• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model selection

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Selection of Optimal Sensor Locations for Thermal Error Model of Machine tools (공작기계 열오차 모델의 최적 센서위치 선정)

  • 안중용
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.345-350
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    • 1999
  • The effectiveness of software error compensation for thermally induced machine tool errors relies on the prediction accuracy of the pre-established thermal error models. The selection of optimal sensor locations is the most important in establishing these empirical models. In this paper, a methodology for the selection of optimal sensor locations is proposed to establish a robust linear model which is not subjected to collinearity. Correlation coefficient and time delay are used as thermal parameters for optimal sensor location. Firstly, thermal deformation and temperatures are measured with machine tools being excited by sinusoidal heat input. And then, after correlation coefficient and time delays are calculated from the measured data, the optimal sensor location is selected through hard c-means clustering and sequential selection method. The validity of the proposed methodology is verified through the estimation of thermal expansion along Z-axis by spindle rotation.

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A strategic R&D resource allocation and project selection based on R&D policy and objectives. (정책목표와 연계한 전략적 R&D 투자재원배분 및 연구과제 선정방안연구)

  • 서창교;박정우
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.61-77
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    • 1999
  • We propose a strategic R&D resource allocation and project selection model based on national R&D policy and objectives. First, contributions to R&D policy and objectives for each R&D area are evaluated by using analytical hierarchy process (AHP). Second, fuzzy Delphi are proposed to estimate R&D budget for each R&D area. Then, a project selection grid is also introduced to implement two-phased evaluation for R&D project selection. We also discuss how to improve the consistency in AHP and how to reduce the pairwise comparison in AHP. The proposed model enables the decision makers to allocate R&D budget, and to evaluate and select the R&D proposals based on both the contribution to national R&D policy and objectives, and the size of each R&D area concurrently.

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Feature Selection for Multi-Class Support Vector Machines Using an Impurity Measure of Classification Trees: An Application to the Credit Rating of S&P 500 Companies

  • Hong, Tae-Ho;Park, Ji-Young
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.43-58
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    • 2011
  • Support vector machines (SVMs), a machine learning technique, has been applied to not only binary classification problems such as bankruptcy prediction but also multi-class problems such as corporate credit ratings. However, in general, the performance of SVMs can be easily worse than the best alternative model to SVMs according to the selection of predictors, even though SVMs has the distinguishing feature of successfully classifying and predicting in a lot of dichotomous or multi-class problems. For overcoming the weakness of SVMs, this study has proposed an approach for selecting features for multi-class SVMs that utilize the impurity measures of classification trees. For the selection of the input features, we employed the C4.5 and CART algorithms, including the stepwise method of discriminant analysis, which is a well-known method for selecting features. We have built a multi-class SVMs model for credit rating using the above method and presented experimental results with data regarding S&P 500 companies.

Forecasting the Baltic Dry Index Using Bayesian Variable Selection (베이지안 변수선택 기법을 이용한 발틱건화물운임지수(BDI) 예측)

  • Xiang-Yu Han;Young Min Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.21-37
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    • 2022
  • Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is difficult to forecast because of the high volatility and complexity. To improve the BDI forecasting ability, this study apply Bayesian variable selection method with a large number of predictors. Our estimation results based on the BDI and all predictors from January 2000 to September 2021 indicate that the out-of-sample prediction ability of the ADL model with the variable selection is superior to that of the AR model in terms of point and density forecasting. We also find that critical predictors for the BDI change over forecasts horizon. The lagged BDI are being selected as an key predictor at all forecasts horizon, but commodity price, the clarksea index, and interest rates have additional information to predict BDI at mid-term horizon. This implies that time variations of predictors should be considered to predict the BDI.

Development of the Promoter Selection Procedural Model for Private Participation in Infrastructure Projects (민간투자 사업시행자 선정 절차 모델 개발)

  • Han Hyun-Jong;Choi Eung-Kyoo;Lee Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.3 s.19
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest a systematic procedural model for selecting competent project promoter. The proposed model was made by comparing domestic regulations and procedures with foreign nations', and through interviews with experts and literatures survey. The summaries of this paper are as follows. The current promoter selection procedure was evaluated by reviewing relevant papers, regulations and existing model. Some obstructions which hinder PPI project activation were identified, those are inadequacy of promoter qualification and negotiation process, lack of communication between parties, etc. Some alternatives which remove major obstructions are embodied in the model. The suggested model is comprised of PQ(prequalification), two phased evaluation for the technical proposals which include alternate, communication meeting, etc. To manage the overall procedure well, an involvement of professional "project promoter selection team" would be highly recommended. They will participate in each evaluation stage with full activities, and provide government with some technical materials for selecting promoter as coordinator.

