• Title/Summary/Keyword: Meteorological Modeling

Search Result 337, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Extratropical Prediction Skill of KMA GDAPS in January 2019 (기상청 전지구 예측시스템에서의 2019년 1월 북반구 중고위도 지역 예측성 검증)

  • Hwang, Jaeyoung;Cho, Hyeong-Oh;Lim, Yuna;Son, Seok-Woo;Kim, Eun-Jung;Lim, Jeong-Ock;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.115-124
    • /
    • 2020
  • The Northern Hemisphere extratropical prediction skill of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) is examined for January 2019. The real-time prediction skill, evaluated with mean squared skill score (MSSS) of 30-90°N geopotential height field at 500 hPa (Z500), is ~8 days in the troposphere. The MSSS of Z500 considerably decreases after 3 days mainly due to the increasing eddy errors. The eddy errors are largely explained by the eddy-phased errors with minor contribution of amplitude errors. In particular, planetary-scale eddy errors are considered as a main reason of rapidly increasing errors. It turns out that such errors are associated with the blocking highs over North Pacific (NP) and Euro-Atlantic (EA) regions. The model overestimates the blocking highs over NP and EA regions in time, showing dependence of blocking predictability on blocking initializations. This result suggests that the extratropical prediction skill could be improved by better representing blocking in the model.

Observing System Experiment Based on the Korean Integrated Model for Upper Air Sounding Data in the Seoul Capital Area during 2020 Intensive Observation Period (2020년 수도권 라디오존데 집중관측 자료의 한국형모델 기반 관측 영향 평가)

  • Hwang, Yoonjeong;Ha, Ji-Hyun;Kim, Changhwan;Choi, Dayoung;Lee, Yong Hee
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.311-326
    • /
    • 2021
  • To improve the predictability of high-impact weather phenomena around Seoul, where a larger number of people are densely populated, KMA conducted the intensive observation from 22 June to 20 September in 2020 over the Seoul area. During the intensive observation period (IOP), the dropsonde from NIMS Atmospheric Research Aircraft (NARA) and the radiosonde from KMA research vessel Gisang1 were observed in the Yellow Sea, while, in the land, the radiosonde observation data were collected from Icheon and Incheon. Therefore, in this study, the effects of radiosonde and dropsonde data during the IOP were investigated by Observing System Experiment (OSE) based on Korean Integrated Model (KIM). We conducted two experiments: CTL assimilated the operational fifteen kinds of observations, and EXP assimilated not only operational observation data but also intensive observation data. Verifications over the Korean Peninsula area of two experiments were performed against analysis and observation data. The results showed that the predictability of short-range forecast (1~2 day) was improved for geopotential height at middle level and temperature at lower level. In three precipitation cases, EXP improved the distribution of precipitation against CTL. In typhoon cases, the predictability of EXP for typhoon track was better than CTL, although both experiments simulated weaker intensity as compared with the observed data.

Long-term Changes in Wintertime Precipitation and Snowfall over Gangwon Province (강원 지역의 장기 겨울철 강수 및 강설 변화의 경향 분석)

  • Baek, Hee-Jeong;Ahn, Kwangdeuk;Joo, Sangwon;Kim, Yoonjae
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.109-123
    • /
    • 2017
  • The effects of recent climate change on hydrological systems could affect the Winter Olympic Games (WOG) because the event is dependent on suitable snow and ice conditions to support elite-level competitions. We investigate the long-term variability and change in winter total precipitation (P), snowfall water equivalent (SFE), and ratios of SFE to P during the period 1973/74~2015/16 in Gangwon province. The climatological percentages of SFE relative to winter total precipitation were 71%, 28%, and 44% in Daegwallyeong, Chuncheon, and Gangneung, respectively. The winter total P, SFE, and SFE/P has decreased (but not significantly), although significant increases of winter maximum and minimum temperature were detected at a 95% confidence level. Notably, a significant negative trend of SFE/P at Daegwallyeong in February, the month of the WOG, was attributable to a larger decrease in SFE related to the increases in maximum and minimum temperature. Winter wet-day minimum temperatures were warmer than climatological minimum temperatures averaged over the study period. The 20-year return values of daily maximum P and SFE decreased in Yongdong area. Since the SFE/P decrease with increasing temperature, the probability of rainfall rather than snowfall can increase if global warming continues.

