• Title/Summary/Keyword: Method of Maximum Likelihood

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A new extended Birnbaum-Saunders model with cure fraction: classical and Bayesian approach

  • Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Ramires, Thiago G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.397-419
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    • 2017
  • A four-parameter extended fatigue lifetime model called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric distribution is proposed. This model extends the odd Birnbaum-Saunders and Birnbaum-Saunders distributions. We derive some properties of the new distribution that include expressions for the ordinary moments and generating and quantile functions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian approach are adopted to estimate the model parameters; in addition, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings and sample sizes. We propose two new models with a cure rate called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders mixture and odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric models by assuming that the number of competing causes for the event of interest has a geometric distribution. The applicability of the new models are illustrated by means of ethylene data and melanoma data with cure fraction.

A Study on the Realization of a Digital Bit Synchronizer using the Gauss-Markov Estimation Technique (Gauss-Markov 추정 기법을 이용한 디지탈 비트 동기화기 실현에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Hyeon-Deok;Ryu, Heung-Gyoon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 1990
  • We have investigated the digital bit synchronization problem in baseband communication receiver systems using the Gauss-Markov estimation technique which is equivalent to the weighted least square method. The realized bit synchronizer, including the data detector, processes the input signal two dimensionally into the transition phase and data level under the white Gaussian noise environment. We have confirmed the relization of the bit synchronizer via computer simulation. In addition, we have compared and evaluated the estimation error performance of the proposed method with that of the conventional DTTL method and of the minimum likelihood method.

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Parameter estimation using GA with failure data under preventive maintenance (예방 정비가 실시된 고장 자료에서의 유전 알고리즘을 이용한 모수 추정)

  • 윤영원;정일한;김종운;신주환
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2001
  • This paper considers the parameter estimation problem of the failure intensity function and maintenance effect in a repairable system. We propose estimation procedures for repairable systems on which preventive maintenance is performed. The failure process is modeled by a proportional age reduction model [Brown, Mahoney and Sivazlian(1983)] which is useful to model the imperfect effect of preventive maintenance. When failure and maintenance (preventive) times are given, the maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the maintenance effect and the parameters of intensity function, simultaneously We obtain the maximum likelihood estimators using a genetic algorithm. A numerical example is also presented.

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Penalized maximum likelihood estimation with symmetric log-concave errors and LASSO penalty

  • Seo-Young, Park;Sunyul, Kim;Byungtae, Seo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.641-653
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    • 2022
  • Penalized least squares methods are important tools to simultaneously select variables and estimate parameters in linear regression. The penalized maximum likelihood can also be used for the same purpose assuming that the error distribution falls in a certain parametric family of distributions. However, the use of a certain parametric family can suffer a misspecification problem which undermines the estimation accuracy. To give sufficient flexibility to the error distribution, we propose to use the symmetric log-concave error distribution with LASSO penalty. A feasible algorithm to estimate both nonparametric and parametric components in the proposed model is provided. Some numerical studies are also presented showing that the proposed method produces more efficient estimators than some existing methods with similar variable selection performance.

Estimation of Logistic Regression for Two-Stage Case-Control Data (2단계 사례-대조자료를 위한 로지스틱 회귀모형의 추론)

  • 신미영;신은순
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.237-245
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we consider a logistic regression model based on two-stage case-control sampling and study the Weighted Exogeneous Sampling Maximum Likelihood(WESML) method to get an asymptotically normal estimates of the parameters in a logistic regression model. A numerical example is carried out to demonstrate the differences between the Conditional Maximum Likelihood(CML) estimates and the WESML estimates for two-stage case-control data.

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Complex Segregation Analysis of Categorical Traits in Farm Animals: Comparison of Linear and Threshold Models

  • Kadarmideen, Haja N.;Ilahi, H.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.1088-1097
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    • 2005
  • Main objectives of this study were to investigate accuracy, bias and power of linear and threshold model segregation analysis methods for detection of major genes in categorical traits in farm animals. Maximum Likelihood Linear Model (MLLM), Bayesian Linear Model (BALM) and Bayesian Threshold Model (BATM) were applied to simulated data on normal, categorical and binary scales as well as to disease data in pigs. Simulated data on the underlying normally distributed liability (NDL) were used to create categorical and binary data. MLLM method was applied to data on all scales (Normal, categorical and binary) and BATM method was developed and applied only to binary data. The MLLM analyses underestimated parameters for binary as well as categorical traits compared to normal traits; with the bias being very severe for binary traits. The accuracy of major gene and polygene parameter estimates was also very low for binary data compared with those for categorical data; the later gave results similar to normal data. When disease incidence (on binary scale) is close to 50%, segregation analysis has more accuracy and lesser bias, compared to diseases with rare incidences. NDL data were always better than categorical data. Under the MLLM method, the test statistics for categorical and binary data were consistently unusually very high (while the opposite is expected due to loss of information in categorical data), indicating high false discovery rates of major genes if linear models are applied to categorical traits. With Bayesian segregation analysis, 95% highest probability density regions of major gene variances were checked if they included the value of zero (boundary parameter); by nature of this difference between likelihood and Bayesian approaches, the Bayesian methods are likely to be more reliable for categorical data. The BATM segregation analysis of binary data also showed a significant advantage over MLLM in terms of higher accuracy. Based on the results, threshold models are recommended when the trait distributions are discontinuous. Further, segregation analysis could be used in an initial scan of the data for evidence of major genes before embarking on molecular genome mapping.