A Hybrid Multi-Level Feature Selection Framework for prediction of Chronic Disease

  • G.S. Raghavendra;Shanthi Mahesh;M.V.P. Chandrasekhara Rao
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.12
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2023
  • Chronic illnesses are among the most common serious problems affecting human health. Early diagnosis of chronic diseases can assist to avoid or mitigate their consequences, potentially decreasing mortality rates. Using machine learning algorithms to identify risk factors is an exciting strategy. The issue with existing feature selection approaches is that each method provides a distinct set of properties that affect model correctness, and present methods cannot perform well on huge multidimensional datasets. We would like to introduce a novel model that contains a feature selection approach that selects optimal characteristics from big multidimensional data sets to provide reliable predictions of chronic illnesses without sacrificing data uniqueness.[1] To ensure the success of our proposed model, we employed balanced classes by employing hybrid balanced class sampling methods on the original dataset, as well as methods for data pre-processing and data transformation, to provide credible data for the training model. We ran and assessed our model on datasets with binary and multivalued classifications. We have used multiple datasets (Parkinson, arrythmia, breast cancer, kidney, diabetes). Suitable features are selected by using the Hybrid feature model consists of Lassocv, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting,Adaboost, stochastic gradient descent and done voting of attributes which are common output from these methods.Accuracy of original dataset before applying framework is recorded and evaluated against reduced data set of attributes accuracy. The results are shown separately to provide comparisons. Based on the result analysis, we can conclude that our proposed model produced the highest accuracy on multi valued class datasets than on binary class attributes.[1]

A Study on Applying Shrinkage Method in Generalized Additive Model (일반화가법모형에서 축소방법의 적용연구)

  • Ki, Seung-Do;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.207-218
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    • 2010
  • Generalized additive model(GAM) is the statistical model that resolves most of the problems existing in the traditional linear regression model. However, overfitting phenomenon can be aroused without applying any method to reduce the number of independent variables. Therefore, variable selection methods in generalized additive model are needed. Recently, Lasso related methods are popular for variable selection in regression analysis. In this research, we consider Group Lasso and Elastic net models for variable selection in GAM and propose an algorithm for finding solutions. We compare the proposed methods via Monte Carlo simulation and applying auto insurance data in the fiscal year 2005. lt is shown that the proposed methods result in the better performance.

Structural Equation Modeling on Successful Aging in Elders - Focused on Selection.Optimization.Compensation Strategy - (노인의 성공노화 구조모형 -선택.최적화.보상 전략을 중심으로-)

  • Oh, Doo-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.311-321
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was designed to construct and test a structural equation modeling on specific domain health status and the Selection Optimization Compensation (SOC) strategy affecting successful aging in elderly people. Methods: The model construction was based on the SOC model by Baltes and Baltes. Interviews were done with 201 elderly people aged 65 or older. Interview contents included demographics, functional health status, emotional health status, social health status, SOC strategies, and successful aging. Data were analyzed using SPSS 15.0 and AMOS 7.0. Results: Model fit indices for the modified model were GFI=.93, CFI=.94, and RMSEA=.07. Three out of 7 paths were found to have a significant effect on successful aging in this final model. Functional health status had a direct and positive effect on successful aging. Emotional health status influenced successful aging through SOC strategies. Conclusion: This study suggests that interventions for improving functional health status and for strengthening SOC strategies are critical for successful aging. Continuous development of a variety of successful aging programs using SOC strategy is suggested.

Model selection algorithm in Gaussian process regression for computer experiments

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2017
  • The model in our approach assumes that computer responses are a realization of a Gaussian processes superimposed on a regression model called a Gaussian process regression model (GPRM). Selecting a subset of variables or building a good reduced model in classical regression is an important process to identify variables influential to responses and for further analysis such as prediction or classification. One reason to select some variables in the prediction aspect is to prevent the over-fitting or under-fitting to data. The same reasoning and approach can be applicable to GPRM. However, only a few works on the variable selection in GPRM were done. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to build a good prediction model among some GPRMs. It is a post-work of the algorithm that includes the Welch method suggested by previous researchers. The proposed algorithms select some non-zero regression coefficients (${\beta}^{\prime}s$) using forward and backward methods along with the Lasso guided approach. During this process, the fixed were covariance parameters (${\theta}^{\prime}s$) that were pre-selected by the Welch algorithm. We illustrated the superiority of our proposed models over the Welch method and non-selection models using four test functions and one real data example. Future extensions are also discussed.

Model selection for unstable AR process via the adaptive LASSO (비정상 자기회귀모형에서의 벌점화 추정 기법에 대한 연구)

  • Na, Okyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.909-922
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we study the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for the unstable autoregressive (AR) model. To identify the existence of the unit root, we apply the adaptive LASSO to the augmented Dickey-Fuller regression model, not the original AR model. We illustrate our method with simulations and a real data analysis. Simulation results show that the adaptive LASSO obtained by minimizing the Bayesian information criterion selects the order of the autoregressive model as well as the degree of differencing with high accuracy.