A change of local meteorological environment according to dam construction of Nakdong-River : I. Meteorological data analysis before and after dam construction (낙동강 수계 중의 댐 건설에 의한 주변의 국지기상환경 변화 : I. 댐 건설 전ㆍ후의 기상변화 분석)

  • 전병일;김일곤;이영미
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.161-168
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study was carried out for reading the change of local meteorological environment according to dam construction of Nakdong-river using meteorological data analysis, and modeling. The meteorological data analysised are mean temperature, foggy day, precipittion day and sunshine time. As tile result of analyzing meteorological data of before and after the construction of dam in Andong and Hapchon, some discrepancy were observed by month because the lakes have different effect on the region as wind field. The common phenomenons that are revealed after dam construction are increase of foggy day and decrease of sunshine time.

Direct Observation of Radiative Flux in the Southern Yellow Sea

  • Lu, Lian-Gang;Yu, Fei;Diao, Xinyuan;Guo, Jingsong;Wang, Huiwu;Wei, Chuanjie
    • Ocean Science Journal
    • /
    • v.43 no.2
    • /
    • pp.115-126
    • /
    • 2008
  • Direct measurements of four radiative components at air-sea boundary layer were conducted in the southern Yellow Sea during three cruises (seasons) in 2007. Simultaneous observations of meteorological (cloud cover, air temperature and humidity) and oceanographic (sea surface temperature) parameters were carried out. Observational results of radiative fluxes and meteorological and oceanographic parameters are presented. Mean diurnal cycles of four radiative components, net radiation, and sea surface albedo are calculated to achieve averages in different seasons. Net radiative fluxes in three seasons (winter, spring, autumn) are 8, 146, $60\;W/m^2$, respectively. Comparisons between the observed radiative fluxes and those estimated with formulas are taken.

Classification of Synoptic Meteorological Patterns for the Environmental Assessment of Regional-scale Long Range Transboundary Air Pollutants (지역규모 장거리 대기오염 이동물질의 환경영향평가를 위한 종관기상 조건의 분류)

  • Kim, Cheol-Hee;Son, Hye-Young;Kim, Ji-A;Ahn, Tae-Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.89-98
    • /
    • 2007
  • In order to conduct the environmental assessment of long range transboundary air pollutants over East Asia, the moving pathways of air pollutants are of great importance, which are depending upon the meteorological weather patterns. Therefore regional scale modeling study requires the identified geopotential height distribution patterns to deal with behaviors of long range transport air pollutants for the effective long term atmospheric environmental assessment. In this study the synoptic meteorological classification using cluster analysis technique over Northeast Asia, and its previous applications of the regional scale air pollutant modeling studies were reviewed and summarized in detail. Other synoptic meteorological characteristics over Korean peninsula are also discussed.

Numerical Simulation for Local Circulation of Urban Area and Deposition Phenomenon (도시지역의 국지순환과 침적현상에 관한 수치모의)

  • 이화운;오은주;노순아;반수진
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.773-787
    • /
    • 2003
  • There are variations in the temperature Held due to urban heat island and anthropogenic heating so that regional scale meteorological field is changed. Therefore we simulate and predict the regional climate change according to surface characteristics through regional meteorological model. This study investigates the regional meteorological field by urbanization that influences in local circulation system using CSU-RAMS and simulates dry deposition velocity (V$_{d}$) using PNU/DEM which includes surface characteristics (such as albedo, surface hydrology and rough-ness length etc.) with calculated meteorological field. During the summer, horizontal distributions of V$_{d}$ were simulated using CSU-RAMS and PNU/DEM at Busan metropolitan area. The estimated values of V$_{d}$ were larger in forest and agricultural areas than water areas since ozone with low water solubility is destroyed slowly at wet surface or water.water.

