• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model validation

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Contents Strategic Approach to Tourism Destination Storytelling Ads (관광스토리텔링 광고효과에 관한 컨텐츠전략적 접근)

  • Lee, Eun-Mi;Uan, ZhulLiy;Yoon, Sung-Joon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.245-252
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    • 2020
  • Recently, as the income level of consumers increases, interest in tourism products has increased, competition among tourist destinations has been fierce. Storytelling ads are drawing attracting attention as one of the ways to establish differentiated positioning for tourism products. This study investigates the role of the involvement of tourism activity in the storytelling ads effects, and examines the effects of the attitude toward storytelling ads on tourist destination commitments, visit intention and SNS WOM (word-of-mouth) intention. This study also empirically tests the role of mental simulation in the relationship between storytelling ads attitudes and visit intention. A total of 255 usable responses were obtained from a sample of 270 consumers aged 18 or older in South Korea. Following the two-stage approach of model validation, measurement validity of each construct appearing in the structural model and hypothesized structural paths were tested. The findings show that all hypotheses are supported except H3 that posits the impact of attitude toward the storytelling ads on visit intention and mental simulation showed a moderate effect on the relationship between ads attitude and visit intention in the case of rational appeal. This study suggests that the production of storytelling ads of tourist destinations can be effective strategy to improve regional competitiveness and increase visit and SNS WOM intention.

Development and Validation of A Decision Support System for the Real-time Monitoring and Management of Reservoir Turbidity Flows: A Case Study for Daecheong Dam (실시간 저수지 탁수 감시 및 관리를 위한 의사결정지원시스템 개발 및 검증: 대청댐 사례)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Jung, Yong-Rak;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Kim, Nam-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2008
  • Reservoir turbidity flows degrade the efficiency and sustainability of water supply system in many countries located in monsoon climate region. A decision support system called RTMMS aimed to assist reservoir operations was developed for the real time monitoring, modeling, and management of turbidity flows induced by flood runoffs in Daecheong reservoir. RTMMS consists of a real time data acquisition module that collects and stores field monitoring data, a data assimilation module that assists pre-processing of model input data, a two dimensional numerical model for the simulation of reservoir hydrodynamics and turbidity, and a post-processor that aids the analysis of simulation results and alternative management scenarios. RTMMS was calibrated using field data obtained during the flood season of 2004, and applied to real-time simulations of flood events occurred on July of 2006 for assessing its predictive capability. The system showed fairly satisfactory performance in reproducing the density flow regimes and fate of turbidity plumes in the reservoir with efficient computation time that is a vital requirement for a real time application. The configurations of RTMMS suggested in this study can be adopted in many reservoirs that have similar turbidity issues for better management of water supply utilities and downstream aquatic ecosystem.

A Study on Viscous Damping System of a Ship with Anti-Rolling Pendulum (안티롤링 진자를 장치한 선박의 점성감쇠계 해석에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Sok-Chu;Jang, Kwang-Ho;Yi, Geum-Joo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.365-372
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    • 2017
  • The rolling motion of a floating body makes crews and passengers exhausted and/or applies forces to the structure to cause damage; it might even upset the body. Therefore, almost all ships are equipped with bilge keels for anti-rolling; in special cases, an anti-rolling tank(ART) or fin stabilizer or gyroscope could be installed. But an ART requires a large capacity to install it, and a fin stabilizer and gyroscope need great costs to install and also many expenses to operate. The authors suggest the use of an anti-rolling pendulum(ARP), and they showed that the ARP is effective to reduce rolling by experiments and via a Runge-Kutta analysis. This paper introduces the linearized 2 degrees of freedom with a viscous damping system for a ship equipped with ARP; it also shows the validation of the linearized analysis for the ship's roll motion. The paper proposes an optimum ARP on the basis of the justified model. The case of the 7.7kg model with ship 20g ARP of a mass ratio of 0.26%, is the most effective for reducing roll motion. The paper shows the ARPs with various mass ratios are effective for reducing the roll motion of a ship by free decaying roll experiments.

