• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model-Based Decision Support Systems

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Model-based Design for Autonomous Defense Systmes (자치적 방어 시스템을 위한 모델베이스기반 설계)

  • 이종근
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 1999
  • The major objective of this research is to propose a design architecture for autonomous defense systems for supporting highly intelligent behavior by combining decision, perception, and action components. Systems with such high levels of autonomy are critical for advanced battlefield missions. By integrating a plenty of advanced modeling concepts such as system entity structure, endomorphic modeling, engine-based modeling, and hierarchical encapsulation & abstraction principle, we have proposed four layered design methodology for autonomous defense systems that can support an intelligent behavior under the complicated and unstable warfare. Proposed methodology has been successfully applied to a design of autonomous tank systems capable of supporting the autonomous planning, sensing, control, and diagnosis.

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A Decision Support System for Paddy Rice Irrigation

  • Park, Seung-Woo;Chung, Ha-Woo;Kim, Byeong-Jin;Koo, Jee-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.2
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    • pp.99-113
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    • 1991
  • Integrated irrigation management system (IIMS) that is incorporated with a microcomputer-based decision support system (DSS) has been developed and applied to paddy rice irrigation systems management. The system hardwares consist of field data acquisition units, data transmission units, central data processing units, and printing and displaying units. Ridld data to be collected include incremental rainfall, streamflow and reservoir water levels, and water levels at several irrigation canal sections within an irrigation sidtricts. The softwares are to process field data, real-time forecasting, irrigation control data, and decision variables from data-base and simulation model subsystems. And the user-interface subsystems are incorporated to present the water system operators and managers the results from data and model sugsystems. User-friendly menu with animated graphic modules are adopted to help understand irrigation controls for the district. This paper issues the overal descriptions of DSS as applied to Anjuk irrigation district. The details of major model components for the irrigation controls are presented along with real-time data collection systems. The potentials of DSS have been appraised very practical and promising for better irrigation system operation and management.

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Linear Programming Model Discovery from Databases Using GPS and Artificial Neural Networks (GPS와 인공신경망을 활용한 데이터베이스로부터의 선형계획모형 발견법)

  • 권오병;양진설
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2000
  • The linear programming model is a special form of useful knowledge that is embedded in a database. Since formulating models from scratch requires knowledge-intensive efforts, knowledge-based formulation support systems have been proposed in the Decision Support Systems area. However, they rely on the assumption that sufficient domain knowledge should already be captured as a specific knowledge representation form. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a methodology that finds useful knowledge on building linear programming models from a database. The methodology consists of two parts. The first part is to find s first-cut model based on a data dictionary. To do so, we applied the General Problem Solver(GPS) algorithm. The second part is to discover a second-cut model by applying neural network technique. An illustrative example is described to show the feasibility of the proposed methodology.

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사례기반추론을 이용한 다이렉트 마케팅의 고객반응예측모형의 통합

  • Hong, Taeho;Park, Jiyoung
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.375-399
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we propose a integrated model of logistic regression, artificial neural networks, support vector machines(SVM), with case-based reasoning(CBR). To predict respondents in the direct marketing is the binary classification problem as like bankruptcy prediction, IDS, churn management and so on. To solve the binary problems, we employed logistic regression, artificial neural networks, SVM. and CBR. CBR is a problem-solving technique and shows significant promise for improving the effectiveness of complex and unstructured decision making, and we can obtain excellent results through CBR in this study. Experimental results show that the classification accuracy of integration model using CBR is superior to logistic regression, artificial neural networks and SVM. When we apply the customer response model to predict respondents in the direct marketing, we have to consider from the view point of profit/cost about the misclassification.

