• 제목/요약/키워드: Model-Based Decision Support Systems

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분산 의사결정지원시스템 구축을 위한 웹서비스 기반 모델-솔버의 통합 설계 (Web Services-based Integration Design of Model-Solver for a Distributed Decision Support System)

  • 이근우;양근우
    • 정보화연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2012
  • 최근에는 정보시스템의 아웃소싱이 기업의 시스템 포트폴리오 관리의 핵심으로 일반화되었다. 아웃소싱된 의사결정지원시스템에서는 서로 다른 모델링 기법이나 시스템 플랫폼에 기반을 두어 개발된 특정모델을 제공하므로 경영 문제에 대한 의사결정을 해야 하는 의사결정자는 때로 해당 문제에 적합한 모델과 솔버를 선택하여 적용하는 과정에서 어려움을 느끼게 된다. 외부로부터 아웃소싱된 의사결정시스템 활용에 있어서 이와 같은 문제를 해결하고자 본 연구에서는 사용자가 해당 모델이나 솔버에 대한 충분한 지식이 없을 경우에도 적합한 모델과 솔버를 찾아 수행할 수 있도록 해 주는 의사결정지원시스템 아웃소싱 아키텍처를 제안한다. 특히 본 연구에서는 웹서비스 접근법을 기반으로 개별 모델과 솔버를 캡슐화하여 이종 모델과 솔버의 원활한 통합이 가능하도록 하였다.

자치적 방어 시스템을 위한 모델베이스기반 설계 (Model-based Design for Autonomous Defense Systmes)

  • 이종근
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 1999
  • The major objective of this research is to propose a design architecture for autonomous defense systems for supporting highly intelligent behavior by combining decision, perception, and action components. Systems with such high levels of autonomy are critical for advanced battlefield missions. By integrating a plenty of advanced modeling concepts such as system entity structure, endomorphic modeling, engine-based modeling, and hierarchical encapsulation & abstraction principle, we have proposed four layered design methodology for autonomous defense systems that can support an intelligent behavior under the complicated and unstable warfare. Proposed methodology has been successfully applied to a design of autonomous tank systems capable of supporting the autonomous planning, sensing, control, and diagnosis.

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A Decision Support System for Paddy Rice Irrigation

  • Park, Seung-Woo;Chung, Ha-Woo;Kim, Byeong-Jin;Koo, Jee-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • 제2권
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    • pp.99-113
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    • 1991
  • Integrated irrigation management system (IIMS) that is incorporated with a microcomputer-based decision support system (DSS) has been developed and applied to paddy rice irrigation systems management. The system hardwares consist of field data acquisition units, data transmission units, central data processing units, and printing and displaying units. Ridld data to be collected include incremental rainfall, streamflow and reservoir water levels, and water levels at several irrigation canal sections within an irrigation sidtricts. The softwares are to process field data, real-time forecasting, irrigation control data, and decision variables from data-base and simulation model subsystems. And the user-interface subsystems are incorporated to present the water system operators and managers the results from data and model sugsystems. User-friendly menu with animated graphic modules are adopted to help understand irrigation controls for the district. This paper issues the overal descriptions of DSS as applied to Anjuk irrigation district. The details of major model components for the irrigation controls are presented along with real-time data collection systems. The potentials of DSS have been appraised very practical and promising for better irrigation system operation and management.

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GPS와 인공신경망을 활용한 데이터베이스로부터의 선형계획모형 발견법 (Linear Programming Model Discovery from Databases Using GPS and Artificial Neural Networks)

  • 권오병;양진설
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2000
  • The linear programming model is a special form of useful knowledge that is embedded in a database. Since formulating models from scratch requires knowledge-intensive efforts, knowledge-based formulation support systems have been proposed in the Decision Support Systems area. However, they rely on the assumption that sufficient domain knowledge should already be captured as a specific knowledge representation form. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a methodology that finds useful knowledge on building linear programming models from a database. The methodology consists of two parts. The first part is to find s first-cut model based on a data dictionary. To do so, we applied the General Problem Solver(GPS) algorithm. The second part is to discover a second-cut model by applying neural network technique. An illustrative example is described to show the feasibility of the proposed methodology.