A Comparison Study on Statistical Modeling Methods (통계모델링 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2016
  • The statistical modeling of input random variables is necessary in reliability analysis, reliability-based design optimization, and statistical validation and calibration of analysis models of mechanical systems. In statistical modeling methods, there are the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), AIC correction (AICc), Bayesian Information Criterion, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), and Bayesian method. Those methods basically select the best fitted distribution among candidate models by calculating their likelihood function values from a given data set. The number of data or parameters in some methods are considered to identify the distribution types. On the other hand, the engineers in a real field have difficulties in selecting the statistical modeling method to obtain a statistical model of the experimental data because of a lack of knowledge of those methods. In this study, commonly used statistical modeling methods were compared using statistical simulation tests. Their advantages and disadvantages were then analyzed. In the simulation tests, various types of distribution were assumed as populations and the samples were generated randomly from them with different sample sizes. Real engineering data were used to verify each statistical modeling method.

Sequences and Phylogenic Analysis of Squid New Kinesin Superfamily Proteins (KIFs) (오징어과의 Kinesin Superfamily Proteins (KIFs)의 유전자분석 및 계통분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Jin;Seog, Dae-Hyun
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.293-297
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    • 2012
  • The movement of vesicles from the neuronal cell body to specific destinations requires molecular motors. The squid giant axon represents a powerful model for studies of the axonal transport mechanism because the axoplasm can readily be separated from the sheath by simple extrusion. In a previous study, vesicular movements in the axoplasm of the squid giant axon were inhibited by the kinesin antibody. In the present study, we cloned and sequenced the cDNAs for squid brain KIFs. Amplification of the conserved nucleotide sequences of the motor domain by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) using first-strand cDNAs of the squid optic lobe identified six new KIF proteins. Motif analysis of the motor domains revealed that the squid KIFs are homologous to the consensus sequences of the mouse KIFs. The phylogenetic tree generated by using the maximum parsimony (MP) method, the neighbor-joining (NJ) method, the minimum evolution (ME) method, and the maximum likelihood (ML) method showed that squid KIFs are closest to mouse KIFs. These data prove the phylogenetic relationships between squid KIFs and mouse ones.

Probabilistic Distributions of Fatigue Life of Concrete Subjected to Flexural Loading (콘크리트 휨피로수명의 확률분포)

  • Oh, Byung Hwan;Lee, Hee Taik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 1986
  • The distributions of fatigue life of concrete for various applied fatigue stress levels are investigated. The concrete beam specimens are tested in four-point flexural loading conditions. Three different levels of applied fatigue stresses are considered. They are 85%. 75%. 65%, respectively, of the static flexural strength of concrete. The present study indicates that the shapes of the probability distribution of fatigue lives are rather different for different levels of applied fatigue stress. This necessitates the consideration of the effects of applied fatigue stress levels on fatigue life distributions of concrete in order to conduct a realistic fatigue reliability analysis. The graphical method, the method of moments, and the method of maximum likelihood estimation are used to evaluate the distribution parameters of fatigue lives. It was found that the shape parameter of Weibull distribution for the fatigue life of concrete ranges from 2.0 to 4.0 according to the level of applied fatigue stress.

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Construction of bivariate asymmetric copulas

  • Mukherjee, Saikat;Lee, Youngsaeng;Kim, Jong-Min;Jang, Jun;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.217-234
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    • 2018
  • Copulas are a tool for constructing multivariate distributions and formalizing the dependence structure between random variables. From copula literature review, there are a few asymmetric copulas available so far while data collected from the real world often exhibit asymmetric nature. This necessitates developing asymmetric copulas. In this study, we discuss a method to construct a new class of bivariate asymmetric copulas based on products of symmetric (sometimes asymmetric) copulas with powered arguments in order to determine if the proposed construction can offer an added value for modeling asymmetric bivariate data. With these newly constructed copulas, we investigate dependence properties and measure of association between random variables. In addition, the test of symmetry of data and the estimation of hyper-parameters by the maximum likelihood method are discussed. With two real example such as car rental data and economic indicators data, we perform the goodness-of-fit test of our proposed asymmetric copulas. For these data, some of the proposed models turned out to be successful whereas the existing copulas were mostly unsuccessful. The method of presented here can be useful in fields such as finance, climate and social science.