Academic Development Status of Climate Dynamics in Korean Meteorological Society (한국기상학회 기후역학 분야 학술 발전 현황)

  • Soon-Il An;Sang-Wook Yeh;Kyong-Hwan Seo;Jong-Seong Kug;Baek-Min Kim;Daehyun Kim
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.125-154
    • /
    • 2023
  • Since the Korean Meteorological Society was organized in 1963, the climate dynamics fields have been made remarkable progress. Here, we documented the academic developments in the area of climate dynamics performed by members of Korean Meteorological Society, based on studies that have been published mainly in the Journal of Korean Meteorological Society, Atmosphere, and Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences. In these journals, the fundamental principles of typical ocean-atmosphere climatic phenomena such as El Niño, Madden-Julian Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, their modeling, prediction, and its impact, are being conducted by members of Korean Meteorological Society. Recently, research has been expanded to almost all climatic factors including cryosphere and biosphere, as well as areas from a global perspective, not limited to one region. In addition, research using an artificial intelligence (AI), which can be called a cutting-edge field, has been actively conducted. In this paper, topics including intra-seasonal and Madden-Julian Oscillations, East Asian summer monsoon, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, mid-latitude and polar climate variations and some paleo climate and ecosystem studies, of which driving mechanism, modeling, prediction, and global impact, are particularly documented.

Air Quality Modeling of Ozone Concentration According to the Roughness Length on the Complex Terrain (복잡지형에서의 지표면 거칠기에 따른 오존 농도 수치모의)

  • Choi, Hyun-Jung;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Sung, Kyoung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.430-439
    • /
    • 2007
  • The objective of this work is the air quality modeling according to the practical roughness length using the building information as surface boundary conditions. As accurate wind and temperature field are required to produce realistic urban air quality modeling, comparative simulations by various roughness length are discussed. The prognostic meteorological fields and air quality field over complex areas of Seoul, Korea are generated by the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5) and the Third Generation Community Multi-scale Air Quality Modeling System (Models-3/CMAQ), respectively. The simulated $O_3$ concentration on complex terrain and their interactions with the weak synoptic flow had relatively strong effects by the roughness length. A comparison of the three meteorological fields of respective roughness length reveals substantial localized differences in surface temperature and wind folds. Under these conditions, the ascended mixing height and weakened wind speed at night which induced the stable boundary stronger, and the difference of simulated $O_3$ concentration is $2{\sim}6\;ppb$.

Numerical Modeling for the Effect of High-rise Buildings on Meteorological Fields over the Coastal Area Using Urbanized MM5 (중/도시규모 기상모델을 이용한 고층건물군이 연안도시기상장에 미치는 영향 수치모델링)

  • Hwang, Mi-Kyoung;Oh, In-Bo;Kim, Yoo-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.495-505
    • /
    • 2012
  • Modeling the effects of high-rise buildings on thermo-dynamic conditions and meteorological fields over a coastal urban area was conducted using the modified meso-urban meteorological model (Urbanized MM5; uMM5) with the urban canopy parameterization (UCP) and the high-resolution inputs (urban morphology, land-use/land-cover sub-grid distribution, and high-quality digital elevation model data sets). Sensitivity simulations was performed during a typical sea-breeze episode (4~8 August 2006). Comparison between simulations with real urban morphology and changed urban morphology (i.e. high-rise buildings to low residential houses) showed that high-rise buildings could play an important role in urban heat island and land-sea breeze circulation. The major changes in urban meteorologic conditions are followings: significant increase in daytime temperature nearly by $1.0^{\circ}C$ due to sensible heat flux emitted from high density residential houses, decrease in nighttime temperature nearly by $1.0^{\circ}C$ because of the reduction in the storage heat flux emitted from high-rise buildings, and large increase in wind speed (maximum 2 m $s^{-1}$) during the daytime due to lessen drag-force or increased gradient temperature over coastal area.