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Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model (프로젝트기간 예측모델을 위한 의사결정 지원시스템)

  • 조성빈
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2000
  • Despite their tilde application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today due to a static view far prefect progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by learning based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g. the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within talc due date and by a certain date. By Implementing such customized systems, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model (프로젝트기간예측모델을 위한 의사결정지원시스템)

  • 조성빈
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2000
  • Despite their wide application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today, due to a static view for project progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by loaming based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project Progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g., the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within the due bate and by a certain date. By implementing such customized system, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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A Machine Learning-based Customer Classification Model for Effective Online Free Sample Promotions (온라인 무료 샘플 판촉의 효과적 활용을 위한 기계학습 기반 고객분류예측 모형)

  • Won, Ha-Ram;Kim, Moo-Jeon;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.63-80
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    • 2018
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to build a machine learning-based customer classification model to promote customer expansion effect of the free sample promotion. Specifically, the proposed model classifies potential target customers who are expected to purchase the products included in the free sample promotion after receiving the free samples. Design/methodology/approach This study proposes to build a customer classification model for determining customers suitable for providing free samples by using various machine learning techniques such as logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, case-based reasoning, decision tree, artificial neural network, and support vector machine. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we apply it to a real-world free sample-based target marketing case of a Korean major cosmetic retail company. Findings Experimental results show that a machine learning-based customer classification model presents satisfactory accuracy ranging from 70% to 75%. In particular, support vector machine is found to be the most effective machine learning technique for free sample-based target marketing model. Our study sheds a light on customer relationship management strategies using free sample promotions.

An Interactive Decision Support System for Stepwise Improvement of Quality Competitiveness (단계적 품질경쟁력 강화를 위한 대화형 의사결정지원시스템의 개발)

  • Shin Wan-Seon;Park Man-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.170-178
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    • 2004
  • As quality becomes a primary leading factor of organizational success, various management strategies have been introduced to improve quality competitiveness. Quality competitiveness, however, is difficult to measure and numerous organizations are struggling to set realistic improvement objectives. The primary purpose of this research is to propose a systematic approach to help the practitioners develop an improvement plan for their organizational quality competitiveness. This approach employs DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) to evaluate relative efficiency among companies which make efforts to improve their quality competitiveness. It presents an integer programming model to elicit an optimal improvement plan for meeting a target level. A decision support system is also developed for the managers to plan a sequential improvement plan based on both DEA model and the integer programming model.

Utilization of a Mathematical Programming Data Structure for the Implementation of a Water Resources Planning System (수자원 운영계획 시스템의 구현을 위한 수리계획 모형 자료구조의 활용)

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Sheung-Kown;Park, Young-Joon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.485-495
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    • 2003
  • This paper reports on the application of the integration of mathematical programming model and database in a decision support system (DSS) for the planning of the multi-reservoir operating system. The DSS is based on a multi-objective, mixed-integer goal programming (MIGP) model, which can generate efficient solutions via the weighted-sums method (WSM). The major concern of this study is seamless, efficient integration between the mathematical model and the database, because there are significant differences in structure and content between the data for a mathematical model and the data for a conventional database application. In order to load the external optimization results on the database, we developed a systematic way of naming variable/constraint so that a rapid identification of variables/constraints is possible. An efficient database structure for planning of the multi-reservoir operating system is presented by taking advantage of the naming convention of the variable/constraint.

A Study on the Spatial Analysis Model to Decide Medical Institutions/Mental Health Centers for Disaster Victims

  • Choi, Eun-Hye;Hwang, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.358-362
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    • 2011
  • The National Emergency Management Agency of South Korea has established a Disaster Victims Psychology Support Center. The Disaster Victims Psychology Support Center can enable victims who got psychological damage from disasters to return to their daily lives through healing activity, field visits and advice of experts. The previous Psychology Support Center System managed the information of disaster victims through an independent database. However, this paper proposes a system that is developed to identify medical institutions and mental health centers within a distance of radius, based on the potential Hot-Spot areas of disaster victims using the GIS Systems. The proposed system can efficiently support selection of appropriate institutions for disaster victims using their location and age, classification of damage, and damaged parts of the body. Also, this spatial analysis can assist to decide on a policy based on the location of disaster victims and the extent of damage. Therefore, this paper can provide the required information to support decision making based on the concentrated areas for disaster victims.