Simulations of the Effect of Flow Control and Phosphate Loading on the Reduction of Algae Biomass in Gangjeong-Goryong Weir (유량 조절과 인 부하 변동에 따른 강정고령보 조류저감 효과 수치 모의)

  • Park, Dae-Yeon;Kim, Sung-Jin;Park, Hyung-Seok;Chung, Se-Woong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.507-524
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to validate the EFDC model for the weir pool of Gangjeong-Goryong Weir located in Nakdong River, and evaluate the effect of flow control and phosphate loading reduction on the water quality and algae biomass by group (Diatom, Green, Cyanobacteria). As a result of model validation using 2018 experimental data,the time series of water level and vertical distribution of water temperature, DO, organic matter, nitrogen, and phosphorus time series were properly simulated. Seasonal fluctuations of algae biomass by group were adequately reproduced, but the deviations between measured and simulated values were significant in some periods. As a result of scenario simulations to control the water level and flow rate, the thermal stratification was resolved as the water level was lowered and the flow rate increased. The flow velocity at which the water temperature stratification was resolved was about 0.1 m/s, which is consistent with the previous study results of Baekje Weir in Geum River. Simulations of the 2Q flow scenario showed that Chl-a decreased by 8.7% and the cell density of diatom and green algae declined. The cell density of cyanobacteria increased, however, because the high concentrations of cyanobacteria in the upstream boundary conditions directly affected downstream due to increased flow velocity. In the scenario simulation of reducing the influent phosphate load concentration (average 0.056 mg/L) to 50%, Chl-a decreased by 13.6%.The results suggest that the upstream algae concentration and phosphorus load reduction should be considered simultaneously with hydraulic control to prevent algal overgrowth of Gangjeong-Goryong Weir.

Study on Water Stage Prediction Using Hybrid Model of Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm (인공신경망과 유전자알고리즘의 결합모형을 이용한 수위예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Woon-Ki;Seo, Young-Min;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.721-731
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    • 2010
  • The rainfall-runoff relationship is very difficult to predict because it is complicate factor affected by many temporal and spatial parameters of the basin. In recent, models which is based on artificial intelligent such as neural network, genetic algorithm fuzzy etc., are frequently used to predict discharge while stochastic or deterministic or empirical models are used in the past. However, the discharge data which are generally used for prediction as training and validation set are often estimated from rating curve which has potential error in its estimation that makes a problem in reliability. Therefore, in this study, water stage is predicted from antecedent rainfall and water stage data for short term using three models of neural network which trained by error back propagation algorithm and optimized by genetic algorithm and training error back propagation after it is optimized by genetic algorithm respectively. As the result, the model optimized by Genetic Algorithm gives the best forecasting ability which is not much decreased as the forecasting time increase. Moreover, the models using stage data only as the input data give better results than the models using precipitation data with stage data.

Reliability evaluations of time of concentration using artificial neural network model -focusing on Oncheoncheon basin- (인공신경망 모형을 이용한 도달시간의 신뢰성 평가 -온천천 유역을 대상으로-)

  • Yoon, Euihyeok;Park, Jongbin;Lee, Jaehyuk;Shin, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2018
  • For the stream management, time of concentration is one of the important factors. In particular, as the requirement about various application of the stream increased, accuracy assessment of concentration time in the stream as waterfront area is extremely important for securing evacuation at the flood. the past studies for the assessment of concentration time, however, were only performed on the single hydrological event in the complex basin of natural streams. The development of a assessment methods for the concentration time on the complex hydrological event in a single watershed of urban streams is insufficient. Therefore, we estimated the concentration time using the rainfall- runoff data for the past 10 years (2006~2015) for the Oncheon stream, the representative stream of the Busan, where frequent flood were taken place by heavy rains, in addition, reviewed the reliability using artificial neural network method based on Matlab. We classified a total of 254 rainfalls events based on over unrained 12 hours. Based on the classification, we estimated 6 parameters (total precipitation, total runoff, peak precipitation/ total precipitation, lag time, time of concentration) to utilize for the training and validation of artificial neural network model. Consequently, correlation of the parameter, which was utilized for the training and the input parameter for the predict and verification were 0.807 and 0.728, respectively. Based on the results, we predict that it can be utilized to estimate concentration time and analyze reliability of urban stream.

Network Calibration and Validation of Dynamic Traffic Assignment with Nationwide Freeway Network Data of South Korea (고속도로 TCS 자료를 활용한 동적노선배정의 네트워크 정산과 검증)

  • Jeong, Sang-Mi;Kim, Ik-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.205-215
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    • 2008
  • As static traffic assignment has reached its limitation with ITS policy applications and due to the increase of interest in studies of ITS policies since the late 1980's, dynamic traffic assignment has been considered a tool to overcome such limitations. This study used the Dynameq program, which simulates route choice behavior by macroscopic modeling and dynamic network loading and traffic flow by microscopic modeling in consideration of the feasibility of the analysis of practical traffic policy. The essence of this study is to evaluate the feasibility for analysis in practical transportation policy of using the dynamic traffic assignment technique. The study involves the verification of the values estimated from the dynamic traffic assignment with South Korea's expressway network and dynamic O/D data by comparing results with observed link traffic volumes. This study used dynamic O/D data between each toll booth, which can be accurately obtained from the highway Toll Collection System. Then, as an example of its application, exclusive bus-lane policies were analyzed with the dynamic traffic assignment model while considering hourly variations.

