LAE 추력기 사용연료량 예측에 관한 연구

  • Park, Bong-Kyu;Han, Cho-Young;Yang, Koon-Ho;Kim, Bang-Yeop;Park, Eung-Sik
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2005
  • This paper introduces the LAE(Liquid Apogee Engine) and station acquisition fuel budget estimation method for the COMS(Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite) of Korea which is planned to be launched in 2008. And the estimation results are also presented. A statistical approach, more specifically, the Monte-Carlo method was employed to have the estimation include the effect of the launch vehicle GTO injection accuracies. A case study was conducted for several potential launch vehicles to compare the fuel requirements.

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A Study of Thermal Radiation from The Alumina Particle Cloud in The Plume Using View Factor Method (형상 계수를 이용한 알루미나 입자구름의 열복사 예측 기법 연구)

  • Ko, Ju-Yong;Kim, In-Sun
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05b
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    • pp.2044-2049
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    • 2007
  • In order to predict the thermal radiation induced from alumina particle cloud in the plume of solid propellant motor, view factor method is applied to space shuttle SRB and the result is compared with that of monte carlo method. For this purpose, radiative characteristics, such as particle cloud temperature distribution, effective emissivity or emissive power of particle cloud are studied. In the case of effective emissivity, inverse wavelength method is applied and plume reduction characteristic length is used for emissive power distribution. As a result, thermal radiation using view factor method gives more conservative results than that using monte carlo method. So it can be used for preliminary design of thermal protection system.

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Fundamentals of light - emitting diode lamp design (LED 램프의 기본 설계이론)

  • Kim, Sun-Won;Song, Byung-Ki;Lee, Song-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.324-331
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    • 2002
  • The fundamentals of light-emitting diode lamp design are presented. The shapes of the reflecting cup and lens employed in LED lamps can be flexibly adjusted, over a relatively large range, by using a few parameters. The analysis of the designed lamps by Monte Carlo photon simulation shows that diverse far-field beam patterns required in various application areas can be achieved.

Stochastic Finite Element Analysis for Truss Structures (트러스구조물의 확률론적 유한요소 해석)

  • Bang, Myung Suk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 1993
  • Finite element analyses are conducted with stochastic elastic moduli when truss structures are subjected to static loads of a deterministic nature. Stochastic stiffness matrix is derived from stochastic shape functions and numerical analyses are performed within the framework of the Monte Carlo method. Analysis methods are verified for the space truss and applied to cable stayed bridge for determining the cable force.

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Theoretical Background on Heavy Charged Particle Therapy and Proton Monte Carlo Simulation (중하전입자 치료의 이론적 배경과 양성자에 대한 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션)

  • 이정옥;이상공;김종일;정동혁;문성록;강정구
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 1997
  • Simulations were performed using a Monte Carlo technique in order to show physical phenomena occurring when a heavy charged particle such as proton or alpha particle traverses the medium. It was confirmed that the sharp Bragg peak occurred deeper in the water with the increasing proton energy. It is found that the use of such a sharp Bragg peak due to heavy charged particles would be far superior to the case of the photon or electron, since the absorbed dose in the target tissues would be better localized, thereby minimizing the damage to the surrounding tissues.

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Simulation of Etching Process Using Statistical Method (통계적 기법을 이용한 에칭공정의 시뮬레이션)

  • Jeong, Heung-Cheol;Jung, Ji-Won;Choi, Gyung-Min;Kim, Duck-Jool
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.1611-1616
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to simulate the etching characteristics under different process parameters for the optimization of etching process. The etching characteristics such as the etching factor were investigated under different operating conditions and compared with the spray characteristics. The spray characteristics were measured by using Phase Doppler Anemometer. The correlation between the etching characteristics and the spray characteristics was analyzed to simulate the etching characteristics under the actual parameters of the etching process. The parameters were distance of nozzle tip and pipe pitch. To improve the uniformity and value of etching factor in the etching process, the process parameters should be designed optimally. The distribution of spray was simulated by the Monte-Carlo Method and the process parameters were optimized by the design of experiments(DOE).

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