• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model project

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Low-Flow Projection according to the Actual Evapotranspiration scenarios under the Climate Change -Chungju Dam Case- (기후변화 실제증발산 시나리오에 따른 갈수량전망 - 충주댐 사례 -)

  • Sun, HoYoung;Kang, BooSik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.104-104
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    • 2018
  • 이수안전도의 기준이 되는 갈수량에 대해 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 전망을 제시하였다. 충주 댐 유역을 대상으로 기준기간(1986~2000년)에서의 기상청의 관측 기상자료와 IPCC 보고서의 RCP 4.5/8.5 시나리오를 대상으로 CMIP5(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5)에서 제공하는 기후변화 자료 중 5개의 모델(ACCESS1.3 CanESM2, CNRM-CM5, GFDL-ESM2G, HadGEM2-AO)의 기준기간과 미래기간(2011~2100년)의 기상자료를 수집하였다. 기후변화 자료는 정상성/비정상성 분위사상법과 베이지안 모델 평균기법을 통해 불확실성과 통계적 오차를 저감하였다. 미래기간에서, 강우는 RCP 4.5에서 1.74mm/year, RCP 8.5에서 3.22mm/year, 실제증발산은 RCP 4.5에서 1.09mm/year, RCP 8.5에서 1.78mm/year의 증가율을 보였다. 실제증발산을 입력자료로 활용할 수 있도록 IHACRES모델의 CMD(Catchment Moisture Deficit) 비선형 모듈의 매개변수를 변이하여 유효강우량 산정 과정을 개선하였다. 기준기간에서 관측유량자료와 IHACRES의 시뮬레이션을 통해 산정된 유량자료의 R-squared는 0.65이다. 기준기간에서의 매개변수를 고정하여 미래기간의 유량을 산정하고 유황분석을 통해 갈수량 전망하였다. 유량은 RCP 4.5에서 4.41MCM/year, RCP 8.5에서 9.66MCM/year의 증가율을 보였다. 갈수량은 RCP 4.5에서 0.30MCM/year, RCP 8.5에서 -0.47MCM/year의 증감율을 보였다. 연간 강수량 대비 실제증발산의 비율의 추세분석 결과, RCP 4.5에서는 홍수기에는 0.014%/year, 비홍수기에는 0.027%/year의 증가율을 보이며 거의 변화가 없는 추세를 확인할 수 있었다. RCP 8.5의 홍수기에는 -0.042%/year, 비홍수기에서는 0.167%/year의 증감율을 보이며 홍수기에는 실제증발산에 비해 강수량의 증가가 확연히 보였으며 비홍수기에는 강수량에 비해 실제증발산의 증가가 뚜렷이 확인되었다. RCP 8.5에서 비홍수기의 강수량 대비 실제증발산의 증가가 갈수량의 감소로 반영된 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 미래기간의 RCP 4.5/8.5에서 실제증발산의 증가로 인하여 강수량이 증가함에 따라 유입량이 증가함에도 불구하고 갈수량의 증가로 이어지지 않았다. 미래 갈수량의 감소는 하천의 건전성과 이수안전도의 위협이 될 수 있다.

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Development of Standard Work Type to Utilize Drone at Expressway Construction Sites (고속도로 건설현장에서 드론 활용을 위한 표준공종 개발)

  • Lee, Suk Bae;Jeong, Min;Auh, Su Chang;Kim, Jong Jeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.461-468
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    • 2021
  • The role of drones is increasing day by day in smart construction that manages construction sites with 3D data in every life cycles. This is because both the digital surface model (DSM) and the orthoimage obtained for the construction site through the drone are made of point cloud data. This study aims to develop standard work types for drone use in order to systematically utilize drones in expressway construction sites. For the study, two expressway construction sites in Korea were set as test beds, and construction types applicable to drones were derived and verified through a pilot project. As a result of the study, three construction work types were developed for road planning, road design and maintenance, respectively, and in road construction, twenty-one detailed construction types were developed for five construction work types. It is expected that drones can be used more systematically not only at expressway construction sites, but also at other road construction sites by utilizing the "standard work type at expressway construction site for drone use" developed in this study.

Study on the Risk Management of the CERs Investment - Regarding Registration Risks and Price Change Risk in Investing Primary CERs - (탄소배출권 투자와 위험관리방안 연구 - 일차배출권(Primary CER) 투자 시 등록위험 및 가격변동 위험을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Chang Seok;Kim, Yun Soung;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2011
  • Out of all the possible actions that can be taken to respond to greenhouse gas reduction, including development of greenhouse gas reduction technology, infrastructure, actions to improve energy saving and efficiency, and offset with carbon emission reductions (CERs), this study shall focus on the investment on CERs. This study will take a look at risks involved with investing in CERs such as UN registration refusal risk and CERs price fluctuation, and will design risk management model which shall be verified. The goal of this paper is to provide optimized CERs investment strategies for different types of investors, such as general trading companies seeking for investment opportunities and financial companies with plans for green products development and investment by preparation for carbon market. It is expected that the global competitiveness of domestic financial companies shall be improved by taking actions on carbon market instead of previous passive response to climate change and that Korea, the number two Carbon Emissions supplier and number one derivatives market in terms of volume, shall be able to lead the worldwide carbon market.