Numerical Study on Surface Air-Oil Heat Exchanger for Aero Gas-Turbine Engine Using One-Dimensional Flow and Thermal Network Model (항공기 가스터빈용 오일쿨러 해석을 위한 1 차원 열유동 네트워크 수치적 모델 개발 및 연구)

  • Kim, Young Jin;Kim, Minsung;Ha, Man Yeong;Min, June Kee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.915-924
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    • 2014
  • In an aero gas-turbine engine, a surface air-oil heat exchanger (SAOHE) is used to cool the oil system for the gearboxes and electric generators. The SAOHE is installed inside the fan casing of the engine in order to dissipate the heat from the oil system into the bypass duct stream. The purpose of this study was to develop an effective numerical method for designing an SAOHE for an aero gas-turbine engine. A two-dimensional model using a porous medium was developed to evaluate the aero-thermal performance of the fins of the heat exchanger, and a one-dimensional flow and thermal network program was developed to save time and cost in the evaluation of the heat exchanger performance. Using this network program, the pressure drop and heat transfer performance of the heat exchanger were predicted, and the results were compared with two-dimensional computational fluid dynamics results and experiment data for validation.

Discrimination of geographical origin for soybeans using ED-XRF (ED-XRF (Energy Dispersive X-ray Fluorescence spectrometer)를 이용한 콩 원산지 판별)

  • Lee, Ji-Hye;Kang, Dong-Jin;Jang, Eun-Hee;Hur, Suel-Hye;Shin, Byeung-Kon;Han, Guk-Tak;Lee, Seong-Hun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.125-129
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    • 2020
  • In this study we developed a method for determining the geographic origin of soybeans by combining energy dispersive X-ray fluorescence spectrometry with statistical analysis. In 2018, 197 soybean samples (100 Korean domestic samples and 97 foreign samples) were collected for the construction of a geographic origin model. The mineral concentrations of 26 elements were measured and determined via the fundamental parameters approach. One-way analysis of variance, t-test, and canonical discriminant analysis were employed to reveal five elements (P, Ni, Br, Zn, and Mn) that could be used for the determination of geographic origins. The sensitivity, specificity, and efficiency for the above method were 91.0, 95.9, and 93.4%, respectively. Validation results from 60 samples collected in 2019 showed a predictive rate of 93.3% for Korean domestic soybeans and 100.0% for foreign soybeans. In conclusion, the combination of energy dispersive X-ray fluorescence spectrometry and chemometrics could be used to effectively determine the geographic origin of soybeans.

Developing a Scale for Measuring the Constraints in Physical Activity of People with Physical Disabilities - Verification of Factor Structure and Related Criterion Validity - (지체장애인의 운동참여제약 측정척도 개발 -요인구조 탐색과 준거관련타당도 검증-)

  • Seo, Eunchul;Baek, Jae keun
    • 재활복지
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.253-277
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to develop the Constraints in Physical Activity Scale for people with physical Disabilities(CPASD) which measures the constraints in physical activity of people with physical disabilities. For this study, the 5 step analytic framework of unified validity developed by Messick (1995), the framework for conducting a strong program of construct validation by Benson (1998) method were applied. Furthermore, the validity of CPASD was systematically presented by applying common factor model and measurement model to 264 persons with physical disabilities. The conclusion based on the results and discussions of this study is as follows. First, CPASD presented evidence of job validity. Four factors (17 items) were developed, consisting of leader constraints, economic constraints, prejudice, and exercise environment constraints through the analysis of the factor structure and the fit of factor coefficients. Second, the factor structure of the developed CPASD (leader constraint, economic constraint, prejudice, exercise environment constraint) was statistically distinguished and stably reflected the existing exercise participation constraints theory. Third, the developed CPASD presented evidence of the validity of the criteria. Leader constraints and prejudice were negatively correlated with positive motor emotions, leader constraints, prejudice, and exercise environment constraints were positively correlated with negative motor emotions. Therefore, in future research, it is necessary to reevaluate the current system and actual condition related to leader constraints, economic constraints, prejudices, and exercise environment constraints derived as factors of CPASD. To do this, it is necessary to judge the degree of reality based on the causal relationship verification and IRT theory using CPASD.