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사례기반추론을 이용한 다이렉트 마케팅의 고객반응예측모형의 통합

  • 홍태호;박지영
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.375-399
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we propose a integrated model of logistic regression, artificial neural networks, support vector machines(SVM), with case-based reasoning(CBR). To predict respondents in the direct marketing is the binary classification problem as like bankruptcy prediction, IDS, churn management and so on. To solve the binary problems, we employed logistic regression, artificial neural networks, SVM. and CBR. CBR is a problem-solving technique and shows significant promise for improving the effectiveness of complex and unstructured decision making, and we can obtain excellent results through CBR in this study. Experimental results show that the classification accuracy of integration model using CBR is superior to logistic regression, artificial neural networks and SVM. When we apply the customer response model to predict respondents in the direct marketing, we have to consider from the view point of profit/cost about the misclassification.

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프로젝트기간 예측모델을 위한 의사결정 지원시스템 (Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model)

  • 조성빈
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2000년도 추계정기학술대회:지능형기술과 CRM
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2000
  • Despite their tilde application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today due to a static view far prefect progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by learning based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g. the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within talc due date and by a certain date. By Implementing such customized systems, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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프로젝트기간예측모델을 위한 의사결정지원시스템 (Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model)

  • 조성빈
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2000
  • Despite their wide application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today, due to a static view for project progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by loaming based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project Progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g., the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within the due bate and by a certain date. By implementing such customized system, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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온라인 무료 샘플 판촉의 효과적 활용을 위한 기계학습 기반 고객분류예측 모형 (A Machine Learning-based Customer Classification Model for Effective Online Free Sample Promotions)

  • 원하람;김무전;안현철
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.63-80
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    • 2018
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to build a machine learning-based customer classification model to promote customer expansion effect of the free sample promotion. Specifically, the proposed model classifies potential target customers who are expected to purchase the products included in the free sample promotion after receiving the free samples. Design/methodology/approach This study proposes to build a customer classification model for determining customers suitable for providing free samples by using various machine learning techniques such as logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, case-based reasoning, decision tree, artificial neural network, and support vector machine. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we apply it to a real-world free sample-based target marketing case of a Korean major cosmetic retail company. Findings Experimental results show that a machine learning-based customer classification model presents satisfactory accuracy ranging from 70% to 75%. In particular, support vector machine is found to be the most effective machine learning technique for free sample-based target marketing model. Our study sheds a light on customer relationship management strategies using free sample promotions.

단계적 품질경쟁력 강화를 위한 대화형 의사결정지원시스템의 개발 (An Interactive Decision Support System for Stepwise Improvement of Quality Competitiveness)

  • 신완선;박만희
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.170-178
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    • 2004
  • As quality becomes a primary leading factor of organizational success, various management strategies have been introduced to improve quality competitiveness. Quality competitiveness, however, is difficult to measure and numerous organizations are struggling to set realistic improvement objectives. The primary purpose of this research is to propose a systematic approach to help the practitioners develop an improvement plan for their organizational quality competitiveness. This approach employs DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) to evaluate relative efficiency among companies which make efforts to improve their quality competitiveness. It presents an integer programming model to elicit an optimal improvement plan for meeting a target level. A decision support system is also developed for the managers to plan a sequential improvement plan based on both DEA model and the integer programming model.

수자원 운영계획 시스템의 구현을 위한 수리계획 모형 자료구조의 활용 (Utilization of a Mathematical Programming Data Structure for the Implementation of a Water Resources Planning System)

  • 김재희;김승권;박영준
    • 산업공학
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.485-495
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    • 2003
  • This paper reports on the application of the integration of mathematical programming model and database in a decision support system (DSS) for the planning of the multi-reservoir operating system. The DSS is based on a multi-objective, mixed-integer goal programming (MIGP) model, which can generate efficient solutions via the weighted-sums method (WSM). The major concern of this study is seamless, efficient integration between the mathematical model and the database, because there are significant differences in structure and content between the data for a mathematical model and the data for a conventional database application. In order to load the external optimization results on the database, we developed a systematic way of naming variable/constraint so that a rapid identification of variables/constraints is possible. An efficient database structure for planning of the multi-reservoir operating system is presented by taking advantage of the naming convention of the variable/constraint.