Factors Affecting the Awareness of Elderly Support - Focusing on the Comparison of Young and Middle Age generation - (노인 부양의식에 영향을 미치는 요인: 청년세대와 중년세대 비교를 중심으로)

  • Lim, Jeungsuk;Chung, Soondool
    • Korean Journal of Family Social Work
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    • no.58
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    • pp.37-66
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of elderly generation sympathy, family intimacy and age-friendly environment of young and middle-aged generations on supporting the older adults, and to identify differences of influencing factors among generations. With these purpose, we used data of the '2017 Age Integration Survey' provided by the Humanities and Social Capacity Enhancement Project in Korea Research Foundation. The analysis of the data was performed on 640 participants who were between 18 and 64 years old, and they were selected from total 1017 study population. The analysis method was the Structural Equation Model(SEM). The results of this study were as follow. Firstly, elderly generation sympathy and family intimacy were significant statistically significant effect on the notion of supporting the older adults positively to all generations. Secondly, the relationship between the notion of supporting the older adults and the influential factors suggested in this study was found to be significant among the generations. Thirdly, the young generation showed a statistically significant effect on the notion of supporting the older elderly generation sympathy and family intimacy. Elderly generation sympathy and family intimacy had a significant statistical impact in the middle aged generation, however, age-friendly environment significant statistically significant effect on notion of supporting the older adults negatively. With these results, we presented practical and policy suggestions to enhance the notion of supporting the older adults.

Development of Incident Detection Algorithm Using Naive Bayes Classification (나이브 베이즈 분류기를 이용한 돌발상황 검지 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kang, Sunggwan;Kwon, Bongkyung;Kwon, Cheolwoo;Park, Sangmin;Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to develop an efficient incident detection algorithm by applying machine learning, which is being widely used in the transport sector. As a first step, network of the target site was constructed with micro-simulation model. Secondly, data has been collected under various incident scenarios produced with combination of variables that are expected to affect the incident situation. And, detection results from both McMaster algorithm, a well known incident detection algorithm, and the Naive Bayes algorithm, developed in this study, were compared. As a result of comparison, Naive Bayes algorithm showed less negative effect and better detect rate (DR) than the McMaster algorithm. However, as DR increases, so did false alarm rate (FAR). Also, while McMaster algorithm detected in four cycles, Naive Bayes algorithm determine the situation with just one cycle, which increases DR but also seems to have increased FAR. Consequently it has been identified that the Naive Bayes algorithm has a great potential in traffic incident detection.

Characteristics of Lifelong Learning Policy and Developmental Tasks of South Korea (한국 평생교육 정책의 유형화와 발전과제)

  • Choi, Don Min;Kim, Hyunsoo
    • Korean Journal of Comparative Education
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.47-69
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to classify the lifelong learning policy implementation process of lifelong learning in Korea according to the policy making decision models and to suggest developmental tasks. Korea's lifelong learning policy came to a full-fledged start with the enactment of the Lifelong Education Act in 2000. The Lifelong Education Act proposed the establishment of an open educational system as a strategy to realize the lifelong learning society. According to the Lifelong Education Act, the Korean government has developed several lifelong education policies such as providing learning opportunity for the underprivileged, facilitating lifelong learning city project, building lifelong learning culture, recognizing of experiential learning result, funding lifelong learning hub university, launching lifelong learning supporting administrative etc. The Korean lifelong system is characterized as Allison's (1971) governmental/bureaucratic, Ziegler and Johnson's (1972) legislative, Griffin's(1987) social control and Green's (2000) state-led models which make policy through the coordination between the government and the parliament and control bureaucratic power and educational qualifications. Lifelong learning policies should be managed in terms of supply and demand at the learning market. In addition, the state has to strengthen lifelong learning through supporting NGOs' activities and adult learners' tuition fee for the disadvantaged group of people.

The Effects of Fairness and Service Quality on the Loyalty in the R&D Processes: Mediation Effect of Trust (연구개발 과정에서 공정성과 서비스 품질이 충성도에 미치는 영향: 신뢰의 매개효과)

  • Jeong, Yonggil;Sohn, Minho
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2018
  • Collaboration works on R&D project have many characteristics in interoranizational relationships. There are many variables on explaining the their relationships. In the previous study, I chose some relevant variables and some hypotheses. Base on service marketing theories and relationship marketing perspective I suggest 5 hypotheses. Independent variables are fairness and quality, and dependent variable is loyalty. And trust are treated as the intervening variable between the independent variables and dependent variable. To test the research model and some hypothesis empirically, I collected the data using the questionnaire. Sample size was 448, it was enough to analyze statistically. Data were analysed using the SPSS and AMOS. In the previous study, H1($fairness{\rightarrow}trust$), H2($quality{\rightarrow}trust$), H5($trust{\rightarrow}loyalty$) were accepted, but H3 and H4 were rejected. The reason H3($fairness{\rightarrow}loyalty$) and H4($quality{\rightarrow}loyalty$) were not accepted might be attributed to the fact that trust was the mediating variable between fairness and loyalty, quality and loyalty. Specific research methodologies and statistical findings from AMOS were referred in the previous study(Jeong 2018). In this study, I suggested some hypotheses on the mediating role trust between fairness and loyalty and service quality and loyalty. Using the PROCESS-macro, I found that trust was the mediating variable between fairness and loyalty as well as service quality and loyalty. This research is the complementary and extended study from previous research.

The Commercialization Ways of Wellness Tourism and the Problems of Healing Tourism in Gangwon Province Model (강원도형 치유관광의 과제 및 웰니스 상품화 방안)

  • Kim, Sang-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.317-323
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    • 2019
  • Amid the recent growing social demand for wellness culture and healing tourism, I, through a literature survey and case study, reviewed the conditions of healing tourism in Gangwon-do as a destination of healing tourism, and examined the development project of Gangwon-do type healing tourism and commercialization of the wellness perspective. According to the survey, it was found that the Yeongdong area in Gangwon Province had excellent healing-based conditions in virtue of abundant natural resources, but it was found that it was necessary for local governments to cooperate in order to prevent overlapping investments and create synergy effects by connecting with one another as development contents or business items of healing tourism projects overlap or remain in the planning stage. In the case of Goseong-gun, which was reviewed as the main site, it has high potential as a silver-healing tour and if the County seeks a wellness merchandising strategy for each healing tourism target based on a therapy program linked with local specialized resources, and effectively links and specializes regional strengths in Gangwon-do's Yeongdong region, it is expected to become a regional success story of operating the development of the local tourism for silver and health-oriented tourists.

Teaching and Learning of University Calculus with Python-based Coding Education (파이썬(Python) 기반의 코딩교육을 적용한 대학 미적분학의 교수·학습)

  • Park, Kyung-Eun;Lee, Sang-Gu;Ham, Yoonmee;Lee, Jae Hwa
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.163-180
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    • 2019
  • This study introduces a development of calculus contents which makes to understand the main concepts of calculus in a short period of time and to enhance problem solving and computational thinking for complex problems encountered in the real world for college freshmen with diverse backgrounds. As a concrete measure, we developed 'Teaching and Learning' contents and Python-based code for Calculus I and II which was used in actual classroom. In other words, the entire process of teaching and learning, action plan, and evaluation method for calculus class with Python based coding are reported and shared. In anytime and anywhere, our students were able to freely practice and effectively exercise calculus problems. By using the given code, students could gain meaningful understanding of calculus contents and were able to expand their computational thinking skills. In addition, we share a way that it motivated student activities, and evaluated students fairly based on data which they generated, but still instructor's work load is less than before. Therefore, it can be a teaching and learning model for college mathematics which shows a possibility to cover calculus concepts and computational thinking at once in a innovative way for the 21st century.

A Study on the Technology Analysis of Marine Unmanned System for Determination of Core Technology Requirements (핵심기술 소요결정을 위한 해양 무인체계 요구기술 분석 연구)

  • Won, You-Jae;Eom, Jin-Wook;Park, Chan-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.350-361
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    • 2019
  • The fourth industrial revolution based on the intelligent revolution has revolutionized the society as a whole, and it has also affected the defense sector. Various aspects of the war have been changing with the development of technology. In particular, various strategies such as research and development of core technology related to defense unmanned system field and infrastructure are being established based on the fourth industrial revolution technology. In this paper, we have conducted a study to select the technology required for maritime unmanned systems, which can be considered as a priority consideration for the future development of the core technology to be secured prior to the development of the weapon system. First, the core technology prioritization model for the marine unmanned system was established, and the technology fields of the unmanned robot were reclassified and integrated in the related literature such as the classification of the defense technology standard. For the empirical analysis, a questionnaire survey was conducted for 12 specialists who are engaged in the planning of weapons systems, and the importance of technical fields that require development in the development of marine unmanned systems was analyzed. As a result, it was possible to identify the key technology areas that should be considered in selecting the key technologies proposed by the military groups, research institutes, and companies. This could contribute to the establishment of the technology roadmap to develop the marine unmanned system from the future point of view.